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MOVING FORWARD
TOWARDS THE
NETWORKED SOCIETY

Héctor De Tommaso
Head of Marketing
Latin America

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 1
ERICSSON VISION: 50B
 CONNECTIONS BY 2020
                                                                                   THINGS     50 B
                                                             55 hexabytes


                                                        Digital Society
                                                       Sustainable World


                                        Personal
                                         Mobile
                                                               Inflection
                                                                 points            PEOPLE    5.0 B
            Global
          Connectivity
                                                                                   PLACES ~0.5 B


         1875            1900            1925         1950    1975          2000   2025     Source: Ericsson



                        Inflection points driving our business…
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 2
TECHNOLOGIES FOR
           THE NETWORKED SOCIETY

                                  +                   +
 MOBILITY SERVICE AWARE                                   CLOUD
BROADBAND NETWORK



Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 3
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 4
HIGH DATA VOLUMES IN METRO
AREAS




                                                      Ericsson Traffic and Market report June 2012

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 5
ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB - the voice of the consumer

                         WE CONDUCT                                                       WE OFFER


                                                                                    STRATEGIC      MARKET
                                                                    CONSUMER                                     CONSUMER
                                                                                    CONSUMER       REALITY
                                                                      INSIGHT                                  SEGMENTATION
                                                                                     ANALYSIS    SIMULATION
                                                                     REPORTS        & ADVISORY                    MODELS
                                                                                                    TOOL
  MEASURING        REPORTING        ANALYZING            TRACKING




                                                                                 FUTURE
                           SMARTPHONE
                                                                                SCHOOLS
                             USAGE                                                                    PRIVACY
RURAL &                                                                                   COMMUNI-
                                                                                                                   APP
CITY LIFE                                    TV &                                          CATION
             CONSUMER                                                                                            CULTURE
                                            VIDEO                                          TRENDS
             EXPERIENCE
                                                           NEW INSIGHTS
                                                           IN KEY AREAS


            MORE THAN                      IN MORE THAN                   REPRESENTING                 IN MORE THAN

     1Million                                     70                1.1Billion                                40
         RESPONDENTS                  COUNTRIES SINCE 1995                 INDIVIDUALS            COUNTRIES/ANNUALLY




   BUILDING THOUGHT LEADERSHIP - SHAPING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY
   Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 6
HIGH SMARTPHONE OWNERSHIP
                           Another type of mobile phone
                           An Android phone
                           An iPhone                      › Only around 10% of the
100%                                                        worldwide installed base
 90%                                                        of subscriptions use
 80%                                                        smartphones (*)
 70%
 60%                                                      ”City Study 2011” results:
 50%
 40%
                                                          › Approximately 40% of city
 30%                                                        citizens own an iPhone or
 20%                                                        an Android phone
 10%
   0%                                                     › There are major
                                                            differences between cities
      Lo Lon ul
              o g
            es ro
               C l




              kh i




             g rk
              To lo




           A on




                    g
       H wY s
             B lm


                    w


                    o
                   ta


            M urg
           oc ba


           M i jin




            e e


                 on
                 ky
        Sã s co




                  o
                  u




         on o
        nn ai
                To




         N el
                 o




                 d
               Se
       St um




               Pa
               b




               K
               e




              ng
            o




         s
      ha
    Jo




                                                          (*) Source: Ericsson Traffic and Market
                                                          Data Report Interim Update (Feb. 2012)

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 7
HIGH USAGE OF INTERNET SERVICES, INCLUDING
HIGH CAPACITY SERVICES

› More than 10 Internet services are used daily by at least 30% of the city citizens,
  including high capacity services such us watching videos
         Browsing the Internet (Personal use)
                             Personal E-mail
                Social Networks: Read/check
                                 Work E-mail
                 Read newspaper/magazines
                             Chat/messaging
          Browsing the Internet (Work usage)
        Social Networks: Update/write/upload
              Product info/price comparisons
                           Watch Video clips                            35%
                              Listen to music
                              On-line gaming
                        Watch longer videos                       28%
                             Internet banking
     Check time schedules/traffic information
                                IP-Telephony
                            Distance learning                                                     Percent of city
                                Buy products                                                        population
                                                                                                   (Daily users)
                                                0%    10%   20%   30%   40%   50%   60%   70%   80%
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 8
WHAT IS “GOOD QUALITY”?
                                                                    “Works efficiently”

             “Easy to use”

                                                                      “You don’t have to do
   “The number one thing                                               too many complicated
      is convenience”                                                      things with it”


                                                                    “Something that
“Quality is having access to                                      doesn’t crash on you”
   the network anytime,
 anywhere, the provider is
                                                          “I would say good quality is
    responsible for this”
                                                       something that works consistently”



 Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 9
POOR QUALITY IS…




            Waiting…                                     No access         Crashing




         Slowing down                                  Draining Battery   Complicated/
                                                                           Confusing

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 10
CONCLUSIONS: DRIVERS OF INCREASED
       USAGE OF MOBILE DATA

      BETTER                  LOWER
      SPEED                  PRICE OF                  BETTER
                               DATA                    BATTERY
                                                         LIFE                BETTER
      40-45%
                                 30-45%                                     COVERAGE                            20-30%
        Least in
         Brazil                Strongest in              30-40%                                                 Strongest Indonesia
                               Indonesia &             Strongest in                                  BETTER
                                  Brazil                UK & US                30-40%                 COST
                                                                             Strongest in             MGMT
                                                                              Indonesia
                                                                                                      IF AFFORD
                                                                                            15-25% BETTER
                                                                      Strongest in Brazil & Indonesia   PHONE
                                                                                                                         MORE
                                                                                                                         PHONE
                                                                                                                 15-25% MEMORY
                                                                                             Strongest in Brazil & Indonesia
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Smarter MBB Offering – The Consumer View, 2012. UK, US, Brazil & Indonesia

       Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |     Page 11
MARKET TRENDS 2012
                Categories                                           Market Trends
                                                        Mass market adoption of smartphones and
1 Smartphones, tablets &
  connected devices                                     emerging connected devices business


                                                        Life goes mobile with social networks, apps,
2 Content, apps, social
  networks & cloud                                      content, cloud services, commerce and more


                                                        Innovation, collaboration and new business
3 Monetizing mobile broadband                           models unlocking the value of networks


                                                        Growth and efficiency driving transformation and
4 Efficiency & outsourcing                              outsourcing of OSS/BSS and networks


    Network performance, technology                     Focus on high performance mobile broadband
5 evolution & next generation                           networks
    networks
 Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 12
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 13
MOBILE
BROADBAND

Carlos Barnes
Principal Consultant
Latin America

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 14
MOBILE TRAFFIC GROWTH




                                                       Based on actual measurements
                                                       DVB-H, Wi-Fi, and WiMax are not included
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 15
WHAT'S DRIVING THE GROWTH?
› Number, Availability and Price of Smartphones
› New connected devices
› Better User Interface
› Mobile Applications
› Laptop Penetration
› Cheap Dongles
› HSPA Networks
› Effective Pricing Plans
› Clients Usage Profiles




Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 16
A LONG ROAD AHEAD…
                                   Global Smartphone vs Mobile Phone Users 2012 E
                                                               +4
                                                                        5 BILLION
                                   5,0
               Global Users (MM)




                                   4,5

                                   4,0
                                   3,5

                                   3,0

                                   2,5                                      5

                                   2,0

                                   1,5
                                               1 BILLION
                                   1,0

                                   0,5                  1

                                   0,0
                                           Smartphones Users        Mobile Phone Users

Note: 1 user may have multiple devices…
                                                                                Source: Morgan Stanley
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |    Page 17
ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE…

                                                                              • Smartphones > 5B
                                                                              • TV => Tablet
                                                                              • App Centric lifestyle
                                                                              • Augmented Reality
                                                                              • 40% of Phones sold
                                                                              during Q3 were
                                                                              Smartphones!




                                                       Fast Forward to 2020

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 18
NETWORK TRAFFIC DEVELOPMENT

                                                       Industry estimates place global IP traffic
                                                       quadrupling over the next 4 years.
                                                       • CAGR of 35%
                                                       • 90% will be Video
                                                       • 60% will be Internet Video

                                                                                      Source: Frost & Sullivan



                              BY 2015 90% OF ALL
                            NETWORK TRAFFIC WILL
                                      BE

                                             VIDEO
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 19
WINNING STRATEGY
      HIGH END &
                                                           SERVICE             NETWORK IS THE
     MASS MARKET
                                                       DIFFERENTIATION         DIFFERENTIATOR
       DEVICES




                                                       Price
                                                               Demand-based
                                                               pricing / QoS
                                                                                 S/N



                                                                       Subs
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 20
NETWORK DESIGN, TUNING &
OPTIMIZATION




                                Key for Customer Experience & Satisfaction

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 21
COVERAGE & SPEED KEY TO
END USER SATISFACTION




Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 22
TECHNOLOGY MOMENTUM IN
NETWORKS




                             Key Technologies for Evolving the Network

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 23
HETEROGENEOUS NETWORKS:
WAY FORWARD FOR CAPACITY &
SPEED
    IMPROVED MACRO
    Enhanced macro site with extended
    functionality providing higher
    capacity and higher data rates

                                                                              Higher
                                                                              data rates

    DENSIFIED MACRO
    Additional sites

                                                        Higher capacity



                                                                             Very high
    HETEROGENOUS NETWORK                                                     data rates
    Macro + ”Small Cells” providing very
    high capacity and very high data rates


                                                        Very high capacity


 Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 24
MBB GROWTH WORLDWIDE




                                                       85% WCDMA/HSPA Population
                                                            Coverage by 2017
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 25
STRONG LATAM GROWTH
    Active iOS and Android devices                             TIM Brazil pre-paid success
                         YoY growth                                                    d

                                                          Data revenue [billion BRL]       Smartphone % of new sales
                                                              +40.3%

    Chile                          279%
                                                                           1,03
                                                                                                           79
                                                             0,73
   Brazil                    220%                                                               54


Argentina                    217%
                                                           Q2 2011       Q2 2012             Q2 2011     Q2 2012

  Mexico                  193%

                                                                                           Daily plan
    Source: Flurry                                                                          - Data access $0.25
                                                                                           10M unique users/day




     Latam Top Growth Region                               Innovative Smartphone Data Plans

   Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 26
LTE DIFFERENTIATION TRENDS

                                      Fraction of Operators by Tariff Type

        100%


         80%

                                                                                                                   Speed based
         60%                                                                                                       (only or combined with
                                                                                                                    data allowance)
         40%
                                                                                                                   Volume based (only)

         20%
                                                                                                                   Unlimited

          0%
                     Africa       Americas             APAC      Europe     Middle East      Global



                                       Smartphone                Dongle              Source: Wireless intelligence operator survey (July 2012)
                                        dominated               dominated



                                                                Volume Based offerings in
                                                              Smartphone Dominated Markets
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 27
OPEN MOBILE: PUERTO RICO




Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 28
UNE COLOMBIA




Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 29
TELCEL MEXICO


 20 Mbps downlink
     speeds
   commercially


      No price
   differentiation
  between 3G and
       4G LTE


                                                       65% of population covered by
                                                          June 2013 (26 cities)
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 30
BRAZIL




                                                       Providing LTE capabilities to ALL
                                                                  operators!
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 31
LATIN AMERICA NEW SPECTRUM AUCTIONS
ANNOUNCED GOVERNMENT INTENTIONS Q4 2012
                           2010              2011           2012        2013         2014            2015       2016         2017+
         Argentina                                       • AWS                                                               • 700 MHz

         Bahamas                                         • 700 MHz
         Bolivia                                                       • 700 MHz
                         • 1900 MHz    • 800 MHz         • 450 MHz
         Brazil          • 2100 MHz    • 1700 MHz        • 2.5 GHz                                             • 700 MHz
                                       • 1800 MHz        • 3.5 GHz
         Chile           • 1900 MHz                      • 2.5 GHz     • 700 MHz
                         • AWS
                                                         • 1900 MHz    • 700 MHz
         Colombia        • 2.5 GHz      • 1900 MHz       • AWS         • 900 MHz
                                                         • 2.5 GHz
                                       • 850 MHz
         Costa Rica                    • 1800 MHz                                                                            • 700 MHz
                                       • 2100 MHz
                                                        •   900 MHz
         Dom. Rep.                                      •   AWS                                    • 700 MHz
         Ecuador                                        •   1900 MHz
                                                        •    AWS
         El Salvador                                     • 1900 MHz
                         • 1900 MHz                     • AWS          • 2.5 GHz    • 700 MHz
         Mexico          • AWS
         Nicaragua       • 700 MHz                                     • 1900 MHz
         Panama                                                        • 700 MHz
                                                                                                                                              * Already licensed

         Paraguay                                       • AWS          • 2.5 GHz                                                              * Auction ongoing
                                                                                                                                              * Risk of delay
         Peru                           • 1900 MHz      • 900 MHz      • AWS
                                                                       • 700 MHz                                                              * Tentative Plan

         Puerto Rico     • 700 MHz
                                                        • 850 MHz
         T&T                                            •1900 MHz      • 700 MHz
                                                        • 900 MHz
         Uruguay                                        • 1900 MHz                  • 2.5 GHz      • 700 MHz
                                                        • AWS
         Venezuela                                      • 1800 MHz
                                                        • 1900 MHz
                                        Completed/ongoing Auctions        Tentative new Auctions                   Source: RLAM Regulators (Oct. 2012)

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 32
IT IS NOT ABOUT THE
KILLER APPLICATION, BUT
THE KILLER EXPERIENCE...



Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 33
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 34
4TH GENERATION
IP NETWORKING

Tomás Lynch
Senior Solution Architect
Fixed Broadband & Convergence
Latin America
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 35
THE NETWORKED SOCIETY

› When one person is connected their life changes. When
  everything is connected our world changes. In the world of
  50 billion connected devices, everything benefiting from a
  connection will have one.




Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 36
A NEW ERA


                                                       Network …



                                                 3
                        2
      1
Analogue           Digital         Broadband
  Era               Era            Installation
                                       Era

                                                           …. The Networked
                                                                Society
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 37
THREE INSTRUMENTAL INSIGHTS

                      THE WORLD                                                NEW SERVICES   NETWORK = THE
                     GOES MOBILE &                                             AND BUSINESS         KEY
                       BB. FAST.                                                 MODELS       DIFFERENTIATOR
                                                 4 000
      Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (million)




                                                 3 000




                                                 2 000




                                                 1 000




                                                     0
                                                         2010 2015


Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |                           Page 38
BROADBAND SERVICES
MOVING TO THE CLOUD – GETTING PERSONAL & MOBILE




                               to the Cloud




                                   personal & mobile   i
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 39
THE 4TH GENERATION OF IP
NETWORKING
 A CORNER-STONE OF
 ERICSSON’S OVERALL
 NETWORK VISION FOR
 THE NETWORKED                                              http://www....
 SOCIETY
                                                                              4th Generation
                                        IP             IP   3rd Generation    User to User/
                                                                              Network/Cloud
                                                            User to Network
                                     2nd     Generation
1ST Generation                               Network to
   Host to host                               Network




Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 40
4TH. GENERATION OF IP
NETWORKING


 1           SIMPLE
 › Challenge – the network is
                                                   2           SMART
                                                   › Challenge – the network
                                                                                      3       SCALABLE
                                                                                      › Challenge – growth of
   over-layered, complex &                           needs to be aware of users,        bandwidth, subscribers,
   costly, but traffic centralized                   devices, content, location         devices & sessions


 › Solution – optimize with                        › Solution – look inside the       › Solution – increase capacity
   verified network solutions,                       pipe & control the content         while distributing intelligence;
   de-layer, apply glue                              flow with intelligent policy       focus on new signaling
   technology, i.e. MPLS                             technology                         control technologies




                                    AN AMAZING EXPERIENCE
                                                       User value, operator profits

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 41
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 42
OSS&BSS
TRANSFORMATION

Fernando Saito
Head of New Business Development
Latin America

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 43
THE MOBILE BROADBAND EVOLUTION

Mobile broadband 1st wave                         Mobile broadband 2nd wave                      Mobile broadband 3rd wave
           ESTABLISH                                      GROW AND EXPAND                       THE NETWORKED SOCIETY




             Standard                                          Smart                                       Scale
Price




                                                                                  Connections
                                                  Price




                                                                                                       50 billion
                    One size                                     Demand-based                         connections
                     fits all                                     pricing / QoS
                                                                                                        Invisible
                                                                                                       Broadband




                                 Subs                                    Subs                                       Time


   Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 44
TODAY`S CHALLENGES
IN OSS&BSS

                                                                              OSS&BSS Complexity


                New
                                              New
               OpCo
                                             services
             Acquisitions




                                                                                       Infrastructure
                                                 Wireless access   Multi access edge       Transport    Service layer   Wireline access




  UNWIELDY OSS&BSS ARCHITECTURE HINDERING EFFICIENCY,
       COMPETITIVENESS AND CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 45
IMPLICATIONS FROM AN OPEX AND
TIME-TO-MARKET PERSPECTIVE

          Legacy IT                                         Fragmented
       pressuring OPEX                                      Intelligence
   Investments on non-standard,                         Business logic fragmented
    and non-reusable technology                           across multiple systems
Cost of changes increase as legacy                     N-Play synergies are limited by
    technology evolves organically                        the fragmented architecture

      Substantial amount of resources                          New business rules often
                to maintain operations                      Require new system/modules      INCREASED
                                                                                             OPEX AND
                                                                                              TIME-TO-
         Service innovation hindered
            by technology limitations
                                                          Distributed customer data. Lack     MARKET
                                                          of a customer-centric approach

     IT complexity directly impacting                   Large data processing volumes
      service performance and TTM                       impacting customer experience

         Considerable effort to                         Response-time resulting in
     maintain existing offerings                        poor customer satisfaction


        Innovation                                      Technology focus
      challenged by IT                                 vs. Customer focus


Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 46
A STAGED APPROACH TOWARDS
OSS&BSS TRANSFORMATION
                                                                                  Initial projects
  Key OSS&BSS Requirements to support
  2nd & 3rd Waves of Mobile Broadband




                                                       Business Impact
   > Customer Experience
     Management & Assurance
   > Integrated Policy & Charging
   > Unified Product Catalog
   > Flow-through Provisioning
   > 360º Customer View
   > Convergent Charging & Billing

                                                                         Importance/urgency



   CLEAR STRATEGY – ONE PROGRAM – MULTIPLE CHANGE PROJECTS

Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 47
OSS&BSS TRANSFORMATION
  DELIVER RESULTS

    Our experience from working with various operators around the world has
    proven that OSS&BSS Transformation can deliver significant results:




        60%                                    40%                 20 to 30%                        0.5 to 3%
HARMONIZATION LEVEL                    TIME TO MARKET              OPEX OPTIMIZATION              REVENUE INCREASE
Consolidation of platforms and       Harmonization of systems         Process simplification,     Using a structured approach
systems can streamline more          and platforms can result in   consolidation of systems and     to recover and prevent
than half of all IT environment      40% faster time-to-market     organizations or outsourcing        revenue leakages




  Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 48
Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 49
CONTACTS

› HECTOR DE TOMMASO                                    › CARLOS BARNES
  Head of Marketing                                      Principal Consultant
› Latin America                                        › Latin America
› hector.detommaso@ericsson.com                        › carlos.barnes@ericsson.com


  › TOMAS LYNCH                                        › FERNANDO SAITO
    Senior Solution Architect                            Head of New Business
  › Latin America                                        Development
  › tomas.lynch@ericsson.com                           › Latin America
                                                       › fernando.saito@ericsson.com




Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 |   Page 50

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Moving Towards the Networked Society

  • 1. MOVING FORWARD TOWARDS THE NETWORKED SOCIETY Héctor De Tommaso Head of Marketing Latin America Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 1
  • 2. ERICSSON VISION: 50B CONNECTIONS BY 2020 THINGS 50 B 55 hexabytes Digital Society Sustainable World Personal Mobile Inflection points PEOPLE 5.0 B Global Connectivity PLACES ~0.5 B 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 Source: Ericsson Inflection points driving our business… Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 2
  • 3. TECHNOLOGIES FOR THE NETWORKED SOCIETY + + MOBILITY SERVICE AWARE CLOUD BROADBAND NETWORK Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 3
  • 4. Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 4
  • 5. HIGH DATA VOLUMES IN METRO AREAS Ericsson Traffic and Market report June 2012 Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 5
  • 6. ERICSSON CONSUMERLAB - the voice of the consumer WE CONDUCT WE OFFER STRATEGIC MARKET CONSUMER CONSUMER CONSUMER REALITY INSIGHT SEGMENTATION ANALYSIS SIMULATION REPORTS & ADVISORY MODELS TOOL MEASURING REPORTING ANALYZING TRACKING FUTURE SMARTPHONE SCHOOLS USAGE PRIVACY RURAL & COMMUNI- APP CITY LIFE TV & CATION CONSUMER CULTURE VIDEO TRENDS EXPERIENCE NEW INSIGHTS IN KEY AREAS MORE THAN IN MORE THAN REPRESENTING IN MORE THAN 1Million 70 1.1Billion 40 RESPONDENTS COUNTRIES SINCE 1995 INDIVIDUALS COUNTRIES/ANNUALLY BUILDING THOUGHT LEADERSHIP - SHAPING THE NETWORKED SOCIETY Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 6
  • 7. HIGH SMARTPHONE OWNERSHIP Another type of mobile phone An Android phone An iPhone › Only around 10% of the 100% worldwide installed base 90% of subscriptions use 80% smartphones (*) 70% 60% ”City Study 2011” results: 50% 40% › Approximately 40% of city 30% citizens own an iPhone or 20% an Android phone 10% 0% › There are major differences between cities Lo Lon ul o g es ro C l kh i g rk To lo A on g H wY s B lm w o ta M urg oc ba M i jin e e on ky Sã s co o u on o nn ai To N el o d Se St um Pa b K e ng o s ha Jo (*) Source: Ericsson Traffic and Market Data Report Interim Update (Feb. 2012) Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 7
  • 8. HIGH USAGE OF INTERNET SERVICES, INCLUDING HIGH CAPACITY SERVICES › More than 10 Internet services are used daily by at least 30% of the city citizens, including high capacity services such us watching videos Browsing the Internet (Personal use) Personal E-mail Social Networks: Read/check Work E-mail Read newspaper/magazines Chat/messaging Browsing the Internet (Work usage) Social Networks: Update/write/upload Product info/price comparisons Watch Video clips 35% Listen to music On-line gaming Watch longer videos 28% Internet banking Check time schedules/traffic information IP-Telephony Distance learning Percent of city Buy products population (Daily users) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 8
  • 9. WHAT IS “GOOD QUALITY”? “Works efficiently” “Easy to use” “You don’t have to do “The number one thing too many complicated is convenience” things with it” “Something that “Quality is having access to doesn’t crash on you” the network anytime, anywhere, the provider is “I would say good quality is responsible for this” something that works consistently” Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 9
  • 10. POOR QUALITY IS… Waiting… No access Crashing Slowing down Draining Battery Complicated/ Confusing Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 10
  • 11. CONCLUSIONS: DRIVERS OF INCREASED USAGE OF MOBILE DATA BETTER LOWER SPEED PRICE OF BETTER DATA BATTERY LIFE BETTER 40-45% 30-45% COVERAGE 20-30% Least in Brazil Strongest in 30-40% Strongest Indonesia Indonesia & Strongest in BETTER Brazil UK & US 30-40% COST Strongest in MGMT Indonesia IF AFFORD 15-25% BETTER Strongest in Brazil & Indonesia PHONE MORE PHONE 15-25% MEMORY Strongest in Brazil & Indonesia Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab, Smarter MBB Offering – The Consumer View, 2012. UK, US, Brazil & Indonesia Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 11
  • 12. MARKET TRENDS 2012 Categories Market Trends Mass market adoption of smartphones and 1 Smartphones, tablets & connected devices emerging connected devices business Life goes mobile with social networks, apps, 2 Content, apps, social networks & cloud content, cloud services, commerce and more Innovation, collaboration and new business 3 Monetizing mobile broadband models unlocking the value of networks Growth and efficiency driving transformation and 4 Efficiency & outsourcing outsourcing of OSS/BSS and networks Network performance, technology Focus on high performance mobile broadband 5 evolution & next generation networks networks Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 12
  • 13. Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 13
  • 14. MOBILE BROADBAND Carlos Barnes Principal Consultant Latin America Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 14
  • 15. MOBILE TRAFFIC GROWTH Based on actual measurements DVB-H, Wi-Fi, and WiMax are not included Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 15
  • 16. WHAT'S DRIVING THE GROWTH? › Number, Availability and Price of Smartphones › New connected devices › Better User Interface › Mobile Applications › Laptop Penetration › Cheap Dongles › HSPA Networks › Effective Pricing Plans › Clients Usage Profiles Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 16
  • 17. A LONG ROAD AHEAD… Global Smartphone vs Mobile Phone Users 2012 E +4 5 BILLION 5,0 Global Users (MM) 4,5 4,0 3,5 3,0 2,5 5 2,0 1,5 1 BILLION 1,0 0,5 1 0,0 Smartphones Users Mobile Phone Users Note: 1 user may have multiple devices… Source: Morgan Stanley Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 17
  • 18. ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE… • Smartphones > 5B • TV => Tablet • App Centric lifestyle • Augmented Reality • 40% of Phones sold during Q3 were Smartphones! Fast Forward to 2020 Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 18
  • 19. NETWORK TRAFFIC DEVELOPMENT Industry estimates place global IP traffic quadrupling over the next 4 years. • CAGR of 35% • 90% will be Video • 60% will be Internet Video Source: Frost & Sullivan BY 2015 90% OF ALL NETWORK TRAFFIC WILL BE VIDEO Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 19
  • 20. WINNING STRATEGY HIGH END & SERVICE NETWORK IS THE MASS MARKET DIFFERENTIATION DIFFERENTIATOR DEVICES Price Demand-based pricing / QoS S/N Subs Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 20
  • 21. NETWORK DESIGN, TUNING & OPTIMIZATION Key for Customer Experience & Satisfaction Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 21
  • 22. COVERAGE & SPEED KEY TO END USER SATISFACTION Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 22
  • 23. TECHNOLOGY MOMENTUM IN NETWORKS Key Technologies for Evolving the Network Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 23
  • 24. HETEROGENEOUS NETWORKS: WAY FORWARD FOR CAPACITY & SPEED IMPROVED MACRO Enhanced macro site with extended functionality providing higher capacity and higher data rates Higher data rates DENSIFIED MACRO Additional sites Higher capacity Very high HETEROGENOUS NETWORK data rates Macro + ”Small Cells” providing very high capacity and very high data rates Very high capacity Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 24
  • 25. MBB GROWTH WORLDWIDE 85% WCDMA/HSPA Population Coverage by 2017 Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 25
  • 26. STRONG LATAM GROWTH Active iOS and Android devices TIM Brazil pre-paid success YoY growth d Data revenue [billion BRL] Smartphone % of new sales +40.3% Chile 279% 1,03 79 0,73 Brazil 220% 54 Argentina 217% Q2 2011 Q2 2012 Q2 2011 Q2 2012 Mexico 193% Daily plan Source: Flurry - Data access $0.25 10M unique users/day Latam Top Growth Region Innovative Smartphone Data Plans Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 26
  • 27. LTE DIFFERENTIATION TRENDS Fraction of Operators by Tariff Type 100% 80% Speed based 60% (only or combined with data allowance) 40% Volume based (only) 20% Unlimited 0% Africa Americas APAC Europe Middle East Global Smartphone Dongle Source: Wireless intelligence operator survey (July 2012) dominated dominated Volume Based offerings in Smartphone Dominated Markets Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 27
  • 28. OPEN MOBILE: PUERTO RICO Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 28
  • 29. UNE COLOMBIA Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 29
  • 30. TELCEL MEXICO 20 Mbps downlink speeds commercially No price differentiation between 3G and 4G LTE 65% of population covered by June 2013 (26 cities) Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 30
  • 31. BRAZIL Providing LTE capabilities to ALL operators! Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 31
  • 32. LATIN AMERICA NEW SPECTRUM AUCTIONS ANNOUNCED GOVERNMENT INTENTIONS Q4 2012 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017+ Argentina • AWS • 700 MHz Bahamas • 700 MHz Bolivia • 700 MHz • 1900 MHz • 800 MHz • 450 MHz Brazil • 2100 MHz • 1700 MHz • 2.5 GHz • 700 MHz • 1800 MHz • 3.5 GHz Chile • 1900 MHz • 2.5 GHz • 700 MHz • AWS • 1900 MHz • 700 MHz Colombia • 2.5 GHz • 1900 MHz • AWS • 900 MHz • 2.5 GHz • 850 MHz Costa Rica • 1800 MHz • 700 MHz • 2100 MHz • 900 MHz Dom. Rep. • AWS • 700 MHz Ecuador • 1900 MHz • AWS El Salvador • 1900 MHz • 1900 MHz • AWS • 2.5 GHz • 700 MHz Mexico • AWS Nicaragua • 700 MHz • 1900 MHz Panama • 700 MHz * Already licensed Paraguay • AWS • 2.5 GHz * Auction ongoing * Risk of delay Peru • 1900 MHz • 900 MHz • AWS • 700 MHz * Tentative Plan Puerto Rico • 700 MHz • 850 MHz T&T •1900 MHz • 700 MHz • 900 MHz Uruguay • 1900 MHz • 2.5 GHz • 700 MHz • AWS Venezuela • 1800 MHz • 1900 MHz Completed/ongoing Auctions Tentative new Auctions Source: RLAM Regulators (Oct. 2012) Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 32
  • 33. IT IS NOT ABOUT THE KILLER APPLICATION, BUT THE KILLER EXPERIENCE... Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 33
  • 34. Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 34
  • 35. 4TH GENERATION IP NETWORKING Tomás Lynch Senior Solution Architect Fixed Broadband & Convergence Latin America Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 35
  • 36. THE NETWORKED SOCIETY › When one person is connected their life changes. When everything is connected our world changes. In the world of 50 billion connected devices, everything benefiting from a connection will have one. Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 36
  • 37. A NEW ERA Network … 3 2 1 Analogue Digital Broadband Era Era Installation Era …. The Networked Society Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 37
  • 38. THREE INSTRUMENTAL INSIGHTS THE WORLD NEW SERVICES NETWORK = THE GOES MOBILE & AND BUSINESS KEY BB. FAST. MODELS DIFFERENTIATOR 4 000 Mobile Broadband Subscriptions (million) 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 2010 2015 Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 38
  • 39. BROADBAND SERVICES MOVING TO THE CLOUD – GETTING PERSONAL & MOBILE to the Cloud personal & mobile i Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 39
  • 40. THE 4TH GENERATION OF IP NETWORKING A CORNER-STONE OF ERICSSON’S OVERALL NETWORK VISION FOR THE NETWORKED http://www.... SOCIETY 4th Generation IP IP 3rd Generation User to User/ Network/Cloud User to Network 2nd Generation 1ST Generation Network to Host to host Network Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 40
  • 41. 4TH. GENERATION OF IP NETWORKING 1 SIMPLE › Challenge – the network is 2 SMART › Challenge – the network 3 SCALABLE › Challenge – growth of over-layered, complex & needs to be aware of users, bandwidth, subscribers, costly, but traffic centralized devices, content, location devices & sessions › Solution – optimize with › Solution – look inside the › Solution – increase capacity verified network solutions, pipe & control the content while distributing intelligence; de-layer, apply glue flow with intelligent policy focus on new signaling technology, i.e. MPLS technology control technologies AN AMAZING EXPERIENCE User value, operator profits Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 41
  • 42. Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 42
  • 43. OSS&BSS TRANSFORMATION Fernando Saito Head of New Business Development Latin America Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 43
  • 44. THE MOBILE BROADBAND EVOLUTION Mobile broadband 1st wave Mobile broadband 2nd wave Mobile broadband 3rd wave ESTABLISH GROW AND EXPAND THE NETWORKED SOCIETY Standard Smart Scale Price Connections Price 50 billion One size Demand-based connections fits all pricing / QoS Invisible Broadband Subs Subs Time Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 44
  • 45. TODAY`S CHALLENGES IN OSS&BSS OSS&BSS Complexity New New OpCo services Acquisitions Infrastructure Wireless access Multi access edge Transport Service layer Wireline access UNWIELDY OSS&BSS ARCHITECTURE HINDERING EFFICIENCY, COMPETITIVENESS AND CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 45
  • 46. IMPLICATIONS FROM AN OPEX AND TIME-TO-MARKET PERSPECTIVE Legacy IT Fragmented pressuring OPEX Intelligence Investments on non-standard, Business logic fragmented and non-reusable technology across multiple systems Cost of changes increase as legacy N-Play synergies are limited by technology evolves organically the fragmented architecture Substantial amount of resources New business rules often to maintain operations Require new system/modules INCREASED OPEX AND TIME-TO- Service innovation hindered by technology limitations Distributed customer data. Lack MARKET of a customer-centric approach IT complexity directly impacting Large data processing volumes service performance and TTM impacting customer experience Considerable effort to Response-time resulting in maintain existing offerings poor customer satisfaction Innovation Technology focus challenged by IT vs. Customer focus Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 46
  • 47. A STAGED APPROACH TOWARDS OSS&BSS TRANSFORMATION Initial projects Key OSS&BSS Requirements to support 2nd & 3rd Waves of Mobile Broadband Business Impact > Customer Experience Management & Assurance > Integrated Policy & Charging > Unified Product Catalog > Flow-through Provisioning > 360º Customer View > Convergent Charging & Billing Importance/urgency CLEAR STRATEGY – ONE PROGRAM – MULTIPLE CHANGE PROJECTS Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 47
  • 48. OSS&BSS TRANSFORMATION DELIVER RESULTS Our experience from working with various operators around the world has proven that OSS&BSS Transformation can deliver significant results: 60% 40% 20 to 30% 0.5 to 3% HARMONIZATION LEVEL TIME TO MARKET OPEX OPTIMIZATION REVENUE INCREASE Consolidation of platforms and Harmonization of systems Process simplification, Using a structured approach systems can streamline more and platforms can result in consolidation of systems and to recover and prevent than half of all IT environment 40% faster time-to-market organizations or outsourcing revenue leakages Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 48
  • 49. Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 49
  • 50. CONTACTS › HECTOR DE TOMMASO › CARLOS BARNES Head of Marketing Principal Consultant › Latin America › Latin America › hector.detommaso@ericsson.com › carlos.barnes@ericsson.com › TOMAS LYNCH › FERNANDO SAITO Senior Solution Architect Head of New Business › Latin America Development › tomas.lynch@ericsson.com › Latin America › fernando.saito@ericsson.com Public | © Ericsson AB 2012 | 2012-11-20 | Page 50