14 - IDNOG03 - George Michaelson (APNIC) - IPV6-in-2016-IDNOG

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Issue Date:
Revision:
A review of current
worldwide IPv6 deployment
(IDNOG edition)
George Michaelson
ggm@apnic.net

IPv6 capability, worldwide (weighted)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
%IPv6Capable

6.5%? Google says 10+?
• APNIC applies a weighting function to sum the
measurements,
– based on ITU internet population da...

IPv6 capability, worldwide (weighted)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
%IPv6Capable

C
C
IPv6 % C
C
IPv6 % C
C
IPv6 % C
C
IPv6 % C
C
IPv6 % C
C
IPv6 %
BE 53.35% CH 29.49% US 29.02% DE 28.44% PT 28.33% GR 26....

Emerging problem in AP region
• Few economies in the AP region are above world-grade
IPv6 capability (green)
• Of the econ...

Two kinds of Internet?
• IPv4 and IPv6 can’t directly inter-operate as protocols
– You can tunnel, and you can gateway but...

It looks like it on macro scale
• There are signs that at a high-level view, the economies
investing in IPv6 are now diver...

IPv6 capability, worldwide (weighted)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
%IPv6Capable

Higher IPv6 capability in Asia-Pacific
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable
JP
AU
MY
SG

SK Telecom (Korea)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable

TMNET (Malaysia)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable

Softbank-BB, KDDI (Japan)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable
17676
2516

StarHub, StarHub CableVision
(Singapore)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable
55430
10091

Telstra, Internode, Australia
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable
1221
4739

High IPv6 capability, selected
economies Worldwide
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable
US
GB
DE
BE
EC
BR

Top 10 by sample, US
ASN AS Name IPv6
Capable
IPv6
Preferred
#
Samples
AS7922 Comcast Cable Communications 61.75% 57.28% 1...

Top 10 by Sample, BE
ASN AS Name IPv6
Capable
IPv6
Preferred
#
Samples
AS5432 BELGACOM-SKYNET Proximus 44.06% 42.09% 95802...

Top 10 by Samples, GB
ASN AS Name IPv6
Capable
IPv6
Preferre
d
#
Samples
AS5607 Sky UK Limited 51.06% 49.36% 798472
AS5089...

Top 10 by Samples, DE
ASN AS Name IPv6
Capable
IPv6
Preferred
#
Samples
AS3320 DTAG Deutsche Telekom AG 50.24% 48.39% 2566...

Top 10 by Samples BR
ASN AS Name IPv6
Capable
IPv6
Preferre
d
#
Samples
AS28573 CLARO S.A. 22.60% 20.60% 1354868
AS18881 G...

Top 10 by Samples, EC
ASN AS Name IPv6
Capable
IPv6
Preferre
d
#
Samples
AS14420 CNT EP 45.13% 43.66% 1582536
AS14522 Satn...

Comcast, AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
%IPv6Capable
7922
22394
7018
21928

What about Indonesia?

About Indonesia
260,725,546 people
74,306,780 users
28% penetration
1,049 ASes
861.70B GDP
IPv4 747 in BGP
17,876,480 addr...

IPv6 capable, Indonesia
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
%IPv6Capable

Top 10 IPv6 Samples Indonesia
ASN AS Name IPv6
Capable
IPv6
Preferred
#
Samples
AS17974 TELKOMNET-AS2-AP PT Telekomunikasi...

Top 20 IPv6 Capable, by Sample count
ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable IPv6 Preferred Samples
AS17451 BIZNET-AS-AP BIZNET NETWORKS ...

IPv6 Capable ASNs IndoSAT
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
%IPv6Capable
AS4795
AS4761

IndoSAT! So near and yet..
• Looks like a pair of AS running the network
– Different Peerings Domestic & International
• L...

So: is this an address distribution
problem?

No! This mostly isn’t a distribution
problem
• Lets look at some history
– Growth in distinct INR holders by economy over ...

IPv4 by economy by holder, world

IPv4 by economy by holder, S E Asia
Forms
A group

IPv6 by economy by holder S E Asia
below
average

Things are better in IPv6

What kinds of deployment are
working worldwide?
• Drill down into the APNIC data, by ASN and Economy
• Within the ASN or E...

IPv6 by Device: AU

AS1221

IPv6 by Device, US

AS7018

AS21928

AS22394

IPv6 by Device: BE

AS5432

AS12392

And you guys

Indonesia overall

IndoSAT (Cellular?)

IndoSAT (Cable/Commercials?)

Observations
• Successful deployments now exist worldwide in
commercial, large-scale networks
• Cable networks
– True dual...

Observations
• There is unlikely to be a significant avoidance of
cost by delaying IPv6 deployment
– You have to buy and d...

Observations
• This is not primarily a resource distribution problem
• This is very probably a capital investment problem....

Questions!

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