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Day 1 Arab EE Guideline Monitoring & Evaluation: Concept & Progress


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Regional Workshop: National Energy Efficiency Action Plans Kempinski Hotel, Amman, Jordan 5 - 6 December, 2010

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Day 1 Arab EE Guideline Monitoring & Evaluation: Concept & Progress

  1. 1. Arab EE Guideline Monitoring & Evaluation Concept & Progress Regional Workshop: National Energy Efficiency Action Plans Amman, 5-6 December, 2010 Ashraf Kraidy Senior Expert Regional Center for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency
  2. 2. EE Policy Purpose Effective EE EE Market Policy Creation or Transformation Stimulate the demand for EE projects Lead the projects from the inception ideas to the actual implementation
  3. 3. Effective EE Policy Dynamics Design NEEAP 1 Policy 3 EE Market Redefine assessment Years Implement stimulation Plan EE measures Evaluate quantifying Evaluation
  4. 4. Policy Cycle within the Arab EE Guideline
  5. 5. Definition Of NEEAP target and Potential GWh/y technically and economically Contribution to Quantify savings energy saving by achieved sector & Revision of Design policy policy and package by targets sectorMonitoring and Evaluation of Cost analysis forEvaluation polices and projects within Steps and services policesprocedures Implementation and monitoring
  6. 6. While designing the monitoring and evaluation system for the region An important question should be addressed:What makes Arab EE Guideline implementation is difficult in the region..? The EE market have been characterized by Week demand for EE services and products, the absence of market development tools and measures and underdeveloped supply leave the market stuck in a deadlock Tailored –made approach for Monitoring and Evaluation system is highly needed for the region
  7. 7. Gap-analysis identifying barriers and obstacles Target Legal Agency S&L Financial Obligation ESCO Transport Awareness framework IncentivesALG x x x x x xEGY x x x x x xJOR x x x x x xLEB x x x xLIBMOR x x x x x xPAL x x xSYR x x x x xTUN x x x x x x x x xYEM x
  8. 8. Monitoring and Evaluation Methodology Monitoring and Evaluation system is needed not only for the policy implementation and evaluation but also when developing the NEEAP itself. Main methodological challenge related to NEEAP is toassess relationship between potentials, targets and effects of measures
  9. 9. Monitoring and Evaluation Approach Top – Down Approach Bottom – Up Approach
  10. 10. Top Down Approach• Purely statistical approach• Based on available national statistics and indicatorsAdvantages- Simple (i.e. well defined calculation process and inputs)- Less costly to implement then detailed bottom-up methodsDisadvantages- Does not consider individual EE measures and their impact- Does not show cause and effect relationships between measures and their resulting energy savings- Require huge amount of data- Data availability and reliability- Needs modeling and expert judgment to overcome the lack of data
  11. 11. Bottom – Up ApproachDisadvantages of this approach:the implementation of specific EE Energy savings obtained through measures to be evaluated1. This approach have two methodologies: Long time needed to achieve solid results2. 1- compare measurementsfield of evaluating and quantifying EE High experience in the of energy use made before and after implementation of an EE measure measures - May be very costly due to measurement equipment3. Monitoring and targeting system to be in theEE projects! - Recommended to be used only for large scale place4. 2- EE measure is awarded come certain amount of energy savings prior Implementation should with a before targets to its actual realization5. Accurate data depends on professional experience or frequent - Has significantly lower costs and is especially appropriate for replicable measures with well known impacts measurements - Should be used whenever possible, especially for simple6. Calculation should always be updated and with known impacts! measures capable for wide replications according to prices changes
  12. 12. EE targets in the Region Countries Date of Achieving Target Algeria (2007-2011) 1% per year (2020) 12% Morocco (2030) 15% Tunisia (2011) 20% Egypt (2022) 8.3% Jordan (2020) 20% Yemen (2025) 15% in Power sector
  13. 13. The need to EE Indicators - Primary energy demand would increase by an average of 5% per annum - Electricity consumption growth rate by 8% per year Energy Security Long term policies on EE DependencyPolicy design and monitoring require the use of relevantindicators to optimize decision making and assessingpolicy choice at both global and sector level
  14. 14. The Study of EE Indicators by RCREEE“Study and implementation of a set of energyefficiency indicators and data base in Southern andEastern Mediterranean countries”Objectives of the study:Strengthening the capacity of RCREEE MS in monitoringtheir energy policies by using the EE indicators.
  15. 15. Levels of Indicators Global • Energy intensity • GHG emissions per GDP • The structural changes effectSectorial • Specific Energy ConsumptionDiffusion • Market share of efficient technology • Energy efficient practice
  16. 16. EE Indicators Study Implementation Cooperation & co-financing Agreement• 12 months study• International Consultant, national private experts, governmental focal points• Steps: 1. Setting the Indicators 2. Data Collection 3. Training on the methodology 4. workshops & Round table 5. Dissemination and publication of the results Energy data & indicators Network
  17. 17. RCREEE Direct Activities to Support the Arab EE GuidelineSupport drawing NEEAPs for all member statesSupport the guideline Implementation, evaluationand reporting (Watch Role)
  18. 18. Support drawing NEEAPsCoordination plan (MED-EMIP, MED-ENEC, LAS,ESCWA and RCREEE) to support countries to draw a3 year (NEEAP)1. Prepare NEEAP Template2. Workshop “National plans for energy regional challenges” Tunisia July, 20103. National workshops, Ministerial Meetings, National events and consultancy services Lebanon, Jordan, Syria, Libya, Algeria, Morocco and Egypt
  19. 19. Support the guideline Implementation (watch role of RCREEE)RCREEE will play the watch role for implementing andevaluating the NEEAPs• Tunisia workshop recommended “To request a regional institution to monitor the qualitative progress and quantitative impact of national energy efficiency action plans (NEEAP) and to publish regularly an annual report about its findings to be widely distributed and discussed through the stakeholders’ networks”• Resolution of the last EE workgroup and then the RE&EE Experts Committee meeting that RCREEE will be this regional institution
  20. 20. Objectives• RCREEE to provide most efficient support to LAS in the field of the implementation of the Arab EE directive.• This includes regular monitoring and reporting activities addressing authorities and the public as well as consulting and training.• Developing evaluation methodology and finding criteria for the screening and the evaluation of National Energy Efficiency Action Plans (NEEAP) and defining the content, structure and format of the outcome and reports• Awareness raising through disseminating of study findings: 1. Supporting awareness raising on the energy efficiency through communication elements (newsletter, press releases), expert articles and media campaigns 2. Organizing meetings and events 2011-2013
  21. 21. Watch Role Function….1• Developing evaluation methodology and finding criteria for the screening and the evaluation of National Energy Efficiency Action Plans (NEEAP) and defining the content, structure and format of the outcome and reports• According to NEEAPs, an update of evaluation of political and legislative measures, instruments in the field of energy efficiency within the framework of the EE Directive• Revision and updating the format of the envisioned annual report
  22. 22. Watch Role Function…2• Prepare a draft of the first Arab Energy Efficiency Progress Report 2011• Help to keep communication and exchange of information alive with up to 4 highly relevant committees working in the same subject area• Support events for awareness raising, marketing and communication• Make available or give access to newest international developments about the subject
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  24. 24. Thank you for your attention.Regional Centre for Renewable Energy and Energy EfficiencyNasr City, Cairo, EgyptTel. +2 02 241 54 691Fax +2 02 241 54 661Eng. Ashraf Kraidy