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JAIPURIA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
                A
           PROJECT ON
       MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS

          SUBMITTED BY:-

          ROMANA AFTAB
           HEENA KUMARI
         ANSHU AGGARWAL
          KANAK KUMARI
          SATYAM KUMAR
         NILANSHU PANDEY
INTRODUCTION
   Natural gas is one of the most abundant energy
    resources on the planet, yet more than one-third of
    global natural gas reserves remain stranded and
    undeveloped.

   70% of gas traded internationally is exported by
    pipeline; 30% by liquefied natural gas (LNG).

   Alternative technologies have been refined and
    developed in recent years but are yet to make serious
    inroads into the challenges of developing remote gas
    fields
TECHNOLOGIES AVAILABLE TO TRANSPORT
    NATURAL GAS LONG DISTANCES
CONSUMPTION TRENDS
ENERGY MIX & EMISSIONS BY SOURCES: INDIA

  ENERGY MIX TODAY                      ENERGY MIX PROPOSED WITH 25
                                                      BCF/D NATURAL
                     coal
                                                    GAS CONVERSION
                                                         coal
    1%5%             oil
  8%          20%
                                                           oil
4%                   natural gas      1%5%       12%
                                    8%
                                   4%                      natural
                     hydro                                 gas
23%                                                        hydro
                     nuclear
                                                       36% nuclear
              39%    wind          33%
                                                           wind
                     blomass/oth
                     ers
                                                           blomass/o
                                                           thers
DEMAND AND SUPPLY GAP FOR NATURAL GAS
300

250

200

150                                                         Supply
                                                            Demand
100

 50

  0
      2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011   2011-2012
CHANGES IN DEMAND AND SUPPLY GAP IF
      ADDITIONAL GAS IS ANTICIPATED (PLAN XI)
300

250

200

150                                                          Supply
                                                             Demand
100

 50

  0
       2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011   2011-2012
INDIA NATURAL GAS SECTOR
CURRENT PRICING MECANISM IN INDIA
   Pricing of gas- Administered price mechanism

   In Xth plan, under APM-gas from nominated ONGC & OIL fields
    priced uniformly at Rs.2,850/(SCM). uniformly for all customers
    except in North East, wherein the customers were charged a
    price of Rs.1700 per 1000 SCM

   With effect from 1.7.06, the gas pricing for APM gas was
    changed. all available APM gas would be supplied only to the
    power and fertilizer sector consumers.

   All other consumers would be supplied natural gas at market
    related price subject to a ceiling of ex-Dahej RLN.
    Free market gas -JV/Private sector, re-gasified LNG etc.
DEMAND SIDE ISSUE

On the demand side, the challenge is to perform a
transition to prices closer to market prices while
maintaining the consumer’s competitiveness. This
price, more than twice the former APM price level
fixed by the government, has unsurprisingly
become a reference point. Being a private sector
company, RIL cannot sell gas at under cost;
therefore their clients have to be able to pay cost-
plus for any of their gas. Indeed gas availability and
affordability for customers are crucial for gas
development in India.
SUPPLY SIDE ISSUE

From the supply side, keeping artificially low APM
prices often sends the wrong signals: indeed, gas
prices have to be high enough in order to attract
upstream investments, and cover production costs
and the recovery of capital in order to limit under-
recoveries from PSUs.
These, unsurprisingly, complained that low prices
had been resulting in substantial losses for them.
INDIAN GAS MARKET OVERVIEW
MAJOR PLAYERS
  E&P -
  -       ONGC, OIL, RELIANCE, BRITISH GAS, CAIRN, NIKO,
          GSPC
  LNG -
  -       PETRONET LNG LTD (JV OF PSU,s, GDF, ADB)
  -       SHELL HAZIRA LNG LTD (SHELL, TOTALFINA-ELF)
  -       RATNAGIRI PROJECT
  GAS TRANSMISSION & MARKETING - GAIL (INDIA) LTD
  REGIONAL / RETAIL -
  MGL, IGL, GCC, GSPC, AGC, TNGCL, PLAYERS
   BGL, GSPL, GGL & OTHERS
MARKET SHARE
            Market share
       4%

19%
                           32%

                                 RELIANCE
                                 GAIL
                                 ONGC
                                 CNG
                                 OTHERS

24%

                   21%
THANK YOU…

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Managerial Economics Project at Jaipuria Institute

  • 1. JAIPURIA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT A PROJECT ON MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS SUBMITTED BY:- ROMANA AFTAB HEENA KUMARI ANSHU AGGARWAL KANAK KUMARI SATYAM KUMAR NILANSHU PANDEY
  • 2.
  • 3. INTRODUCTION  Natural gas is one of the most abundant energy resources on the planet, yet more than one-third of global natural gas reserves remain stranded and undeveloped.  70% of gas traded internationally is exported by pipeline; 30% by liquefied natural gas (LNG).  Alternative technologies have been refined and developed in recent years but are yet to make serious inroads into the challenges of developing remote gas fields
  • 4. TECHNOLOGIES AVAILABLE TO TRANSPORT NATURAL GAS LONG DISTANCES
  • 6. ENERGY MIX & EMISSIONS BY SOURCES: INDIA ENERGY MIX TODAY ENERGY MIX PROPOSED WITH 25 BCF/D NATURAL coal GAS CONVERSION coal 1%5% oil 8% 20% oil 4% natural gas 1%5% 12% 8% 4% natural hydro gas 23% hydro nuclear 36% nuclear 39% wind 33% wind blomass/oth ers blomass/o thers
  • 7. DEMAND AND SUPPLY GAP FOR NATURAL GAS 300 250 200 150 Supply Demand 100 50 0 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
  • 8. CHANGES IN DEMAND AND SUPPLY GAP IF ADDITIONAL GAS IS ANTICIPATED (PLAN XI) 300 250 200 150 Supply Demand 100 50 0 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012
  • 10.
  • 11. CURRENT PRICING MECANISM IN INDIA  Pricing of gas- Administered price mechanism  In Xth plan, under APM-gas from nominated ONGC & OIL fields priced uniformly at Rs.2,850/(SCM). uniformly for all customers except in North East, wherein the customers were charged a price of Rs.1700 per 1000 SCM  With effect from 1.7.06, the gas pricing for APM gas was changed. all available APM gas would be supplied only to the power and fertilizer sector consumers.  All other consumers would be supplied natural gas at market related price subject to a ceiling of ex-Dahej RLN.  Free market gas -JV/Private sector, re-gasified LNG etc.
  • 12. DEMAND SIDE ISSUE On the demand side, the challenge is to perform a transition to prices closer to market prices while maintaining the consumer’s competitiveness. This price, more than twice the former APM price level fixed by the government, has unsurprisingly become a reference point. Being a private sector company, RIL cannot sell gas at under cost; therefore their clients have to be able to pay cost- plus for any of their gas. Indeed gas availability and affordability for customers are crucial for gas development in India.
  • 13. SUPPLY SIDE ISSUE From the supply side, keeping artificially low APM prices often sends the wrong signals: indeed, gas prices have to be high enough in order to attract upstream investments, and cover production costs and the recovery of capital in order to limit under- recoveries from PSUs. These, unsurprisingly, complained that low prices had been resulting in substantial losses for them.
  • 14. INDIAN GAS MARKET OVERVIEW MAJOR PLAYERS E&P - - ONGC, OIL, RELIANCE, BRITISH GAS, CAIRN, NIKO, GSPC LNG - - PETRONET LNG LTD (JV OF PSU,s, GDF, ADB) - SHELL HAZIRA LNG LTD (SHELL, TOTALFINA-ELF) - RATNAGIRI PROJECT GAS TRANSMISSION & MARKETING - GAIL (INDIA) LTD REGIONAL / RETAIL - MGL, IGL, GCC, GSPC, AGC, TNGCL, PLAYERS BGL, GSPL, GGL & OTHERS
  • 15. MARKET SHARE Market share 4% 19% 32% RELIANCE GAIL ONGC CNG OTHERS 24% 21%