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Muhammad Sohaib Afzaal, profile picture
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Spiral of silence

The Spiral of Silence theory, proposed by Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann, explains that people are less likely to express opinions that are in the minority for fear of isolation. They have a sense of the prevailing public opinion and remain silent if their views diverge from the majority to avoid social isolation and reprisal. Over time, as minority opinions are suppressed, the majority view dominates public discourse in a "spiral" effect.

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Spiral of Silence M.SOHAIB AFZAAL
DEFINATION The Spiral of Silence theory explains why people often feel the need to conceal their opinions/preference/views/etc. when they fall within the minority of a group. 1. people have a "quasi-statistical organ," a sixth-sense if you will, which allows them to know the prevailing public opinion, even without access to polls, 2. people have a fear of isolation and know what behaviors will increase their likelihood of being socially isolated, and 3. people are reticent to express their minority views, primarily out of fear of being isolated.
Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann  Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann, the German political scientist contributes the famous model called “Spiral of Silence”.  In 1947 Neumann and her husband found “Public Opinion Organization” in German and also she was a President of “World Association for Public Opinion Research” in 1978 to 1980.  Through this Spiral of Silence theory Neumann indirectly explains the Jews status during World War II under Nazi’s control.  Here, Adolf Hitler dominated the whole society and the minority Jews became silent due to the fear of isolation or separation.
 Originally proposed by German political scientist Elisabeth Noelle- Neumann in 1974, Spiral of silence is the term meant to refer to the tendence of people to remain silent when they feel that their views are in opposition to the majority view on a subject. The theory posits that they remain silent for a few reasons: 1. Fear of isolation when the group or public realizes that the individual has a divergent opinion from the status quo. 2. Fear of reprisal or more extreme isolation, in the sense that voicing said opinion might lead to a negative consequence beyond that of mere isolation (loss of a job, status, etc.)
 The one view dominated the public scene and others disappeared from the public awareness as it adherents became silent.  In other words, the people fear of separation or isolation those around them, they tend to keep their attitudes to themselves when they think they are in the minority. This process is called “Spiral of Silence”.
Metatheoretical Assumptions  Ontological Assumption: In this sense, the theory is extremely scientific. Spiral of Silence believes that there is fate- opinions are dependent on the majority opinion of the group.  Epistemological Assumption: The theory is also quite scientific in the relationship between the research being done and the researcher. What is researched is not dependent on the observer, there is one truth; an absolute if you will concerning the Spiral of Silence. People are quiet with their opinions and that is that.  Axiological Assumption: I feel that Spiral of Silence is scientific in the values sense as well. Research being done is value neutral and unbiased on the researchers’ behalf since they would have no reason or means to skew the findings in any way.
 Critique:  The Spiral of Silence theory is a scientific theory that for the most part is quite sound in situations in which opinions are not of great consequence. For example, if my opinion is a strong conviction and I am unwilling to bend in my beliefs then the theory may not apply to me to such an extent. Also, if I am an opinion leader, (from the Diffusion of Innovations theory) that is I am the one voicing my opinion and affecting other people; then I also may not bend in my opinions either.  Ideas and Implications:  The Spiral of Silence is useful to apply in situations when trying to explain why people cover up or change their opinions when in a group setting especially when they think they are alone in their opinions.
Example  In a company, the managing director decides to increase their working hour from 8 to 10 and send e-mail to all employees. Majority of them accept this time changes and few employees are not satisfied with his decision. But they cannot or ready to express their thought publicly. Because  1. They may feel unsupported by the other employees.  2. “Fear of isolation” like transfer  3. “Fear of Rejection” By rejecting their personal opinion from the public will help to avoid fight.  4. They may try to save their job by suppressing or avoid personal statement in public.
They Frame Work Based On Few Assumptions  1. Spiral of silence theory describe as a dynamic process, the predication about public opinion in mass media which gives more coverage for the majorities in the society and gives very less coverage for minorities.  2. In this social environment, People have fear of rejection to express their opinion or views and they known well what behaviors will make a better likelihood. It’s called “fear of Isolation”.  3. Being the part of Minority. People loss their confidence and silent or mute to express their views because of the fear of isolation or they feel alone or unsupported.  4. Sometimes the minorities withdraw their expressed opinion from public debates to secure themselves from the majority.  5. Maximum numbers get more vocal space in the society and lesser number become less vocal space or become silent.
Advantages and Disadvantages  1. Spiral of Silence theory has both micro level and macro level explanatory process.  2. It works well during the public campaign, Senate and Parliament.  3. Spiral of silence theory – which helps to raise question about considering the role and responsibility of media in the society.  4. The theory which is not considering the other explanation of silencing. In some cases the person may feel the majority’s ideas or opinion is much better than his own view.  5. It portrait overly negative view of media influence the average people.