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Unveiling the Data Behind Effective Scaling with ICONIQ Growth

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Sep. 21, 2022
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Unveiling the Data Behind Effective Scaling with ICONIQ Growth

  1. Christine Edmonds Partner & Head of Analytics ICONIQ Growth @Edmonds_C Unveiling the Data Behind Effective Scaling Doug Pepper General Partner ICONIQ Growth @dougpepper 1
  2. Entrepreneurs Backing Entrepreneurs We partner with visionaries defining the future of their industries to transform the world.
  3. 3 ANALYTICS & INSIGHTS EMPOWERING OUR PORTFOLIO WITH PROPRIETARY ANALYTICS AND INSIGHTS ACROSS BUSINESS OPERATIONS AND STRATEGY Bespoke Analytics & Advisory Signal Identification & Sourcing Intelligence In-Depth Research & Studies Comprehensive, topical reports leveraging proprietary data to form an evolving view of ‘best- in-class’ performance Bespoke analytics, one- on-one advisory, and custom tools to address high-impact questions across portfolio operations and strategy Innovative approaches, data partnerships, and intelligence layer applied to signal identification and sourcing
  4. 4 What does best in class growth and efficiency look like? 2022 Insights
  5. 5 Methodology Our analyses leverage quarterly operating and financial data from 92 enterprise SaaS companies. Most companies included represent ICONIQ Growth investments, and other public companies were selected based on IPO performance. Notes: As of August 2022; Trademarks are the property of their respective owners. None of the companies illustrated have endorsed or recommended the services of ICONIQ; Full list of ICONIQ investments can be found here Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings ICONIQ Growth Portfolio Companies Select Public Companies Private Public or Acquired
  6. 6 Topics we’ll cover today: • How quickly and consistently should ARR be growing as you scale from $10M ARR? • What are the key drivers of growth? • What matters more - growth or efficiency? • What does best in class efficiency look like, and does it come at the cost of productivity and growth? • What does best in class performance look like in the context of 2022? • What are companies doing to mitigate growth deceleration and reorient themselves toward an efficiency-focused mindset?
  7. 7 BEST IN CLASS GROWTH
  8. Topline Growth We have consistently seen companies with top-quartile growth double ARR in each of the first 2-3 years as they scale from the $10M ARR threshold. After $100M, top performers maintain meaningful double- digit growth. 8 Net New and Ending ARR from $10M, in Years Net New ARR Ending ARR ~2.5x ~2.2x ~1.8x ~1.5x ~1.5x Pre-IPO YoY Growth Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings Top Quartile $16M $30M $44M $54M $76M $101M $10M $26M $56M $100M $154M $230M 0 1 2 3 4 5
  9. Contributions to Growth As healthy enterprise companies scale, they can increasingly rely on existing logos to generate new ARR opportunities through upsell or expansion. Downsell / logo churn mix stays relatively consistent as companies scale. 9 Gross New ARR Distribution Gross Churn Distribution 70% 65% 54% 51% 30% 35% 46% 49% <$25M $25-$50M $50-$100M $100M to IPO Expansion New Logo Average Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings 59% 63% 56% 56% 41% 37% 44% 44% <$25M $25-$50M $50-$100M $100M to IPO Downsell Logo Churn
  10. Net Dollar Retention We consistently see companies with top- quartile NDR achieving 120%+ even at scale. These companies have exceptional NDR from very early stages, underlying the importance of growing the existing customer base at any stage. 10 Gross and Net Dollar Retention, Years after $10M 98% 95% 94% 94% 93% 96% 128% 130% 124% 126% 120% 123% 0 1 2 3 4 5 Net Dollar Retention Gross Dollar Retention Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings Top Quartile
  11. Growth vs. Efficiency – what matters more? 11 Correlation (R2) of Forward Revenue Multiple Over Time Rule of 40 (Revenue Growth + FCF %) Revenue Growth Revenue Growth surpasses Rule of 40 for largest weighting in multiple correlation Initial convergence of growth and profitability in driving multiples, as the weight of FCF increases Notes: Information provided accurate as of July 2022 Sources: Public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings 0.46 0.30 0.45 0.42 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2³ 2019 2020 2021 2022 Median
  12. BEST IN CLASS EFFICIENCY 12
  13. Per FTE Efficiency and Productivity Productivity and efficiency are not mutually exclusive – we have seen multiple examples of companies that have meaningfully increased FTE productivity while maintaining FTE efficiency. 13 ARR and Annualized OpEx per FTE, Years after $10M $97K $128K $163K $177K $199K $230K $207K $215K $192K $196K $198K $205K 0 1 2 3 4 5 Annualized OpEx per FTE ARR per FTE ~$100M ARR Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings Median
  14. 0 1 2 3 4 5 237% 175% 146% 119% 103% 94% Efficiency by Function Over time, revenue should outpace operational spend. R&D tends to make up an increasingly smaller proportion of overall spend as leverage is achieved while S&M increases in share as companies scale and fuel their GTM engine. 14 G&A R&D S&M Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings OpEx as a % of Revenue by Function, Years after $10M Average
  15. Burn Multiple For every dollar that goes into my organization, how many dollars in revenue am I generating? We typically recommend companies have a burn multiple under 2x while scaling. On average, companies break-even in Year 6 after reaching ~$10M 15 Burn Multiple Net New ARR FCF Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings Burn Multiple: FCF / Net New ARR, Years after $10M Average -$19M -$20M -$26M -$39M -$50M $10M $14M $21M $37M $51M 1.9x 1.4x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 0 1 2 3 4 Non-profitable companies
  16. GROWTH & EFFICIENCY IN 2022 16
  17. 97% 100% 99% 3% Q1 Impact While shift in public and private markets became very real in Q1, most companies analyzed were able to maintain strong performance with a median of 99% attainment of incremental topline, coupled with healthy balance sheets coming out of 2021 (median 29 months runway). 17 Net Incremental Bookings: Median Attainment vs Plan Attainment defined as actuals as % of annual plan of net incremental bookings 2021 Q1 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 1% 3% Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings
  18. Q2 Impact The acceleration of impact was seen through Q2, with median topline attainment of 87%. In fact, recent months seem to be reflecting accelerated impact with a greater number of June / Aug quarter-end companies missing plan. 18 2021 Q1 2021 Q1 2022 Attainment defined as actuals as % of annual plan of net incremental bookings Q2 2022 97% 100% 99% 87% 3% 13% 1% 3% Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings Net Incremental Bookings: Median Attainment vs Plan
  19. Q2 Impact: Public Markets 19 Beat and Raise for Public SaaS Companies 95% 3.5% 91% 3.2% 78% 1.2% Q1 EARNINGS N = 96 Q2 EARNINGS N = 63 Beat against Consensus (Median Analyst Estimates) Beat against Management Guidance Raised Full-Year Estimate % of Companies Median Beat / Raise 89% 2.5% 87% 2.1% 50% 0.2% % of Companies Median Beat / Raise Median Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022; Q2 n-size lower due to not all companies having reported earnings yet Sources: Public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings
  20. Managing Efficiency Most companies fall into one of two camps of efficiency: 1. A strong Q2 driven by beats across both top and bottom line. Notably, companies in this group have an average scale ~3x that of other buckets. 2. A miss on topline plan in Q2 partially made up by a better burn rate than originally planned. 20 Attainment: Topline vs Bottomline as of Q2 Beat topline plan with more burn than anticipated Beat topline plan with less burn than anticipated Missed topline with more burn than anticipated Missed topline with less burn than anticipated Scale (2021 ARR or Revenue) Topline Attainment Bottomline Attainment Median Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
  21. Strategies to Navigate the Current Environment 21 While macro factors like sector headwinds and buyer impact have certainly played into quarterly performance, companies who have been able to beat topline and bottomline plan have also taken certain strategic actions to achieve their results. Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings SPEND REDUCTIONS REFORECASTING / ADJUSTMENTS TO PLAN HIRING SLOWDOWN / FREEZE CHANGES TO GTM STRATEGY REDUCTIONS IN FORCE (RIF) LEVERAGE OFFSHORE RESOURCES Most Common Less Common
  22. Key Takeaways (1 of 2) 22 Productivity and efficiency are not mutually exclusive – in fact, increasing productivity and efficiency is critical to getting to scale. Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings We have consistently seen companies with top-quartile growth double ARR in each of the first 2–3 years as they scale from ~$10M. Growth from existing logos becomes increasingly important as companies scale. The tides have started to shift from a historical model prioritizing growth above all else – requiring more founders to put an emphasis on efficiency earlier in their growth journey.
  23. Key Takeaways (2 of 2) 23 Nevertheless, there continue to be examples of companies that are meeting growth plans while preserving efficiency. Common strengths include a laser focus on customer success, product investments, forecasting rigor, and proactive planning. Notes: Information provided accurate as of August 2022 Sources: Financial and operating data from select ICONIQ Growth enterprise SaaS investments and public data from SaaS IPOs through 2H 2013 – 2021 via Factset and quarterly earnings The impact of the macro environment accelerated throughout Q2, with only a handful of companies analyzed meeting topline plan. Similarly, public SaaS companies are also navigating uncertainty in the current environment with the percentage of companies beating and raising down since Q1.
  24. Additional Insights and Studies from ICONIQ Growth 24 Find this content and more at iconiqcapital.com/growth/insights Topline Growth & Operational Efficiency 2022 Refresh Future of Work Series Go-to-Market Series The Path to IPO Series Engineering Efficiency
  25. THANK YOU Any Questions?
  26. How to Get in Touch Follow ICONIQ Growth @ICONIQGrowth Christine Edmonds @Edmonds_C cedmonds@iconiqcapital.com Doug Pepper @dougpepper doug@iconiqcapital.com
  27. Disclosure UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED, THE VIEWS EXPRESSED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE THOSE OF ICONIQ GROWTH ("ICONIQ" OR THE "FIRM"), ARE THE RESULT OF PROPRIETARY RESEARCH, MAY BE SUBJECTIVE, AND MAY NOT BE RELIED UPON IN MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION. INFORMATION USED IN THIS PRESENTATION WAS OBTAINED FROM NUMEROUS SOURCES. CERTAIN OF THESE COMPANIES ARE PORTFOLIO COMPANIES OF ICONIQ GROWTH. ICONIQ GROWTH DOES NOT MAKE ANY REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY OF THE INFORMATION OBTAINED FROM THESE SOURCES. THIS PRESENTATION IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE INVESTMENT ADVICE OR AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION OF AN OFFER TO BUY ANY SECURITIES WHICH WILL ONLY BE MADE PURSUANT TO DEFINITIVE OFFERING DOCUMENTS AND SUBSCRIPTION AGREEMENTS, INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, ANY INVESTMENT FUND OR INVESTMENT PRODUCT REFERENCED HEREIN. ANY REPRODUCTION OR DISTRIBUTION OF THIS PRESENTATION IN WHOLE OR IN PART, OR THE DISCLOSURE OF ANY OF ITS CONTENTS, WITHOUT THEPRIOR CONSENT OF ICONIQ, IS PROHIBITED. THIS PRESENTATION MAY CONTAIN FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS. THE RECIPIENT OF THIS PRESENTATION ("YOU") ARE CAUTIONED THAT A NUMBER OF IMPORTANT FACTORS COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS OR OUTCOMES TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE EXPRESSED IN, OR IMPLIED BY, THE FORWARD- LOOKING STATEMENTS. THE NUMBERS, FIGURES AND CASE STUDIES INCLUDED IN THIS PRESENTATION HAVE BEEN INCLUDED FOR PURPOSES OF ILLUSTRATION ONLY, AND NO ASSURANCE CAN BE GIVEN THAT THE ACTUAL RESULTS OF ICONIQ OR ANY OF ITS PARTNERS AND AFFILIATES WILL CORRESPOND WITH THE RESULTS CONTEMPLATED IN THE PRESENTATION. NO INFORMATION IS CONTAINED HEREIN WITH RESPECT TO CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, WHICH MAY BE SIGNIFICANT. THE PORTFOLIO COMPANIES AND OTHER PARTIES MENTIONED HEREIN MAY REFLECT A SELECTIVE LIST OF THE PRIOR INVESTMENTS MADE BY ICONIQ. CERTAIN OF THE ECONOMIC AND MARKET INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN MAY HAVE BEEN OBTAINED FROM PUBLISHED SOURCES AND/OR PREPAREDBYOTHER PARTIES. WHILE SUCH SOURCES ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE, NONE OF ICONIQ OR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES AND PARTNERS, EMPLOYEES AND REPRESENTATIVES ASSUME ANY RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE ACCURACY OF SUCH INFORMATION. ALL OF THE INFORMATION IN THE PRESENTATION IS PRESENTED AS OF THE DATE MADE AVAILABLE TO YOU (EXCEPT AS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED),AND IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE, AND MAY NOT BE CURRENT OR MAY HAVE CHANGED (POSSIBLY MATERIALLY) BETWEEN THE DATE MADE AVAILABLE TO YOU AND THE DATE ACTUALLYRECEIVED OR REVIEWED BY YOU. ICONIQ ASSUMES NO OBLIGATION TO UPDATE OR OTHERWISE REVISE ANY INFORMATION, PROJECTIONS, FORECASTS OR ESTIMATES CONTAINED IN THE PRESENTATION, INCLUDING ANY REVISIONS TO REFLECT CHANGES IN ECONOMIC OR MARKET CONDITIONS OR OTHER CIRCUMSTANCES ARISING AFTER THE DATE THE ITEMS WERE MADE AVAILABLE TO YOU OR TO REFLECT THE OCCURRENCE OF UNANTICIPATED EVENTS. FOR AVOIDANCE OF DOUBT, ICONIQ IS NOT ACTING AS AN ADVISER OR FIDUCIARY IN ANY RESPECT IN CONNECTION WITH PROVIDING THIS PRESENTATION AND NO RELATIONSHIP SHALL ARISE BETWEEN YOU AND ICONIQ AS A RESULT OF THIS PRESENTATION BEING MADE AVAILABLE TO YOU. ICONIQ IS A DIVERSIFIED FINANCIAL SERVICES FIRM AND HAS DIRECT CLIENT RELATIONSHIPS WITH PERSONS THAT MAY BECOME LIMITED PARTNERS OF ICONIQ FUNDS. NOTWITHSTANDING THAT A PERSON MAY BE REFERRED TO HEREIN AS A "CLIENT" OF THE FIRM, NO LIMITED PARTNER OF ANY FUND WILL, IN ITS CAPACITY AS SUCH, BE A CLIENT OF ICONIQ. THERE CAN BE NO ASSURANCE THAT THE INVESTMENTS MADE BY ANY ICONIQ FUND WILL BE PROFITABLE OR WILL EQUAL THE PERFORMANCE OF PRIOR INVESTMENTS MADE BY PERSONS DESCRIBED IN THIS PRESENTATION. Copyright © 2022 ICONIQ Capital, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
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