1. :
&

2. ,
,
.
WilliamWohlforth ,
.

3. &
, .
.
&
,
« »
,

4. ( , , )
(Morgenthau, Carr)
(Waltz)
( / Morgenthau)
( – / Waltz, Mearsheimer)
( / Schweller)

5. ;
–
)
: Kenneth Waltz, Theory of
International Politics (1979)
: John Mearsheimer, The
Tragedy of Great Power Politics (2001)
-
/
)
: Hans Morgenthau, Politics Among
Nations (1948)
&
)
: Randal Schweller, Unanswered
Threats: Political Constraints on the Balance of Power (2006)

6. WALTZ
After Waltz…
Defensive vs. Offensive
neorealism
Walt, Jervis, Snyder,
Van Evera
Mearsheimer, Labs,
Lieber
Balance of Threat
Theory
Stephen Walt
Neoclassical Realism
(attempt to integrate
unit-level variables and
structural variables
Schweller, Zakaria,
Rose, Lobell

7. Stephen Walt,
The Origins of Alliances

8. Systemic
Conditions
Intervening
Domestic
Variables
State
Behavior

9. : &
,
,
».

10. :
,
,

11. « »
Graham Allison
.
Allison :
,
–
.
»
.
, …..
,

12. &
-