30 years of BGP, presented at NANOG 93 by Geoff Huston

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30 years of BGP
Geoff Huston, APNIC

Why?
• There are very few ways to see all of the Internet, all at once
• Routing is one of the few technologies that attem...

1995 to 2005 – the Internet
Consumer Boom!

1995 to 2005 – the Internet
Consumer Boom!
The Boom and
Bust of 2001
Resumption of
exponential
growth

2005 to 2015 – Peak IPv4

2005 to 2015 – Peak IPv4
RIRs exhaust their IPv4 pools

Up to 2025 – Post Peak IPv4

Up to 2025 – Post Peak IPv4
IPv4 growth model abruptly stops

Meanwhile - IPv6

Meanwhile - IPv6
Growth model abruptly changes
(at the same time as IPv4)

Where is this heading?
IPv6
2032
400K Routes
550K Routes

Where is this heading?
1.5M Routes
950K Routes
IPv4
2032

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