WORLD EMPLOYMENT SOCIAL OUTLOOK

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TRENDS
2017
TRENDS
2017

TRENDS 2017
International Labour Office • Geneva
WORLD
EMPLOYMENT
SOCIAL
OUTLOOK

Copyright © International Labour Organization 2017
First published 2017
Publications of the International Labour Office en...

Acknowledgements iii
Acknowledgements
The World Employment and Social Outlook 2017 – Trends was prepared by the Labour Mar...

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Table of contents v
Table of contents
Acknowledgements iii
Executive summary 1
1. Global employment and social trends 5
Gl...

vi World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Boxes
1. What are the drivers of the global growth slowdown? 5
2. The...

Executive summary 1
Executive summary
Economic growth continues to disappoint and deficits in decent work remain widesprea...

2 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Unemployment levels in developing countries are also expected to incre...

Executive summary 3
increased between 2015 and 2016. In fact, between 2015 and 2016, eight out of 11 regions experi-
enced...

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1. Global employment and social trends 5
1 Global employment
and social trends
Global economic outlook is set to improve
b...

6 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
For developed countries, the outlook for economic growth is also expec...

1. Global employment and social trends 7
Box 2
The role of decent work in eradicating poverty
As detailed in last year’s W...

8 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Unequal labour market opportunities for women persist
Underlying these...

1. Global employment and social trends 9
Moreover, where there has been progress for women, it has not always kept pace wi...

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10 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Figure 1
Change in the social unrest index, 2015–16
1
2
–1
Arab
State...

1. Global employment and social trends 11
A comprehensive approach to address cyclical
and structural factors is needed to...

12 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Figure 3
Net unemployment impact of different scenarios, 2017 and 201...

2. Employment and social trends by region 15
2 Employment
and social trends
by region
Given the heterogeneity of labour ma...

16 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Table 3
Unemployment, vulnerable employment and working poverty trend...

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2. Employment and social trends by region 17
Figure 4
Gender and age decomposition of unemployment rates across regions
wi...

18 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
Diverging economic paths are seen across sub-Sahar...

2. Employment and social trends by region 19
5 million people in one year (table 3). While this increase will include thos...

20 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Table 4
Unemployment trends and projections, Northern America, 2007–1...

2. Employment and social trends by region 21
LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
In 2016, the region entered recession for the...

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22 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Arab States
Growth will remain relatively weak amid structural adjust...

2. Employment and social trends by region 23
Table 6
Unemployment, vulnerable employment and working poverty trends and pr...

24 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Asia and the Pacific
The Asia and the Pacific region continues to und...

2. Employment and social trends by region 25
Table 7
Unemployment, vulnerable employment and working poverty trends and pr...

26 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Figure 6
Vulnerable employment rates, by sex and region, 2016 (percen...

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2. Employment and social trends by region 27
Europe and Central Asia
NORTHERN, SOUTHERN AND WESTERN EUROPE
Factors support...

28 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
The slow healing of the labour market is partly a reflection of high ...

2. Employment and social trends by region 29
Figure 7
Involuntary temporary and part-time employment, 2015
50
100
75
25
0
...

30 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Table 9
Unemployment, employment and vulnerable employment trends and...

Appendix A. Regional, country and income groupings 33
Appendix A. Regional, country and income groupings
Africa
Northern ...

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34 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Developed countries
(high income)
Andorra
Antigua and Barbuda
Argenti...

Appendix B. Labour market estimates, projections and scenarios 35
Appendix B. Labour market estimates, projections and sc...

36 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
value added shares of the three broad sectors in GDP, per capita GDP ...

Appendix B. Labour market estimates, projections and scenarios 37
are utilized. The main component that changes across th...

38 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Table B1
Global unemployment projections: Differences between the TEM...

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Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO region 39
Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO r...

40 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Table C2
Vulnerable employment rate and total vulnerable employment: ...

Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO region 41
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Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO region 43
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Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO region 45
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Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO region 47
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Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO region 49
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Appendix C. Labour market and social statistics by ILO region 51
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Bibliography 55
Bibliography
Baker, S.; Bloom, N.; Davis, S. 2013. Measuring economic policy uncertainty. Working Paper
21...

56 World Employment and Social Outlook – Trends 2017
Shimer, R. 2012. “Reassessing the ins and outs of unemployment”, in R...

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