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Jim Spohrer (IBM) on Engineering Robots to Live and Learn With
1.
Jim Spohrer (IBM)
San Jose, CA, Wednesday March 29, 2017 http://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/issip-nsf-smart-service-systems-20170329-v1 3/29/2017 1 Engineering Robots To Live In and Learn With: Towards Smarter/Wiser Service Systems © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017
2.
3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 2 Spohrer JC, Engelbart DC (2004) Converging technologies for enhancing human performance: Science and business perspectives. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.1013(1):50-82. Roco MC, Bainbridge WS (2002) Converging technologies for improving human performance: Nanotechnology, biotechnology, information technology, and cognitive science. WTEC. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/bioecon-%28%23%20023SUPP%29%20NSF-NBIC.pdf
3.
3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 3 Open Technologies Spohrer J, Maglio PP, Bailey J, Gruhl D (2017) Steps toward a science of service systems. Computer. 40(1). Spohrer J, Bassano C, Piciocchi P, Siddike MA (2017) What Makes a System Smart? Wise? In Advances in The Human Side of Service Engineering 2017 (pp. 23-34). Springer International Publishing. Service System: Dynamic configuration of people, technology, information, and organization connected internally and externally by value propositions. [socio-economic-technical systems] Smart Service Systems: People and organization are augmented with cognitive systems.
4.
Engineering Tools to
Augment 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 4 Harris S, Karkauer D (2016) Complexity& Stupidity. A Conversation with David Krakauer. Sam Harris Podcast
5.
3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive
Open Technologies 2017 5
6.
3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive
Open Technologies 2017 6
7.
Engineering Robots We
Will Live and Work In • Exoskeletons Clothing • Driveless Cars • Furniture, Chairs, Beds • Robotic Houses • Healthy Neighborhoods • Robotic Cities 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 7 Amigos do Jean Paul Jacob https://www.facebook.com/groups/jeanpauljacob/
8.
3/29/2017 8 1955 1975
1995 2015 2035 2055 Can better service help us be wiser? Cognitive Mediator (2035): Tool, Assistant, Collaborator, Coach, Mediator Open Technologies will enable this and more… © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017
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Definitions: AI vs
IA 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 10 AI is Artificial Intelligence, or intelligence in machines (smart machines) IA is Intelligence Augmentation, or people thinking and working together with smart machines. IA is what IBM calls “Cognitive Computing” and the smart machines are called “Watson Solutions” or more generally “Digital Cognitive Systems (Cogs)” Cognition as a Service (CaaS): AI building blocks for IA solutions
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Augmenting Workers 3/29/2017 ©
IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 11
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Types • Tool • Assistant •
Collaborator • Coach • Mediator 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 12
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Build: 10 million
minutes of experience 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 13
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Build: 2 million
minutes of experience 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 14
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Build: Hardware < Software
< Data < Experience < Transformation 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 15
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Partnership for AI
formed 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 16
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3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 17 I have… Have you noticed how the building blocks just keep getting better?
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Learning to program: My
first program 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 18 Early Computer Science Class: Watson Center at Columbia 1945 Jim Spohrer’s First Program 1972
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3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 19 Fast Forward 2016: Consider this…
20.
Microsoft CaptionBot June
19, 2016 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 20
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Microsoft CaptionBot June
20, 2016 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 21
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IBM Image Tagging 3/29/2017
© IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 22
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Courses 2015 – “How to
build a cognitive system for Q&A task.” – 9 months to 40% question answering accuracy – 1-2 years for 90% accuracy, which questions to reject 2025 – “How to use a cognitive system to be a better professional X.” – Tools to build a student level Q&A from textbook in 1 week 2035 – “How to use your cognitive mediator to build a startup.” – Tools to build faculty level Q&A for textbook in one day – Cognitive mediator knows a person better than they know themselves 2055 – “How to manage your workforce of digital workers.” – Most people have 100 digital workers. 3/29/2017 23© IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017
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Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 24
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High School Senior:
Anish Krishnan 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 25
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Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 26
27.
How fast is
Reality 2.0 approaching? 3/29/2017 27 What might it look like? © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017
28.
Computing: Then, Now,
Projected 3/29/2017 28 2035 2055 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017
29.
“The best way
to predict the future is to inspire the next generation of students to build it better” Digital Natives Transportation Water Manufacturing Energy Construction ICT Retail Finance Healthcare Education Government 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 29
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By 2035, T-Shaped
Makers with great Building Blocks and Cognitive Mediators 3/29/2017 30 Empathy & Teamwork sector region/culture discipline Depth Breadth STEM Liberal Arts © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017
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Reality 2.0 Service
Platform: polite cognitive mediators (CM1,CM2) do not interrupt people (P1,P2) 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 31 Service Platform CM2 P2 CM1 P1 100x 100x 100x
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In Summary 3/29/2017 ©
IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 32 “A service science perspective considers the evolving ecology of service system entities, their value co-creation and capability co-elevation interactions, and their capabilities, constraints, rights, and responsibilities.” Cognitive Systems Entities Service Systems Entities With Cognitive Mediators Add Rights & Responsibilities
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3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 33 Explain external phenomena
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3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 34 Explain internal phenomena
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3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 35 Explain value co-creation phenomena
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3/29/2017 © IBM
Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 36 Physics Chemistry Biology Neuroscience Psychology Artificial Intelligence Engineering Management Public Policy Education Design Humanities Natural Systems Cognitive Systems Service Systems
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Sciences provide… • Frameworks
for people to ask and answer questions systematically • Explanations with instructions on “how to re-do” 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 37 Kline: Conceptual Foundation of Multidisciplinary Thinking - “To our children and children’s children, to whom we elders owe an explanation of the world that is understandable, realistic, forward-looking, and whole.” Proenneke: Alone in the Wilderness - To do a thorough testing, should each generation be required to rapidly rebuild from scratch? A re-makers movement?
38.
Some paths to
becoming 64x smarter: Improving learning and performance • 2x from Learning sciences (methods) – Better models of concepts – Better models of learners • 2x from Learning technology (tools) – Guided learning paths – Elimination of “thrashing” • 2x from Quantity effect (overlaps) – More you know, faster you go – Advanced organizers • 2x from Lifelong learning (time) – Longer lives and longer careers – Keeps “learning-mode” activated • 2x from Early learning (time) – Start earlier: Challenged-based approach – STEM-2D in K-12 (SSME+DAPP Design of Smart Service Systems) • 2x from Cognitive systems (performance support) – Technology & Infrastructure Interactions – Organizations & Others Interactions 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 38
39.
Next Generation: Future-Ready T-Shaped
Adaptive Innovators Many disciplines Many sectors Many regions/cultures (understanding & communications) Deepinonesector Deepinoneregion/culture Deepinonediscipline 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 39
40.
Future-Ready T-Shapes 3/29/2017 ©
IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 40
41.
But this stuff
is still really hard… 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 41
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Backup slides • Service
systems - http://service- science.info/archives/3368 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 42
43.
What is service
science? • IBM initiated effort to establish a multidisciplinary field to study service systems … with a focus on people-centered, IT-enabled service innovations for business and society – based on service-dominant logic – service = value co-creation – IT-enabled service architectures – service systems (socio-technical systems for win-win value co-creation) • IBM helped establish – computer science (1945-present) – service science (2005-present) 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 43 Service systems are dynamic configurations of resources (people, technology, organizations, and information) interconnected by value propositions, internally and externally. Examples: - macro: cities, states, nations - meso: hospitals, universities, businesses - micro: households, families, individuals Reference: Spohrer J, Maglio P, Bailey J, Gruhl D (2007) Steps toward a science of service systems. IEEE Computer Society. 40(3):71-77(January).
44.
What is service
science? • Now over 500 universities globally teach a more multidisciplinary approach to service innovation, including: – Service management and marketing – Service engineering and operations – Service design and arts – Service public policy and economics – Service computing and informatics • SSME + DAPP = Service Science Management Engineering + Design Arts Public Policy – People, technology, organizations, information interconnected by value propositions. 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 44 Reference: IfM & IBM (2008). Succeeding through service innovation: A service perspective for education, research, business and government. University of Cambridge Institute for Manufacturing, Cambridge, UK. 2008.
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How to get
involved? • Weekly speaker series – Service innovation – Service education & research – Smart service/cognitive systems • Discovery summits & book series • Opportunities – Institutional memberships – Leadership & ambassadors – Volunteer opportunities – Awards & sponsored conferences 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 45 ISSIP.org is a non-profit society International Society of Service Innovation Professionals Membership: Over 1000 professionals and students from 40+ countries, 50+ companies and 50+ universities.
46.
How to get
involved? • Journals (INFORMS, etc.) • Conferences (HICSS, etc.) • Courses (MIT, etc.) • Funding (NSF, etc.) • Society (ISSIP, etc.) 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 46
47.
What are the
hot topics? • Smart Service Systems: Intelligence Augmentation – AI + AR UX (Artificial Intelligence + Augmented Reality User Experience) – Smartphones (mobile, social, secure, etc.) • Collaborative Economy: Servitization – From assets to co-creation (e.g., Uber, AirBnB, etc.) – From product to capability/outcome-as-a-service – Manufacturing as a local recycling service • Digital Transformation: Trust and Identity – Blockchain: Don Tapscott’s TED Talk & book – Big Data: Service Analytics & HAT (Hub of All Things) 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 47
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IBM Research –
Almaden San Jose, CA USA 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 48
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Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 49
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IBM Cloud Bluemix: Watson
APIs are growing… 3/29/2017 © IBM Cognitive Open Technologies 2017 50 So far (June 2016), 100,000 faculty and students globally given access
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