Be the first to like this
Financial Algorithms presents the energy trading scenario for the year 2016. In this presentation, after examining various fundamental factors in energy sector, FA forecasts the crude oil price, gasoline & natural gas price levels for the year 2016; in case of mean volatility levels and high volatility levels, both. FA also focuses on how to model price levels and volatility surfaces in low volatility and high volatility scenarios under forward & forward-forward models using various energy contracts and spreads i.e. crack spread. Various greek sensitivities including second order & third order greeks, which can be helpful in projecting the price & volatility levels, are also described. At the end, correlation factors, fundamental & technical both, are discussed. These correlation factors are exogenous in price forecasting, and new emerging trends which can affect the energy trading in a long run also been discussed.