Pantropical Fire Projections

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Pantropical Fire Projections
September 2019

Objetive
- Estimation of pantropical future change fires based on CMIP5 data and considering only linear
control of climat...

Methods
● Fit an empirical linear model to obtain burned area vs climate driver relationship
● Empirical model is obtained...

Data
- Empirical Linear Control:
- CRU Gridded Data (0.5deg), 1979-2017
- Variables: temperature, precipitation and scPDSI...

Temperature Changes

CMIP5 Temperature Change
Probabilities (%) for for
different threshold intervals
Probabilities estimated as number
of mode...

CMIP5 Temperature Change
Probabilities (%) for for
different threshold intervals
Probabilities estimated as number
of mode...

CMIP5 Temperature Change
Probabilities (%) for for
different threshold intervals
Probabilities estimated as number
of mode...

CMIP5 Temperature Change
Probabilities (%) for for
different threshold intervals
Probabilities estimated as number
of mode...

CMIP5 Temperature Change
Probabilities (%) for for
different threshold intervals
Probabilities estimated as number
of mode...

CMIP5 Temperature Change
Probabilities (%) for for
different threshold intervals
Probabilities estimated as number
of mode...

Precipitation Changes

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed a % of rate between sce...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed a % of rate between sce...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed a % of rate between sce...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed a % of rate between sce...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed a % of rate between sce...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed a % of rate between sce...

Burned Area Changes

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Probabilities estimated as number of model projecting changing for each intervals.
Change computed as difference between s...

Pantropical Fire Projections

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