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Kristin school presentation

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Kristin school presentation

  1. 1. StrategyKristin<br />23September 2011, Auckland<br />
  2. 2. What is Futures Studies?What is Strategy?What is a Strategy Map?What is the difference between management and leadership?What is the difference between a puzzle and a mystery?What is the difference between control and influence?<br />
  3. 3. Scenarios<br />Possible<br />1<br />2<br />Probable<br />4<br />3<br />Possible<br />2011<br />2058<br />2030<br />What is Future Studies?<br />
  4. 4. Futures Studies – The Theory<br />Three P’s<br />Probable future - Forecasting and sometimes prediction (Status Quo)<br />Possible futures -Scenarios, risks (Explorative)<br />Preferred futures -Strategies for change, propelled by innovation & leadership (Visionary)<br />Four Steps<br />Define - parameters, trends, drivers, assumptions<br />Explore - uncertainties and rank<br />Build - scenario worlds, write stories, test<br />Use - consider implications, review, communicate<br />
  5. 5. The Three Sights<br />Hindsight<br />Insight<br />Foresight<br />
  6. 6. Nation Dates: Significant events & wild cards<br />
  7. 7. Nation Dates: Significant events<br />Sovereignty<br />Settlement<br />Rights, Roles, Representation &Responsibilities<br />Social Reform<br />Identity<br />Social Justice<br />Economic Reform<br />
  8. 8. Mission – why we exist?<br />Values – what we believe is important?<br />Vision – what we want the future to be?<br />Strategy – how we are going to get there?<br />VAS – develop the strategy<br />Strategy Map – translate the strategy?<br />
  9. 9. Intelligent Countries<br />
  10. 10. Strategy Map for Brazil<br />
  11. 11. Strategy Maps<br />
  12. 12. From previous slide – Strategy Map for Brazil<br />Innovation theme expanded showing cause and effect <br />
  13. 13. Strategy Maps<br />
  14. 14. NASA Chief Scientist Dennis M. Bushnell <br />Climate change and energy<br />Massive debt (AKA ‘The Great Correction’)<br />Water and food shortages/Environmental issues<br />Five simultaneous game-changing tech revolutions, tele-everything<br />Luddites/Individual destructive power<br />Robotics/Machine intelligence/Employment<br />Humans merging with the machines<br />
  15. 15. Talent is Key<br /><ul><li>Talent likes talent
  16. 16. Talent loves good food and cafes
  17. 17. Talent wants to be the best in the world
  18. 18. Talent enjoys being recognised
  19. 19. Talent thinks and acts globally
  20. 20. Talent hates completing forms
  21. 21. Talent gets frustrated with delays
  22. 22. Talent needs human capital
  23. 23. Talent grows through investment
  24. 24. Talent follows talent
  25. 25. Talent is key</li></li></ul><li>Hindsight<br />Insight<br />97-90 = 7<br />7- 3 = 4<br />4 - 2 = 2<br />
  26. 26. Insight and Foresight<br />Today, 3 billion made $2 or less per day.<br />40:60<br />Fifty years later, the developed countries & China grow old – while Africa & India remain young.<br />60:40<br />
  27. 27. Constitutional<br />Review <br />2011-2013<br />— Kate Sheppard<br />
  28. 28. Sir Paul Callaghan<br />‘So my take is, <br />we simply push on, <br />ignore the pessimism, <br />and lead by example. <br />Then suddenly we find ourselves surrounded by success and telling ourselves that it was always meant to be this way.’<br />

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