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1
ENERGY
Oil prices jump the highest ever after attack cutsSaudi Arabian supplies
Global oil pricessurged themoston recordaftera strikeona SaudiArabianoil facility
removed about5% ofglobal supplies, anattackthe US hasblamedonIran.
In anextraordinarystarttotrading,Brentfuturesjumpedalmost$12abarrelin the
secondsafterthe openonMonday,thebiggest intradayadvancein dollartermssince
theywerelaunchedin 1988.On theNewYorkMercantileExchange,West Texas
Intermediatecontractswerefrozenforabouttwominutesafterthe scale ofthemove
delayedthe marketopen.
WhileBrentfuturespulledbackaftertheirinitial surgeofalmost20%,takingthe global
benchmarkjust shyof$72abarrel,theywerestill headedforthebiggest percentage
gain since2008.
The unprecedentedmovein oil reverberated aroundfinancialmarkets.Haven assets
including gold, the yenandTreasuriessurged onconcern over thegeopoliticalfallout
fromthe attacks.Currenciesofcommodity-linkednationsincluding theNorwegian
kroneandtheCanadiandollaralsoadvanced.TheUS gasoline futuresjumpedalmost
13%.
“Thevulnerabilityof Saudiinfrastructuretoattacks,historicallyseen asastablesource
ofcrudetothe market,is a newparadigmthe marketwill need todealwith,"said
VirendraChauhan,a Singapore-basedanalystatindustryconsultantEnergyAspects Ltd.
“Atpresent, itis notknownhowlong crude will beofflinefor."
Stateenergy producerSaudiAramcolost about5.7million barrelsperdayofoutputon
Saturdayafter10unmannedaerialvehicles strucktheworld’sbiggest crude-processing
facilityin Abqaiqandthe kingdom’ssecond-biggest oil field in Khurais.
2
PRECIOUS METAL
Hawaii Six O - Gary Wagner Risk-On Market SentimentPressures Gold and
Silver
Whileit is notonlybullish sentimentforthe risk-onassetclassthathaspressuredgold
andsilver pricing today,it wasone ofthe forceswhich resultedin lowerpreciousmetals
pricing. Rising bondyields,a strongconsumersentiment indexwhich wentfrom89.8to
92in September,andlessening geopolitical risksallcontributedtotoday’sweaknessin
bothgold andsilver pricing. Asreportedby MarketWatch,“Chinamade further
concessions totheU.S. on internationaltradeonFriday,addingagriculturalproducts
like soybeansandporktothelist of importsexempted tariffs,asprospectsforatleastan
interim deal toresolvethe two-year-oldtradedisputeimprove.The move byChina
followsreportsonThursdayaboutthe prospectsforatleastan interimdeal toresolve
the tradewarthatcould involvetheUS delaying orreducing sometariffsonimports
fromChinain exchangeforChinese commitmentson protectingU.S. intellectual
propertyrightsandagriculturalpurchases.”According toReuters,on ThursdayPresident
Trumpsaidhe preferredacomprehensive tradedealwithChina butdid notrule outthe
possibilityofaninterim pact.Speakingto reportersatthe WhiteHouseTrumpstated,
“I’dratherget the whole dealdone.I see alot ofanalystsaresayinganinterim deal,
meaning we’ll dopieces ofit, theeasyonesfirst.Butthere’snoeasyorhard.There’sa
deal orthere’snota deal.Butit’ssomething we wouldconsider, Iguess.”As of 4:38PM
EDTgold futuresaretradingdownby$11.50(-0.78%),andcurrentlyfixedat$1495.50.
Silveris tradinglower by3.61%,withthe Decemberfuturescontractcurrentlybid at
$17.51which is a netdecline of$0.66onthe day.
3
BASE METAL
BaseMetals: Copper slides, demand doubts reinforced by China
data
Join TheMercenaryGeologist Mickey Fulp andTrevorHall ofMining StockDailyevery
Fridayafternoonforarecapof metals,money,andmarkets.Eachepisodeprovides
commentaryonperformancesanda lookaheadto nextweek'smarkets.Youcanlisten
tothe weeklywrapexclusively atKitco.com.Wetrustyouwill find ourpodcastofvalue
andhopeit becomesa partofyourweekly due diligence andresearch.May all your
tradesbetotheupside.Join The MercenaryGeologist Mickey Fulp andTrevorHall of
Mining StockDailyevery Fridayafternoonforarecapof metals,money,andmarkets.
Eachepisodeprovidescommentaryon performancesandalookaheadtonextweek's
markets.You canlisten tothe weeklywrapexclusively atKitco.com.Wetrustyouwill
findourpodcastofvalue andhope it becomes apartof yourweekly duediligence and
research.May allyourtradesbe totheupside.Global oil pricessurged themoston
recordafterastrikeon aSaudiArabianoil facilityremoved about5%ofglobal supplies,
anattackthe US hasblamedon Iran.
In anextraordinarystarttotrading,Brentfuturesjumpedalmost$12abarrelin the
secondsafterthe openonMonday,thebiggest intradayadvancein dollartermssince
theywerelaunchedin 1988.On theNewYorkMercantileExchange,West Texas
Intermediatecontractswerefrozenforabouttwominutesafterthe scale ofthemove
delayedthe marketopen.
WhileBrentfuturespulledbackaftertheirinitial surgeofalmost20%,takingthe global
benchmarkjust shyof$72abarrel,theywerestill headedforthebiggest percentage
gain since2008.
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Commodity Newsletter

  • 1.
  • 2. 1 ENERGY Oil prices jump the highest ever after attack cutsSaudi Arabian supplies Global oil pricessurged themoston recordaftera strikeona SaudiArabianoil facility removed about5% ofglobal supplies, anattackthe US hasblamedonIran. In anextraordinarystarttotrading,Brentfuturesjumpedalmost$12abarrelin the secondsafterthe openonMonday,thebiggest intradayadvancein dollartermssince theywerelaunchedin 1988.On theNewYorkMercantileExchange,West Texas Intermediatecontractswerefrozenforabouttwominutesafterthe scale ofthemove delayedthe marketopen. WhileBrentfuturespulledbackaftertheirinitial surgeofalmost20%,takingthe global benchmarkjust shyof$72abarrel,theywerestill headedforthebiggest percentage gain since2008. The unprecedentedmovein oil reverberated aroundfinancialmarkets.Haven assets including gold, the yenandTreasuriessurged onconcern over thegeopoliticalfallout fromthe attacks.Currenciesofcommodity-linkednationsincluding theNorwegian kroneandtheCanadiandollaralsoadvanced.TheUS gasoline futuresjumpedalmost 13%. “Thevulnerabilityof Saudiinfrastructuretoattacks,historicallyseen asastablesource ofcrudetothe market,is a newparadigmthe marketwill need todealwith,"said VirendraChauhan,a Singapore-basedanalystatindustryconsultantEnergyAspects Ltd. “Atpresent, itis notknownhowlong crude will beofflinefor." Stateenergy producerSaudiAramcolost about5.7million barrelsperdayofoutputon Saturdayafter10unmannedaerialvehicles strucktheworld’sbiggest crude-processing facilityin Abqaiqandthe kingdom’ssecond-biggest oil field in Khurais.
  • 3. 2 PRECIOUS METAL Hawaii Six O - Gary Wagner Risk-On Market SentimentPressures Gold and Silver Whileit is notonlybullish sentimentforthe risk-onassetclassthathaspressuredgold andsilver pricing today,it wasone ofthe forceswhich resultedin lowerpreciousmetals pricing. Rising bondyields,a strongconsumersentiment indexwhich wentfrom89.8to 92in September,andlessening geopolitical risksallcontributedtotoday’sweaknessin bothgold andsilver pricing. Asreportedby MarketWatch,“Chinamade further concessions totheU.S. on internationaltradeonFriday,addingagriculturalproducts like soybeansandporktothelist of importsexempted tariffs,asprospectsforatleastan interim deal toresolvethe two-year-oldtradedisputeimprove.The move byChina followsreportsonThursdayaboutthe prospectsforatleastan interimdeal toresolve the tradewarthatcould involvetheUS delaying orreducing sometariffsonimports fromChinain exchangeforChinese commitmentson protectingU.S. intellectual propertyrightsandagriculturalpurchases.”According toReuters,on ThursdayPresident Trumpsaidhe preferredacomprehensive tradedealwithChina butdid notrule outthe possibilityofaninterim pact.Speakingto reportersatthe WhiteHouseTrumpstated, “I’dratherget the whole dealdone.I see alot ofanalystsaresayinganinterim deal, meaning we’ll dopieces ofit, theeasyonesfirst.Butthere’snoeasyorhard.There’sa deal orthere’snota deal.Butit’ssomething we wouldconsider, Iguess.”As of 4:38PM EDTgold futuresaretradingdownby$11.50(-0.78%),andcurrentlyfixedat$1495.50. Silveris tradinglower by3.61%,withthe Decemberfuturescontractcurrentlybid at $17.51which is a netdecline of$0.66onthe day.
  • 4. 3 BASE METAL BaseMetals: Copper slides, demand doubts reinforced by China data Join TheMercenaryGeologist Mickey Fulp andTrevorHall ofMining StockDailyevery Fridayafternoonforarecapof metals,money,andmarkets.Eachepisodeprovides commentaryonperformancesanda lookaheadto nextweek'smarkets.Youcanlisten tothe weeklywrapexclusively atKitco.com.Wetrustyouwill find ourpodcastofvalue andhopeit becomesa partofyourweekly due diligence andresearch.May all your tradesbetotheupside.Join The MercenaryGeologist Mickey Fulp andTrevorHall of Mining StockDailyevery Fridayafternoonforarecapof metals,money,andmarkets. Eachepisodeprovidescommentaryon performancesandalookaheadtonextweek's markets.You canlisten tothe weeklywrapexclusively atKitco.com.Wetrustyouwill findourpodcastofvalue andhope it becomes apartof yourweekly duediligence and research.May allyourtradesbe totheupside.Global oil pricessurged themoston recordafterastrikeon aSaudiArabianoil facilityremoved about5%ofglobal supplies, anattackthe US hasblamedon Iran. In anextraordinarystarttotrading,Brentfuturesjumpedalmost$12abarrelin the secondsafterthe openonMonday,thebiggest intradayadvancein dollartermssince theywerelaunchedin 1988.On theNewYorkMercantileExchange,West Texas Intermediatecontractswerefrozenforabouttwominutesafterthe scale ofthemove delayedthe marketopen. WhileBrentfuturespulledbackaftertheirinitial surgeofalmost20%,takingthe global benchmarkjust shyof$72abarrel,theywerestill headedforthebiggest percentage gain since2008.
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