Exploring the Effects of Medicaid During Childhood on the Economy a...

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Presentation to the Children’s Health Group,
American Academy of Pediatrics
December 13, 2023
Elizabeth Ash, William Carri...

1
This analysis examines the short-term and long-term fiscal effects of Medicaid spending on children.
▪ In the short term...

2
On a present-value basis, CBO estimates that long-term fiscal effects of Medicaid spending on
children could offset half...

3
To develop its model, CBO first formed a synthetic panel of children who would be affected by each
policy in the years f...

4
CBO projects children’s future earnings with and without proposed changes to Medicaid policy.
Baseline adult earnings fo...

5
CBO also projects the changes in capital income that would be induced by higher labor productivity.
▪ Higher earnings re...

6
Data source: Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang, Exploring the Effects of Medicaid Durin...

7
Data source: Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang, Exploring the Effects of Medicaid Durin...

8
Data source: Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang, Exploring the Effects of Medicaid Durin...

9
Data source: Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang, Exploring the Effects of Medicaid Durin...

10
Data source: Elizabeth Ash, William Carrington, Rebecca Heller, and Grace Hwang, Exploring the Effects of Medicaid Duri...

11
The preceding analysis incorporates the assumption that changes made in other areas of the budget
would, on net, leave ...

12
The information in this presentation is drawn from a more detailed analysis on the same subject.
For the full report, s...

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