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Course 5: NBA Strategy
Intro to Advanced NBA Strategy
www.rotoql.com
1
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Lesson Overview
2
I. NBA advanced stats
II. The importance of minutes
III. Vegas elements to consider
IV. To stack or not to stack?
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DraftKings vs. FanDuel
3
Stat DK Points FD Points
2-point FG +2.0 PT +2.0 PT
3-point FG +3.5 PT +3.0 PT
Free throw +1.0 PT +1.0 PT
Rebound +1.25 PT +1.2 PT
Assist +1.5 PT +1.5 PT
Steal +2.0 PT +2.0 PT
Block +2.0 PT +2.0 PT
Turnover -0.5 PT -1.0 PT
Double-double +1.5 PT N/A
Triple-double +3.0 PT N/A
Late Player Swap Yes No
● DraftKings gives additional points
for milestones - Double-Doubles
and Triple-Doubles
● PG and PF tend to benefit from
these milestones and should be
targeted more on DK
● FanDuel penalizes more for
turnovers
● No penalty for missed shots.
Volume is more valuable than
efficient shooting
● Player swap is allowed on
DraftKings, FanDuel does not allow
you to edit lineups after games
begin
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DFS Advanced Stats
4
Stat Notes
Fantasy Points per Minute Serves as basis for projected fantasy points
PER Player Efficiency Rating - takes in missed shots, TOs, fouls
Usage Rate (USG%) Amount of possessions a player uses during the game
Team Pace How fast a team plays overall, dictates game opportunities
Player Pace Individual players play faster than others
Offensive Efficiency (OEFF) Offensive rating - points scored per 100 possessions
Defensive Efficiency (DEFF) Defensive rating - points given up per 100 possessions
Rebound Percentage Player’s ability to grab rebounds
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Using Vegas
5
* Data from RotoGrinders -
2013-2014 NBA Season
Stat
Game Flow
Spread
Over/Under
Blowout Factor
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Minutes vs Fantasy Point
6
Source: Daily Fantasy Cafe
FPTs per game and Minutes per game display a strong correlation
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FP/Min vs FP/Game
7
Source: Daily Fantasy Cafe
FPTs per Min and FPTs per game display a strong correlation
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PER vs. FPTs per Min (Season)
8
Source: KahlanRahl on Reddit
PER and fantasy points per minute display a strong correlation
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Usage Rate and Fantasy Points per Night
9
Source: KahlanRahl on Reddit
Usage rate and FPTs per night display a moderate correlation
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To Stack or Not to Stack?
10
● Not a preferred strategy, players tend to not be correlated
● Play at your own risk
Consider:
● Point Guards and Centers
● Close Games and Overtime
● Depleted Rosters
● Game Stack
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DraftKings - How to Use the Utility Spot
11* Data Provided from numberFire
Point Guards, Power Forwards, and Centers are most prevalent
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NBA Cash Game Strategy
12* Data Provided from DraftKings
Average scores needed to cash in a 50/50 NBA contest on DraftKings
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NBA Tournament and GPP Strategy
13* Data Provided from DraftKings
Average scores needed to cash in a large field tournament NBA contest on DraftKings
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NBA Lineup Example
14* Data Provided from DraftKings
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www.rotoql.com
More Resources
Visit our Support Center to watch video tutorials on how to use RotoQL
• rotoql.zendesk.com
Monitor daily fantasy news, strategy and advice articles at the QL Wire
• rotoql.com/qlwire
If you are new to DFS or just need a refresher on the fundamentals, visit RotoU
• rotoql.com/university
15

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NBA: Intro to Advanced NBA Strategy