SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 12
Download to read offline
Voting Intention Tracking Poll 13 th  Feb 2011
Methodology and Weighting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fine Gael   Labour  Fianna Fail  Sinn Féin   Green Party   Independents/   Other If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
Fianna Fáil   Fine Gael   Labour  Sinn Féin   Green Party   Independents/   Other General election 2007 Oct 2010 Nov 2010 Dec 2010 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 13 th  Feb 2011 If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 13 th  Feb 2011 Excluding undecided 2007 Election Results % % % Fine Gael 31 38 27 Labour 16 20 10 Fianna Fáil 12 15 42 Sinn Féin 8 10 7 Green Party  2 3 5 Independents/ Others 14 15 6 Undecided 17
Fine Gael   Labour  Fianna Fail  Sinn Féin   Green Party   Independents/   Other Spiral of Silence Allocation of Undecided Voters. If there were a  general  e lection  tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ?  ( Base:  All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) The Spiral of Silence Assumes that one party is so poorly thought of that respondents are “ashamed” to admit that they will vote for them.  To take account of this we look at how those who are currently undecided or refuse to give a preference voted at the last general election. We then re-allocate 50% of these to the party they voted last time, and 50% to how the rest claim they will vote this time.
If there were a  general election  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 38% 20% 15% Independent 10% 3% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 14%
If there were a  general election  tomorrow, to which party  or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base:  All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 38% 20% 15% Independent 3% 10% 14%
General Election 2011 Run Up and Campaign 1 st  Preference Poll Trends  ( Base:  All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs Independent Fianna Fáil Labour Fine Gael Independent Sinn Féin Green Party
Second Preference among First preference voters FG % FF % Labour % % Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Independents Undecided First Preference Second  Preference TOTAL % Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011
Attitude to 1 st  Preference Voting for this Party at Next General Election FG % FF % Labour % % % (Base: All Adults Likely to Vote – 913) Definitely Will Likely To Might Do Probably Won’t Definitely Won’t D/K Refused Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th  Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th   Feb 2011

More Related Content

What's hot

Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deckSbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deckguest1148e9b
 
SBP June Poll 2010 Report
SBP June Poll 2010 ReportSBP June Poll 2010 Report
SBP June Poll 2010 ReportRichard Colwell
 
Sunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart Deck
Sunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart DeckSunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart Deck
Sunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart DeckRichard Colwell
 
SBP Nov Poll 2010 Report
SBP Nov Poll 2010 ReportSBP Nov Poll 2010 Report
SBP Nov Poll 2010 ReportRichard Colwell
 
SBP Oct poll 2010 chart deck
SBP Oct poll 2010 chart deckSBP Oct poll 2010 chart deck
SBP Oct poll 2010 chart deckRichard Colwell
 
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514Magellan Strategies
 
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114Magellan Strategies
 
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХmResearcher
 
AS Government & Politics - Voting and Social Influences
AS Government & Politics - Voting and Social InfluencesAS Government & Politics - Voting and Social Influences
AS Government & Politics - Voting and Social Influenceskirstyodair
 
New Poll Shows Trouble for Mike Pence
New Poll Shows Trouble for Mike PenceNew Poll Shows Trouble for Mike Pence
New Poll Shows Trouble for Mike PenceAbdul-Hakim Shabazz
 
Mainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian Broadcasting
Mainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian BroadcastingMainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian Broadcasting
Mainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian Broadcastingfriendscb
 
Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)
Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)
Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)evanescentprotest
 
Opinions of Canadians on the CBC
Opinions of Canadians on the CBCOpinions of Canadians on the CBC
Opinions of Canadians on the CBCfriendscb
 

What's hot (19)

Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deckSbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
 
SBP June Poll 2010 Report
SBP June Poll 2010 ReportSBP June Poll 2010 Report
SBP June Poll 2010 Report
 
Sunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart Deck
Sunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart DeckSunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart Deck
Sunday Business Post Feb Poll 2010 Chart Deck
 
SBP Nov Poll 2010 Report
SBP Nov Poll 2010 ReportSBP Nov Poll 2010 Report
SBP Nov Poll 2010 Report
 
SBP Oct poll 2010 chart deck
SBP Oct poll 2010 chart deckSBP Oct poll 2010 chart deck
SBP Oct poll 2010 chart deck
 
U.k. Election Special
U.k. Election Special U.k. Election Special
U.k. Election Special
 
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514
Magellan Strategies BR New Hampshire US Senate Survey 091514
 
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114
New Hampshire US Senate Survey Toplines 072114
 
Riding the Red Line
Riding the Red LineRiding the Red Line
Riding the Red Line
 
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
ОПРОС: КТО ПОБЕДИТ ТРАМПА НА СЛЕДУЮЩИХ ВЫБОРАХ
 
Counting the Council
Counting the CouncilCounting the Council
Counting the Council
 
AS Government & Politics - Voting and Social Influences
AS Government & Politics - Voting and Social InfluencesAS Government & Politics - Voting and Social Influences
AS Government & Politics - Voting and Social Influences
 
How's Holcomb Doing?
How's Holcomb Doing?How's Holcomb Doing?
How's Holcomb Doing?
 
Pete's Poll Numbers
Pete's Poll NumbersPete's Poll Numbers
Pete's Poll Numbers
 
New Poll Shows Trouble for Mike Pence
New Poll Shows Trouble for Mike PenceNew Poll Shows Trouble for Mike Pence
New Poll Shows Trouble for Mike Pence
 
Mainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian Broadcasting
Mainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian BroadcastingMainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian Broadcasting
Mainstreet Report for Friends of Canadian Broadcasting
 
Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)
Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)
Tearful Vladimir Putin Wins Russia's Presidential Election 2012 (Pictures)
 
paper (Autosaved)
paper (Autosaved)paper (Autosaved)
paper (Autosaved)
 
Opinions of Canadians on the CBC
Opinions of Canadians on the CBCOpinions of Canadians on the CBC
Opinions of Canadians on the CBC
 

Similar to SBP 13th Feb Poll 2011 Report

Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deckSbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deckRichard Colwell
 
Sbp oct poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp oct poll 2010 chart deckSbp oct poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp oct poll 2010 chart deckRichard Colwell
 
Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014
Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014
Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014Richard Colwell
 
General Election Regional Analysis 13th feb 2011
General Election Regional Analysis  13th feb 2011General Election Regional Analysis  13th feb 2011
General Election Regional Analysis 13th feb 2011Richard Colwell
 
December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214
December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214
December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-election
Ipsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-electionIpsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-election
Ipsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-electionSABC News
 
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Ipsos UK
 
RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010
RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010
RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010ExSite
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)Anne Marie Moran
 
The wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix it
The wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix itThe wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix it
The wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix itMike Osborne
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)Anne Marie Moran
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)Ipsos Public Affairs
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)Anne Marie Moran
 
UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters SABC News
 
Voting Systems - First Past the Post
Voting Systems - First Past the PostVoting Systems - First Past the Post
Voting Systems - First Past the Postknoxmodernstudies
 
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...SABC News
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)Anne Marie Moran
 
Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)
Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)
Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)Ipsos Public Affairs
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)Anne Marie Moran
 

Similar to SBP 13th Feb Poll 2011 Report (20)

Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deckSbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp mar poll 2010 chart deck
 
Sbp oct poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp oct poll 2010 chart deckSbp oct poll 2010 chart deck
Sbp oct poll 2010 chart deck
 
Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014
Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014
Government Parties May Benefit from Recovering Economy - RED C SBP Poll Sep 2014
 
General Election Regional Analysis 13th feb 2011
General Election Regional Analysis  13th feb 2011General Election Regional Analysis  13th feb 2011
General Election Regional Analysis 13th feb 2011
 
December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214
December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214
December Political Monitor: Attitudes to coalitions_191214
 
Ipsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-election
Ipsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-electionIpsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-election
Ipsos survey May 2014: Support for political parties pre-election
 
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
 
RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010
RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010
RedC Poll, Richard Colwell- Autumn Seminar 2010
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
 
The wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix it
The wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix itThe wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix it
The wasted votes problem in MMP - and how to fix it
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/18/2018)
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/25/2018)
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/04/2018)
 
UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters UJ survey on voters
UJ survey on voters
 
Voting Systems - First Past the Post
Voting Systems - First Past the PostVoting Systems - First Past the Post
Voting Systems - First Past the Post
 
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (03/28/2018)
 
Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)
Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)
Reuters/Ipsos Core Political Survey: Presidential Approval Tracker (08/19/2020)
 
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)
Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (04/11/2018)
 
Internet and politics dci group preso
Internet and politics dci group presoInternet and politics dci group preso
Internet and politics dci group preso
 

Recently uploaded

11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
Power in International Relations (Pol 5)
Power in International Relations (Pol 5)Power in International Relations (Pol 5)
Power in International Relations (Pol 5)ssuser583c35
 
13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
Geostrategic significance of South Asian countries.ppt
Geostrategic significance of South Asian countries.pptGeostrategic significance of South Asian countries.ppt
Geostrategic significance of South Asian countries.pptUsmanKaran
 
Political-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptx
Political-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptxPolitical-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptx
Political-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptxSasikiranMarri
 
12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 

Recently uploaded (6)

11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
11042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
Power in International Relations (Pol 5)
Power in International Relations (Pol 5)Power in International Relations (Pol 5)
Power in International Relations (Pol 5)
 
13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
13042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
Geostrategic significance of South Asian countries.ppt
Geostrategic significance of South Asian countries.pptGeostrategic significance of South Asian countries.ppt
Geostrategic significance of South Asian countries.ppt
 
Political-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptx
Political-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptxPolitical-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptx
Political-Ideologies-and-The-Movements.pptx
 
12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
12042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 

SBP 13th Feb Poll 2011 Report

  • 1. Voting Intention Tracking Poll 13 th Feb 2011
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Fine Gael Labour Fianna Fail Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
  • 5. Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other General election 2007 Oct 2010 Nov 2010 Dec 2010 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 13 th Feb 2011 If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+)
  • 6. If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) CURRENT FIRST PREFERENCE SUPPORT Core figures 13 th Feb 2011 Excluding undecided 2007 Election Results % % % Fine Gael 31 38 27 Labour 16 20 10 Fianna Fáil 12 15 42 Sinn Féin 8 10 7 Green Party 2 3 5 Independents/ Others 14 15 6 Undecided 17
  • 7. Fine Gael Labour Fianna Fail Sinn Féin Green Party Independents/ Other Spiral of Silence Allocation of Undecided Voters. If there were a general e lection tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would you give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults WHO WILL VOTE 18+) The Spiral of Silence Assumes that one party is so poorly thought of that respondents are “ashamed” to admit that they will vote for them. To take account of this we look at how those who are currently undecided or refuse to give a preference voted at the last general election. We then re-allocate 50% of these to the party they voted last time, and 50% to how the rest claim they will vote this time.
  • 8. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 38% 20% 15% Independent 10% 3% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 14%
  • 9. If there were a general election tomorrow, to which party or independent candidate would give your first preference vote ? ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs 38% 20% 15% Independent 3% 10% 14%
  • 10. General Election 2011 Run Up and Campaign 1 st Preference Poll Trends ( Base: All adults 18+) Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Party PDs Independent Fianna Fáil Labour Fine Gael Independent Sinn Féin Green Party
  • 11. Second Preference among First preference voters FG % FF % Labour % % Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Independents Undecided First Preference Second Preference TOTAL % Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011
  • 12. Attitude to 1 st Preference Voting for this Party at Next General Election FG % FF % Labour % % % (Base: All Adults Likely to Vote – 913) Definitely Will Likely To Might Do Probably Won’t Definitely Won’t D/K Refused Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011 Jan 2011 6 th Feb 2011 Dec 2010 13 th Feb 2011