The State of Erie County and the City of Sandusky

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Greater Sandusky Partnership
Fall Symposium
October 13, 2022
The State of Erie County
and the City of Sandusky
RUSSELL W. ...

Overview of the Data in Today’s Presentation
• Most of the information in today’s presentation comes from the
following pu...

National
Indicators

Recovery from the COVID-19 Pandemic
152,523
130,161
137,840
144,694
153,018
125,000
130,000
135,000
140,000
145,000
150,00...

Record Low Unemployment
8.0
5.1
3.5
14.7
6.7
3.5
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
Sep-12
Dec-12
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-1...

Declining Labor Force Participation Rate
66.4 66.1
65.2
63.8 63.4
60.2
62.3
60.0
61.0
62.0
63.0
64.0
65.0
66.0
67.0
Sep-06...

Tight Labor Market
0.8
1.2
5.0
1.6
1.1
0.7 0.5 0.6
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-2...

Birth Rates Have Declined Since 2008
1960, 3.65
1976, 1.74
2007, 2.12
2020, 1.64
2021, 1.66
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
...

Immigration to the U.S. Has Fallen Sharply
1,266,129
1,183,505
1,096,611
707,362
675,000
775,000
875,000
975,000
1,075,000...

Migration within the U.S. Has Slowed
15.4
13.3
11.2
10.6
8.2
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
15.0
16.0
2000 2001 2002 200...

Migration within the U.S. Has Slowed
6.4
5.3
3.5
3.8
3.3
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2...

Indicators for
Erie County
and the City
of Sandusky

Erie County Population Change and Demographics
Sources: 1. U.S. Census 2010 and 2020; 2. Metopio 3. American Community Sur...

City of Sandusky Population Change and Demographics
Sources: 1. U.S. Census 2010 and 2020; 2. Metopio 3. American Communit...

Erie County-Age of Population
3. American Community Survey (2016-2020) 4. JobsEQ

City of Sandusky-Age of Population
3. American Community Survey (2016-2020) 4. JobsEQ

Race and Ethnicity
Erie County City of Sandusky
3. American Community Survey (2016-2020) 4. JobsEQ

Educational Attainment
2. Metopio 3. American Community Survey (2016-2020)
Erie County City of Sandusky

Workforce
2. Metopio 3. American Community Survey (2016-2020)
Erie County City of Sandusky

Mobility
2. Metopio 3. American Community Survey (2016-2020)
Erie County City of Sandusky

Erie County Commuting Patterns
2. Metopio 4. JobsEQ 6. Census LODES

City of Sandusky Commuting Patterns
2. Metopio 4. JobsEQ 6. Census LODES

Income and Poverty
Erie County City of Sandusky
1. U.S. Census 2010 and 2020; 2. Metopio 3. American Community Survey (201...

Erie County-Largest Industries
4. JobsEQ 5. Lightcast

City of Sandusky-Largest Industries
4. JobsEQ 5. Lightcast

Northwest
Ohio
Regional
Indicators

NW Ohio Population Change by County (2010-2020)
U.S. Census 2010 and 2020
TOP COUNTIES WITH
POPULATION GAINS
1. Delaware (...

NW Ohio Unemployment Rate (August 2022)
Ohio LMI
COUNTIES WITH LOWEST
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
1. Mercer County (2.80%)
2. Putnam...

NW Ohio Unemployed Workers (August 2022)
Ohio LMI
COUNTIES WITH FEWEST
AVAILABLE WORKERS
1. Paulding (300)
2. Wyandot (400...

NW Ohio Job Change (2017-2021)
Source: Lightcast
Counties with Job Gains
1. Madison (505; 2.89%)
2. Ashland (293; 1.58%)
3...

Benchmarking
to Peer
Communities

Selecting the Peer Communities
• CRD worked with the Greater Sandusky Partnership to develop a list of peer
communities to...

Peer Community #1: Traverse City, MI/Grand
Traverse County
• City Population (2020): 15,678
• County Population (2020): 95...

Peer Community #2: Muskegon, MI/Muskegon
County, MI
• City Population (2020): 37,552
• County Population (2020): 175,824
S...

Peer Community #3: Michigan City, IN/LaPorte
County, IN
• City Population (2020): 32,075
• County Population (2020): 112,4...

Peer Community #4: Fond du Lac, WI/Fond du Lac
County, WI
• City Population (2020): 44,678
• County Population (2020): 104...

County Benchmarking: Population Change (2010-
2020)
-1.89%
9.49%
2.11%
0.85%
2.48%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8...

City Benchmarking: Population Change (2010-
2020)
-2.71%
6.84%
-0.22%
1.89%
3.85%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8....

County Benchmarking: Net Domestic Migration (2020)
-233
629
51
-362
-290
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
Erie County, OH ...

County Benchmarking: Net Domestic Migration Rate
(2020)
-3.20%
6.70%
0.30%
-3.30% -2.80%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6...

County Benchmarking: Median Age
44.9
43.0
39.3
40.3
41.7
36.0
37.0
38.0
39.0
40.0
41.0
42.0
43.0
44.0
45.0
46.0
Erie Count...

City Benchmarking: Median Age
37.9
40.1
34.9
36.1 37.4
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
Sandusky, OH Traver...

County Benchmarking: Educational Attainment
11.80% 11.70%
13.20%
10.20%
13.70%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%...

City Benchmarking: Educational Attainment
9.40%
13.20%
11.20%
10.30%
14.40%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14...

County Benchmarking: Educational Attainment
17.40%
24.80%
14.30%
13.90%
17.70%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30....

City Benchmarking: Educational Attainment
12.40%
30.10%
9.80%
10.90%
17.90%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%...

County Benchmarking: Foreign Born Population
1.90%
2.40%
2.00%
3.40% 3.30%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%...

City Benchmarking: Foreign Born Population
1.70%
3.40% 3.30%
3.10%
4.90%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
Sandusky, OH ...

County Benchmarking: Daily Net Commuters
549
7,728
-17,396
-8,379
-3,804
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
Eri...

City Benchmarking: Daily Net Commuters
-726
17,796
8,613
3,971
8,865
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Sandusky, OH Trav...

County Benchmarking: Median Household Income
$58,408
$66,457
$53,478
$57,010
$64,147
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$5...

City Benchmarking: Median Household Income
$41,082
$61,056
$35,323
$44,930
$54,587
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,...

County Benchmarking: 10-Year Employment Change
-3.02%
7.73%
2.29%
-5.85%
2.54%
-8.00%
-6.00%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.0...

City Benchmarking: 10-Year Employment Change
-12.27%
16.29%
10.97%
-11.31%
9.98%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%...

County Benchmarking: 10-Year Manufacturing
Employment Change
0.20%
13.60%
14.90%
-2.10%
17.10%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
1...

City Benchmarking: 10-Year Manufacturing
Employment Change
-1.00%
-15.30%
6.00%
-7.90%
37.70%
-20.00%
-10.00%
0.00%
10.00%...

County Benchmarking: 10-Year GDP Change
13.80%
48.02%
21.72%
28.75%
45.47%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%...

County Benchmarking: 10-Year Manufacturing GDP
Change
-16.79%
29.48%
15.25%
22.89%
76.55%
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40....

Concluding Thoughts-Surprises
• The decline in manufacturing GDP of 16.79% over the past 10-years along with
a decline of ...

Concluding Thoughts-Recommendations
• The region’s high median age and low level of net migration suggest population
chall...

Appendix

Job Openings Dropped Drastically in August
7,161
4,709
6,844
9,265
11,094
11,448
11,855
10,053
1,000
3,000
5,000
7,000
9,0...

Ohio Job Openings
256
190
244
322
391
420
401
388
431 447
438
175
225
275
325
375
425
475
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-...

Job Openings by Industry
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS Seasonally Adjusted
35
193
205
271
318
325
407
477
510
524...

Change in Job Openings by Industry
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS Seasonally Adjusted
-374
-297
-166
-64
-43
-20
-...

Gap Between Openings and Hiring by Industry
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS Seasonally Adjusted
-5
-8
-29
-34
-54
-...

Quits Remain High But Are Slowing
3,578
2,038
3,258
4,015
4,510
4,258
4,449
4,158
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,00...

High Quits Rate, but Slowing
2.4
1.6
2.1
2.3
2.8
3.0
2.8
2.9
2.7
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.1
2.3
2.5
2.7
2.9
3.1
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
...

Ohio Quits
130
80
129
125
146 144
144
170
153
145
125
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
J...

Quits by Industry
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS Seasonally Adjusted
13
57
88
94
124
152
157
160
208
221
229
538
5...

Quits by Industry, YoY Change
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS Seasonally Adjusted
-109
-63
-51
-47
-2
3
3
6
7
20
29...

Layoffs and Discharges Remain Low, But Are Trending Up
1,821
13,026
9,191
2,097
1,384 1,262 1,416
1,460
1,000
3,000
5,000
...

Flat Levels of Hiring
6,005
4,031
8,145
5,660
6,414
6,705
6,450
6,832
6,645
6,277
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,00...

Hiring by Industry
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS Seasonally Adjusted
27
111
139
171
194
225
258
266
345
373
398
7...

Hiring by Industry, YoY Change
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) JOLTS Seasonally Adjusted
-122
-73
-30
-16
-8
-7
-3
0
2
6
...

Change in Wages by Industry
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Current Employment Statistics (CES) Seasonally Adjusted
2.18%...

Wages Continue to Rise
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
3.3
3
4.5
6
6.7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-2...

At a Faster Rate for Those Who Switch Jobs…
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
3.8
3.5
3
4.5
6 6.7
4.7
3.7 3.4
5.3
7.2
8.4
0
...

Thank Those Who Stay in Their Jobs
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
3.8
3.5
3
4.5
6
6.7
6.7
4.7
3.7 3.4
5.3
7.2
7.9 8.4
3.2...

Record Corporate Profits Allow Wage Growth
FRED-Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2,003
2,395
2,405
1,943
2,428
3,048
1,80...

High Levels of New Business Starts
297,586
282,802
234,838
552,748
347,651
495,621
448,197
423,153
421,503
225,000
275,000...

And High Levels of Self-Employment
BLS Current Population Survey, Seasonally Adjusted
9,499
8,239
9,106
9,473
9,672
10,263...

Erie County-Industry Cluster Analysis
Source: Chmura JobsEQ

City of Sandusky-Industry Cluster Analysis
Source: Chmura JobsEQ

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