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Selling Your Family or Entrepreneurial Business
1.
Selling Your Family
or Entrepreneurial Business Positioning and Preparing Your Company for a Successful Exit Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018 Presented by Richard J. Smith Head of Corporate Finance Tractus Asia June 14, 2018
2.
2 Reasons for Selling
a Business No Succession Business Peak Business Down Non-core Business Bored Other Opportunities Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
3.
3 What is Your
Business Worth? A business is only worth what a buyer is willing to pay for it…… …a Transaction only occurs when there is both a willing buyer and willing seller. and…. Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
4.
4 Factors Affecting Firm
Value • Revenue (size) • Profitability • Cash flow • Growth • Track record • Reliability of revenue stream • Continuity of management • Diverse customer base • Positive macro economic / industry outlook • Barriers-to-entry • Strong corporate governance and financial controls/reporting Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
5.
5 Key Valuation Methodologies •
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) • Market or Comparable Company Approach • Public company • Transactions • Buy or Build / Replacement Cost Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
6.
6 DCF uses future
cash flow projections and discounts them to arrive at a present value estimate. Example: What is the present value (PV) of $100 over each of the next 5 years with a discount rate of 10%? The discount rate reflects the cost-of-capital (funding) and the risk of the investment to quantify the time value of money. The biggest problem with DCF analysis for smaller private companies is that it is difficult to accurately project future cash flows and determine an appropriate discount rate Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Total Cash Flow ($) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 500.0 Present Value ($) 90.9 82.6 75.1 68.3 62.1 379.1 Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
7.
7 Market or Comparable
Company Approach Evaluates the value of a company using the metrics of other businesses of similar size in the same industry on the assumption that similar companies will have similar valuation multiples. Valuations are usually expressed as a multiple of key metrics such as price/earnings (PE ratio), price/book, etc. If earnings = $100 and PE Ratio = 15 (15 times earnings) Value = 15 X $100 = $1,500 Common metrics for assessing firm value include: • EBITDA (Earnings before Interest, Tax, Depreciation, and Amortization) • EBIT (Earnings before Interest and Tax) • Revenue • Earnings • Book Value Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
8.
8 Public Market Multiples
for Selected Industries Industry Global Emerging Market Net Margin EV/ Sales EV/ EBITDA Net Margin EV/ Sales EV/ EBITDA Advertising 4.51% 1.57 9.48 4.00% 1.76 15.04 Apparel 5.75% 2.04 12.02 3.88% 1.35 13.81 Beverage (Soft) 8.62% 3.19 16.08 7.01% 1.71 10.93 Business & Consumer Services 5.02% 1.76 12.98 5.24% 1.87 18.58 Drugs (Pharmaceutical) 11.37% 3.94 13.96 10.38% 3.67 20.47 Electronics (Consumer & Office) 1.95% 0.76 8.63 1.53% 0.65 10.95 Food Processing 5.49% 1.69 13.01 4.44% 1.44 12.97 Furn/Home Furnishings 6.56% 1.41 11.95 7.37% 1.53 13.19 Healthcare Products 9.29% 4.10 17.21 9.64% 4.64 22.27 Household Products 10.86% 3.07 16.24 8.23% 2.81 23.30 Packaging & Container 5.03% 1.53 10.25 5.23% 1.67 11.73 Paper/Forest Products 5.28% 1.42 9.25 6.29% 1.99 10.69 Retail (Distributors) 2.87% 0.80 12.16 0.82% 0.61 12.46 Retail (General) 2.35% 0.82 9.72 3.59% 1.16 11.54 Retail (Special Lines) 3.67% 1.05 9.01 2.77% 1.13 11.88 Total Market (without financials) 6.11% 1.87 11.18 6.37% 1.75 10.84 Source: http://www.damodaran.com January 5, 2018 Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
9.
9 Discounts and Premiums
on Public Market Multiples Most buyers will discount the “comparable value” due to a lack of liquidity as the shares in a private company are not publicly traded and the business is usually smaller than listed companies. The illiquidity discount for a private firm is typically between 20-30% and does not vary across private firms. Buyers are often willing to pay over the current market price of a publicly traded company in order to acquire a controlling share in that company on the basis that they can manage the business better and extract more value. The control premium for a public firm is typically between 30-50%. Discount for Lack of Marketability (DLOM) Control Premium Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
10.
10 Build or Buy
/ Replacement Cost • The buyer weighs the cost of acquiring an existing business compared to the cost of starting up from scratch • Used by Strategic buyers • Key market entry strategy decision • Buyer must estimate: ✓ Investment costs ✓ Operating costs ✓ Revenue and timing of revenue Sellers need to be aware that buyer will almost always UNDERESTIMATE the cost of entering a market ✓ Over optimism ✓ Lack of knowledge ✓ Need to please upper management / sell plans internally ✓ Personal objectives Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
11.
11 Size Matters: Bigger
is Better EBITDA Size US$ 0K – US$ 999K US$ 1M – US$ 4.99M US$ 5M – US$ 9.99M US$10M – US$ 24.99M US$ 25M – US$ 49.99M Number of investments 18 48 55 27 4 Average size of investment (US$ million) 2 3.5 15 25 70 Expected time to exit (years) 3 5 5 5 5 Average EBITDA multiple 5.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.5 Median total expected returns 27.5% 25% 23% 21% 20% Source: Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project, Private Capital Markets Report – 2016 General Characteristics – Buyout Transactions Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
12.
12 A Note on
Terms: Equity Value / Enterprise Value Interest Bearing Debt Equity / Share Value Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value (value of business) Net Debt Quoted by: Share Price or Market Cap Quoted in: • Comparable Transactions • DCF Enterprise Value Debt Cash & Cash Equivalents Equity (Share) Value Company A $1000 - $500 + $100 = $600 Company B $1000 - $0 + $100 = $1100 Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
13.
13 Who Are the
Potential Buyers Strategic Investors • In the business or related segment • Strategic and financial objectives • Synergies • Lower hurdle rates • Better understand and can manage business risk IPO • Not a short-term exit option Financial Investors • Financial returns • More concerned about risk • Need management team • Willing to work an asset • Ultimately focused on Exit Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
14.
14 Who is the
Best Buyer? If you are the seller of a private business, you will maximize value, if you can sell to: • A long term investor ✓ Places low value on liquidity • Who is well diversified ✓ Lower cost-of-capital (lower discount rate) • And does not think too highly of you (as a manager) ✓ Does not need to rely on you to manage the business In Theory a Strategic Buyer should be willing to pay the most… but… …private equity/buyout funds compete with strategics and IPOs all the time (by outbidding them) Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
15.
15 Preparation for Due
Diligence Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
16.
16 Due Diligence Due diligence
is an investigation or audit of a potential investment to confirm all facts, such as reviewing all financial records, corporate records, contracts, regulatory filings, customer information plus anything else deemed material. Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
17.
17 Due Diligence: Our
Experience This Guy’s Face Says it All!! Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
18.
18 How the Private
Placement Process Typically Works Preparation Marketing Negotiations, Documentation, Closing ✓ Financial modeling and valuation ✓ Information memorandum ✓ Preliminary identification of potential investors ✓ Contact potential buyers ✓ Roadshow ✓ Expression of interests ✓ Preliminary information requests ✓ LOI, MOU, or Termsheet ✓ Negotiations ✓ Structuring ✓ Detailed due diligence ✓ Documentation ✓ Closing Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
19.
19 What We Often
See Ad Hoc Contact Negotiations, Documentation, Closing ✓ Expression of interests ✓ Preliminary information requests ✓ LOI, MOU, or Termsheet ✓ Negotiations ✓ Structuring ✓ Detailed due diligence ✓ Documentation ✓ Closing Seller and Buyer are Completely Unprepared for Due Diligence Reality is a Big Divergence from Initial Expectations Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
20.
20 Timeliness is Important Marketing Contact
potential buyers Roadshow Expression of interests Preliminary due diligence LOI, MOU, or Termsheet Negotiations, Documentation, Closing Negotiations Structuring Detailed due diligence Documentation Closing The longer the time between first contacting a buyer to closing, the more chance something will go wrong and the deal will fail Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
21.
21 Why? &% Copyright © Tractus
Asia Ltd. 2018
22.
22 Things we Typically
See in Family Businesses Lacking professional accounting, financial control, and reporting Highly dependent on owner/entrepreneur Creative and aggressive tax planning Mixing of personal and business in accounts Strong emotional attachment to business Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
23.
23 How the Private
Placement Process Should Work Pre-Preparation Preparation Marketing Negotiations, Documentation, Closing ✓ Accounting ✓ Contracts ✓ Intellectual property ✓ Corporate secretarial ✓ Restructuring ✓ Tax Planning ✓ Financial modeling and valuation ✓ Information memorandum ✓ Preliminary identification of potential investors ✓ Contact potential buyers ✓ Roadshow ✓ Expression of interests ✓ Preliminary Due Diligence ✓ LOI, MOU, Termsheet ✓ Negotiations ✓ Detailed due diligence ✓ Structuring ✓ Documentation ✓ Closing Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
24.
24 …and improve the
odds of closing the deal Preparation is Critical Pre-Preparation Preparation Marketing Negotiations, Documentation, Closing The time spent up-front…. Preparation Marketing Negotiations, Documentation, Closing …should compress the time between investor contact and closing… Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
25.
25 • 70% of
deals take more than 6 months to close • Almost half will take 9 months or more to close Timing: Not a Fast Process Source: Pepperdine Private Capital Markets Project, Private Capital Markets Report – 2016 Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
26.
26 Consider…… The sale of
your company is likely to be the most important sale of your life!!! Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
27.
27 Most Common Mistakes •
Poor understanding of accounting and finance • Potential tax problems • Failure to disclose problems • Unrealistic expectations on firm value ✓ Misunderstanding “goodwill” ✓ Perception on “who” captures the value of synergies and value creation post-acquisition ✓ Thinking your business is “different” • Lack of understanding of the buyer ✓ Thinking big companies can afford big prices ✓ Thinking they “need to do a deal” ✓ Understanding that “this is just a job” for them • Failure to run a proper sale process ✓ Ad hoc/one buyer at a time ▪ Serial monogamy may work in personal relations, but it is not advantageous is a sale of a business • Underestimating time and resources required to get a deal done, particularly due diligence Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
28.
28 Key Recommendations Don’t Make
The Most Common Mistakes Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
29.
29 Key Recommendations • Do
your upfront work ✓ Clean up any problems ✓ Prepare for due diligence • Run a proper private placement process to maximize competition ✓ Bidding pressure ✓ Time pressure • Be realistic in objectives • Maintain focus on running the business during the sale process • Hire qualified accounting, tax, finance, and legal advisors Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
30.
30 Thank you Shanghai Hong Kong Yangon Bangkok Ho
Chi Minh City Singapore Jakarta Chennai New Delhi Los Angeles Member of the Socius Group Richard Smith Head of Corporate Finance richard.smith@tractus-asia.com Copyright © Tractus Asia Ltd. 2018
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