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Voting Intention Tracking Poll February 2010
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Fine Gael   Fianna Fáil   Labour  Sinn Féin   Green Party   Independents/   Other If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
Fianna Fáil   Fine Gael   Labour  Sinn Féin   Green Party   Independents/   Other General election 2007 Sept 27 th  2009 October 2009 November 2009 January 2010 February 2010 If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
If there were a  general election  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 34% 27% 17% Independent May ’ 09 Mar ’ 06 Apr ’ 06 May ’ 06 Jun ’ 06 Jul ’ 06 Sep ’ 06 Oct ’ 06 Nov ’ 06 Jan ’ 07 Feb ’ 07 Mar ’ 07 Apr ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 8% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 5% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 9% GE 2002 Feb ’ 06 Jan ’ 06 Dec ’ 05 Nov ’ 05 Sep ’ 05 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2006 2007 2008 2009 Feb ’10 2010
If there were a  general election  tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 34% 27% 17% Independent GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 8% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 5% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 9% May ’ 09 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2008 2009 Feb ’ 10
If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 28 th  Feb 2010 Excluding undecided 2007 Election Results % % % Fine Gael 29 34 27 Fianna Fáil 22 27 42 Labour 14 17 10 Sinn Féin 7 9 7 Green Party  5 5 5 Independents/Others 7 8 6 Undecided 16
Confidence in parties to manage the public finances out of the current downturn ( Base:  All adults 18+) Agree strongly Agree slightly Disagree slightly Disagree strongly Don’t know Sept ’08 Oct ’08 Oct ’09 Government Opposition Fine Gael/ Labour Feb ’10 Oct ’09 Feb ’10
Proportion who agree or disagree that they would be more likely to vote Fine Gael if Enda Kenny was not the leader Agree Disagree Don’t know TOTAL % Male % Female % Dublin % Munster % FG % Rest of Leinster % Conn. % FF % Labour % 22 19 25 29 21 22 19 17 14 21 Gender Region Party Preference
Proportion who agree or disagree that the Green Party should now leave the government coalition ( Base:  All adults 18+) Don’t know Disagree Strongly Disagree Slightly Agree Slightly Agree Strongly % Agree TOTAL Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+54 55-64 65+ Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Fein Green Party Gender Party Preference Age

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Sunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart Deck

  • 1. Voting Intention Tracking Poll February 2010
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Fine Gael Fianna Fáil Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
  • 7. Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other General election 2007 Sept 27 th 2009 October 2009 November 2009 January 2010 February 2010 If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
  • 8. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 34% 27% 17% Independent May ’ 09 Mar ’ 06 Apr ’ 06 May ’ 06 Jun ’ 06 Jul ’ 06 Sep ’ 06 Oct ’ 06 Nov ’ 06 Jan ’ 07 Feb ’ 07 Mar ’ 07 Apr ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 May ’ 07 GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 8% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 5% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 9% GE 2002 Feb ’ 06 Jan ’ 06 Dec ’ 05 Nov ’ 05 Sep ’ 05 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2006 2007 2008 2009 Feb ’10 2010
  • 9. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 34% 27% 17% Independent GE 2007 Sep ’ 07 Oct ’ 07 Nov ’ 07 Jan ’ 08 Feb ’ 08 Mar ’ 08 Apr ’ 08 May ’ 08 Jun ’ 08 Sep ’ 08 8% Oct ’ 08 Nov ’ 08 Jan ’ 09 5% Feb ’ 09 Mar ’ 09 Apr ’ 09 9% May ’ 09 May ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Sep ’ 09 Nov ’ 09 Oct ’ 09 Jan ’ 10 2008 2009 Feb ’ 10
  • 10. If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 28 th Feb 2010 Excluding undecided 2007 Election Results % % % Fine Gael 29 34 27 Fianna Fáil 22 27 42 Labour 14 17 10 Sinn Féin 7 9 7 Green Party 5 5 5 Independents/Others 7 8 6 Undecided 16
  • 11. Confidence in parties to manage the public finances out of the current downturn ( Base: All adults 18+) Agree strongly Agree slightly Disagree slightly Disagree strongly Don’t know Sept ’08 Oct ’08 Oct ’09 Government Opposition Fine Gael/ Labour Feb ’10 Oct ’09 Feb ’10
  • 12. Proportion who agree or disagree that they would be more likely to vote Fine Gael if Enda Kenny was not the leader Agree Disagree Don’t know TOTAL % Male % Female % Dublin % Munster % FG % Rest of Leinster % Conn. % FF % Labour % 22 19 25 29 21 22 19 17 14 21 Gender Region Party Preference
  • 13. Proportion who agree or disagree that the Green Party should now leave the government coalition ( Base: All adults 18+) Don’t know Disagree Strongly Disagree Slightly Agree Slightly Agree Strongly % Agree TOTAL Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45+54 55-64 65+ Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Fein Green Party Gender Party Preference Age