Discover the future of work 2012


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The Big Shift in Where, How and With Whom We Will Be Working

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Discover the future of work 2012

  1. 1. DISCOVER | The Future of Work The Big Shift In Where, How and With Whom We Will Be Working Target group: DISCOVER The Future 2012 event attendees Summary:
  2. 2. The journey so far: how we learned to leverage technology to increase our productivity and created wealth & happinessTechnology driven innovations led to: §  Increased productivity §  Many new products & services §  Tremendous growth in GDPAnd in terms of Gross National Happiness (GNH) §  Higher life expectancy §  Wellbeing and happiness 2
  3. 3. The existing economic and management paradigm: from earlyTaylorism to advanced MBA Thinking (1985 – 2010’s)How we learned to connect our brain with the theoutside world: ation s have ate ly o rganis urces to cre elief : on apital reso Core b ge and c d knowle ficiently ef wealth Change Can be anticipated and planned for (linear thinking) Competition Is the game we are in Highly uncertain Organisations Focus on shareholders and other Social responsibility stakeholders Leaders Focus on the why and what Managers Focus on the how and when Professionals Use talents to specialize Unskilled Unit of cost that should be made Workers redundant if possible 3
  4. 4. What is a paradigm? Paradigm The accepted theories, values and scientific practices within which a particular field of science operates Thomas Kuhn The Structure of Scientific Revolutions 4
  5. 5. What did we accomplish with all our hard work?: our relative tothe USA labour productivity from 1970 – 2000’s 5
  6. 6. Early signs of the end of an era? The true story about whathappened after 9/11 …. Results of the prevailing economic paradigm Over-engineered products & services ¡ Oversized financial sector ¡ Borrowed and virtual growth ¡ 6
  7. 7. What did we accomplish with all our hard work in the last 10years? A lost decade (already) ….. ?! 7
  8. 8. A look into our and your future: the power of a strong demographic trendWill lead to: §  A growing population (avg. est. 9bn. in 2045) UN High §  An aging population §  Rising prices of energy and commodities UN Medium UN Low Big challenges ahead of us! ¡ §  Social friction and unrest 8
  9. 9. The big shift: a global brain and new social consciousness is gaining traction and becoming increasingly more powerful! he ions have t te org anisat es to crea elie f : only ital resourc Core B ge and cap d knowle ficiently ef wealthGovernmentsOrganisations 9
  10. 10. First question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you want tocreate and what kind of life do you want to construct? Default Future Crafted Future by within the existing building a new paradigm? paradigm? 10
  11. 11. Second question to ask yourself:what kind of world do you want to be part of? Fragmentation Connecting and and isolation? co-creation? 11
  12. 12. Third question to ask yourself:what kind of world do you value? Social Social Exclusion? Engagement? 12
  13. 13. The first shift for building a new paradigm:what kind of skills do you need? SPECIALISATION: Single talent? Generalist? Multiple talents? SUPER-SPECIALISITION 13
  14. 14. The second shift for building a new paradigm:compete or collaborate? COMPETE WITH OTHERS? 0|0 0–0 COLLABORATE WITH OTHERS? 14
  15. 15. The third shift for building a new paradigm:happiness from money or from meaning? Work – Money – Consume – Happy € ∞ Work – Meaning – Happy – Money 15
  16. 16. The existing economic and management paradigm:how do paradigms die? Paradigm shifts A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die. Max Planck 16
  17. 17. The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die? Paradigm shift 1.  The existing paradigm encounters an anomaly 2.  Initially the anomaly is ignored or rejected 3.  People try to explain the anomaly within the existing paradigm 4.  A new paradigm is proposed in which the anomaly is resolved 5.  The establishment rejects the new model, often ridicules its proponents 6.  The new paradigm finally gains acceptance as it accounts for new observations 17
  18. 18. The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die? Paradigm shift Every truth passes through three stages before it is recognized: 1.  First it is ridiculed 2.  Second it is opposed 3.  Third, it is regard as self-evident Arthur Schöpenhauer 18