African animal agriculture: Grasping opportunities as a great lives...

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African animal agriculture:
Grasping opportunities as a great
livestock transition gets under way
6th All Africa Confer...

Key messages
• Fast-rising demand in Africa for more milk, meat and eggs
is driving great changes in the continent’s liv...

Rising demand for
meat, milk and eggs
is a global
phenomenon . . .
. . . but demand is greatest in
South Asia and Sub...

In 2012, cattle meat and milk were 2 of the top 4
highest value agricultural commodities in Africa

Huge increases over 2005/7 amounts
of cereals, dairy and meat will be needed by 2050
From 2bn−3bn
tonnes cereals each y...

In terms of meat, milk and eggs,
developing countries are where all the action is

Gains in meat consumption in developing
countries are outpacing those of developed
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1980 ...

To 2050, demand for meat & dairy in SS Africa &
South Asia outstrips that for cereals & roots/tubers

Change in global and regional demand for food:
Livestock and other commodities
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
-50 ...

In the next 35 years,
production of milk,
poultry meat & eggs
and ruminant meat will
skyrocket in
Africa/Middle East

% increase in production of livestock products:
2000–2050
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Raw milk Monogastric...

What’s special about
African smallholder livestock food production?
• 90% of animal products are
produced and consumed ...

What’s special about
African mixed crop-livestock production systems?
• Mixed systems are a big
source of ruminant meat...

What’s special about
African smallholder livestock keepers?
East Africa
• 1 million Kenyan small-holders
keep Africa’s...

Demand for livestock commodities will be met –
the only question is how
Scenario #1
Africa meets
livestock demand by
...

Scenario #1: Bad news for Africa’s economies,
employment and small-scale livestock livelihoods
Downsides of importing mi...

Scenario #2: Bad news for Africa’s equity gaps,
environments and national economies
Downsides of meeting the rising dema...

Scenario #3: The opportunity is now!
Upsides of using the transition period for transformation:
• The coming livestock t...

AACAA’s 5 themes will shape this livestock transition
The five themes that are the focus
of this year’s AACAA will shape...

African smallholder livestock farming

African pastoral herding

Africa livestock marketing

Livestock futures for Africa’s youth

Capacity in African animal agriculture

Key messages
• Fast-rising demand in Africa for more milk, meat and eggs
is driving great changes in the continent’s liv...

Thank you!

Livestock-based options for
economic well-being in Africa
AACAA side event  Tuesday 28 October  14:30−18:00
followed ...

better lives through livestock
ilri.org
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