The document maps key trends that will shape the decade of the 2020s. It highlights how technologies like augmented reality, biological modification, and renewable energy will transform society. Networks and talent will become more distributed globally. Economic power will shift and the divide between the wealthy and others may increase without concerted action. Media and culture will continue evolving rapidly in a hyperconnected world.
1. Map of the Decade: 2010s
augmented reputation global
individuals humans economy talent
business
technology
haves and organizations economic
awakens
have nots to networks power shift
society
everything bio demographic
media collective destiny crunch
intelligence
culture
jamming climate energy government
clashes planet switch
2. Map of the Decade: 2010s
augmented human
More than ever before, we can transcend our human
abilities. Traditional memory aids are supplemented
by augmented reality glasses or contact lenses,
thought interfaces allow us to control machines,
augmented
exoskeletons give us superhuman power. Machines
humans will not take over humanity… because they will be us.
technology
organizations
awakens
to networks
bio
destiny
individuals business government planet society
3. Map of the Decade: 2010s
bio destiny
augmented Now that biological and genomic technologies are
humans largely driven by information technologies, they are
on the same exponential trajectory. Medicines
personalized to the individual, genetic modification
technology of our children, drugs to increase intelligence, and
awakens life extension will all become commonplace.
bio demographic
destiny crunch
energy
switch
individuals business government planet society
4. Map of the Decade: 2010s
climate clashes
The divide between believers and
dis-believers in climate change and
the necessity for action is increasing.
Beyond that, views on the potential haves and
of planetary engineering will cut to have nots
the heart of the divide on faith in or
fear of technology, Whatever the
meteorological data that emerges, it
will tear us apart.
culture
jamming climate energy
clashes switch
individuals business government planet society
5. Map of the Decade: 2010s
reputation global
economy talent
technology
awakens
collective intelligence
In a world of infinite information
and diversity of opinion we will not
everything
media collective drown, but harness our dormant
intelligence potential to be more together than
we are individually. Crowdsourcing
culture platforms and aggregators of
jamming insight will be part of the planks
that create the reality of a global
brain, expressing our destiny.
individuals business government planet society
6. Map of the Decade: 2010s
culture jamming
Remix culture will surge, with
everybody taking and jamming up
haves and
have nots slices of everything and anything
to express themselves, while
intellectual property law fails to
everything
keep pace. Every culture on the
media collective planet will reach everywhere –
intelligence
the only culture we will know is
a global mashed-up emergent
culture
climate culture that changes by the minute.
jamming
clashes
individuals business government planet society
7. Map of the Decade: 2010s
haves and organizations economic
have nots to networks power shift
bio demographic
demographic crunch destiny crunch
Many developed nations will start hitting
the wall in their ability to support their
elderly. The contrast with the rapid
growth of developing nations will bring
into focus the turn in economic fortunes.
The inevitable result is mass migration,
licit or illicit.
individuals business government planet society
8. Map of the Decade: 2010s
haves and organizations economic
have nots to networks power shift
demographic
economic power shift crunch
The sheer weight of China’s burgeoning economy
together with India’s rise will change the
business world’s center of gravity. The Far East energy
switch
will fund the continued profligate spending of
the West. The weightless economy based on
innovation, media, and professional services
will dominate growth.
individuals business government planet society
9. Map of the Decade: 2010s
energy switch
The way we use energy will change faster
than ever before in human history.
Renewable energy sources, electric cars, economic
and strict energy accounting, driven in power shift
part by carbon taxes on fossil fuels, will
transform transportation and large
chunks of the economy, faster than we bio
destiny
currently imagine.
climate energy
clashes switch
individuals business government planet society
10. Map of the Decade: 2010s
reputation
economy everything media
What we knew as media
has exploded far beyond its
technology
traditional boundaries to
awakens
encompass most social
activity, how organizations
function, and indeed the
everything
collective
creation of almost all
media
intelligence economic value. Even as
newspaper extinction
culture proceeds apace, the best
jamming media operators will thrive.
individuals business government planet society
11. Map of the Decade: 2010s
global talent
Talent is everywhere. As organizations
shift to networks, transcending reputation global
workplaces, success will be driven by economy talent
how well they can attract the most
talented, those who can choose where,
how, and why they work. Real-time
haves and organizations
translation software will enable true have nots to networks
multi-cultural teams. Wealth will flow
to the talented, wherever they are.
collective
intelligence
individuals business government planet society
12. Map of the Decade: 2010s
haves and have nots
Across communities,
nations, and the world, there reputation global
is a keen risk of increasing economy talent
separation between those
who have access to
technology, tools, and basic
needs, and those who do haves and organizations economic
have nots to networks power shift
not. This is not inevitable.
However it will require
concerted action around the
world to avoid an increasing demographic
crunch
schism between us.
culture
jamming climate
clashes
individuals business government planet society
13. Map of the Decade: 2010s
augmented global
humans talent
haves and organizations economic
have nots to networks power shift
organizations to networks
demographic
crunch
By the end of this decade close to half the workforce
will be working independently, often across national
boundaries. Companies will function on social
networks and gaming platforms, professionals will
work for many clients, and many of today’s
companies will be supplanted by networks of experts.
individuals business government planet society
14. Map of the Decade: 2010s
reputation global
economy talent
haves and reputation economy
have nots
Emerging measures of reputation will
shape business and society, providing
everything increasingly accurate views of the
collective
media
intelligence
trustworthiness of individuals and
companies. They will enable far more
efficient business, make dating easier,
help to filter information overload, and
allow no space for the dodgy to hide.
individuals business government planet society
15. Map of the Decade: 2010s
technology awakens
The 2002 book Living Networks described how
augmented the rise of a hyperconnected world is literally
humans bringing to life the networks that connect us.
Soon a profusion of billions of richly connected
devices will together manifest behaviors
technology
beyond all expectations, evolving themselves
awakens and seeking beauty.
everything bio
media collective destiny
intelligence
individuals business government planet society