Modeling of future
geopolitical world
    situations
Prognosing of future geopolitical relations

           One of the main problems of Ukraine development is a stabilty as i...
Computer program “GEO” can help to sole such problems.
Algorithm was made with programming language Pascal in enviroment D...
The World System
The World System
The European System
The European System
  ICELAND
   ICELAND                              NORWAY             FINLAND
     ...
The Characteristics Of States
The Characteristics Of States
1914 Situation
1914 Situation

                                              Greenland
                                   ...
1939 Situation
1939 Situation

                                              Greenland
                                   ...
1990 Situation
1990 Situation

                                            Greenland
                                     ...
1994 Result
1994 Result
Virtual Result
Virtual Result

                                             Greenland
                                    ...
Modelling of Future Geopolitical World Situations
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Modelling of Future Geopolitical World Situations

1,262 views

Published on

AACIMP 2009 Summer School lecture by Alexander Makarenko. "Mathematical Modelling of Social Systems" course. 5th hour. Part 2.

Published in: Education, Technology
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
1,262
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
112
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
16
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Modelling of Future Geopolitical World Situations

  1. 1. Modeling of future geopolitical world situations
  2. 2. Prognosing of future geopolitical relations One of the main problems of Ukraine development is a stabilty as international as internal problems. One of the main factors of stability support is prognosing on different future scenarios. Such scenarios may serve as main background for decision making. One of the aproaches in prognosing is mthematical modeling by computers. Our group have some achivements in geopolitical prognoses for the whole world and espacially for Europe. What future world order may be ? What will be the future centers of power in the world ? Is there the prospects for bipolar structure in future Europe ? What is the role of Ukraine in the World ?
  3. 3. Computer program “GEO” can help to sole such problems. Algorithm was made with programming language Pascal in enviroment Delphi. This can work under OS Windows 95/98/NT/2000. This programm may be install into the PC of medium class from Pentium 100/32M and higher. Input and output data allows to apply recent geo informational sistems such as MapInfo. This allow to visualise results in the map forms.
  4. 4. The World System The World System
  5. 5. The European System The European System ICELAND ICELAND NORWAY FINLAND FINLAND NORWAY SWEDEN SWEDEN ESTONIA ESTONIA LATVIA LATVIA DENMARK DENMARK LITHUANIA LITHUANIA IRELAND IRELAND BELARUS BELARUS NETHERLANDS NETHERLANDS POLAND POLAND BELGIUM BELGIUM CZECH REPUBLIC CZECH REPUBLIC UKRAINE UKRAINE AUSTRIA AUSTRIA HUNGARY FRANCE HUNGARY FRANCE BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA ANDORRA ANDORRA ITALY ITALY GEORGIA GEORGIA ALBANIA ALBANIA ARMENIA ARMENIA PORTUGAL PORTUGAL GREECE GREECE TURKEY TURKEY GIBRALTAR GIBRALTAR MALTA MALTA CYPRUS CYPRUS TUNISIA TUNISIA LEBANON LEBANON
  6. 6. The Characteristics Of States The Characteristics Of States
  7. 7. 1914 Situation 1914 Situation Greenland Greenland Iceland Iceland Finland Finland Russian Federation Russian Federation Canada Canada Denmark Denmark Ireland Ireland Belarus Belarus Austria Ukraine Austria Ukraine Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Mongolia Mongolia Andorra Albania Andorra Albania Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan Armenia Armenia United States Azores (port.) Azores (port.) United States Gibraltar Gibraltar Malta Malta Cyprus Cyprus China China Japan Japan Bermuda Iraq Iraq Afghanistan Afghanistan Bermuda Algeria Algeria Nepal Nepal Bahamas Egypt Egypt Bahrain Bahrain Mexico Mexico Bahamas Bangladesh Hong Kong Bangladesh Hong Kong Oman Oman Belize Anguilla Anguilla Cape Verde Cape Verde Mali Niger Mali Niger Belize Chad Chad Aruba (neth.) Aruba (neth.) Sudan Sudan Cambodia Cambodia Guam Guam Djibouti Djibouti Guinea Benin Guinea Benin Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Colombia Suriname Somalia Somalia Brunei Darussalam Brunei Darussalam Colombia Suriname Maldives Maldives Congo Congo Ecuador Ecuador Burundi Burundi Seychelles Seychelles Papua New Guin Papua New Gui Peru Peru Brazil Brazil Angola Angola Comoros Comoros Bolivia Bolivia Madagascar Madagascar Paraguay Botswana Botswana Paraguay Australia Australia Lesotho Lesotho Uruguay Uruguay Argentina Argentina Falkland Islands Falkland Islands
  8. 8. 1939 Situation 1939 Situation Greenland Greenland Iceland Iceland Finland Finland Russian Federation Russian Federation Canada Canada Denmark Denmark Ireland Ireland Belarus Belarus Austria Ukraine Austria Ukraine Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Mongolia Mongolia Andorra Albania Andorra Albania Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan Armenia Armenia United States Azores (port.) Azores (port.) United States Gibraltar Gibraltar Malta Malta Cyprus Cyprus China China Japan Japan Bermuda Iraq Iraq Afghanistan Afghanistan Bermuda Algeria Algeria Nepal Nepal Bahamas Egypt Egypt Bahrain Bahrain Mexico Mexico Bahamas Bangladesh Hong Kong Bangladesh Hong Kong Oman Oman Belize Anguilla Anguilla Cape Verde Cape Verde Mali Niger Mali Niger Belize Chad Chad Aruba (neth.) Aruba (neth.) Sudan Sudan Cambodia Cambodia Guam Guam Guinea Benin Guinea Benin Djibouti Djibouti Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Colombia Suriname Somalia Somalia Brunei Darussalam Brunei Darussalam Colombia Suriname Maldives Maldives Congo Congo Ecuador Ecuador Burundi Burundi Seychelles Seychelles Papua New Gu Papua New Gu G Peru Peru Brazil Brazil Angola Angola Comoros Comoros Bolivia Bolivia Madagascar Madagascar Paraguay Botswana Botswana Paraguay Australia Australia Lesotho Lesotho Uruguay Uruguay Argentina Argentina Falkland Islands Falkland Islands
  9. 9. 1990 Situation 1990 Situation Greenland Greenland Iceland Iceland Finland Finland Russian Federation Russian Federation Federation Canada Canada Denmark Denmark Ireland Ireland Ireland Belarus Belarus Austria Ukraine Austria Ukraine Austria Ukraine Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Mongolia Mongolia Mongolia Andorra Andorra Albania Albania Kyrgyzstan Armenia Armenia Armenia Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan United States Azores (port.) Azores (port.) United States United Gibraltar Gibraltar Gibraltar Malta Malta Malta Cyprus Cyprus Cyprus China China Japan Japan Japan Bermuda Iraq Iraq Afghanistan Afghanistan Afghanistan Bermuda Bermuda Algeria Algeria Nepal Nepal Egypt Egypt Egypt Bahrain Bahrain Mexico Bahamas Bahamas Bahamas Bangladesh Bangladesh Bangladesh Mexico Hong Kong Hong Kong Oman Oman Belize Anguilla Anguilla Cape Verde Mali Mali Mali Niger Niger Belize Cape Verde Chad Chad Yemen Yemen Yemen Aruba (neth.) Aruba (neth.) (neth.) Sudan Sudan Cambodia Cambodia Guam Guam Guam Guinea Benin Djibouti Djibouti Guinea Benin Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Colombia Suriname Somalia Somalia Brunei Darussalam Brunei Darussalam Darussalam Colombia Suriname Colombia Suriname Uganda Uganda Maldives Maldives Congo Congo Indonesia Indonesia Ecuador Ecuador Burundi Burundi Seychelles Seychelles Seychelles Peru Peru Brazil Brazil Angola Angola Comoros Comoros Bolivia Bolivia Madagascar Madagascar Madagascar Paraguay Paraguay Botswana Botswana Australia Australia Lesotho Lesotho Lesotho Uruguay Uruguay Uruguay Argentina Argentina Falkland Islands Falkland Islands
  10. 10. 1994 Result 1994 Result
  11. 11. Virtual Result Virtual Result Greenland Greenland Iceland Iceland Finland Finland Russian Federation Russian Federation Canada Canada Denmark DenmarkBelarus Belarus Austria Ukraine Austria Ukraine Kazakhstan Kazakhstan Mongolia Mongolia Andorra Albania Andorra Albania Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan Azores (port.) Azores (port.) Armenia Armenia United States United States Gibraltar Malta Gibraltar Malta China China Japan Japan Cyprus Cyprus Afghanistan Bermuda Bermuda Afghanistan Algeria Algeria Nepal Nepal Egypt Egypt Bahrain Bahrain Mexico Bahamas Bahamas Bangladesh Hong Kong Bangladesh Hong Kong Mexico Oman Oman Belize Anguilla Anguilla Cape Verde Mali Niger Mali Niger Belize Cape Verde Chad Chad Aruba (neth.) Aruba (neth.) Cambodia Cambodia Guam Guam Guinea Benin Guinea Benin Djibouti Djibouti Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Micronesia, Fed St Micronesia, Fed St Colombia Colombia Somalia Somalia Brunei Darussalam Brunei Darussalam Maldives Maldives Congo Congo Ecuador Ecuador Burundi Burundi Seychelles Seychelles Papua New Guinea Papua New Guinea Peru Peru Brazil Brazil Angola Angola Comoros Comoros Bolivia Bolivia Madagascar Madagascar Paraguay Paraguay Botswana Botswana Australia Australia Lesotho Lesotho Argentina Argentina Falkland Islands Falkland Islands

×