Modern Skepticism
  bias  the informed consensus


           Reed Esau
          21-Mar-2008
Modern Skepticism

       Respect for reliable
           evidence
       Avoiding the traps of
         faulty reasoning
Traps?
Cognitive Bias
Our brains aren’t
wired for objectivity

 They are wired
 for adaption
    survival
Cognitive biases are instances of
  evolved mental behavior


                 Mental shortcuts
                  that can...
An Experiment
 Four empty
 wine bottles

Same wine goes
into all bottles;
    re-cork

 Visible stickers
 ranging $5-90

A...
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus
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Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus

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An Introduction to Modern Skepticism, focusing on cognitive bias and how to make best use of an informed scientific consensus

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Modern Skepticism - Bias And The Informed Consensus

  1. 1. Modern Skepticism bias the informed consensus Reed Esau 21-Mar-2008
  2. 2. Modern Skepticism Respect for reliable evidence Avoiding the traps of faulty reasoning
  3. 3. Traps?
  4. 4. Cognitive Bias
  5. 5. Our brains aren’t wired for objectivity They are wired for adaption survival
  6. 6. Cognitive biases are instances of evolved mental behavior Mental shortcuts that can enable faster* decisions or reduce distraction *but not necessarily the best
  7. 7. An Experiment Four empty wine bottles Same wine goes into all bottles; re-cork Visible stickers ranging $5-90 A taste test with friends!

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