The world cup & global competitive index

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The performance of each Nation paired from group matches to the final match at the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil will be compared with their Global Competitive Index rating, in order to establish a possible degree of predictability of performance from Competitiveness.

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The world cup & global competitive index

  1. 1. GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS & PERFORMANCE OF COUNTRIES AT 2014 FIFA WORLD CUP
  2. 2. The Global Competitive Index (GCI) by the World Economic Forum (WEF) "assesses the ability of countries to provide high levels of prosperity to their citizens. This in turn depends on how productively a country uses available resources. It also measures the set of institutions, policies, and factors that set the sustainable current and medium-term levels of economic prosperity”. (Wikipedia) In my opinion, a country with strong institutions would automatically have a viable and developed economy bringing prosperity to its Citizens. Similarly, since Football is a competitive sport, I assume a competitive economy should reflect in the quality of performance of such a country’s football team – my hypothesis. Particularly, I hope to establish a relationship between Country’s performance at the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil and their respective GCI as released by WEF for the year 2013-2014.
  3. 3. VARIABLES: METHODOLOGY OF STUDY The performance of each Nation paired from group matches to the final match at the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil will be compared with their Global Competitive Index rating, in order to establish a possible degree of predictability of performance from Competitiveness. – Global Competitive Index of each participating Country – Performance of each Country at the World Cup
  4. 4. HYPOTHESIS H0: Competitive Nations have better chance of success against Non- competitive Nations. H1: A Competitive and Non- competitive Nations have equal chance of success.
  5. 5. 32 16 8 4 2 1 32 Teams 1 Champion Games
  6. 6. DB C 32 COUNTRIES IN 2014 FIFA WORLD CUP Australia Chile Netherlands Spain Colombia Greece Ivory Coast Japan Costa Rica England Italy Uruguay A Brazil Cameroun Croatia Mexico HF G Argentina Bosnia-H Iran Nigeria Ghana Germany Portugal USA Algeria Belgium South Korea Russia E Ecuador Honduras France Switzerland
  7. 7. 32 COUNTRIES & 2014 GCI RANKING DB C Australia (21) Chile (34) Netherlands (8) Spain (35) Colombia (69) Greece (91) Ivory Coast (126) Japan (9) Costa Rica (54) England (10) Italy (49) Uruguay (85) A Brazil (56) Cameroun (115) Croatia (75) Mexico (55) HF G Argentina (104) Bosnia-H (87) Iran (82) Nigeria (120) Ghana (114) Germany (4) Portugal (51) USA (5) Algeria (100) Belgium (17) South Korea (25) Russia (64) E Ecuador (71) Honduras (111) France (23) Switzerland (1)
  8. 8. Table showing: 32 Countries that participated in 2014 FIFA World Cup, Score of all matches played Global Competitive Index of each Nation, Deduction on how GCI affected score line.
  9. 9. The deduction goes thus: Results of matches compared against GCI ranking A more competitive Nation (with lower GCI) wins a match against a less competitive Nation (with higher GCI) A more competitive Nation (with lower GCI) loses a match against a less competitive Nation (with higher GCI) Match ended in draw
  10. 10. WORLD CUP TEAM & GCI Switzerland is the most competitive Nation at the FIFA 2014 World Cup – GCI ranked No. 1 in the World. Germany (4th), USA (5th), Netherlands (8th), Japan (9th), and England are the GCI ranked top 10 Nations in Brazil Ivory Coast is the least ranked competitive nation at the World Cup – GCI ranked 126th Group B; comprising of Netherlands (8th), Australia (21st), Chile (34th), and Spain (35th) is the most competitive GCI ranked group at the World Cup While Group F; comprising of Argentina (104th), Nigeria (120th), Bosnia-H (87th), and Iran (82nd) is the least competitive GCI ranked group at the World Cup
  11. 11. GROUP STAGES Total match played in group stages – 48 Total win recorded – 39 Total win by competitive Nations against less competitive Nations – 24 (62%) Total lose by competitive Nations – 15 (38%)
  12. 12. ROUND OF 16 Total match played in round of 16 – 8 Total win by competitive Nations against less competitive Nations – 5 (62.5%) Total lose by competitive Nations to less competitive Nations – 3 (37.5%)
  13. 13. QUARTER & SEMI FINALS Total match played in Quarter and Semi finals – 6 Total win by competitive Nations against less competitive Nations – 4 (66.7%) Total lose by competitive Nations to less competitive Nations – 2 (33.3%)
  14. 14. THIRD PLACE & FINALS Total match played – 2 Total win by competitive Nations against less competitive Nations – 1 (100%)
  15. 15. SUMMARY Group Stage Round of 16 Quarter & Semi Finals Third Place & Final Overall Competitive defeat less competitive 62% 62.5% 66.7% 100% 63.64% Competitive lose to less competitive 38% 37.5% 33.3% 0% 36.36% This implies, a competitive Nation has approximately 64% chance of winning a match against a less competitive Nation H0 is TRUE!
  16. 16. It therefore shows in some degrees, that a competitive Nation has 64% chance of defeating a less competitive Nation. This fact is even more evident as teams qualify for more competitive stages. Particularly, Germany ranked 4th in the World defeated Argentina ranked 104th in the 2014 FIFA World Cup Final. The farther apart competing Nations are on the GCI ranking, the more a competitive Nations is likely to win. SUMMARY
  17. 17. Data Source: - www.FIFA.com - www.LIVESCORE.com - Global Competitive Report, 2013-14 Analysis by: Wale Micaiah e: walegate@yahoo.com b: walemicaiah.com w. www.statisense.com

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