Interaction of climate and wind power

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Ad

Interaction of Climate and wind
power
Robert Vautard, IPSL-LSCE
FM Bréon, A Colette, JG Devezeaux de Lavergne, P Ruti, F T...

Electricity production to be
decarbonized by 2050
IPCC WG3 2014

Questions
• How does climate change impact wind power
resources?
• Does wind power development have an
impact on regional ...

Global and regional modeling
Why?
• To provide higher-resolution climate projections for impact studies
• To better descri...

WP6 Task 2 : Impact of +2°C global warming on energy supply
(50-150 m)
H
10 m
Elliott, 1979
UH
U
X Nominal
Power
Wind spee...

Wind turbines in Europe in 2012
Source http://www.thewindpower.net
2012: 100 Gwatts, 80000
windmills
2020: x2 (C&E package...

Scénarios for 2020 and 2050
2020: Climate & Energy Package 2050: European Climate Foundation
80% renewables
230 GWatts 440...

Spatial distributions
Use of the CLIMIX approach for 2050 (Jerez et al., 2014, RSER), EMS2014-378 Talk by S Jerez
• Optimi...

Impact in RCP8.5
Changes in 10m wind
speed
Changes in wind power
potential production
 Changes in wind power potential wi...

WP6 Task 2 : Impact of +2°C global warming on energy supply
Results based on mandatory EUROCORDEX simulations RCP4.5 merge...

Energy production per technology
(+2°C and +3°C)
HYDRO WIND
SOLAR
THERMOELECTRIC
IMPACT2C results

Extreme events and climate
change?

Air pollution in december 2016

Persistent anticyclonic
conditions
Sea level Pressure anomaly

Methodology
• EVENT: Min Winter Monthly mean wind over
NW Europe < Dec2016
• Use an ensemble of climate projection for
– P...

Indicator:
Minimum Monthly Winter Wind
Over NW European land areas

Change in risks?
HadGEM3-A
15 Simuls
EUROCORDEX
11 Simuls
RACMO
11 Simuls
• Ensemble of simulations
• 1971-2010 vs 2001-20...

Impacts of WP on climate?
• No clear answer as yet
– Experiments with different models with different
parameterizations
• ...

Temperature effects in wind
warm areas
Zhou et al., 2013

Experiments with the WRF-
Turbine model
TKE
Power
Wind
Wind
Fitch et al., 2012
Adams and Keith, 2013 Online power generati...

Experiments
• 4 experiments:
• No wind farms, 2012, 2020 fleets
• WRF simulations forced by ERA-Interim 1980-
2012 (33 yea...

Comparaisons with electricity
network observations
IE
DKFR
DE
Data from operators, compiled from PF Bach

Impacts on temperature
Winter
Summer
Vautard et al., 2014, NCOMMS

Impact on the synoptic flow
(sea level pressure, winter)
Units: hPa

Precipitation, wind in winter
10m Wind (m/s) Precipitation (%)

Impact of regional WP
development on resource: Study
on Kansas (Miller et al., 2015)
• WRF simulations June-Sep 2001 force...

Simulations
Miller et al., 2015 PNAS

Saturation around 1 W/m2
Comparaison avec autres études, méthodes
Miller et al., 2015 PNAS

Climate
Change
C L I M 4 E N E R G Y : A c o - d e s i g n e d
a p p r o a c h t o d e v e l o p a p o r t f o l i o o f
p...

Conclusions
• Effects in general small but of large scale in
both cases
• Impact of CC to reduce WP
• Limitations for the ...

Share Slideshare

LinkedIn
Facebook
Twitter

Embed

Size (px)

Show related Slideshows at end

WordPress Shortcode

Link

Share
Email

2024 Trend Updates: What Really Wor... by Search Engine Jou... 1060498 views
Storytelling For The Web: Integrate... by Chiara Aliotta 978090 views
Artificial Intelligence, Data and C... by OECD Directorate ... 916989 views
How to Leverage AI to Boost Employe... by SocialHRCamp 389109 views
2024 State of Marketing Report – by... by Marius Sescu 220145 views
Everything You Need To Know About C... by Expeed Software 236739 views

View on Slideshare

1 of 30 Ad

View on Slideshare

1 of 30 Ad