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How Online Advertising Works: Whither the Click in Europe?

A U.K. & European Perspective on the Latent Impact of
Display Advertising

FEBRUARY 2010




Gian M. Fulgoni
Executive Chairman
comScore, Inc.

Marie Pauline Mörn
Director, Product Management
comScore, Inc.

Mike Shaw
Director, Marketing Solutions
comScore, Inc.
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




How Online Advertising Works: Whither the Click in Europe?

BACKGROUND

In today’s economically challenging times, some advertisers and their agencies are seeking immediate
returns, moving their campaign dollars from CPM campaigns that require payment based on the number
of delivered ad impressions to CPC programs where payment is based on the number of clicks on an ad.
However, the increasing sophistication of online audiences has led fewer and fewer consumers to click on
ads, to the extent that DoubleClick reported in its 2008 Year-in-Review benchmark report that the
average click-through rates across its image, flash, and rich media campaigns had fallen to just 0.08% in
the United Kingdom and 0.1% in the U.S.


Are low click rates evidence that display ad campaigns have not had any impact on consumer
behavior? Or, does online display advertising work in a similar way to traditional offline
advertising with multiple exposures over time being needed to effect a change in consumer
behavior?


A significant challenge in accurately determining answers to these questions is the phenomenon of
cookie deletion, which has rendered inaccurate much of the cookie-based research conducted to date
regarding the effectiveness of online advertising. Cookies are small pieces of code inserted into the
browser of the computer of the user whose behavior is being examined – in an attempt to uniquely
identify the computer and thereby track its activity over time. While this is a conceptually appealing
approach, research conducted by comScore and others has shown that the prevalence of anti-spyware
software (now built into most browsers) allows Internet users to very easily delete their cookies as they
                                                                                     1
see fit. In fact, a recent comScore white paper published in September 2009 , showed that 24% of U.K.
Internet users delete their first party cookies in a given month and do so an average of 3 times per
deleter. Third party cookies such as those used by ad servers are deleted by 33% of Internet users, who
do so an average of almost 7 times per month. Because of cookie deletion, any attempt to track computer
users over time using cookies will be subject to substantial error levels as the cookies are deleted, and
this will typically understate the impact of the advertising being measured.


This paper reports the results of comScore research into online advertising effectiveness based on the
use of comScore’s proprietary panel of 2 million Internet users, of which over 400,000 are resident in
Europe. Instead of relying upon cookies to track behavior, comScore has obtained explicit permission
from its panelists to install comScore’s patented monitoring software on their computers, thereby enabling


1
 http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2009/10/comScore_Submits_Proposal_to_ABCe_in_U.K._for_a_new_P
erson-Centric_Measure_for_Web_Site_Server_Measurement




                                                                                                                  PAGE 2
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




comScore to accurately measure the full range of panelists’ Internet activities over time. The results
presented in this paper will show the manner in which online display ads work in affecting European
consumer behavior, revealing that there are indeed latency effects and branding effects even when click
rates on the ads themselves are minimal. The results observed in Europe will also be compared to those
                                                                                                                                   2
from comScore’s seminal November 2008 U.S. study How Online Advertising Works: Whither the Click ,
which demonstrated the importance of looking beyond ad clicks when assessing the effectiveness of
online display ad campaigns. “Whither the Click?” was subsequently published in the June 2009 issue of
The Journal of Advertising Research as one of “21 Watertight Laws for Intelligent Advertising Decisions”.



THE U.K. ONLINE DISPLAY ADVERTISING ENVIRONMENT

The 2009 IAB Online Adspend report shows that online ad spending in the U.K. during the first half of
2009 actually surpassed that of TV for the first time, with online representing 23% of all media spending.
With the BBC devoid of advertising and accounting for roughly 30% of all TV viewing in the U.K., perhaps
it is not surprising that the U.K is the first major economy in which online ad spend has exceeded that of
TV. The IAB also reports that Internet advertising was the only U.K. advertising medium to exhibit growth
in H1 2009.


As can be seen below, search dominates online advertising in both the U.K. and in the U.S. Interestingly,
display advertising spending (encompassing banners, rich media and video) comprises only 18% of
online ad revenue in the U.K., compared with a much higher share of 34% in the U.S. The large disparity
in these share numbers has two important implications: first, it suggests that there is still tremendous
room for growth in display advertising in the U.K., both in absolute terms and as a percentage of total
spend; and second, that a brand which advertises online using display ads in the U.K. will likely benefit
from a higher share of display voice because it does not face as much pressure from competitive display
advertising in the U.K. compared to the U.S.
                      Figure 1: Share of Online Advertising Revenues for H1 2009

                                               U.K.                             U.S.
                          Display,                                Display,
                            18%                                    34%

                                                        Search,                                    Search,
                                                         63%                                        47%
                        Email, 0.1%
                                                             Lead Gen,
                                                                7%

                                Classifieds,                      Email, 1%   Classifieds,
                                   19%                                           10%

Source: IAB Online Adspend Study, First Half 2009


2
    http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2008/11/Value_of_Online_Advertising




                                                                                                                           PAGE 3
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




Click-through rates (CTR) in the U.K. and a variety of other countries, including the U.S., are very low.
However, as will be shown in this paper low CTR are not in themselves a negative indication of the quality
of the advertising or of the audience: rather, Doubleclick’s 2008 Year-in-Review benchmarks indicate that
individual countries’ CTR are inversely correlated to the relative online sophistication of their audiences:
mature markets with high broadband penetration in Western Europe and the Americas consistently have
very low average click-through rates, while the highest click-through rates can be found in emerging
markets in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. It can be hypothesized that the novelty of clicking on an ad
wears off as Internet users gain experience. But, does this mean that the advertising is not effective? We
will show that this is clearly not the case.


                                  Figure 2: Worldwide Click-Through Rates

                                    Norway                  0.07%
                                     Ireland                 0.08%
                               Luxembourg                    0.08%
                           United Kingdom                    0.08%
                                    Finland                    0.09%
                                   Australia                    0.10%
                                    Canada                      0.10%
                                   Sweden                       0.10%
                              United States                     0.10%
                                   Hungary                        0.11%
                                Switzerland                       0.11%
                                  Denmark                          0.12%
                                     France                        0.12%
                                         Italy                     0.12%
                                  Germany                            0.13%
                              New Zealand                             0.14%
                                      Spain                           0.14%
                                     Turkey                           0.14%
                                     Austria                            0.15%
                               Netherlands                               0.16%
                                   Belgium                                 0.17%
                                       China                                 0.18%
                                    Greece                                   0.18%
                                        India                                   0.20%
                                 Singapore                                      0.20%
                                Hong Kong                                        0.21%
                      United Arab Emirates                                                 0.26%
                                   Malaysia                                                    0.29%

Click-through rates across Static Image, Flash, and Rich Media formats
Source: DoubleClick DART for Advertisers, a cross section of regions, January – December 2008




                                                                                                                          PAGE 4
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




It is also important to note that when considering rich media units, not every click or interaction may
provide a click-through: a click on the ad may expand the unit, play a video, or may even result in
“conversion activity” within the ad unit itself. These interactive rich media ad units will certainly only
become more common in regions with high broadband penetration, which are also the same regions
where click-through rates are already low.



SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

Results from a series of early ad effectiveness studies conducted by comScore primarily in the U.K. but
also including a handful of studies conducted in several other countries in Western Europe (namely
France, Germany and Spain) show that display advertising, despite a lack of clicks, can have a significant
positive impact on consumer behavior.        The following results were observed when comparing the
behavior of Internet users exposed to display ads with that of a comparable set of users who did not see
the ads:

       Visitation to the advertiser’s web site rose by 72% on average

       Likelihood of consumers conducting a trademark search query using the advertiser’s branded terms
       increased by 94% on average

Compared to the effects of display advertising using the same metrics in the U.S. (49% lift in site visitation
and 40% lift in the number of trademark search queries), the aggregation of European studies shows
consistently higher lifts. A comparison of the U.K. and U.S. Internet markets suggests that a number of
factors could be driving the higher ad response in the U.K. These include
    1) Less online ad clutter in the U.K.
    2) Greater likelihood to conduct a search query in the U.K.
    3) U.K. audiences are more receptive than their American counterparts to branding messages
           presented online
    4) As has been controversially suggested by some, online advertising creative in Europe may be
           superior to that in the U.S.



THE COMSCORE ACTION LIFT STUDY RESEARCH DESIGN

As noted above, comScore maintains a panel of Internet users who allow comScore to monitor their
complete Internet browsing behavior and view this behavior in a real market setting rather than using an
artificial research design.     Part of this monitoring involves the automated capture by the comScore
technology of most forms of display advertising without needing to ask consumers whether they had seen
the ad. As a result, comScore is able to identify those consumers who were exposed to a particular
advertising campaign (the test, or exposed, group).




                                                                                                               PAGE 5
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




From its panel, comScore also selects a control group of panelists not exposed to the campaign but who
exhibit the following characteristics when compared to the exposed group:


    Similar usage of the Internet overall prior to the start of the ad campaign

    Similar visitation to the sites where the ads were in rotation

    Similar total search behavior online prior to the start of the ad campaign

    Similar household demographic characteristics:         Age, income, census region or residence, and Internet
    connection speed

    Similar pre-campaign visitation of the advertiser’s site

With the exception of the exposure to the online display ad test campaign, the test and control groups are
virtually identical in their demographics and online behavior prior to the start of the ad campaign being
measured. Note that this also provides confidence that the groups are balanced with respect to the
potential influence of other forms of media advertising.             As a result, any differences that comScore
observes in the online behaviour of the exposed and unexposed groups following the start of the ad
campaign can confidently be attributed to the impact of the ad campaign itself, allowing comScore to
precisely isolate the effects of the specific online advertising campaign being evaluated. comScore’s
passively collected behavioral data captures the view-through value of the overall campaign by
measuring consumers' Internet activity irrespective of whether an ad is clicked on or not. As the basis for
this paper, comScore has used its expanding European Action Lift campaign norms database. This
database is built from comScore AdEffx™ studies conducted across the finance, media, telecoms, retail,
automotive, travel, health, utilities and government sectors, and covers ad campaigns that delivered in
excess of 1.3 billion display ad impressions.


Detailed Results
(I) THE IMPACT OF DISPLAY ADS ON VISITATION TO THE ADVERTISER’S SITE

Based on early results across nearly 20 European studies conducted by comScore, the average lift in the
number of visitors to the advertiser site generated by display advertising (i.e. the percent change in site
reach between the test and control groups after adjusting for any differences that existed prior to the start
of the campaign) was 72%.


In a number of studies, where effects were monitored on a time-aligned basis (with first exposure to the
campaign being the “start” event), differences in site reach across the control and test groups were
monitored over a cumulative 3-week time period; for the remaining studies, lift in advertiser site reach was
calculated during the post-campaign monitoring period (typically 3 weeks). Due to the differences in




                                                                                                                      PAGE 6
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




methodology, the individual studies and groups of studies are discussed below in further detail and the
average lift value cited above was calculated simply to provide a comparative indication of the ads’
effects. The average lift values of each group of studies are similar: 73% over a 3-week time period from
first exposure for the time-aligned studies, and 71% over the duration of the post-campaign period for the
campaign/post-campaign studies.


By examining the average dynamics of the lift in site reach over time, we see that the effects of display ad
exposure persist (that is, there continues to be lift effects in the time period following first exposure to an
ad), but, as might be expected, those effects attenuate over time. Among the studies of this type included
in this analysis, the average lift in the first week following initial exposure was 99%. This lift declined to an
average of 75% over the first two weeks following the initial ad exposure, and to 73% over the first three
weeks.


                  Figure 3: Lift in Advertiser Site Reach: Time-Aligned Studies

                                     120%
                                                 99%
                                     100%
                                                        75%     73%
                                      80%
                                      60%
                                      40%
                                      20%
                                          0%
                                              Average of time-aligned
                                                        studies
                                           Week of first exposure
                                           Weeks 1-2 after first exposure
                                           Weeks 1-3 after first exposure

For studies in which lifts in site reach were measured during and after the campaign time period, we also
see that the lift effects persisted following the end of the campaign. More so than in the time-aligned
studies, where there is a possibility of additional exposures to the campaign following the first exposure,
the significant lift values that continued in the post-campaign period imply significant branding effects that
are, by definition, ‘beyond the click’.




                                                                                                                 PAGE 7
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




         Figure 4: Lift in Advertiser Site Reach: Campaign/Post-Campaign Studies


                                             80%
                               80%                           71%

                               60%

                               40%

                               20%

                                 0%

                                      Average of Campaign/Post-Campaign
                                                   Studies

                                       Campaign Period      Post Period




(II) THE IMPACT OF DISPLAY ADS ON TRADEMARK SEARCH QUERIES

The average lift in the number of users conducting a search query using the advertiser’s branded terms
(i.e. the percent change in search reach between the test and control groups after adjusting for any
differences that existed prior to the start of the campaign) and which can be attributed to the impact of
display advertising was 94%.


Once again, due to the differences in methodology, the individual studies and groups of studies are
discussed below in further detail. The average lift for the time-aligned group is lower at 81% over a three
week time period from first exposure, compared to a lift of 114% over the duration of the post-campaign
period for the campaign/post-campaign studies.


By examining the average dynamics of search term usage over time, we again see that the effects of
display ad exposure persist. Among the studies of this type included in this analysis, the average lift in
search term reach during the first week following initial exposure was 91%. This lift dropped marginally to
an average of 89% over the first two weeks following ad exposure, and to 81% over the first three weeks.




                                                                                                              PAGE 8
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




                   Figure 5: Lift in Search Term Reach: Time-Aligned Studies

                       100%
                        95%                 91%
                                                        89%
                        90%
                        85%                                          81%
                        80%
                        75%
                        70%
                        65%
                        60%
                        55%
                        50%
                                           Average of time aligned studies


                                         Week of first exposure
                                         Week 1-2 after first exposure
                                         Week 1-3 after first exposure


For studies in which lifts in site reach were measured during and after the campaign time period, we
again see that the lift effects persisted after the end of the campaign. Overall, the decline in lift was only
16% (or 20 percentage points) from the campaign period to the end of the post-campaign monitoring
period (typically three weeks).


           Figure 6: Lift in Search Term Reach: Campaign/Post-Campaign Studies

                                    150%
                                                136%
                                    140%
                                    130%
                                    120%                       114%
                                    110%
                                    100%
                                     90%
                                     80%
                                     70%
                                     60%
                                     50%
                                              Campaign      Post Period
                                               Period
                                             Average of Campaign/Post-
                                                 Campaign Studies

                                        Campaign Period       Post Period




                                                                                                                PAGE 9
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




Comparison with U.S. Results
The results from the comScore U.S. studies, first published in November 2008, also showed a significant
impact of display advertising, specifically:
    •    Visitation to the advertiser’s web site rose by 49% on average up to three weeks after first
         exposure
    •    Likelihood of consumers conducting a search query using the advertiser’s brand terms increased
         by 40% on average up to three weeks after first exposure
A comparison of the results of the current U.K. and European studies with the earlier U.S. studies shows
a greater impact of display ads in Europe when measured in terms of the lift in visitation to the
advertiser’s site and in terms of the lift in the number of trademark search queries.



              Figure 7: Comparative Analysis of U.S. and European Campaign Results

        Lift in Advertiser Site Visitation                 Lift in Trademark Search Queries

        80%                                                100%           94%
                    72%
        70%                                                 90%
                                                            80%
        60%
                                     49%                    70%
        50%
                                                            60%
        40%                                                 50%                                  40%
        30%                                                 40%
        20%                                                 30%
                                                            20%
        10%
                                                            10%
        0%
                                                             0%
                   Europe            U.S.
                                                                        Europe                   U.S.



EXPLAINING THE RESULTS
Studies conducted in the U.K. account for 78% of all the campaign impressions being analysed in this
paper. Consequently, comScore has focused on the characteristics of the U.K. market in an effort to
understand the factors that could be driving the higher ad response observed in the European studies
compared to those conducted in the U.S.




                                                                                                              PAGE 10
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




There are a number of plausible explanations:

(I)         USERS ARE EXPOSED TO FEWER ONLINE AD IMPRESSIONS IN THE U.K. THAN THE U.S.

comScore’s Ad Metrix service automatically captures each instance of a display ad being delivered to the
comScore panelists. The results of a comparison of the U.K. and U.S. ad markets in November 2009
show that the average U.K. Internet user is exposed to 1,575 display ad impressions each month
compared with 1,773 impressions in the U.S., or about 11% fewer ads. It can be hypothesized that the
fewer ads to which a user is exposed, the more concentrated the ad message will be for each campaign
to which the user is exposed. Assuming each user has only a finite amount of time in which to act on the
campaigns to which they are exposed, one might argue that there is an 11% greater chance in the U.K.
than the U.S. that an individual campaign will cause some site visitation and/or search activity.

(II)        HIGHER SEARCH ACTIVITY IN THE U.K. THAN THE U.S.

In the U.K. the average number of searches per searcher per month is 148, which is about 38% higher
than the corresponding U.S. level of 107 search queries per searcher (comScore qSearch, November
2009). With U.K. Internet users being more active searchers, it is possible that display advertising has an
easier task in the U.K. in driving incremental search activity.

(III)       DIRECT RESPONSE RATES ARE LOWER IN THE U.K. THAN THE U.S.

Doubleclick’s click-through data from their 2008 Performance Norms study shows that the average CTR
is 25% lower in the U.K. (0.08%) than it is in the U.S. (0.1%). It is possible that users in the U.K. are
interacting with advertising differently to U.S. users, and that this is reflected in a higher level of latent
advertising impact.

(IV)        CREATIVITY OF THE U.K. & EUROPEAN ONLINE DISPLAY AD MARKET

In advertising circles, there is continued debate about creativity, and whether one region or country
surpasses others in this regard.                 Given the more positive results observed for European studies
compared to those in the U.S., comScore explored whether this could partly be explained by higher levels
of creativity involved in U.K. campaigns. Interestingly, the U.K. has a higher proportion of Gross Value
Added (GVA, a measure of economic contribution) that is derived from creative industries than any other
                            3
country in the world . Additionally, Michael Birch, the British-born co-founder of social media platform
Bebo and now resident in San Francisco (so, with experience of interactive creativity on both sides of the
Atlantic), is on record as saying that he believes "British people are still the most inventive in the world".
Finally, Eyeblaster have delivered some compelling engagement metrics around display ads that suggest
a considerable difference between the U.S. and European markets. As a global ad serving and campaign


3
    Office of National Statistics (2006); UK GVA for creative is 8%




                                                                                                                   PAGE 11
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




management provider, Eyeblaster produces regular data around the rich media market and the extent to
                                                                                                                         4
which consumers interact with rich media ads. Their global benchmark data to the end of Q2 2009
demonstrated that:
                o    Among those exposed to rich media campaigns, European consumers are 30% more
                     likely to actively engage with the ad than consumers in North America
                o    Of those engaging with the ad, European consumers spend 22% more time engaging
                     with the ad than consumers in North America
Whilst this analysis is limited to rich media campaigns, it suggests that there may be something in the
creativity of the campaign that is both enticing more users to engage, and keeping their attention longer
when they do.




4
    Eyeblaster Research Global Benchmark Report 2009




                                                                                                               PAGE 12
Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective




ABOUT COMSCORE


comScore, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCOR) is a global leader in measuring the digital world. This capability is
based on a massive, global cross-section of more than 2 million consumers who have given comScore
permission to confidentially capture their browsing and transaction behavior, including online and offline
purchasing. comScore panelists also participate in survey research that captures and integrates their
attitudes and intentions. Through its proprietary technology, comScore measures what matters across a
broad spectrum of behavior and attitudes. comScore analysts apply this deep knowledge of customers
and competitors to help clients design powerful marketing strategies and tactics that deliver superior
ROI. comScore services are used by nearly 900 clients, including global leaders such as AOL, Microsoft,
Yahoo!, BBC, Carat, Cyworld, Deutsche Bank, France Telecom, Best Buy, The Newspaper Association of
America, Financial Times, ESPN, Fox Sports, Nestlé, Starcom, Universal McCann, the United States
Postal Service, Verizon, ViaMichelin, Merck and Expedia.


For more information, please visit www.comscore.com or e-mail mmxinfo@comscore.com.




                                                                                                           PAGE 13

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How Online Advertising Works: U.K. & European Perspective on Display Ads' Latent Impact

  • 1. How Online Advertising Works: Whither the Click in Europe? A U.K. & European Perspective on the Latent Impact of Display Advertising FEBRUARY 2010 Gian M. Fulgoni Executive Chairman comScore, Inc. Marie Pauline Mörn Director, Product Management comScore, Inc. Mike Shaw Director, Marketing Solutions comScore, Inc.
  • 2. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective How Online Advertising Works: Whither the Click in Europe? BACKGROUND In today’s economically challenging times, some advertisers and their agencies are seeking immediate returns, moving their campaign dollars from CPM campaigns that require payment based on the number of delivered ad impressions to CPC programs where payment is based on the number of clicks on an ad. However, the increasing sophistication of online audiences has led fewer and fewer consumers to click on ads, to the extent that DoubleClick reported in its 2008 Year-in-Review benchmark report that the average click-through rates across its image, flash, and rich media campaigns had fallen to just 0.08% in the United Kingdom and 0.1% in the U.S. Are low click rates evidence that display ad campaigns have not had any impact on consumer behavior? Or, does online display advertising work in a similar way to traditional offline advertising with multiple exposures over time being needed to effect a change in consumer behavior? A significant challenge in accurately determining answers to these questions is the phenomenon of cookie deletion, which has rendered inaccurate much of the cookie-based research conducted to date regarding the effectiveness of online advertising. Cookies are small pieces of code inserted into the browser of the computer of the user whose behavior is being examined – in an attempt to uniquely identify the computer and thereby track its activity over time. While this is a conceptually appealing approach, research conducted by comScore and others has shown that the prevalence of anti-spyware software (now built into most browsers) allows Internet users to very easily delete their cookies as they 1 see fit. In fact, a recent comScore white paper published in September 2009 , showed that 24% of U.K. Internet users delete their first party cookies in a given month and do so an average of 3 times per deleter. Third party cookies such as those used by ad servers are deleted by 33% of Internet users, who do so an average of almost 7 times per month. Because of cookie deletion, any attempt to track computer users over time using cookies will be subject to substantial error levels as the cookies are deleted, and this will typically understate the impact of the advertising being measured. This paper reports the results of comScore research into online advertising effectiveness based on the use of comScore’s proprietary panel of 2 million Internet users, of which over 400,000 are resident in Europe. Instead of relying upon cookies to track behavior, comScore has obtained explicit permission from its panelists to install comScore’s patented monitoring software on their computers, thereby enabling 1 http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2009/10/comScore_Submits_Proposal_to_ABCe_in_U.K._for_a_new_P erson-Centric_Measure_for_Web_Site_Server_Measurement PAGE 2
  • 3. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective comScore to accurately measure the full range of panelists’ Internet activities over time. The results presented in this paper will show the manner in which online display ads work in affecting European consumer behavior, revealing that there are indeed latency effects and branding effects even when click rates on the ads themselves are minimal. The results observed in Europe will also be compared to those 2 from comScore’s seminal November 2008 U.S. study How Online Advertising Works: Whither the Click , which demonstrated the importance of looking beyond ad clicks when assessing the effectiveness of online display ad campaigns. “Whither the Click?” was subsequently published in the June 2009 issue of The Journal of Advertising Research as one of “21 Watertight Laws for Intelligent Advertising Decisions”. THE U.K. ONLINE DISPLAY ADVERTISING ENVIRONMENT The 2009 IAB Online Adspend report shows that online ad spending in the U.K. during the first half of 2009 actually surpassed that of TV for the first time, with online representing 23% of all media spending. With the BBC devoid of advertising and accounting for roughly 30% of all TV viewing in the U.K., perhaps it is not surprising that the U.K is the first major economy in which online ad spend has exceeded that of TV. The IAB also reports that Internet advertising was the only U.K. advertising medium to exhibit growth in H1 2009. As can be seen below, search dominates online advertising in both the U.K. and in the U.S. Interestingly, display advertising spending (encompassing banners, rich media and video) comprises only 18% of online ad revenue in the U.K., compared with a much higher share of 34% in the U.S. The large disparity in these share numbers has two important implications: first, it suggests that there is still tremendous room for growth in display advertising in the U.K., both in absolute terms and as a percentage of total spend; and second, that a brand which advertises online using display ads in the U.K. will likely benefit from a higher share of display voice because it does not face as much pressure from competitive display advertising in the U.K. compared to the U.S. Figure 1: Share of Online Advertising Revenues for H1 2009 U.K. U.S. Display, Display, 18% 34% Search, Search, 63% 47% Email, 0.1% Lead Gen, 7% Classifieds, Email, 1% Classifieds, 19% 10% Source: IAB Online Adspend Study, First Half 2009 2 http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2008/11/Value_of_Online_Advertising PAGE 3
  • 4. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective Click-through rates (CTR) in the U.K. and a variety of other countries, including the U.S., are very low. However, as will be shown in this paper low CTR are not in themselves a negative indication of the quality of the advertising or of the audience: rather, Doubleclick’s 2008 Year-in-Review benchmarks indicate that individual countries’ CTR are inversely correlated to the relative online sophistication of their audiences: mature markets with high broadband penetration in Western Europe and the Americas consistently have very low average click-through rates, while the highest click-through rates can be found in emerging markets in Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. It can be hypothesized that the novelty of clicking on an ad wears off as Internet users gain experience. But, does this mean that the advertising is not effective? We will show that this is clearly not the case. Figure 2: Worldwide Click-Through Rates Norway 0.07% Ireland 0.08% Luxembourg 0.08% United Kingdom 0.08% Finland 0.09% Australia 0.10% Canada 0.10% Sweden 0.10% United States 0.10% Hungary 0.11% Switzerland 0.11% Denmark 0.12% France 0.12% Italy 0.12% Germany 0.13% New Zealand 0.14% Spain 0.14% Turkey 0.14% Austria 0.15% Netherlands 0.16% Belgium 0.17% China 0.18% Greece 0.18% India 0.20% Singapore 0.20% Hong Kong 0.21% United Arab Emirates 0.26% Malaysia 0.29% Click-through rates across Static Image, Flash, and Rich Media formats Source: DoubleClick DART for Advertisers, a cross section of regions, January – December 2008 PAGE 4
  • 5. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective It is also important to note that when considering rich media units, not every click or interaction may provide a click-through: a click on the ad may expand the unit, play a video, or may even result in “conversion activity” within the ad unit itself. These interactive rich media ad units will certainly only become more common in regions with high broadband penetration, which are also the same regions where click-through rates are already low. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Results from a series of early ad effectiveness studies conducted by comScore primarily in the U.K. but also including a handful of studies conducted in several other countries in Western Europe (namely France, Germany and Spain) show that display advertising, despite a lack of clicks, can have a significant positive impact on consumer behavior. The following results were observed when comparing the behavior of Internet users exposed to display ads with that of a comparable set of users who did not see the ads: Visitation to the advertiser’s web site rose by 72% on average Likelihood of consumers conducting a trademark search query using the advertiser’s branded terms increased by 94% on average Compared to the effects of display advertising using the same metrics in the U.S. (49% lift in site visitation and 40% lift in the number of trademark search queries), the aggregation of European studies shows consistently higher lifts. A comparison of the U.K. and U.S. Internet markets suggests that a number of factors could be driving the higher ad response in the U.K. These include 1) Less online ad clutter in the U.K. 2) Greater likelihood to conduct a search query in the U.K. 3) U.K. audiences are more receptive than their American counterparts to branding messages presented online 4) As has been controversially suggested by some, online advertising creative in Europe may be superior to that in the U.S. THE COMSCORE ACTION LIFT STUDY RESEARCH DESIGN As noted above, comScore maintains a panel of Internet users who allow comScore to monitor their complete Internet browsing behavior and view this behavior in a real market setting rather than using an artificial research design. Part of this monitoring involves the automated capture by the comScore technology of most forms of display advertising without needing to ask consumers whether they had seen the ad. As a result, comScore is able to identify those consumers who were exposed to a particular advertising campaign (the test, or exposed, group). PAGE 5
  • 6. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective From its panel, comScore also selects a control group of panelists not exposed to the campaign but who exhibit the following characteristics when compared to the exposed group: Similar usage of the Internet overall prior to the start of the ad campaign Similar visitation to the sites where the ads were in rotation Similar total search behavior online prior to the start of the ad campaign Similar household demographic characteristics: Age, income, census region or residence, and Internet connection speed Similar pre-campaign visitation of the advertiser’s site With the exception of the exposure to the online display ad test campaign, the test and control groups are virtually identical in their demographics and online behavior prior to the start of the ad campaign being measured. Note that this also provides confidence that the groups are balanced with respect to the potential influence of other forms of media advertising. As a result, any differences that comScore observes in the online behaviour of the exposed and unexposed groups following the start of the ad campaign can confidently be attributed to the impact of the ad campaign itself, allowing comScore to precisely isolate the effects of the specific online advertising campaign being evaluated. comScore’s passively collected behavioral data captures the view-through value of the overall campaign by measuring consumers' Internet activity irrespective of whether an ad is clicked on or not. As the basis for this paper, comScore has used its expanding European Action Lift campaign norms database. This database is built from comScore AdEffx™ studies conducted across the finance, media, telecoms, retail, automotive, travel, health, utilities and government sectors, and covers ad campaigns that delivered in excess of 1.3 billion display ad impressions. Detailed Results (I) THE IMPACT OF DISPLAY ADS ON VISITATION TO THE ADVERTISER’S SITE Based on early results across nearly 20 European studies conducted by comScore, the average lift in the number of visitors to the advertiser site generated by display advertising (i.e. the percent change in site reach between the test and control groups after adjusting for any differences that existed prior to the start of the campaign) was 72%. In a number of studies, where effects were monitored on a time-aligned basis (with first exposure to the campaign being the “start” event), differences in site reach across the control and test groups were monitored over a cumulative 3-week time period; for the remaining studies, lift in advertiser site reach was calculated during the post-campaign monitoring period (typically 3 weeks). Due to the differences in PAGE 6
  • 7. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective methodology, the individual studies and groups of studies are discussed below in further detail and the average lift value cited above was calculated simply to provide a comparative indication of the ads’ effects. The average lift values of each group of studies are similar: 73% over a 3-week time period from first exposure for the time-aligned studies, and 71% over the duration of the post-campaign period for the campaign/post-campaign studies. By examining the average dynamics of the lift in site reach over time, we see that the effects of display ad exposure persist (that is, there continues to be lift effects in the time period following first exposure to an ad), but, as might be expected, those effects attenuate over time. Among the studies of this type included in this analysis, the average lift in the first week following initial exposure was 99%. This lift declined to an average of 75% over the first two weeks following the initial ad exposure, and to 73% over the first three weeks. Figure 3: Lift in Advertiser Site Reach: Time-Aligned Studies 120% 99% 100% 75% 73% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Average of time-aligned studies Week of first exposure Weeks 1-2 after first exposure Weeks 1-3 after first exposure For studies in which lifts in site reach were measured during and after the campaign time period, we also see that the lift effects persisted following the end of the campaign. More so than in the time-aligned studies, where there is a possibility of additional exposures to the campaign following the first exposure, the significant lift values that continued in the post-campaign period imply significant branding effects that are, by definition, ‘beyond the click’. PAGE 7
  • 8. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective Figure 4: Lift in Advertiser Site Reach: Campaign/Post-Campaign Studies 80% 80% 71% 60% 40% 20% 0% Average of Campaign/Post-Campaign Studies Campaign Period Post Period (II) THE IMPACT OF DISPLAY ADS ON TRADEMARK SEARCH QUERIES The average lift in the number of users conducting a search query using the advertiser’s branded terms (i.e. the percent change in search reach between the test and control groups after adjusting for any differences that existed prior to the start of the campaign) and which can be attributed to the impact of display advertising was 94%. Once again, due to the differences in methodology, the individual studies and groups of studies are discussed below in further detail. The average lift for the time-aligned group is lower at 81% over a three week time period from first exposure, compared to a lift of 114% over the duration of the post-campaign period for the campaign/post-campaign studies. By examining the average dynamics of search term usage over time, we again see that the effects of display ad exposure persist. Among the studies of this type included in this analysis, the average lift in search term reach during the first week following initial exposure was 91%. This lift dropped marginally to an average of 89% over the first two weeks following ad exposure, and to 81% over the first three weeks. PAGE 8
  • 9. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective Figure 5: Lift in Search Term Reach: Time-Aligned Studies 100% 95% 91% 89% 90% 85% 81% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% Average of time aligned studies Week of first exposure Week 1-2 after first exposure Week 1-3 after first exposure For studies in which lifts in site reach were measured during and after the campaign time period, we again see that the lift effects persisted after the end of the campaign. Overall, the decline in lift was only 16% (or 20 percentage points) from the campaign period to the end of the post-campaign monitoring period (typically three weeks). Figure 6: Lift in Search Term Reach: Campaign/Post-Campaign Studies 150% 136% 140% 130% 120% 114% 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Campaign Post Period Period Average of Campaign/Post- Campaign Studies Campaign Period Post Period PAGE 9
  • 10. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective Comparison with U.S. Results The results from the comScore U.S. studies, first published in November 2008, also showed a significant impact of display advertising, specifically: • Visitation to the advertiser’s web site rose by 49% on average up to three weeks after first exposure • Likelihood of consumers conducting a search query using the advertiser’s brand terms increased by 40% on average up to three weeks after first exposure A comparison of the results of the current U.K. and European studies with the earlier U.S. studies shows a greater impact of display ads in Europe when measured in terms of the lift in visitation to the advertiser’s site and in terms of the lift in the number of trademark search queries. Figure 7: Comparative Analysis of U.S. and European Campaign Results Lift in Advertiser Site Visitation Lift in Trademark Search Queries 80% 100% 94% 72% 70% 90% 80% 60% 49% 70% 50% 60% 40% 50% 40% 30% 40% 20% 30% 20% 10% 10% 0% 0% Europe U.S. Europe U.S. EXPLAINING THE RESULTS Studies conducted in the U.K. account for 78% of all the campaign impressions being analysed in this paper. Consequently, comScore has focused on the characteristics of the U.K. market in an effort to understand the factors that could be driving the higher ad response observed in the European studies compared to those conducted in the U.S. PAGE 10
  • 11. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective There are a number of plausible explanations: (I) USERS ARE EXPOSED TO FEWER ONLINE AD IMPRESSIONS IN THE U.K. THAN THE U.S. comScore’s Ad Metrix service automatically captures each instance of a display ad being delivered to the comScore panelists. The results of a comparison of the U.K. and U.S. ad markets in November 2009 show that the average U.K. Internet user is exposed to 1,575 display ad impressions each month compared with 1,773 impressions in the U.S., or about 11% fewer ads. It can be hypothesized that the fewer ads to which a user is exposed, the more concentrated the ad message will be for each campaign to which the user is exposed. Assuming each user has only a finite amount of time in which to act on the campaigns to which they are exposed, one might argue that there is an 11% greater chance in the U.K. than the U.S. that an individual campaign will cause some site visitation and/or search activity. (II) HIGHER SEARCH ACTIVITY IN THE U.K. THAN THE U.S. In the U.K. the average number of searches per searcher per month is 148, which is about 38% higher than the corresponding U.S. level of 107 search queries per searcher (comScore qSearch, November 2009). With U.K. Internet users being more active searchers, it is possible that display advertising has an easier task in the U.K. in driving incremental search activity. (III) DIRECT RESPONSE RATES ARE LOWER IN THE U.K. THAN THE U.S. Doubleclick’s click-through data from their 2008 Performance Norms study shows that the average CTR is 25% lower in the U.K. (0.08%) than it is in the U.S. (0.1%). It is possible that users in the U.K. are interacting with advertising differently to U.S. users, and that this is reflected in a higher level of latent advertising impact. (IV) CREATIVITY OF THE U.K. & EUROPEAN ONLINE DISPLAY AD MARKET In advertising circles, there is continued debate about creativity, and whether one region or country surpasses others in this regard. Given the more positive results observed for European studies compared to those in the U.S., comScore explored whether this could partly be explained by higher levels of creativity involved in U.K. campaigns. Interestingly, the U.K. has a higher proportion of Gross Value Added (GVA, a measure of economic contribution) that is derived from creative industries than any other 3 country in the world . Additionally, Michael Birch, the British-born co-founder of social media platform Bebo and now resident in San Francisco (so, with experience of interactive creativity on both sides of the Atlantic), is on record as saying that he believes "British people are still the most inventive in the world". Finally, Eyeblaster have delivered some compelling engagement metrics around display ads that suggest a considerable difference between the U.S. and European markets. As a global ad serving and campaign 3 Office of National Statistics (2006); UK GVA for creative is 8% PAGE 11
  • 12. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective management provider, Eyeblaster produces regular data around the rich media market and the extent to 4 which consumers interact with rich media ads. Their global benchmark data to the end of Q2 2009 demonstrated that: o Among those exposed to rich media campaigns, European consumers are 30% more likely to actively engage with the ad than consumers in North America o Of those engaging with the ad, European consumers spend 22% more time engaging with the ad than consumers in North America Whilst this analysis is limited to rich media campaigns, it suggests that there may be something in the creativity of the campaign that is both enticing more users to engage, and keeping their attention longer when they do. 4 Eyeblaster Research Global Benchmark Report 2009 PAGE 12
  • 13. Whither the Click: U.K. & European Perspective ABOUT COMSCORE comScore, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCOR) is a global leader in measuring the digital world. This capability is based on a massive, global cross-section of more than 2 million consumers who have given comScore permission to confidentially capture their browsing and transaction behavior, including online and offline purchasing. comScore panelists also participate in survey research that captures and integrates their attitudes and intentions. Through its proprietary technology, comScore measures what matters across a broad spectrum of behavior and attitudes. comScore analysts apply this deep knowledge of customers and competitors to help clients design powerful marketing strategies and tactics that deliver superior ROI. comScore services are used by nearly 900 clients, including global leaders such as AOL, Microsoft, Yahoo!, BBC, Carat, Cyworld, Deutsche Bank, France Telecom, Best Buy, The Newspaper Association of America, Financial Times, ESPN, Fox Sports, Nestlé, Starcom, Universal McCann, the United States Postal Service, Verizon, ViaMichelin, Merck and Expedia. For more information, please visit www.comscore.com or e-mail mmxinfo@comscore.com. PAGE 13