Online conversation as foresight

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V O I C E S F R O M T H E E D G E
S P O T T H E F U T U R E : O N L I N E C O N V E R S A T I O N A S F O R E S I G H T
A ...

Let me start by apologising for my informal style of dressing today. I am on a motorcycling trip, which coincidentally was...

• F O R E S I G H T I N S T F
• H O W I T H E L P S D E V E L O P M E N T
• H O W W E D I D I T
• E A R LY R E S U LT S
I ...

F O C U S O N N O V E LT Y
So what is foresight in the context of STF? First, it focuses on novelty. Notice that predictio...

C H A N G E S TA R T S AT T H E E D G E
S P O T T H E F U T U R E
Photo: Alastair Montgomery
Secondly, STF-style foresight...

N E W P E O P L E , N E W W O R L D S
Photo: Medhin Paolos
Thirdly, to understand novelty it is not enough to look at arte...

N O W C A S T I N G
So, what kind of foresight are we looking at here? It is a bit like weather forecasting. We look at th...

D E V E L O P M E N T A S S U R F I N G
Photo: Mandolin
This turns out to be actionable information for development practi...

T R AV E R S I N G T H E S O C I A L G R A P H
Ok, so this is why we do STF the way we do. But how do we do it? How do we ...

C O M M U N I T Y A S C O L L AT E R A L
Photo: Sam Muirhead
How to take advantage of that? Here a characteristic of Edger...

So, in order to kickstart a conversation on something, we open a discussion about it on the online platform that serves as...

T H E T E L E G R A P H M O D E L
What if people are not online? Never fear. The global graph reaches out to people not on...

E V E RY O N E C A N L E A R N
You can be inclusive AND demand much from participants by assuming participants are as smar...

D I V E R S I T Y, D I V E R S I T Y, D I V E R S I T Y
You have the incentive to do that, because diversity is the engine...

Photo: marsmet481
Essentially, foresight in STF is propelled by people who are not on our payroll, and will only participa...

Photo: Medhin Paolos
Photo: Medhin Paolos
So, this is how we connect experiences from people at the edge of change. The ne...

We also augment ethnographic (qualitative) data analysis with quantitative data. For example, we do network analysis of th...

E M E R G I N G G R O U P S O F S P E C I A L I S T S
Here’s another example, currently being prototype. I have no time to...

T R U S T T H E P E O P L E
Everything we do at Edgeryders is based on collective intelligence. The idea is that the crowd...

R E S U LT S ?
So this is what we do. Great, but does it work?
We believe it does. Spot The Future is not finished yet, bu...

N E W A L L I E S
STF happened in three sample countries: Armenia, Egypt, Georgia. At the start of the project, none of th...

T H E L I T E R A L LY W I K I C I T Y ?
The people in this picture are from a neighbourhood in Cairo, Egypt, called Al Mu...

1 2 8 P E O P L E

1 6 1 P O S T S / W I K I S

9 1 0 C O M M E N T S

3 8 4 I N T E R A C T I O N S

A N D C O U N T I N G …

There as been a significant “meeting of minds”, an exchange between the mostly Western European original Edgeryders commun...

C O L L A B O R AT I N G O N C O L L A B O R AT I N G
There is a clear cross-country thread: everybody seems to perceive t...

C O N N E C T I N G T H R E A D S
There are surprisingly many trends that connect the three countries – and, one suspects,...

A T H I R S T F O R A C T I O N
Foresight done the Edgeryders way seems to be biased towards action. People are happy to t...

– G A Z B I A S O R O U R , U N D P E G Y P T
“Don't lose interest, don't lose trust in yourself and others,
and don't wai...

S E E Y O U ?
In less than two weeks we will make the last-but-one step in STF, that involves a small conference in Tbilis...

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