Salim Ismail - Introduction to Exponentials

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Salim Ismail - Introduction to Exponentials

  1. 1. Salim IsmailSingularity University Global Ambassador &Founding Executive Director@salimismailwww.salimismail.com
  2. 2. See Spot Run 3
  3. 3. See Spot Run 4
  4. 4. The History of Technology
  5. 5. Technological ImprovementsExtraordinary Century of Progress• Human life-expectancy more than doubled• Infant mortality reduced by 90%• Maternal mortality reduced by 99%• Cost of electricity reduced by 20-fold• Cost of transportation reduced 100-fold• Telecom, information reduced by 1000-fold
  6. 6. Technological ImprovementsEffect of technology on our lives… 1900 2000Transport Boston à Chicago 1 months wage ½ day’s wageA 3 min phone call (NY - LA) 19 hours of work <1 min workA kilowatt-hour of electricity 1 hour wage <1 min work5,000 lumen-hours (light) 1 hour wage <1 seconds
  7. 7. Stress & Opportunity
  8. 8. Not for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Salim Ismail | 2009-2011
  9. 9. FoundersSingularity University was foundedin Sept 2008 by Drs. Ray Kurzweil& Peter Diamandis
  10. 10. September 2008 Founding ConferenceSU Founding Meeting @ NASA Ames - Sept 2008; 50 leaders from the Bay Area
  11. 11. Larry Page – Go Big Observation - many of our grand challenges are rooted in accelerating factors“Are you working on something that can change the world? Yes or no? Theanswer for 99.99999% of people in the world is ‘no.’ I think we need to betraining people on how to change the world. Obviously technologies are theway to do that. That’s what we’ve seen in the past, that’s what driven all thechange.” - Larry Page, Google Co-Founder at SU founding conference
  12. 12. MissionOur mission is to assemble, educateand inspire a new generation ofleaders who strive to understandand facilitate the development ofexponentially advancingtechnologies to address humanity’s Disruptive Stress/ Opportunitygrand challenges
  13. 13. Educational Programs Graduate Studies Program 10 Weeks •1x per year, 80 Rising Leaders, Focus on Team ProjectsExecutive Programs •Multiplex per year, 60-80 Participants 7 Days •For established Business, policy leaders, entrepreneurs FutureMed •1x per year, 60-80 Participants 5 Days •Focus on Future of Medicine and BiotechFuture Security •1x per year, 60-80 Participants 3-5 Days •Focus on Future of Info and Personal Security Custom •Multiplex per year, XXX ParticipantsPrograms •Tailored for specific organization (corporate, government, etc.) 1 -3 Days
  14. 14. Graduate Studies Program Singularity UniversityGraduate Studies Program NASA Research Park
  15. 15. GSP Academic TracksTechnology Tracks Application Tracks• Artificial Intelligence & Robotics • Energy &• Nanotechnology & Digital Fabrication Environmental Systems• Networks & Computing Systems • Space & Physical Sciences• Biotechnology & Bioinformatics• Medicine & NeuroscienceResource/Mgmt Tracks• Futures Studies & Forecasting• Policy, Law & Ethics• Design• Finance & Economics• Entrepreneurship
  16. 16. Examples of Advisory Faculty & Speakers Other Notable: •Sebastian Thrun, Stanford AI, GoogleX; Founder – Udacity •Saul Griffith, PhD, Eyeglasses, Squid Labs, Instructables.com, Makani Power •Dan Kammen, PhD – Lead Author, 2007 Nobel Peace Prize-winning IPCC report; Faculty, UC Berkeley •Bob Metcalfe, PhD, Founder, 3Com; co- inventor of Ethernet •Chris DiBona, Open Source ProgramVint Cerf Will Wright George Smoot, PhD Dean Kamen Manager, Google Inc.Chief Internet Creator – SimCity, UC Berkeley; 2006 Inventor, •Larry Smarr, PhD, California Inst. forEvangelist, Google Spore; Founder, Nobel Prize in Founder DEKA Telecom & IT Maxis (EA) Physics •Chris deCharms, PhD, Founder Omneruon •Tim Ferriss, Author- 4-hour WorkweekSonia Arrison Aubrey de Grey, PhD Tina Seelig Justin Rattner Yvonne Cagel, M.D. Craig VenterSenior Fellow, Pacific Chairman & CSO, Exec Dir Stanford CTO, Intel Labs Astronaut, Colonel- Founder, CEOResearch Institute SENS Foundation Tech Ventures USAF Synthetic Genomics
  17. 17. Track ChairsDan Barry, MD Neil Jacobstein Daniel Kraft, MD Ralph Merkle, PhD Brad Templeton Raymond McCauley(Space; AI, Robotics) (AI, Robotics) (Medicine) (Nanotechnology) (Computer & (Biotechnology)NASA astronaut; AI CEO, Visiting Stem cell Biology, Inst. for Molecular Networks) CSO-Genomera;Head of Faculty Scholar Stanford Stanford Manufacturing Chairman EFF Founder -BioCurious Andrew Hessel Robert Freitas Marc Goodman David S. Rose Gregg Maryniak Jonathan Knowles (Biotechnology) (Nanotechnology) (Policy Law & (Finance) (Energy) (Design) Co-Founder Pink Inst for Molecular Ethics) CEO Gust, Chair NY Founding Exec. Dir Senior Advisor Army Cooperative Manufacturing Futurist for FBI Angels XPrize Found. Autodesk; Apple
  18. 18. Who are the students? GSP Admissions Criteria: • Extraordinary Brilliance • Proven entrepreneurs with GSP’11 Class Photo proven successes • Proven interest in the world’s “grand challenges” • Graduate/post-Grad level • Average age: 30GSP-2010: 80 Students / 35 countries
  19. 19. Student Selection CriteriaThree primary Selection Criteria for students:Top in their field Demonstrated Passionate about academically Entrepreneurs/Leaders Grand Challenges GSP Applicants 4100 2600 1600 1200 2009 2010 2011 2012 GSP-2010: 80 Students / 35 countries
  20. 20. Innovation Engine10 Week Program phases:
  21. 21. Team Projects 109+Environment
  22. 22. Innovation Engine10 Week Program phases:
  23. 23. ACASA - Technology• Build a 2-bedroom house in 1 ½ days with 30w of power using local materials• It is projected to cost less than half of conventional masonry.• The approach is already building 8’ walls• Proof of concept exists, the next step is to commercialize it
  24. 24. SU EPO11 Participant FeedbackGrand Challenge1.4 billion in extreme poverty1 billion with no access to all-season roads
  25. 25. SU EPO11 Participant Feedback
  26. 26. SU EPO11 Participant FeedbackSolutionThe Matternet:- autonomous, electric, flying vehicles- automated ground stations- AI-driven logistics software
  27. 27. • Peer-to-peer car sharing marketplace • Average car costs $8,200/year and sits idle 92% of the time • Car sharing projected to be $6.5B industry by 2016 (Frost & Sullivan) • Patent-pending in-car technology • Seamless smartphone-driven user experience • Comprehensive nationwide insurance GETAROUND WINS 2011 TECHCRUNCH DISRUPT CUPNot for Duplication/Distribution | Copyright Salim Ismail | 2009-2011
  28. 28. Results2009 - 4 startups from the Team Projects2010 – 10 startups2011 – 11 startups2010 Team Project Themes:• Food for Cities – Opportunities in Controlled Environment Agriculture and Vertical Farming• Home Energy Usage – Off-the-Grid, Stand-alone, Carbon-Neutral, Residential Energy System• Upcycle – Waste Reduction and Reprocessing Waste Into Useful Products• Water – Sustainable Water Assets: Holistic Alternatives to Capital- intensive Infrastructures• Space – To Boldly Stay: Extending Humanity into the Solar System
  29. 29. Larry Page – Google “If I were a student, this is where I’d want to be” - Larry Page 24 24
  30. 30. Curriculum Planning Meetings
  31. 31. Graduate Studies ProgramSingularity University Executive Program NASA Research Park
  32. 32. Executive Program OverviewExecutive Program Participants: Entrepreneurs, CEOs, CTOs, investors, inventors,government leaders, and policy experts from around the world
  33. 33. Executive Program OverviewThe program concentrates on six exponential growingtechnologies:1. Artificial Intelligence & Robotics Discussions2. Nanotechnology Exercises3. Biotechnology & Bioinformatics Workshops4. Medicine & Neuroscience Site Visits5. Networks & Computing Systems Industry Implications6. Energy & Environmental SystemsThe EP provides an understanding of how these accelerating technologieswill transform your business and your industry by showing you what is in thelab today and where the technologies will be within the next 3 to 10 years.
  34. 34. Classroom
  35. 35. Next EP – APril 11-18, 2012
  36. 36. Seeding the Future1. Students return home with expanded minds/ networks2. Executives apply this paradigm to their industries
  37. 37. Key TakeawaysExponential Technological ChangeAbundanceDisruptive ConvergenceLook forward not backThink big - 109+ ImpactEntrepreneurial and Collaborative
  38. 38. Zero to SU in Two YearsSpeaking to Secretary Hillary Clinton & 70 govt headsPrivate mtg with President >Shimon Peres of Israel
  39. 39. SU EPO11 Participant FeedbackEXPO2015 - “Feeding the Planet”June 20, 2011 - SU & Expo2015 announce multi-year partnership
  40. 40. Milano
  41. 41. Discussion / Q&A
  42. 42. Sorting ApplicationsColor coding & sticky dots.... !!
  43. 43. Change the WorldPiloted student contest with Brazilian Univ– “Conceive and implement an idea to impact 1 million people around Sao Paulo”
  44. 44. Change the WorldExtraordinary results:• Time: two months• Projects created: 230• Potential impact: PRICELESS Fabio Teixeira - Winner
  45. 45. SU Impact Contests“To win the chance to attend SU and work on projects to impact a billion people, come up with an idea that would impact a million people in your area.. and start implementing it” • 2011 – 12 students/500 projects (Brazil, Israel, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Guatemala, Spain, U.S.) • 2012 - 23 students/17 countries/1000 projects
  46. 46. SU Global Impact Competition“To win the chance to attend SU and work on projects to impact a billion people, come up with an idea that would impact one million people within five years... and start implementing it”.• Winner – receives full scholarship to attend SU ~ $30k• All winners also get $10k of software from Autodesk • Looking for additional award funding: • 2nd Place - $15k to implement project • 3rd Place - $10k to implement project
  47. 47. Expo 2015
  48. 48. Where will Exponential TechnologyCreate the next $100B+ industry? Nanotech AI / Robotics + Biotech + Networks Internet, Social Media, Computers, Mobile phones 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
  49. 49. Recent News…
  50. 50. Structural Issues in the U.S Democracy? Really? Political polarization & regulatory failure Long term planning? Where? Infrastructure - energy - health - education - finance - physical 51
  51. 51. Human development over 150,000 years Exponential & Local & Linear Global

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