The Paris Agreement - Turning
Point for Climate and Energy?
16.2.2016
Christoph Bals
Policy Director, Germanwatch e.V.
New globale Climate Targets
well below 2 °C ... and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5
°C above preindustrial levels, (Art. 2.1.a)
reach global peaking ... as soon as possible,
in accordance with best available science, so as to achieve a balance
between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by
sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century, (Art.
4.1 Paris Abkommen)
Best available science: until mid century no emissions from coal, oil and
gas. Until 2070 all GHG netto 0.
But nasty gap: Country targets lead to ca 3°C; so far little indications to
move out of oil.
Stronger Climate Targets every 5 Years
• Stronger Climate Targets every 5 years (first review
for IC in 2018), 2023 also increased finance targets -
likely with increase role of emerging economies;
• Before 2020: all parties should formulate and
communicate long-term low greenhouse gas emission
development strategies;
Paris and the Long Term Goal:
Decarbonisation plus
Solidarity Package
• Long term Goal for Adaptation: "...to strengthen
the global response to the threat of climate change ...
Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts
of climate change and foster climate resilience" (Art.
2.1b)
• Loss and damage accepted: Parties recognize the
importance of averting, minimizing and addressing
loss and damage associated with the adverse effects
of climate change (Art 8.1).
• Climate insurance initiative ("InsuResilience" for
vulnerable countries announced by G7;
Shifting the Trillions
• Making finance flows consistent with a pathway
towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate -
resilient development. (Art. 2.1.c)
• Until 2025 IC mobilise annually 100 bio $ for
mitigation and adaptation in DC; then increased
target, likely with emerging eonomies as contributers;
NGO-Party
• "Perhaps the most significant
effect of the Paris agreement
in the next few years will be
the signal it sends to investors:
the united governments of the
world say that the age of fossil
fuels has started drawing to a
close."
• "After Paris, the belief that
governments are going to stay
the course on their stated
green strategies will feel a bit
better founded—and the idea
of investing in a coal mine will
seem more risky."
Signal for Investors
Very important but limited role of Paris
Agreement
• Task of a climate treaty is bringing the
ball to the penalty box.
• It's the taks of
– Goverments,
– Investors
– Civil Society
to score.
International Action
• Implementation Strategy of G20
– Long Term Goal for States and Companies
– End of fossil subsidies
– Carbon Price Corridor
• ICAO: Targets for Int. Aviation
• 100 bio pathway
• Transformational Partnerships
– G7/African Renewable Energy Strategy
– D/ India - Philippines - South Africa
– G7/ InsuResilience
National Action
• Exit Strategy for Coal
• Energy Efficiency
• Mobility - 50% : Public transportation,
bicycle, walking, car sharing;
• Stopping industrial livestock husbandry;
New Tailwind for Civil Society
• Energy Co-operatives
• Joint Agriculture
• Putting my money where my mouth is
• Asking the moral question
• What is a good life?
• Getting a member of a good NGO
It's a pleasure to co-operate with you!
bals@germanwatch.org

The Paris Agreement - Turning Point for Climate and Energy?

  • 1.
    The Paris Agreement- Turning Point for Climate and Energy? 16.2.2016 Christoph Bals Policy Director, Germanwatch e.V.
  • 2.
    New globale ClimateTargets well below 2 °C ... and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels, (Art. 2.1.a) reach global peaking ... as soon as possible, in accordance with best available science, so as to achieve a balance between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century, (Art. 4.1 Paris Abkommen) Best available science: until mid century no emissions from coal, oil and gas. Until 2070 all GHG netto 0. But nasty gap: Country targets lead to ca 3°C; so far little indications to move out of oil.
  • 3.
    Stronger Climate Targetsevery 5 Years • Stronger Climate Targets every 5 years (first review for IC in 2018), 2023 also increased finance targets - likely with increase role of emerging economies; • Before 2020: all parties should formulate and communicate long-term low greenhouse gas emission development strategies;
  • 4.
    Paris and theLong Term Goal: Decarbonisation plus
  • 6.
    Solidarity Package • Longterm Goal for Adaptation: "...to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change ... Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience" (Art. 2.1b) • Loss and damage accepted: Parties recognize the importance of averting, minimizing and addressing loss and damage associated with the adverse effects of climate change (Art 8.1). • Climate insurance initiative ("InsuResilience" for vulnerable countries announced by G7;
  • 7.
    Shifting the Trillions •Making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate - resilient development. (Art. 2.1.c) • Until 2025 IC mobilise annually 100 bio $ for mitigation and adaptation in DC; then increased target, likely with emerging eonomies as contributers;
  • 8.
  • 9.
    • "Perhaps themost significant effect of the Paris agreement in the next few years will be the signal it sends to investors: the united governments of the world say that the age of fossil fuels has started drawing to a close." • "After Paris, the belief that governments are going to stay the course on their stated green strategies will feel a bit better founded—and the idea of investing in a coal mine will seem more risky." Signal for Investors
  • 11.
    Very important butlimited role of Paris Agreement • Task of a climate treaty is bringing the ball to the penalty box. • It's the taks of – Goverments, – Investors – Civil Society to score.
  • 12.
    International Action • ImplementationStrategy of G20 – Long Term Goal for States and Companies – End of fossil subsidies – Carbon Price Corridor • ICAO: Targets for Int. Aviation • 100 bio pathway • Transformational Partnerships – G7/African Renewable Energy Strategy – D/ India - Philippines - South Africa – G7/ InsuResilience
  • 13.
    National Action • ExitStrategy for Coal • Energy Efficiency • Mobility - 50% : Public transportation, bicycle, walking, car sharing; • Stopping industrial livestock husbandry;
  • 14.
    New Tailwind forCivil Society • Energy Co-operatives • Joint Agriculture • Putting my money where my mouth is • Asking the moral question • What is a good life? • Getting a member of a good NGO
  • 15.
    It's a pleasureto co-operate with you! bals@germanwatch.org