Demographic Migration Modelling with GIS

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AACIMP 2009 Summer School lecture by Alexander Makarenko. "Mathematical Modelling of Social Systems" course. 5th hour. Part 6.

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Demographic Migration Modelling with GIS

  1. 1. DEMOGRAPHYCAL MIGRATION MODELING WITH GIS • INSTITUTE OF APPLIED SYSTEM ANALYSIS (UKRAINE) • Prof. A .Makarenko, S.Trofimenko • E-mail: makalex@i.com.ua
  2. 2. GOALS AND APPROACH • MODELING OF MIGRATION SCENAROOS • DIFFERENT ATTITUDES OF POPULATION • MULTIAGENT AND CELLULAR MODELS • GEOINFORMATIONAL SYSTEMS AND REAL DATA BASE
  3. 3. CASE OF CAPITAL ATTRACTIVITY 1 1 1 ↓ ↓ ↓ 3 1 2 5 1 3 1 → → → ← ← ↓ 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 ↑ ↑ ↑ ← ↓ ↓ ← 1 1 1 4 5 1 ↑ → → → ← 1 1 1 2 ↑ ← ↑ ↑ 2 1 ↑ ← 1 ↑
  4. 4. 4 3 2 9 1 2 1 → → → ← ← ↓ 1 1 1 1 2 ↑ ↑ ↑ ↓ ← 2 6 9 ↑ → 1 1 ↑ ↑ 2 1 ↑ ←
  5. 5. 4 4 2 12 1 1 → → → ← ← 1 2 1 ↑ ↓ ← 2 5 12 ↑ → 1 ↑ 2 ↑
  6. 6. 3 4 2 15 1 → → → ← 1 2 ↑ ← 2 4 14 ↑ ← ← 1 ↑ 1 ↑
  7. 7. 2 4 2 18 1 → → → ← 1 1 1 ↑ ← ← 2 1 4 13 ↑ ← ← ← 1 ↑
  8. 8. 1 4 2 21 → → → 1 1 1 ↑ ← ← 3 1 4 12 ↑ ← ← ←
  9. 9. 4 2 23 → → 1 1 ↑ ← 3 1 4 11 ↑ ← ← ←
  10. 10. 3 2 25 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 10 ↑ ← ← ←
  11. 11. 2 2 27 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 9 ↑ ← ← ←
  12. 12. 1 2 29 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 8 ↑ ← ← ←
  13. 13. 2 31 → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 7 ↑ ← ← ←
  14. 14. 1 33 → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 6 ↑ ← ← ←
  15. 15. 35 2 ↑ 3 1 4 5 ↑ ← ← ←
  16. 16. 40 2 ↑ 3 1 4 ↑ ← ←
  17. 17. 50

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