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Potential guidance on NDC features
_____
Luca Lo Re, CCXG/IEA
Based on “Draft discussion document: Insights for designing mitigation elements
in the next round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)”, by S. Jeudy-
Hugo, L. Lo Re, C. Pouille, and S. Errendal (2024, draft)
Session A6: Exploring potential guidance on NDC features
OECD-IEA CCXG Global Forum | Date: 04.04.2024
• Background on negotiations around guidance on NDC features
• Open overarching questions
• Potential guidance on new elements that have emerged since the Paris Agreement
• Potential guidance on improving existing elements
• Conclusions
Outline
Background on negotiations around guidance on NDC features
• Requested the APA
to “develop further
guidance on
features of” NDCs
for consideration
and adoption by
the CMA at its first
session
Mandate –
Decision 1/CP.21
• The APA held six
informal consultations in
2016
• Parties could not reach
consensus
APA
• Parties to continue
consideration of
further guidance
on “features of
NDCs” in 2024
Mandate –
CMA.1
Negotiations to
resume at CMA6 in
2024
Open overarching questions
How do Parties define “features” of NDCs?
What is the purpose of further guidance on NDC features?
How can the timeline of features of NDCs impact the next round of NDCs?
What are the relationship to and potential overlaps with other relevant negotiation
processes?
Potential guidance on new elements that have emerged since
the Paris Agreement
Encourage alignment of NDCs with LT-LEDS
Develop guidance for NDC “conditionality”
Response to specific calls of the GST1 outcomes
Encourage separation of reduction and removal
targets
Frequency of updates of NDCs
High
Priority
Medium
Medium
High
Low
Potential overlaps
ICTU
ICTU
ICTU
ICTU
N/A
Potential guidance on improving existing elements
Voluntary co-operation through Article 6
Use of common IPCC metrics for NDC
assumptions and methodological approaches
Encourage wider uptake of absolute NDC targets
Practical guidance for setting economy-wide, all-
GHG targets
Medium
Priority
High
Medium
Medium
Potential overlaps
ICTU, Article 6
Updates of common
metric values (2028)
N/A
N/A
• Upcoming negotiations on NDC features present an opportunity to refine the framework for
development of NDCs to reflect:
• the evolving context since the adoption of the Paris Agreement; and
• lessons learned from the development and implementation of NDCs.
• While timelines may limit any immediate influence from CMA.6 on the next round of
NDCs, further guidance on NDC features could be beneficial in the long term.
• Important to respect the nationally determined character of NDCs, and to understand
interlinkages with negotiation streams.
Conclusions
THANK YOU!
http://oe.cd/ccxg
sirini.jeudy-hugo@oecd.org
luca.lore@iea.org

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CCXG global forum, April 2024, Luca Lo Re

  • 1. Potential guidance on NDC features _____ Luca Lo Re, CCXG/IEA Based on “Draft discussion document: Insights for designing mitigation elements in the next round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)”, by S. Jeudy- Hugo, L. Lo Re, C. Pouille, and S. Errendal (2024, draft) Session A6: Exploring potential guidance on NDC features OECD-IEA CCXG Global Forum | Date: 04.04.2024
  • 2. • Background on negotiations around guidance on NDC features • Open overarching questions • Potential guidance on new elements that have emerged since the Paris Agreement • Potential guidance on improving existing elements • Conclusions Outline
  • 3. Background on negotiations around guidance on NDC features • Requested the APA to “develop further guidance on features of” NDCs for consideration and adoption by the CMA at its first session Mandate – Decision 1/CP.21 • The APA held six informal consultations in 2016 • Parties could not reach consensus APA • Parties to continue consideration of further guidance on “features of NDCs” in 2024 Mandate – CMA.1 Negotiations to resume at CMA6 in 2024
  • 4. Open overarching questions How do Parties define “features” of NDCs? What is the purpose of further guidance on NDC features? How can the timeline of features of NDCs impact the next round of NDCs? What are the relationship to and potential overlaps with other relevant negotiation processes?
  • 5. Potential guidance on new elements that have emerged since the Paris Agreement Encourage alignment of NDCs with LT-LEDS Develop guidance for NDC “conditionality” Response to specific calls of the GST1 outcomes Encourage separation of reduction and removal targets Frequency of updates of NDCs High Priority Medium Medium High Low Potential overlaps ICTU ICTU ICTU ICTU N/A
  • 6. Potential guidance on improving existing elements Voluntary co-operation through Article 6 Use of common IPCC metrics for NDC assumptions and methodological approaches Encourage wider uptake of absolute NDC targets Practical guidance for setting economy-wide, all- GHG targets Medium Priority High Medium Medium Potential overlaps ICTU, Article 6 Updates of common metric values (2028) N/A N/A
  • 7. • Upcoming negotiations on NDC features present an opportunity to refine the framework for development of NDCs to reflect: • the evolving context since the adoption of the Paris Agreement; and • lessons learned from the development and implementation of NDCs. • While timelines may limit any immediate influence from CMA.6 on the next round of NDCs, further guidance on NDC features could be beneficial in the long term. • Important to respect the nationally determined character of NDCs, and to understand interlinkages with negotiation streams. Conclusions