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©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Hospital Costs : Key to Managing
Healthcare Costs
Rajendra Pratap Gupta
Shangri-La at the Fort
Manila, Philippines
23rd August , 2017
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Global Scenario - A model that
works ?
Economics of Scale
Learning
Emerging models
Future of Healthcare & Hospitals
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Health is a top priority globally
‘Good Health & Well-Being’
one of the top three goals
for sustainable
development
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
USA is no 1 in Spending But 11th in
Healthy lives
U.K. is no. 1 in Quality & Coverage
but 10th in Health lives
France is no. 1 in Healthy life
indicators but 9th in overall rankings
More money ≠ More care
More Healthcare ≠ Better Health
TeD	talk	@	NUS	Singapore	in	2015	:	hDps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iI6Kj6fds
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Health Care System Performance Compared
to Spending
y = -12.718x + 1.4
R² = 0.58451
-1.00
-0.80
-0.60
-0.40
-0.20
0.00
0.20
0.40
Overall Index
9%
10%
11%
9%
10%
11%
12%
11%
10%
Note: Health care spending as a percent of GDP.
Source: Spending data are from OECD for the year 2014, and exclude spending on capital formation of health care providers.
Higher
health system
performance
Lower
health system
performance
Eleven-country average
Higher health care spendingLower health care spending
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Why is Healthcare
Expensive
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
“Hospital	costs	are	the	biggest	single	piece	of	
healthcare	spend	in	America”		
-	George	Halvorson,	2009
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Hospital Spending & Hospital Discharge per
capita…. Data speaks$1,402
$1,239
$1,473
$1,614
$1,804
$2,132
$2,075
$2,253
$1,592
$1,759
$1,310
$2,811
$5,586
$8,434
$8,785
$9,346
$9,975
$11,363
$11,472
$13,540
$14,404
$14,832
$15,754
$20,932
Germany
NewZealand
France
Australia
Sweden
Norway
Denmark
Switzerland
Japan
Netherlands
Canada
UnitedStates
Hospital Spending per
capita
Hospital Spending per
Discharge
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Sickest	11	%	consume	85	%	of	the	resources	in	
America*	
	
*	Healthcare	Reforms	in	India		-	Making	up	for	the	Lost	decades,	by	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	(	E
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Why is healthcare spending rising?
Hospital costs
are rising
Newer
treatments are
expensive
Lifestyle/chronic
diseases
•  Higher cost of inputs
•  Increasing overheads
•  New Technology
•  Biologics and biosimilar
•  Transplants
•  People live longer
•  Unhealthy life style
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Hospital costs are a significant burden on
healthcare system
Hospital costs are an important
aspect of this challenge and need
to be addressed urgently for
reducing the cost of healthcare, and
also for improving the quality of
healthcare.
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Cost break-up of a multi-disciplinary hospital
20% 25% 30%20% 5%
Physician
Salaries
Staff Salaries ConsumablesAdmin costs Others
45% costs are on salaries
65% costs are operational
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
It	is	a	known	fact	that	opera@onal	
expenses	represent	a	major	cost	of	the	
healthcare	projects		
(Taylor,	2011,	p.	14)	
Economies	of	Scale	in	Healthcare
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Larger	hospitals	with	over	500	beds	have	
been	able	to	reduce	the	cost	of	labor	In	
Germany	
	(Lister,	2011,	p.	20)				
	
Economies	of	Scale	in	Healthcare
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Studies	have	supported	the	belief	that	bigger	the	
size	of	the	hospital,	beJer	is	the	produc@vity	and	
is	economically	significant	.	It	has	been	analysed	
that	when	the	size	of	the	hospital	doubles,	the	
produc@vity	of	the	hospital	increases	by	10	%	
	(Masayuki,	2010)	
Economies	of	Scale	in	Healthcare
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Hospitals follow an “Economies of Scale”
principle
“Studies of the hospital
production function have also
been used to test hypotheses
about economies of scale by
estimating the relationship
between input and output. If
output increases more than an
equal proportional increase in
all inputs, this is obvious
evidence of economies of
scale”.
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Higher	capacity	u@liza@on	leading	to	beJer	produc@v
per	resource,	higher	bargaining	power	thus	lowering	
cost	of	inputs,	mul@-disciplinary	working	efficiency	&
higher	bouquet	of	services	-	all	make	large	hospital
chains	a	compelling	value	proposi@on	for	the	investor
payer	&	the	pa@ent		
-	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
Economies	of	Scale	in	Healthcare
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
There	are	examples	of	smaller	nursing	
homes	quo@ng	lesser	prices	due	to	lower	
over-heads	compared	to	larger	hospitals		
(Gyani,	2015)	
Contrary	Evidence
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
What’s the future
of Healthcare &
Hospitals ?
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Healthcare system of Sri Lanka
shows, that Public hospital based-
Single payer healthcare systems
deliver better health indicators at a
lower GDP per capita spend on
healthcare
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Sri Lanka Model
Sri Lanka is a public hospital dominated health care system
1930s 1950s Present
Prioritization of hospitals
in healthcare policy
Hospital spending
accounted for 70
percent of government
recurrent spending
Better health indicators
than some European
countries
Hospital Industry worldwide has become quite influential BUT if we continue this way,
the headwinds will become stronger with time !!
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Healthcare costs will bankrupt the
developed and developing nations, if the
cost curve is not bent in time
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Will Health Costs Bankrupt America?
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Healthcare costs unsustainable in advanced
economies without reform
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
What next?
What is the future?
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
“Value Based Care” models
Crisis of relevance – Payment for Procedures to Payment for Outcom
Accountable
Care
Organizations
(ACO)
ACOs are alliances of
doctors, hospitals and
other health care
providers that deliver
and coordinate care for
their patients
•  Goal alignment
between doctor,
hospital, and patient
•  Population based
care
Patient-
Centered
Medical Home
(PCMH)
Primary care doctor led
model that is focused
on providing enhanced
care coordination
across the health care
system
•  Better access to
care
•  Improved outcomes
Pay for
Performance
(P4P)
 Rewards doctors and
hospitals that improve or
maintain quality, while
keeping across-the-
board rate increases
lower
•  Improves quality of
care
•  Improves efficiency
Bundled
Payments
A single payment is
made to doctors or
health care facilities (or
jointly to both) for all
services associated with
an episode-of-care
•  Reduces ‘over
treatment’
•  Reduces costs
•  Increases
coordination
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
ACO: Kaiser Permanente
The face of future hospitals
Kaiser Permanente is a clear example of the
clinical structure and coordination that
underpin the ACO concept, such as:
•  Providing quality, patient-centered health
care across the care continuum
•  Measuring performance systematically
•  Investing in infrastructure and resources
•  Promoting accountability among
practitioners
“Kaiser Permanente takes the responsibility of
the population it covers and the most cost-
effective plan across all markets”
Aon Hewitt
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
eConsult*	
	
•  35	%	required	F2F	consultaNon		
•  eConsults	took	a	third	of	the	Nme	of	a	F2F	consult	
•  98	%	of	the	eConsults	were	appropriate	
•  84	%		of	the	referring	primary	care	physicians	were	very	or	somew
saNsfied		
•  Over	90	%	of	the	paNents	were	very	or	somewhat	saNsfied		
*	Think	BIG,	start	small,	MOVE	FAST	by	Nicholas	LaRusso	,	Barbara	Spurrier	&	Gianrico	Farrugia–	(	N-6
	
					DigiNzaNon	is	here	to	stay	&	can	flip	the	healthca
				infra	matrix	..
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Learning so far…
Bigger, better
hospitals
Tech Integration
Policy level
changes
•  Lean Six Sigma
•  Economies of
scale
•  Profitable
•  Multi-disciplinary
•  Co-ordinated care
•  Better & Timely
access to health
•  Asset light models
•  Better outcomes
•  Universal health
care
•  Public private
partnership
•  Accountable care
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
Future ?
Technology & Automation will
become a dominant force . Low
cost – Asset light models / ‘No frills’
hospitals
Profit capping – Political Issue
Insurance has to reinvent to
assurance
Consolidation in the hospital Industry is the
inevitable – Economies of Scale will cut
down costs & is the way forward
©	Rajendra	Pratap	Gupta	
emailrajendra@yahoo.com	
@rajendragupta	 www.facebook.com/rajendragupta

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