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Silicon vikings 20170307 v2

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some thoughts about the future of cognitive systems, with better building blocks

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Silicon vikings 20170307 v2

  1. 1. Better Building Blocks Jim Spohrer (IBM) Silicon Vikings, Feb 7, 2017 http://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/silicon_vikings_20170207_v2 3/7/2017 Understanding Cognitive Systems 1
  2. 2. Dedication: Douglas C. Engelbart Father of the mouse and augmentation theory 3/7/2017 © IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional development 2
  3. 3. 3/7/2017 © IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional development 3 I have… Have you noticed how the building blocks just keep getting better?
  4. 4. 3/7/2017 4 1956 1976 1996 2016 2036 2056 Personal Reflections: Telephones I have known… Programming building blocks are getting better Maine MIT, Verbex, Yale Apple IBM My first program 1972 Kid’s today get AI components 2017
  5. 5. Better Building Blocks… 3/7/2017 Understanding Cognitive Systems 5
  6. 6. By 2036, the world changes… • 2016 • “How to build a cognitive system for Q&A task.” • 9 months to 40% question answering accuracy • 1-2 years for 90% accuracy, which questions to reject • 2026 • “How to use cognitive assistants to be a better professional X.” • Tools to build a student level Q&A from textbook in 1 week • 2036 • “How to use your cognitive mediator to build a startup.” • Tools to build faculty level Q&A for textbook in one day • Cognitive mediator knows a person better (in some ways) than they know themselves (identity & responsibility) • 2046 & 2056 • “How to manage your workforce of digital workers.” • 2046: 10 digital workers each; 2056: 100 digital workers each 3/7/2017 6
  7. 7. From data to intelligence: 10 million minutes of experience to build adult 3/7/2017 Understanding Cognitive Systems 7
  8. 8. From data to intelligence: 2 million minutes of experience from novice to expert 3/7/2017 Understanding Cognitive Systems 8
  9. 9. “The best way to predict the future is to inspire the next generation of students to build it better” Digital Natives Transportation Water Manufacturing Energy Construction ICT Retail Finance Healthcare Education Government
  10. 10. In Summary 3/7/2017 © IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional development 10 “A service science perspective considers the evolving ecology of service system entities, their value co-creation and capability co-elevation interactions, and their capabilities, constraints, rights, and responsibilities.” Cognitive Systems Entities Service Systems Entities With Cognitive Mediators Add Rights & Responsibilities
  11. 11. 3/7/2017 11 Come visit IBM Research – Almaden in San Jose, CA USA – monthly university day!

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