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UniCredit Group:
3Q15 Results
and Strategic Plan
Milan, 11 November 2015
Disclaimer
This Presentation may contain written and oral “forward-looking statements”, which includes all statements that do not relate solely to
historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions,
expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors,
many of which are outside the control of UniCredit S.p.A. (the “Company”). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results
and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such
forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update
or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be
required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are
subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be
relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a
public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or
financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the
securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws
of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be unlawful (the “Other Countries”), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This
Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or
the Other Countries.
Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Marina Natale, in her
capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company’s financial reports declares that the accounting information
contained in this Presentation reflects the UniCredit Group’s documented results, financial accounts and accounting records.
Neither the Company nor any member of the UniCredit Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees
accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or
from any reliance placed upon it.
2
3
Agenda
3Q15 results3Q15 results
UniCredit Strategic Plan
3Q15 key highlights
EARNINGS GENERATIONEARNINGS GENERATION Group net profit at 507m in 3Q15 with a RoTE of 4.8%, and 9M15 above 1.5bn delivering a RoTE
of 5%. Considering non recurring items, 9M15 net profit at 1.9bn with a RoTE of 6.2%
BUILDING CAPITALBUILDING CAPITAL
CET1 ratio fully loaded up to 10.53% thanks to earning generation and RWA dynamics. Including Pioneer JV,
CET1 ratio fully loaded at 10.78%
Resilient CET1 ratio transitional at 10.53%. Including Pioneer JV, CET1 ratio transitional at 10.93%
ASSET QUALITY IMPROVEMENTASSET QUALITY IMPROVEMENT
Cost of risk at 85bp at Group level in 3Q15 and sound coverage ratio of 51% on gross impaired loans
Asset quality further improving with gross impaired loans reduction supported by NPL sales
and increased cash recoveries
RESILIENT BUSINESS PERFORMANCERESILIENT BUSINESS PERFORMANCE
Core Bank net profit at c.3bn in 9M15 excluding non recurring items, and a RoAC at 10.8%, with CBK Italy,
CIB and CEE & Poland being the top contributors
Resilient revenues in Core Bank 9M15, with the positive contribution of CBK Italy & Germany, CIB, AM
and AG whilst CEE negatively impacted due to FX (at const. FX +3.1% 9M15/9M14)
Non Core de-risking continued with gross loans down by 4.1bn q/q and RWA down by 2.4bn q/q
4
Group – Regulatory capital
CET1 ratio fully loaded up to 10.53% in Sep-15 due to earnings generation and RWA dynamics,
10.78% proforma for Pioneer JV
(1) Pro-forma assuming the full absorption of DTA on goodwill tax redemption and tax losses carried forward and Pekao minority excess capital calculated with 12% threshold.
Div. accrual &
Cashes
Jun-15
fully loaded(1)
3Q15 earnings Sep-15
fully loaded(1)
RWA, Reserves
& other
+8bp 10.53%
+13bp -5bp
10.37%
10. 78% incl.
Pioneer JV
(+25bp)
+16bp
Net profit at
507m in 3Q15
5
Group – Asset quality
Gross impaired further down due to NPL sales and recoveries. Coverage ratio confirmed at a
sound 51% with CoR down excluding CHF conversion in Croatia
(1) The perimeter of impaired exposures as per instructions of BankIT Circular 272 is substantially equivalent to the perimeter of Non Performing Exposures (NPE) EBA.
(2) Adjusted for -7.2bn coverage enhancement LLP in 4Q13 (stated CoR at 753bp), +0.5bn LLP release in 3Q14 (stated CoR at 64bp) and -0.2bn LLP in 3Q15 related to CHF
conversion in Croatia (stated CoR at 85bp).
Gross impaired loans(1), bnGross impaired loans(1), bn
80.781.7
84.483.5
-4.3%
Gross bad loans (sofferenze)(1), bnGross bad loans (sofferenze)(1), bn
Cost of risk(2), bpCost of risk(2), bp Gross impaired loans – Yearly variationsGross impaired loans – Yearly variations
83.6
Sep-15Jun-15Dec-14Sep-14Dec-13
Cov. ratio
Net imp.
39.640.041.140.939.7
51.0%51.0%51.3%51.0%52.5%
-0.2%
50.651.352.150.6
-2.9%
49.1
Sep-15Jun-15Dec-14Sep-14Dec-13
Cov. ratio
Net bad 19.519.719.719.318.1
61.4%61.7%62.2%61.8%63.1%
+3.1%
68
76
144
109
174
3Q14 4Q144Q13 2Q15 3Q15
Non-rec. items(2)
-3.3%-0.8%
0.9%
0.0%
4.9%
3Q14 4Q144Q13 2Q15 3Q15
0.9%
1Q15
6
Asset quality in Italy
Confirmed better asset quality trend vs. banking system
(1) UCI SpA data based on regulatory flows.
(2) Italian banking association - sample composed by c. 80% of Italian banking system; including exposures towards households and non financial corporations.
Gross impaired loansGross impaired loans Gross bad loans (sofferenze)Gross bad loans (sofferenze) Other gross impaired loansOther gross impaired loans
Base 100 at Dec-12Base 100 at Dec-12 Base 100 at Dec-12Base 100 at Dec-12 Base 100 at Dec-12Base 100 at Dec-12
Gross impaired loans trend consistently better than the Italian banking system
Bad loans (sofferenze) still performing better than the system in 3Q15
Other impaired loans confirmed a downward trend for UCG, down by 16pp y/y
ABI sample(2)
UCI Spa(1)
Dec-12
Dec-14
Mar-15
Sep-14
Dec-13
Jun-15
Sep-15
133
137 139
141
144
118
116
117 117
115 116
Dec-12
Dec-14
Mar-15
Sep-14
Dec-13
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-12
Dec-14
Mar-15
Sep-14
Dec-13
Jun-15
Sep-15
100
140
146
150
155
159
122
117
129
134
138 138
143
100
123
127 127 126 127
113
103 101
98
94
89
85110
100
7
Group net profit at over 1.5bn in 9M15
Core Bank net profit c.3bn in 9M15 with 10.8% RoAC, exc. non recurring items.
Non Core loss at 1.1bn in 9M15, broadly stable vs 9M14.
Core Bank net profit, mCore Bank net profit, mGroup net profit, mGroup net profit, m
Non Core loss, mNon Core loss, m
1,541
1,837
507522
722
9M159M143Q152Q153Q14
-3.0%
-16.1%
5.0%6.0%4.8%4.9%6.8%RoTE(1)
9M15 at 1.9bn
excluding non
recurring items(2)
3Q15 at c.640m
excluding CHF
conversion in Croatia
6.2%
excl. non
recurring
items(2)
1,099
9M159M143Q152Q153Q14
818 900
2,865 2,597
-9.3%
+9.9%
9.4%11%9.9%8.9%13.6%RoAC(3)
9M15 at c.3bn
excluding non
rec. items(2)
10.8% excl.
non recurring
items(2)
377
9M159M143Q152Q153Q14
296 393
1,027 1,056
+2.8%
+32.7%
1,1661,217457298498LLP, m
(1) RoTE: net profit / average tangible equity (excluding AT1).
(2) Single Resolution Funds in Italy, Germany, Austria and CEE (c.160m net for the
Group, c.143 for the Core Bank), impairment related to Ukrsotsbank (100m net)
and LLP for CHF conversion in Croatia (c. 140m net).
(3) RoAC calculated as net profit on allocated capital. Allocated capital calculated as
9.25% of RWAs, including deductions for shortfall and securitizations.
8
Core Bank – Net operating profit
Net operating profit stable in 3Q15 excluding loan loss provisions for CHF conversion in Croatia
Revenues, mRevenues, mNet operating profit, mNet operating profit, m
Costs, mCosts, m
Loan loss provisions, mLoan loss provisions, m
5,166
5,666
1,5231,776
2,040
9M159M143Q152Q153Q14
-14.2%
-8.8%
3Q15 at c.1.7bn
excluding CHF
conversion in Croatia
5,476
9M159M143Q152Q153Q14
5,693 5,311
16,643 16,688
+0.3%
-6.7%
3,181
9M159M143Q152Q153Q14
3,301 3,239
9,599 9,789
+2.0%
-1.9%
256
9M159M143Q152Q153Q14
615 548
1,378
1,732
+25.7%
-10.9%
3Q15 embedding
c200m for CHF
conversion
9
10
Agenda
3Q15 results
UniCredit Strategic PlanUniCredit Strategic Plan
Accelerating implementation of our Strategic Plan
LEADING PAN-EUROPEAN CORPORATE AND RETAIL BANK
RoTE TARGET 11%RoTE TARGET 11% POTENTIAL UPSIDE FROM
DISCONTINUITY ACTIONS
POTENTIAL UPSIDE FROM
DISCONTINUITY ACTIONS
CET1 RATIO AT 12.6%
PRE DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION
CET1 RATIO AT 12.6%
PRE DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION
EFFICIENT, EFFECTIVE AND INNOVATIVE
SIMPLER AND MORE INTEGRATED
INVESTING IN DIGITAL, HIGH GROWTH, CAPITAL LIGHT BUSINESSES
SUSTAINABLE PROFITABILITY AND ORGANIC CAPITAL GENERATION
TARGET2018
11
Branches
Cost of risk, bp
Core Bank RoACCET1 ratio FL
Leading Pan-European franchise
with significant results achieved so far
ProfitabilityProfitabilityCapitalCapitalLeading Pan-European Commercial BankLeading Pan-European Commercial Bank
Pan-European
commercial Bank
(1) Data as of Jun-15.
(2) Data as of Aug-15, CEE division excluding Ukraine.
(3) By total assets, data as of Dec-14.
(4) Considering only international peers (Raiffeisen Bank, Erste, Société Générale,
KBC, Intesa Sanpaolo and OTP Bank).
(5) Annualised and adjusted for SRF in Italy, Germany, Austria and CEE (c.160m
net for the Group, c.143 for the Core Bank), impairment related to Ukrsotsbank
(100m net) and LLP for CHF conversion in Croatia (c.140m net).
(6) Cost of Risk 2013 adjusted for 7.2bn additional LLP to enhance coverage.
Sep-15
10.53%
Jun-15
10.37%
2013
9.36%
2010
7.27%
9M15(5)
10.8%
2014
10.8%
2013
n.m.
FTE reduction, k
EfficiencyEfficiency
Sep-15201420132010
Non Core gross loans, bn
Asset qualityAsset quality
Sep-15
66
2014
78
2013
86
127129
132145
Poland
11.6%
14.6%
CEE(2)
6.0%
AUTITA GER
2.5%
12.4%
Loan
market
share(1)
Ranking(3)
#2 #3 #1 #1(4) #2
Sep-15201420132010
7,0557,5167,983
9M1520142013(6)2010
8190
124
8,590
113
-9bp
-461-2
+16bp
-20
12
Recalibration of the business to adapt to the different
macroeconomic scenarios with interest rates at all time lows Pan-European
commercial Bank
3M EURIBOR, %
Private financial wealth , US$ trillion (1)
On-line client penetration(2)
GDP growth 2014-16 CAGR, %
Slower GDP recovery to date, although
positive outlook remains unchanged
Slower GDP recovery to date, although
positive outlook remains unchanged Higher growth in savings marketsHigher growth in savings markets
Zero interest rate environment to stayZero interest rate environment to stay
Evolving regulatory frameworkEvolving regulatory framework
UniCredit operating in a "digitalized" Europe
with further room for improvement in Italy
UniCredit operating in a "digitalized" Europe
with further room for improvement in Italy
Political stability with active
reform agenda in Italy
Political stability with active
reform agenda in Italy
CEEITA
0.8%
0.5%
2.4%
2.2%
STRATEGIC PLAN newSTRATEGIC PLAN old
Global
164.3
222.1
20192014
48%
29%
52%
34%
54%
38%
61%
49%
2018201420132012
ITALYEUROPE
2018201620152014 2017
STRATEGIC PLAN newSTRATEGIC PLAN old
1.0
2.0
(1) Source BCG Global Wealth Market-sizing Database, 2015.
(2) Source Forrester Research - Digital banking forecast.
39.6 49.0
Western Europe Eastern Europe
2.9 4.6
13
Staff expenses (0.8)
An increasingly efficient bank with further reduction of
total costs to 12.9bn in 2018
Cost savings, bnCost savings, bnTotal Group operating costs, bnTotal Group operating costs, bn
Efficient, effective
& innovative
2018(3)
12.9
Cost savings
-1.6
UCG Cost/income
-4.3%
UCG FTE EoP
( -11 p.p. )61% 50%
( -12k )129 117
Integration costs of approx. 1bn pre-tax to be booked mostly in 2015
Further c.800 branch reduction in addition to 928 already completed from the Jan-2014 to Sep-15 (20% reduction
in Dec-18 vs. Dec-13)
(1) Net of bank levies of c.140m in 2013 reclassified to systemic charges starting from 2014.
(2) Salary & inflation drift of 0.8bn, investments in growth initiatives & other of 0.2bn.
(3) Carry forward savings will contribute a further decrease of 100m from 2019 onwards.
14.5+1.0
13.5
14.1
2013(1) 2014 Salary & infl. drift,
invest. in growth
initiat. & other(2)
-11.1%
Other administrative expenses (0.8)
Major cost reductions in Commercial Bank
Germany (-46%) and Commercial Bank
Austria (-13%) between 2014 and 2018
AUT
GER
ITA
Corporate
Centers
CEE Region38%
10%
9%
11%
33%
14
FTE reduction mainly within Corporate Centres and
Commercial Bank Italy, Germany and Austria
2013-2018 FTE reduction, k2013-2018 FTE reduction, k
Efficient, effective
& innovative
2018
(1) 4.0k FTE for Ukraine disposal and 2.0k FTE for Pioneer JV.
2013
2014-18 Plan
reduction
-18k FTE reduction over the Strategic Plan horizon (-14%)
2013
reduction
2014
Ukraine &
Pioneer(1)
Pro-forma
2018
132.1
3.1
129.0
12.2
116.8
6.0
110.8
Including 2.2k
FTE reduction
as of 3Q15
Group FTE by geographies excluding Corporate Centres
Group FTE by Corporate Centre
2014
2018
47.2
45.7
49.0
43.2
13.3
11.2
114.6
104.8
5.1
4.8
ITAGERAUTCEE Reg
ITAGERAUT
2014
2018
2.1
1.6
7.6
6.5
4.6
3.8
14.4
12.0
-9%
-17%
15
Active portfolio management aimed at unlocking shareholder value,
committed to exit or restructure poor performers whilst increasing
capital allocation to high return businesses Efficient, effective
& innovative
(1) Managerial data, financial impacts not included in UniCredit Strategic Plan.
(2) Includes CEE, Poland, Asset Management and Asset Gathering.
Group structure significantly simplifiedGroup structure significantly simplified
Exits from Non
Strategic Businesses
Partnerships to
maximize full
platform potential
Organic value
accelerator
Value generation by division(1)Value generation by division(1)
Capital allocation by business division, %Capital allocation by business division, %
• Exit / restructuring expected by end 2016…
• … with potential negative P&L impact but capital neutral at inception,
with significant long term value creation
• Ongoing commitment to active portfolio monitoring
• Ukraine restructuring
ongoing
• Sale completed
• Kazakhstan & Baltics
exit completed
• CZ/SK merger
completed
• IPO completed
• Partnership with SAM
being finalized
• Partnership with
Fortress executed
Non Core
CBK Italy, Germany
and Austria
CIB
Growth businesses(2)
20182014
28
34
22
39
5
22
40
10
1.51.20.90.30.0-0.3-1.8-2.1 0.6 2.42.11.8
130%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
-10%
-60%
0%
Retail Austria
+ Leasing Italy
CIB
POLAND
CB AUT
CEE
CB ITA
CB GER
AG
AM
NON CORE
ROAC 2014
Bubble size:
RWA 2014
Net profit 2014, bn
16
Digital strategy to accelerate retail multi-channel
transformation supported by 1.2bn investments (2016-2018)
Accelerate the digital transformation(1)Accelerate the digital transformation(1)
Efficient, effective
& innovative
(1) 2014-18 targets.
(2) Transaction Migration Index Italy: number of transactions migrated to alternative channels over total number of transactions.
(3) Considered only retail branches; Ukraine not included, Turkey at 100%.
(4) Efficiencies enabled by digital initiatives (4k Italy, 1.3k Germany, 0.5k Austria).
(5) All products sold on direct channels; 90% automatic decisions (credit cards); from 6 to 1 number of underwriting platforms.
(6) Multichannel direct and indirect sales (excluding CEE Division),
Main KPIsMain KPIs
No. of online banking active users, m
No. of mobile banking active users, m
No. of branches per 1m customers(3)
2014 8.9
2018 16.1
2014 2.9
2018 11.4
2014 298
2018 193
Build a future digital business modelBuild a future digital business model
• Continue transaction migration to remote channels (from 85% to 90%)(2)
• Right-sizing footprint (c.-1.5k branches)(3) with new and flexible formats
Delivery model
upgrade
• Digitalize and simplify back-end processes (c.5.8k FTE)(4)
• Fully-digitalized document management (sales vs. admin activities ratio in
Italy: from 75% to 80%)
• Credit Revolution program aiding real time automatic credit decisions(5)
Simplification
and process
digitalization
Increase Sales
• Extend end-to-end sales on all basic banking products with excellent
customer experience (from 15% to 25%)(6)
• Instant lending: from up to 48h to <3minutes
• Leverage on new technological capabilities and enablers (e.g. Big Data)
• New cheaper IT infrastructure to serve customers' basic purchase
behaviors, reducing cost-to-serve (1st wave 26m savings)
A new digital core
banking system
• 1st molecular bank offering a pure mobile customer experience
with a 24/7 live-caring concierge
• Plug-and-play platform to facilitate new markets entrance
• Implementation started, launch in early 2017
17
A simpler, more integrated bank with strengthened holding
steering functions and leaner managerial structure
Strategic objectivesStrategic objectives
Simpler & more
integrated
Target structureTarget structureKey pillarsKey pillars
A simpler bankA simpler bank
A more
integrated bank
A more
integrated bank
• Elimination of sub-holding with direct
shareholding control of CEE subsidiaries by
UC SpA (while preserving CEE Division know
how) intended by end 2016
• Reduced governance layers
• CIB and foreign banks under one
managerial responsibility
• Strengthening of central governing
functions
• More effective capital allocation and
liquidity management
• Strong focus on commercial synergies
mainly CIB / Commercial banking
networks
Relationship
Manager
Coverage
Single Point
of Entry
Product
Experts
(CTS, CFA,
Capital Markets
support for 360º
approach to
the client)
Think
Together
18
Continued focus on high growth potential of asset and wealth
management contributing to 2bn additional fees by 2018
TFA growth, bnTFA growth, bn Focus on ItalyFocus on ItalyGroup fee composition, bnGroup fee composition, bn
Growth &
revenue mix
AuM
AuC
Deposits
2013 2018
917
+4.8%
CAGR
Investment services
Financing services
Transactional and banking services
27%
29%
44%
2014
29%
26%
44%
36%
22%
42%
944
1,160
2013 2018
7.4
+5.5%
CAGR
26%
33%
2014
22%
28%
7.6
9.6
26%
30%
50%
(o/w 65%
rec. fees)
Increase in AuM driven by more comprehensive advisory services along with an increased diversified investment
approach in order to meet customer demand for higher added value products and returns
2018
2014
2013
AUM / TFA, %
AUM / TFA, %
Commercial Banking Italy
Asset Gathering
2018
2014
2013
40%
30%
26%
45%
48%
57%
+14pp
+12pp
19
43%
(o/w 60%
rec. fees)
41%
(o/w 58%
rec. fees)
Increasing weight in asset and wealth management to
further accelerate fee income growth
Business areaBusiness area
(1) Asset allocation and product selection from Fineco Investment Platform based on customers’ different risk profile
(i.e. fund of funds and advisory service fee-only).
(2) Founded in 1833, Schoellerbank is a leading private banking operator with a presence throughout Austria. The
bank is 100% owned by Bank Austria.
Main KPIsMain KPIsKey pillarsKey pillars
Growth &
revenue mix
Asset Management
Asset Gathering
Private Banking
TFA, bn
Guided products/ AuM(1), %
TFA (Italy, Germany,
Austria, Poland), bn
AuM
AuC
Deposits
Growth in non-captive distribution from 93bn in
2014 to expected 126bn in 2018
Further upside from JV with Santander Asset
Management to boost growth
Focus on client acquisition
Increase in AuM, focus on advisory products &
services
Efficient and scalable technological platform
European leader in brokerage activity (24.3m
executed orders in 2014)
Higher focus on Wealth Management (Cordusio
SIM) in Italy
Clients acquisition from 45k in 2014 to almost
50k exploiting CBK Germany
Leverage on Schoellerbank(2) in Austria
2014 2018
209
277
+7%
CAGR
2014 2018
36%
64%
+28pp
2014 2018
149
203+8%
CAGR
20
Continue to leverage on CIB leadership to improve
revenue mix and boost cross selling
Business areaBusiness area Main KPIsMain KPIsKey pillarsKey pillars
Growth &
revenue mix
Leadership in Capital
Markets and Advisory
Increase cross-divisional
synergies
Rebalance revenues
stream towards fee
income
Capitalize on leadership in Capital Markets in
Europe
Intensify cross-selling business (Advisory,
Markets)
Focus on mid-tier corporates, increasing
business diversification
Intensify leverage on international network
Boost penetration of capital-light businesses (ECA
financing etc. and transactional fees)
Exploit geographic footprint to become trade
finance powerhouse
Italy
Germany
CEE
League tables(1) – Euro Bonds
Shared
revenues
CBK & CEE
CIB revenues
Fees
NII
Sep-14
2014
6.5
2018
CIB synergies, bn(2)
Fees/ Core revenues, %(3)Client driven revenues, %
Sep-15
#1
#2
#3
#1
#1
#1
Volumes, bn
20
10
0
2.2
0.6
3.7
7
2.4
0.6
4.0
17% of CBK rev.
14% of CEE rev.
17% of CBK rev.
13% of CEE rev.
Client driven rev.
Non client driven rev.
2014 2018 2014 2018
68
32
80
20
44
56
50
50
(1) Source Dealogic.
(2) Shared includes Commercial Banking and CEE revenues generated with the contribution of PL specialist,
which is compensated via cost reimbursement.
(3) Data includes only commercial fees (managerial data).
21
CEE & Poland remain key growth engines leveraging their
leadership position as the preferred partners for local and
multi-country clients
Business areaBusiness area Main KPIsMain KPIsKey pillarsKey pillars
Growth &
revenue mix
Acquisition of new
customers/ higher
penetration on
existing ones
Digitalisation to support
revenue growth and cost
reduction
Business volumes
growth
Over 1.2m new customers acquired in 2015
Focus on selective customer acquisition via hook
products and innovations in partnerships with
international brands
Country by country strategy and leveraging on
best practices
Increase share of remote sales in CEE
Improve customer experience through leaner
and faster processes tailored for digital sales
CRM run on Big Data proprietary IT enabler for
retail and corporate sales / business development
to deeper understand clients' needs
Increase capital allocation to CEE Region
Focus on products / segments with higher return
Grow business volumes and market share
leveraging local funding sources
In 2007-14, CEE Division's net profit grew by 5.3% vs. banking system's contraction of 25%(2)
Return on assets in CEE banking system is expected to be 2x Western Europe in 2015-18
CEE
Poland
20
No. of clients, m(1)
No. of internet
banking users, m
No. of mobile
banking users, m
Customer loans, bn
24
CEE
Poland
CEE
Poland
Current 2018
5
10
Current 2018
1
7
Current 2018
87
106
Sept-15 2018
(1) Gross number of new clients acquired in CEE and Poland from the beginning of the year to 30 September 2015.
(2) For Russia and Serbia profit before tax at sector level.22
Ongoing Non Core deleverage resulting in lower capital
absorption at Group level
Non Core gross loans, bnNon Core gross loans, bn
Profitability and
capital
(1) The transfer back to the Core Bank follows a strict assessment of the risk profile of underlying positions (e.g. the
absence of impaired/restructuring for corporates, no irregular payments for 14 months for individuals).
(2) Italy, 9M15 vs. 9M14.
32
52
66
86
2013 3Q15 2016
Around 7bn NPL sales successfully executed, further disposals to come also on the expectation of Bankruptcy Law in Italy. All sales to
be value accretive or neutral
Cash recoveries expected to further improve over the next 3 years also thanks to the new set-up of workout activities in Italy and to the
improvement in the Italian economy. Cash recoveries in Italy up by 31% in 9M15/9M14
Operating costs of the Non Core to decrease from 0.6bn in 2013 to 0.1bn in 2018, in line with volume run-down
38%
2018
Main drivers
of run down
2016-18:
sales c.6bn
back to Core(1)
recoveries
maturities
33
Non Core RWA, bnNon Core RWA, bn
-54bn
Performing
Impaired
3Q15 2016 2018
LLP, bn
Cov. ratio
on imp., %
9.7 0.8
53.8 ~51
1.1(2)
51.6
1.4
~51
Allocated
capital 7.5% 4.8%7.9%
27
16
-17bn
23
(+2% CAGR 2015-18)
Organic capital generation leading to CET1 ratio of 12.6% in
2018, higher than 11.5% target, allowing for substantial
buffer for dividend distribution
CET 1 ratio FLCET 1 ratio FL
Profitability and
capital
2018Management
actions
(1) Includes the impact of Pioneer JV.
+0.4%
-1.4%
+2.4%
10.5%
3Q2015 Net
earnings
Organic growth
and others(1)
Major cost reductions in Commercial Bank
Germany (-46%) and Commercial Bank
Austria (-13%) between 2014 and 2018
38%
9
Non Core
deleverage
+0.7%
11.5%
12.6%
Dividend
pool
Loans, bn
RWA, bn
474 503
400 425(+2% CAGR 2015-18)
Synthetic
securitisations
and other actions
(e.g. capital light
businesses, data
quality, etc.)
Net of AT1 and
CASHES coupon
Further
upside from
discontinuity
actions
CET1 ratio FL target 2018 increased to 12.6%
pre-dividend distribution
Net earnings include integration costs
amounting to 1bn pre-tax
Organic growth mainly driven by increase in
business volumes in CEE Region and
Commercial Banks
Strong focus on RWA containment achieved
on the back of Non Core deleverage and RWA
management actions
Cumulated cash dividend of 4.8bn,
corresponding to an average payout ratio
of ~40%
Scrip dividend option would allow a higher
dividend pool of over 9bn
24
Sustainable long term profitability and shareholder value
generation with 2018 RoTE of 11%
Group RoTE(1)Group RoTE(1)
Profitability and
capital
2018De-risking &
others
(1) Managerial data including full consolidation of Pioneer. Deltas are calculated on the basis of allocated capital by division.
(2) Fee income in CBK Italy, CBK Germany and CBK Austria.
(3) Includes CEE Region, AM and AG divisions.
2%
3%
1%5%
2014 Cost
savings
Fees
in WE(2)
Major cost reductions in Commercial Bank
Germany (-46%) and Commercial Bank
Austria (-13%) between 2014 and 2018
Full management commitment to deliver
sustainable profitability of 11% by 2018
Cost cutting and streamlining of group
organization producing cost savings for 1.6bn
Accelerating growth of asset and wealth
management contributing to 2bn additional fees
in 2018 vs. 2014
Leverage CEE Region, AM and AG to enhance
business growth
Improving asset quality resulting in a lower cost
of risk at group level
Lower capital absorption thanks to effective Non
Core run-down and proactive capital
management
9
Growth
businesses(3)
<0.5% 11%
DIGITALISATIONDIGITALISATION
Includes -1.7pp due to
cost drift and +2.8pp
cost savings
Includes ~1pp due
to fee income
Further upside
from discontinuity
actions
25
Management discipline and focus to ensure sustainable profitability
with RoTE of at least 11% in 2018
Final remarks
Discontinuity through exit / restructuring poorly performing assets
Reshaping governance and organization to be simpler and more integrated
Exploitation of digital agenda to boost commercial effectiveness and
support cost savings
Internal capital generation, CET1 ratio at 12.6% in 2018 allowing UniCredit to
reposition itself among the strongest European banks
Shareholder value generation with substantial dividend pool consistent
with 11.5% CET 1 target
26
Financial targets - Core Bank
COSTS (bn)
GROSS OPERATING PROFIT (bn)
COST OF RISK (bp)
NET PROFIT (bn)
RoAC
COST INCOME
20142014 20182018 CAGR 14-18CAGR 14-18
9.3
3.7
11%
-12.9
50
58%
12.8
6.3
14%
-12.8
53
50%
+8%
+14%
+3p.p.(1)
-0%
GROUPGROUP
+3 bp(1)
-8 p.p.(1)
27
(1) Delta instead of CAGR.
Financial targets - Group
GROSS OPERATING PROFIT (bn)
COST INCOME
NET PROFIT (bn)
COST OF RISK (bp)
RoTE
FULLY LOADED CET1 RATIO(2)
20142014 20182018 CAGR 14-18CAGR 14-18
60%
90
5%
9.0
2.0
10.0%
50%
67
11%
12.2
5.3
12.6%
-10 p.p.(1)
-23 bp(1)
+6 p.p.(1)
+8%
+27%
+2.6 p.p.(1)
(1) Delta instead of CAGR.
(2) Pre dividend distribution.28
CET1 ratio fully loaded at 12.6% in 2018, higher than 11.5% target, allowing for
substantial buffer for dividend distribution

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UniCredit Group: 3Q15 Results and Strategic Plan

  • 1. UniCredit Group: 3Q15 Results and Strategic Plan Milan, 11 November 2015
  • 2. Disclaimer This Presentation may contain written and oral “forward-looking statements”, which includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions, expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of UniCredit S.p.A. (the “Company”). There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable law. The information and opinions contained in this Presentation are provided as at the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it nor the fact of its distribution may form the basis of, or be relied on or in connection with, any contract or investment decision. The information, statements and opinions contained in this Presentation are for information purposes only and do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation or an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for securities or financial instruments or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments. None of the securities referred to herein have been, or will be, registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States or in Australia, Canada or Japan or any other jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be unlawful (the “Other Countries”), and there will be no public offer of any such securities in the United States. This Presentation does not constitute or form a part of any offer or solicitation to purchase or subscribe for securities in the United States or the Other Countries. Pursuant the consolidated law on financial intermediation of 24 February 1998 (article 154-bis, paragraph 2) Marina Natale, in her capacity as manager responsible for the preparation of the Company’s financial reports declares that the accounting information contained in this Presentation reflects the UniCredit Group’s documented results, financial accounts and accounting records. Neither the Company nor any member of the UniCredit Group nor any of its or their respective representatives, directors or employees accept any liability whatsoever in connection with this Presentation or any of its contents or in relation to any loss arising from its use or from any reliance placed upon it. 2
  • 4. 3Q15 key highlights EARNINGS GENERATIONEARNINGS GENERATION Group net profit at 507m in 3Q15 with a RoTE of 4.8%, and 9M15 above 1.5bn delivering a RoTE of 5%. Considering non recurring items, 9M15 net profit at 1.9bn with a RoTE of 6.2% BUILDING CAPITALBUILDING CAPITAL CET1 ratio fully loaded up to 10.53% thanks to earning generation and RWA dynamics. Including Pioneer JV, CET1 ratio fully loaded at 10.78% Resilient CET1 ratio transitional at 10.53%. Including Pioneer JV, CET1 ratio transitional at 10.93% ASSET QUALITY IMPROVEMENTASSET QUALITY IMPROVEMENT Cost of risk at 85bp at Group level in 3Q15 and sound coverage ratio of 51% on gross impaired loans Asset quality further improving with gross impaired loans reduction supported by NPL sales and increased cash recoveries RESILIENT BUSINESS PERFORMANCERESILIENT BUSINESS PERFORMANCE Core Bank net profit at c.3bn in 9M15 excluding non recurring items, and a RoAC at 10.8%, with CBK Italy, CIB and CEE & Poland being the top contributors Resilient revenues in Core Bank 9M15, with the positive contribution of CBK Italy & Germany, CIB, AM and AG whilst CEE negatively impacted due to FX (at const. FX +3.1% 9M15/9M14) Non Core de-risking continued with gross loans down by 4.1bn q/q and RWA down by 2.4bn q/q 4
  • 5. Group – Regulatory capital CET1 ratio fully loaded up to 10.53% in Sep-15 due to earnings generation and RWA dynamics, 10.78% proforma for Pioneer JV (1) Pro-forma assuming the full absorption of DTA on goodwill tax redemption and tax losses carried forward and Pekao minority excess capital calculated with 12% threshold. Div. accrual & Cashes Jun-15 fully loaded(1) 3Q15 earnings Sep-15 fully loaded(1) RWA, Reserves & other +8bp 10.53% +13bp -5bp 10.37% 10. 78% incl. Pioneer JV (+25bp) +16bp Net profit at 507m in 3Q15 5
  • 6. Group – Asset quality Gross impaired further down due to NPL sales and recoveries. Coverage ratio confirmed at a sound 51% with CoR down excluding CHF conversion in Croatia (1) The perimeter of impaired exposures as per instructions of BankIT Circular 272 is substantially equivalent to the perimeter of Non Performing Exposures (NPE) EBA. (2) Adjusted for -7.2bn coverage enhancement LLP in 4Q13 (stated CoR at 753bp), +0.5bn LLP release in 3Q14 (stated CoR at 64bp) and -0.2bn LLP in 3Q15 related to CHF conversion in Croatia (stated CoR at 85bp). Gross impaired loans(1), bnGross impaired loans(1), bn 80.781.7 84.483.5 -4.3% Gross bad loans (sofferenze)(1), bnGross bad loans (sofferenze)(1), bn Cost of risk(2), bpCost of risk(2), bp Gross impaired loans – Yearly variationsGross impaired loans – Yearly variations 83.6 Sep-15Jun-15Dec-14Sep-14Dec-13 Cov. ratio Net imp. 39.640.041.140.939.7 51.0%51.0%51.3%51.0%52.5% -0.2% 50.651.352.150.6 -2.9% 49.1 Sep-15Jun-15Dec-14Sep-14Dec-13 Cov. ratio Net bad 19.519.719.719.318.1 61.4%61.7%62.2%61.8%63.1% +3.1% 68 76 144 109 174 3Q14 4Q144Q13 2Q15 3Q15 Non-rec. items(2) -3.3%-0.8% 0.9% 0.0% 4.9% 3Q14 4Q144Q13 2Q15 3Q15 0.9% 1Q15 6
  • 7. Asset quality in Italy Confirmed better asset quality trend vs. banking system (1) UCI SpA data based on regulatory flows. (2) Italian banking association - sample composed by c. 80% of Italian banking system; including exposures towards households and non financial corporations. Gross impaired loansGross impaired loans Gross bad loans (sofferenze)Gross bad loans (sofferenze) Other gross impaired loansOther gross impaired loans Base 100 at Dec-12Base 100 at Dec-12 Base 100 at Dec-12Base 100 at Dec-12 Base 100 at Dec-12Base 100 at Dec-12 Gross impaired loans trend consistently better than the Italian banking system Bad loans (sofferenze) still performing better than the system in 3Q15 Other impaired loans confirmed a downward trend for UCG, down by 16pp y/y ABI sample(2) UCI Spa(1) Dec-12 Dec-14 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-13 Jun-15 Sep-15 133 137 139 141 144 118 116 117 117 115 116 Dec-12 Dec-14 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-13 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-12 Dec-14 Mar-15 Sep-14 Dec-13 Jun-15 Sep-15 100 140 146 150 155 159 122 117 129 134 138 138 143 100 123 127 127 126 127 113 103 101 98 94 89 85110 100 7
  • 8. Group net profit at over 1.5bn in 9M15 Core Bank net profit c.3bn in 9M15 with 10.8% RoAC, exc. non recurring items. Non Core loss at 1.1bn in 9M15, broadly stable vs 9M14. Core Bank net profit, mCore Bank net profit, mGroup net profit, mGroup net profit, m Non Core loss, mNon Core loss, m 1,541 1,837 507522 722 9M159M143Q152Q153Q14 -3.0% -16.1% 5.0%6.0%4.8%4.9%6.8%RoTE(1) 9M15 at 1.9bn excluding non recurring items(2) 3Q15 at c.640m excluding CHF conversion in Croatia 6.2% excl. non recurring items(2) 1,099 9M159M143Q152Q153Q14 818 900 2,865 2,597 -9.3% +9.9% 9.4%11%9.9%8.9%13.6%RoAC(3) 9M15 at c.3bn excluding non rec. items(2) 10.8% excl. non recurring items(2) 377 9M159M143Q152Q153Q14 296 393 1,027 1,056 +2.8% +32.7% 1,1661,217457298498LLP, m (1) RoTE: net profit / average tangible equity (excluding AT1). (2) Single Resolution Funds in Italy, Germany, Austria and CEE (c.160m net for the Group, c.143 for the Core Bank), impairment related to Ukrsotsbank (100m net) and LLP for CHF conversion in Croatia (c. 140m net). (3) RoAC calculated as net profit on allocated capital. Allocated capital calculated as 9.25% of RWAs, including deductions for shortfall and securitizations. 8
  • 9. Core Bank – Net operating profit Net operating profit stable in 3Q15 excluding loan loss provisions for CHF conversion in Croatia Revenues, mRevenues, mNet operating profit, mNet operating profit, m Costs, mCosts, m Loan loss provisions, mLoan loss provisions, m 5,166 5,666 1,5231,776 2,040 9M159M143Q152Q153Q14 -14.2% -8.8% 3Q15 at c.1.7bn excluding CHF conversion in Croatia 5,476 9M159M143Q152Q153Q14 5,693 5,311 16,643 16,688 +0.3% -6.7% 3,181 9M159M143Q152Q153Q14 3,301 3,239 9,599 9,789 +2.0% -1.9% 256 9M159M143Q152Q153Q14 615 548 1,378 1,732 +25.7% -10.9% 3Q15 embedding c200m for CHF conversion 9
  • 10. 10 Agenda 3Q15 results UniCredit Strategic PlanUniCredit Strategic Plan
  • 11. Accelerating implementation of our Strategic Plan LEADING PAN-EUROPEAN CORPORATE AND RETAIL BANK RoTE TARGET 11%RoTE TARGET 11% POTENTIAL UPSIDE FROM DISCONTINUITY ACTIONS POTENTIAL UPSIDE FROM DISCONTINUITY ACTIONS CET1 RATIO AT 12.6% PRE DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION CET1 RATIO AT 12.6% PRE DIVIDEND DISTRIBUTION EFFICIENT, EFFECTIVE AND INNOVATIVE SIMPLER AND MORE INTEGRATED INVESTING IN DIGITAL, HIGH GROWTH, CAPITAL LIGHT BUSINESSES SUSTAINABLE PROFITABILITY AND ORGANIC CAPITAL GENERATION TARGET2018 11
  • 12. Branches Cost of risk, bp Core Bank RoACCET1 ratio FL Leading Pan-European franchise with significant results achieved so far ProfitabilityProfitabilityCapitalCapitalLeading Pan-European Commercial BankLeading Pan-European Commercial Bank Pan-European commercial Bank (1) Data as of Jun-15. (2) Data as of Aug-15, CEE division excluding Ukraine. (3) By total assets, data as of Dec-14. (4) Considering only international peers (Raiffeisen Bank, Erste, Société Générale, KBC, Intesa Sanpaolo and OTP Bank). (5) Annualised and adjusted for SRF in Italy, Germany, Austria and CEE (c.160m net for the Group, c.143 for the Core Bank), impairment related to Ukrsotsbank (100m net) and LLP for CHF conversion in Croatia (c.140m net). (6) Cost of Risk 2013 adjusted for 7.2bn additional LLP to enhance coverage. Sep-15 10.53% Jun-15 10.37% 2013 9.36% 2010 7.27% 9M15(5) 10.8% 2014 10.8% 2013 n.m. FTE reduction, k EfficiencyEfficiency Sep-15201420132010 Non Core gross loans, bn Asset qualityAsset quality Sep-15 66 2014 78 2013 86 127129 132145 Poland 11.6% 14.6% CEE(2) 6.0% AUTITA GER 2.5% 12.4% Loan market share(1) Ranking(3) #2 #3 #1 #1(4) #2 Sep-15201420132010 7,0557,5167,983 9M1520142013(6)2010 8190 124 8,590 113 -9bp -461-2 +16bp -20 12
  • 13. Recalibration of the business to adapt to the different macroeconomic scenarios with interest rates at all time lows Pan-European commercial Bank 3M EURIBOR, % Private financial wealth , US$ trillion (1) On-line client penetration(2) GDP growth 2014-16 CAGR, % Slower GDP recovery to date, although positive outlook remains unchanged Slower GDP recovery to date, although positive outlook remains unchanged Higher growth in savings marketsHigher growth in savings markets Zero interest rate environment to stayZero interest rate environment to stay Evolving regulatory frameworkEvolving regulatory framework UniCredit operating in a "digitalized" Europe with further room for improvement in Italy UniCredit operating in a "digitalized" Europe with further room for improvement in Italy Political stability with active reform agenda in Italy Political stability with active reform agenda in Italy CEEITA 0.8% 0.5% 2.4% 2.2% STRATEGIC PLAN newSTRATEGIC PLAN old Global 164.3 222.1 20192014 48% 29% 52% 34% 54% 38% 61% 49% 2018201420132012 ITALYEUROPE 2018201620152014 2017 STRATEGIC PLAN newSTRATEGIC PLAN old 1.0 2.0 (1) Source BCG Global Wealth Market-sizing Database, 2015. (2) Source Forrester Research - Digital banking forecast. 39.6 49.0 Western Europe Eastern Europe 2.9 4.6 13
  • 14. Staff expenses (0.8) An increasingly efficient bank with further reduction of total costs to 12.9bn in 2018 Cost savings, bnCost savings, bnTotal Group operating costs, bnTotal Group operating costs, bn Efficient, effective & innovative 2018(3) 12.9 Cost savings -1.6 UCG Cost/income -4.3% UCG FTE EoP ( -11 p.p. )61% 50% ( -12k )129 117 Integration costs of approx. 1bn pre-tax to be booked mostly in 2015 Further c.800 branch reduction in addition to 928 already completed from the Jan-2014 to Sep-15 (20% reduction in Dec-18 vs. Dec-13) (1) Net of bank levies of c.140m in 2013 reclassified to systemic charges starting from 2014. (2) Salary & inflation drift of 0.8bn, investments in growth initiatives & other of 0.2bn. (3) Carry forward savings will contribute a further decrease of 100m from 2019 onwards. 14.5+1.0 13.5 14.1 2013(1) 2014 Salary & infl. drift, invest. in growth initiat. & other(2) -11.1% Other administrative expenses (0.8) Major cost reductions in Commercial Bank Germany (-46%) and Commercial Bank Austria (-13%) between 2014 and 2018 AUT GER ITA Corporate Centers CEE Region38% 10% 9% 11% 33% 14
  • 15. FTE reduction mainly within Corporate Centres and Commercial Bank Italy, Germany and Austria 2013-2018 FTE reduction, k2013-2018 FTE reduction, k Efficient, effective & innovative 2018 (1) 4.0k FTE for Ukraine disposal and 2.0k FTE for Pioneer JV. 2013 2014-18 Plan reduction -18k FTE reduction over the Strategic Plan horizon (-14%) 2013 reduction 2014 Ukraine & Pioneer(1) Pro-forma 2018 132.1 3.1 129.0 12.2 116.8 6.0 110.8 Including 2.2k FTE reduction as of 3Q15 Group FTE by geographies excluding Corporate Centres Group FTE by Corporate Centre 2014 2018 47.2 45.7 49.0 43.2 13.3 11.2 114.6 104.8 5.1 4.8 ITAGERAUTCEE Reg ITAGERAUT 2014 2018 2.1 1.6 7.6 6.5 4.6 3.8 14.4 12.0 -9% -17% 15
  • 16. Active portfolio management aimed at unlocking shareholder value, committed to exit or restructure poor performers whilst increasing capital allocation to high return businesses Efficient, effective & innovative (1) Managerial data, financial impacts not included in UniCredit Strategic Plan. (2) Includes CEE, Poland, Asset Management and Asset Gathering. Group structure significantly simplifiedGroup structure significantly simplified Exits from Non Strategic Businesses Partnerships to maximize full platform potential Organic value accelerator Value generation by division(1)Value generation by division(1) Capital allocation by business division, %Capital allocation by business division, % • Exit / restructuring expected by end 2016… • … with potential negative P&L impact but capital neutral at inception, with significant long term value creation • Ongoing commitment to active portfolio monitoring • Ukraine restructuring ongoing • Sale completed • Kazakhstan & Baltics exit completed • CZ/SK merger completed • IPO completed • Partnership with SAM being finalized • Partnership with Fortress executed Non Core CBK Italy, Germany and Austria CIB Growth businesses(2) 20182014 28 34 22 39 5 22 40 10 1.51.20.90.30.0-0.3-1.8-2.1 0.6 2.42.11.8 130% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% -10% -60% 0% Retail Austria + Leasing Italy CIB POLAND CB AUT CEE CB ITA CB GER AG AM NON CORE ROAC 2014 Bubble size: RWA 2014 Net profit 2014, bn 16
  • 17. Digital strategy to accelerate retail multi-channel transformation supported by 1.2bn investments (2016-2018) Accelerate the digital transformation(1)Accelerate the digital transformation(1) Efficient, effective & innovative (1) 2014-18 targets. (2) Transaction Migration Index Italy: number of transactions migrated to alternative channels over total number of transactions. (3) Considered only retail branches; Ukraine not included, Turkey at 100%. (4) Efficiencies enabled by digital initiatives (4k Italy, 1.3k Germany, 0.5k Austria). (5) All products sold on direct channels; 90% automatic decisions (credit cards); from 6 to 1 number of underwriting platforms. (6) Multichannel direct and indirect sales (excluding CEE Division), Main KPIsMain KPIs No. of online banking active users, m No. of mobile banking active users, m No. of branches per 1m customers(3) 2014 8.9 2018 16.1 2014 2.9 2018 11.4 2014 298 2018 193 Build a future digital business modelBuild a future digital business model • Continue transaction migration to remote channels (from 85% to 90%)(2) • Right-sizing footprint (c.-1.5k branches)(3) with new and flexible formats Delivery model upgrade • Digitalize and simplify back-end processes (c.5.8k FTE)(4) • Fully-digitalized document management (sales vs. admin activities ratio in Italy: from 75% to 80%) • Credit Revolution program aiding real time automatic credit decisions(5) Simplification and process digitalization Increase Sales • Extend end-to-end sales on all basic banking products with excellent customer experience (from 15% to 25%)(6) • Instant lending: from up to 48h to <3minutes • Leverage on new technological capabilities and enablers (e.g. Big Data) • New cheaper IT infrastructure to serve customers' basic purchase behaviors, reducing cost-to-serve (1st wave 26m savings) A new digital core banking system • 1st molecular bank offering a pure mobile customer experience with a 24/7 live-caring concierge • Plug-and-play platform to facilitate new markets entrance • Implementation started, launch in early 2017 17
  • 18. A simpler, more integrated bank with strengthened holding steering functions and leaner managerial structure Strategic objectivesStrategic objectives Simpler & more integrated Target structureTarget structureKey pillarsKey pillars A simpler bankA simpler bank A more integrated bank A more integrated bank • Elimination of sub-holding with direct shareholding control of CEE subsidiaries by UC SpA (while preserving CEE Division know how) intended by end 2016 • Reduced governance layers • CIB and foreign banks under one managerial responsibility • Strengthening of central governing functions • More effective capital allocation and liquidity management • Strong focus on commercial synergies mainly CIB / Commercial banking networks Relationship Manager Coverage Single Point of Entry Product Experts (CTS, CFA, Capital Markets support for 360º approach to the client) Think Together 18
  • 19. Continued focus on high growth potential of asset and wealth management contributing to 2bn additional fees by 2018 TFA growth, bnTFA growth, bn Focus on ItalyFocus on ItalyGroup fee composition, bnGroup fee composition, bn Growth & revenue mix AuM AuC Deposits 2013 2018 917 +4.8% CAGR Investment services Financing services Transactional and banking services 27% 29% 44% 2014 29% 26% 44% 36% 22% 42% 944 1,160 2013 2018 7.4 +5.5% CAGR 26% 33% 2014 22% 28% 7.6 9.6 26% 30% 50% (o/w 65% rec. fees) Increase in AuM driven by more comprehensive advisory services along with an increased diversified investment approach in order to meet customer demand for higher added value products and returns 2018 2014 2013 AUM / TFA, % AUM / TFA, % Commercial Banking Italy Asset Gathering 2018 2014 2013 40% 30% 26% 45% 48% 57% +14pp +12pp 19 43% (o/w 60% rec. fees) 41% (o/w 58% rec. fees)
  • 20. Increasing weight in asset and wealth management to further accelerate fee income growth Business areaBusiness area (1) Asset allocation and product selection from Fineco Investment Platform based on customers’ different risk profile (i.e. fund of funds and advisory service fee-only). (2) Founded in 1833, Schoellerbank is a leading private banking operator with a presence throughout Austria. The bank is 100% owned by Bank Austria. Main KPIsMain KPIsKey pillarsKey pillars Growth & revenue mix Asset Management Asset Gathering Private Banking TFA, bn Guided products/ AuM(1), % TFA (Italy, Germany, Austria, Poland), bn AuM AuC Deposits Growth in non-captive distribution from 93bn in 2014 to expected 126bn in 2018 Further upside from JV with Santander Asset Management to boost growth Focus on client acquisition Increase in AuM, focus on advisory products & services Efficient and scalable technological platform European leader in brokerage activity (24.3m executed orders in 2014) Higher focus on Wealth Management (Cordusio SIM) in Italy Clients acquisition from 45k in 2014 to almost 50k exploiting CBK Germany Leverage on Schoellerbank(2) in Austria 2014 2018 209 277 +7% CAGR 2014 2018 36% 64% +28pp 2014 2018 149 203+8% CAGR 20
  • 21. Continue to leverage on CIB leadership to improve revenue mix and boost cross selling Business areaBusiness area Main KPIsMain KPIsKey pillarsKey pillars Growth & revenue mix Leadership in Capital Markets and Advisory Increase cross-divisional synergies Rebalance revenues stream towards fee income Capitalize on leadership in Capital Markets in Europe Intensify cross-selling business (Advisory, Markets) Focus on mid-tier corporates, increasing business diversification Intensify leverage on international network Boost penetration of capital-light businesses (ECA financing etc. and transactional fees) Exploit geographic footprint to become trade finance powerhouse Italy Germany CEE League tables(1) – Euro Bonds Shared revenues CBK & CEE CIB revenues Fees NII Sep-14 2014 6.5 2018 CIB synergies, bn(2) Fees/ Core revenues, %(3)Client driven revenues, % Sep-15 #1 #2 #3 #1 #1 #1 Volumes, bn 20 10 0 2.2 0.6 3.7 7 2.4 0.6 4.0 17% of CBK rev. 14% of CEE rev. 17% of CBK rev. 13% of CEE rev. Client driven rev. Non client driven rev. 2014 2018 2014 2018 68 32 80 20 44 56 50 50 (1) Source Dealogic. (2) Shared includes Commercial Banking and CEE revenues generated with the contribution of PL specialist, which is compensated via cost reimbursement. (3) Data includes only commercial fees (managerial data). 21
  • 22. CEE & Poland remain key growth engines leveraging their leadership position as the preferred partners for local and multi-country clients Business areaBusiness area Main KPIsMain KPIsKey pillarsKey pillars Growth & revenue mix Acquisition of new customers/ higher penetration on existing ones Digitalisation to support revenue growth and cost reduction Business volumes growth Over 1.2m new customers acquired in 2015 Focus on selective customer acquisition via hook products and innovations in partnerships with international brands Country by country strategy and leveraging on best practices Increase share of remote sales in CEE Improve customer experience through leaner and faster processes tailored for digital sales CRM run on Big Data proprietary IT enabler for retail and corporate sales / business development to deeper understand clients' needs Increase capital allocation to CEE Region Focus on products / segments with higher return Grow business volumes and market share leveraging local funding sources In 2007-14, CEE Division's net profit grew by 5.3% vs. banking system's contraction of 25%(2) Return on assets in CEE banking system is expected to be 2x Western Europe in 2015-18 CEE Poland 20 No. of clients, m(1) No. of internet banking users, m No. of mobile banking users, m Customer loans, bn 24 CEE Poland CEE Poland Current 2018 5 10 Current 2018 1 7 Current 2018 87 106 Sept-15 2018 (1) Gross number of new clients acquired in CEE and Poland from the beginning of the year to 30 September 2015. (2) For Russia and Serbia profit before tax at sector level.22
  • 23. Ongoing Non Core deleverage resulting in lower capital absorption at Group level Non Core gross loans, bnNon Core gross loans, bn Profitability and capital (1) The transfer back to the Core Bank follows a strict assessment of the risk profile of underlying positions (e.g. the absence of impaired/restructuring for corporates, no irregular payments for 14 months for individuals). (2) Italy, 9M15 vs. 9M14. 32 52 66 86 2013 3Q15 2016 Around 7bn NPL sales successfully executed, further disposals to come also on the expectation of Bankruptcy Law in Italy. All sales to be value accretive or neutral Cash recoveries expected to further improve over the next 3 years also thanks to the new set-up of workout activities in Italy and to the improvement in the Italian economy. Cash recoveries in Italy up by 31% in 9M15/9M14 Operating costs of the Non Core to decrease from 0.6bn in 2013 to 0.1bn in 2018, in line with volume run-down 38% 2018 Main drivers of run down 2016-18: sales c.6bn back to Core(1) recoveries maturities 33 Non Core RWA, bnNon Core RWA, bn -54bn Performing Impaired 3Q15 2016 2018 LLP, bn Cov. ratio on imp., % 9.7 0.8 53.8 ~51 1.1(2) 51.6 1.4 ~51 Allocated capital 7.5% 4.8%7.9% 27 16 -17bn 23
  • 24. (+2% CAGR 2015-18) Organic capital generation leading to CET1 ratio of 12.6% in 2018, higher than 11.5% target, allowing for substantial buffer for dividend distribution CET 1 ratio FLCET 1 ratio FL Profitability and capital 2018Management actions (1) Includes the impact of Pioneer JV. +0.4% -1.4% +2.4% 10.5% 3Q2015 Net earnings Organic growth and others(1) Major cost reductions in Commercial Bank Germany (-46%) and Commercial Bank Austria (-13%) between 2014 and 2018 38% 9 Non Core deleverage +0.7% 11.5% 12.6% Dividend pool Loans, bn RWA, bn 474 503 400 425(+2% CAGR 2015-18) Synthetic securitisations and other actions (e.g. capital light businesses, data quality, etc.) Net of AT1 and CASHES coupon Further upside from discontinuity actions CET1 ratio FL target 2018 increased to 12.6% pre-dividend distribution Net earnings include integration costs amounting to 1bn pre-tax Organic growth mainly driven by increase in business volumes in CEE Region and Commercial Banks Strong focus on RWA containment achieved on the back of Non Core deleverage and RWA management actions Cumulated cash dividend of 4.8bn, corresponding to an average payout ratio of ~40% Scrip dividend option would allow a higher dividend pool of over 9bn 24
  • 25. Sustainable long term profitability and shareholder value generation with 2018 RoTE of 11% Group RoTE(1)Group RoTE(1) Profitability and capital 2018De-risking & others (1) Managerial data including full consolidation of Pioneer. Deltas are calculated on the basis of allocated capital by division. (2) Fee income in CBK Italy, CBK Germany and CBK Austria. (3) Includes CEE Region, AM and AG divisions. 2% 3% 1%5% 2014 Cost savings Fees in WE(2) Major cost reductions in Commercial Bank Germany (-46%) and Commercial Bank Austria (-13%) between 2014 and 2018 Full management commitment to deliver sustainable profitability of 11% by 2018 Cost cutting and streamlining of group organization producing cost savings for 1.6bn Accelerating growth of asset and wealth management contributing to 2bn additional fees in 2018 vs. 2014 Leverage CEE Region, AM and AG to enhance business growth Improving asset quality resulting in a lower cost of risk at group level Lower capital absorption thanks to effective Non Core run-down and proactive capital management 9 Growth businesses(3) <0.5% 11% DIGITALISATIONDIGITALISATION Includes -1.7pp due to cost drift and +2.8pp cost savings Includes ~1pp due to fee income Further upside from discontinuity actions 25
  • 26. Management discipline and focus to ensure sustainable profitability with RoTE of at least 11% in 2018 Final remarks Discontinuity through exit / restructuring poorly performing assets Reshaping governance and organization to be simpler and more integrated Exploitation of digital agenda to boost commercial effectiveness and support cost savings Internal capital generation, CET1 ratio at 12.6% in 2018 allowing UniCredit to reposition itself among the strongest European banks Shareholder value generation with substantial dividend pool consistent with 11.5% CET 1 target 26
  • 27. Financial targets - Core Bank COSTS (bn) GROSS OPERATING PROFIT (bn) COST OF RISK (bp) NET PROFIT (bn) RoAC COST INCOME 20142014 20182018 CAGR 14-18CAGR 14-18 9.3 3.7 11% -12.9 50 58% 12.8 6.3 14% -12.8 53 50% +8% +14% +3p.p.(1) -0% GROUPGROUP +3 bp(1) -8 p.p.(1) 27 (1) Delta instead of CAGR.
  • 28. Financial targets - Group GROSS OPERATING PROFIT (bn) COST INCOME NET PROFIT (bn) COST OF RISK (bp) RoTE FULLY LOADED CET1 RATIO(2) 20142014 20182018 CAGR 14-18CAGR 14-18 60% 90 5% 9.0 2.0 10.0% 50% 67 11% 12.2 5.3 12.6% -10 p.p.(1) -23 bp(1) +6 p.p.(1) +8% +27% +2.6 p.p.(1) (1) Delta instead of CAGR. (2) Pre dividend distribution.28 CET1 ratio fully loaded at 12.6% in 2018, higher than 11.5% target, allowing for substantial buffer for dividend distribution