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DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM

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BELIEF NETWORKS FOR MAKING DECISION ON LIVELIHOODS, WATER, WATERSHEDS, PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION

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DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM

  1. 1. DECISSIONSUPPORT BELIEF NETWORKS Dr. N. Sai Bhaskar Reddy saibhaskarnakka@gmail.com LIVELIHOODS –WATERSHEDS – DEVELOPMENT PROJECT
  2. 2. WATER SUPPLY PUBLICORCOMMUNITY Supply Good Bad 56.0 44.0 Water Taps Public Commu 100 0 Timing Con Incon 100 0 Pricing Yes No 0 100 Battles Yes No 45.2 54.8 Wastage High Low 40.0 60.0 Upkeep Good Bad 100 0 Supply Good Bad 74.0 26.0 Water Taps Public Commu 0 100 Timing Con Incon 100 0 Pricing Yes No 100 0 Battles Yes No 30.8 69.2 Wastage High Low 10.0 90.0 Upkeep Good Bad 100 0
  3. 3. ACCESSTODRINKING WATER BY COMMUNITY ExternalFacilitation True False 50.0 50.0 Demand Management Effective Ineffective 49.6 50.4 WSD Happens Doesnt 50.0 50.0 Capacity for O&M High Low 75.4 24.6 Social Cohesion High Low 51.2 48.7 Panchayat Resolution Exists Doesnt 50.0 50.0 Community dynamics divisive NotDivisive 50.0 50.0 Wealth Rich Poor 50.0 50.0 CBOs Effective Ineffective 51.4 48.6 Recharge High Low 40.4 59.6 Local Water Resource High Low 48.3 51.7 Electricity supply Reliable Unreliable 50.0 50.0 Piped water from outside High Low 15.0 85.0 Water supply infrastruc... Good Poor 57.5 42.5 RWS Good Bad 50.0 50.0 Total domestic High Low 56.1 43.9 Access to 40lpd True False 19.9 80.1 O&M Effective Ineffective 63.2 36.8 LocalRules Effective Ineffective 48.2 51.8 Incentives to irrigate High Low 71.6 28.4 Water pol. environment Good Bad 50.0 50.0 Opp's for alternative in... Many Few 50.0 50.0 Subsidies for GW Irrig'n High Low 75.0 25.0 Rainfall high low 50.0 50.0 Inflow High Low 50.0 50.0 Non domestic use >40l/d High Low 67.0 33.0
  4. 4. APRLP PROJECT Project Goals Achieved Yes No 50.0 50.0 Other Factors Yes No 50.0 50.0 Convergence of APRLP an... Yes No 50.0 50.0 Core/Steering Group Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Independent M&E Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Information Quality Control Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Innovation and Learning Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 SRTRI Training Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 APARD Training & Monitor... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Decision Support System Created NotCreated 50.0 50.0 Enhanced Capacity of PIAs Yes No 50.0 50.0 DCBCs Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Enhanced Capacity of DRD Yes No 50.0 50.0 Conflict Resolution Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Village Level WS Managem... Improved Asbefore 50.0 50.0 Breakthrough Projects Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Research Projects Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Communication Subgroup Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Livelihoods, Equity Gende... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Macropolicy Subgroup Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 PGMIS Subgroup Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Macro-Policy Reform Yes No 50.0 50.0 Wshed Dev. Prog. Manage... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Project Support Unit Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Information dissemination Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Innovation Fund Available Unavailable 50.0 50.0 Other Factors Yes No 50.0 50.0 Livelihood Activities Gooduptake Pooruptake 50.0 50.0 District Watershed Commi... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Enterprise Subgroup Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Production Systems Subg... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0
  5. 5. Diversity_of_LHs low Med High 49.8 24.8 25.5 Income low Med High 66.5 16.5 17.0 livelihoods poor satisfactory good 100 0 0 34 Loan_collection_ratio low Med High 37.2 30.9 31.9 Coping_Mechanism low Med High 66.5 17.7 15.8 ICOR_ratio low Med High 37.2 30.9 31.9 Borrowing_by_poor low Med High 37.2 30.9 31.9 Access_to_credit low Med High 49.8 24.8 25.5 Non_farm_skills low Med High 39.7 29.7 30.6 Non_Distress_migration low Med High 39.7 29.7 30.6 revoiving_fund_status low Med High 37.2 30.9 31.9 Capacity_to_Borrow low Med High 39.7 29.7 30.6 Social_Insurance low Med High 39.7 29.7 30.6 Small_ruminants low Med High 39.7 29.7 30.6 Diversity_of_LHs low Med High 25.0 49.1 25.8 Income low Med High 17.1 65.3 17.6 livelihoods poor satisfactory good 0 100 0 33 Loan_collection_ratio low Med High 31.0 37.0 32.0 Coping_Mechanism low Med High 15.9 68.9 15.2 ICOR_ratio low Med High 31.0 37.0 32.0 Borrowing_by_poor low Med High 31.0 37.0 32.0 Access_to_credit low Med High 25.0 49.1 25.8 Non_farm_skills low Med High 30.1 39.3 30.6 Non_Distress_migration low Med High 29.8 39.5 30.7 revoiving_fund_status low Med High 31.0 37.0 32.0 Capacity_to_Borrow low Med High 31.9 38.6 29.5 Social_Insurance low Med High 28.6 38.3 33.1 Small_ruminants low Med High 30.1 39.3 30.6 Diversity_of_LHs low Med High 24.4 24.4 51.1 Income low Med High 15.9 15.9 68.3 livelihoods poor satisfactory good 0 0 100 33 Loan_collection_ratio low Med High 30.9 30.9 38.3 Coping_Mechanism low Med High 17.1 18.4 64.5 ICOR_ratio low Med High 30.9 30.9 38.3 Borrowing_by_poor low Med High 30.9 30.9 38.3 Access_to_credit low Med High 24.4 24.4 51.1 Non_farm_skills low Med High 29.3 29.7 41.0 Non_Distress_migration low Med High 29.6 29.6 40.9 revoiving_fund_status low Med High 30.9 30.9 38.3 Capacity_to_Borrow low Med High 27.4 30.5 42.1 Social_Insurance low Med High 30.8 30.8 38.3 Small_ruminants low Med High 29.3 29.7 41.0 LIVELIHOODS
  6. 6. ANDHRA PRADESH RURAL LIVELIHOODS PROJECT Project Goals Achieved Yes No 50.0 50.0 Other Factors Yes No 50.0 50.0 Convergence of APRLP... Yes No 50.0 50.0 Macro-Policy Reform Yes No 50.0 50.0 Core/Steering Group Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Independent M&E Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Information Quality Con... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Project Support Unit Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Innovation and Learning Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 SRTRI Training Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 APARD Training & Moni... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Decision Support System Created NotCreated 50.0 50.0 Enhanced Capacity of P... Yes No 50.0 50.0 DCBCs Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Information dissemination Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Wshed Dev. Prog. Man... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Research Projects Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Enhanced Capacity of ... Yes No 50.0 50.0 Conflict Resolution Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Breakthrough Projects Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Village Level WS Manag... Improved Asbefore 50.0 50.0 District Watershed Co... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Livelihood Activities Gooduptake Pooruptake 50.0 50.0 Other Factors Yes No 50.0 50.0 Innovation Fund Available Unavailable 50.0 50.0 Enterprise Subgroup Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Production Systems Su... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 PGMIS Subgroup Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Communication Subgro... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Livelihoods, Equity Gen... Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0 Macropolicy Subgroup Effective Ineffective 50.0 50.0
  7. 7. WATERSHED PLUS Indebtedness True False 50.0 50.0 Fuel_fodder_supply good bad 50.0 50.0 Drinking_Water Good Bad 50.0 50.0 revolving_fund_status A B C D 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.0 Nuritional_status True False 50.0 50.0 WDF Exit_strategy No further work Extend perio... Additional ac... 33.3 33.3 33.3 Food_security Yes No 50.0 50.0 Sustainability_NRM Yes No 50.0 50.0 Self_esteem_well_being High Low 50.0 50.0 Sucess_level Very good Good Satisfactory Poor Very poor 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 Loan_collection_rate True False 50.0 50.0 Livestock_productivity good bad 50.0 50.0 Dry_land_productivity good bad 50.0 50.0 Vill_Dec_making True False 50.0 50.0 HH_Dec_making True False 50.0 50.0 ICOR_ratio Income Good Bad 50.0 50.0 cooping_machanisams Yes No 50.0 50.0 Diversity_LH True False 50.0 50.0 Social_insurance non_farm_skills peer_support capacity_to_borrow small_ruminants non_distress_migration Borrowing_by_poor True False 50.0 50.0 Acess_credit True False 50.0 50.0 Access_to_pds capacity_to_buy Grain_bank_scheme
  8. 8. Techincal_Recommond... Yes No 82.6 17.4 Selection Yes No 100 0 APSRAC_Priority High Medium Low 38.2 33.1 28.7 Sramadhan Yes No 58.3 41.7 Local Institution Effective Ineffective 52.0 48.0 SHG Yes No 50.7 49.3 Social_Status Rich Poor 38.2 61.8 Daily Wage labours More Less 50.8 49.2 Biomass_availability High Medium Less 61.6 27.9 10.5 51 ± 25 Livestock More Less 69.7 30.3 People's_Cooperation Good Bad 63.5 36.5 WatershedSize Macro Micro 48.0 52.0 Cooking Experience Good Bad 51.7 48.3 Willingness_to_adopt_... Yes No 54.3 45.7 Techincal_Recommond... Yes No 41.6 58.4 Selection Yes No 0 100 APSRAC_Priority High Medium Low 26.2 32.9 40.9 Sramadhan Yes No 50.7 49.3 Local Institution Effective Ineffective 47.4 52.6 SHG Yes No 49.1 50.9 Social_Status Rich Poor 51.2 48.8 Daily Wage labours More Less 49.0 51.0 Biomass_availability High Medium Less 57.9 32.8 9.33 50 ± 24 Livestock More Less 70.5 29.5 People's_Cooperation Good Bad 43.9 56.1 WatershedSize Macro Micro 52.5 47.5 Cooking Experience Good Bad 47.8 52.2 Willingness_to_adopt_... Yes No 44.4 55.6 WATERSHED SELECTION

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