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CAMELS Modeling and Scoring :Financial Institutional Risk Analysis Risk Training Session#1- Apr/2010  Dept. of Local Investments  Department of Quantitative Risk Analytics
CAMELS stands for : ,[object Object]
A  for Asset Quality
M for Management Capacity
E  for Earnings Base
L  for Liquidity Availability
S  for Sensitivity towards Market Risks  ,[object Object]
Tier 1 (Core Capital) Consists of : ,[object Object], 	Share capital/ common stock net of share held,  	Perpetual and preferred shares , disclosed equity reserves in the form of general and other reserves created by appropriation of retained earnings and share premiums less certain deductions as per BASEL 2 Guidelines.
Tier 2 Supplementary Capital consists of : ,[object Object],[object Object]
, CAR – CAPITAL  ADEQUACY RATIO % : ,[object Object]
As per Basel II Capital Accord , the minimum CAR of a commercial bank should be at least 8.00%
Similarly the Tier 1 Risk Adjusted Ratio should be at least 4.00% as per the New Capital Accord guidelines.,[object Object]
Calculate capital growth rate of the bank
Calculate and compare CAR % ratios with local regulatory requirements
Banks with higher CAR % should be assigned higher score on a scale of 1-5 and vice versa. ,[object Object]
What a  credit analyst has to remember when assigning scores to key asset ratios/ indicators ? ,[object Object]
 Bad Loan Coverage Ratio should  strictly not be less than 1.00 and ideally at least upto 1.5x.
Overdue loans report should be matched by total provisions set aside to meet losses from defaults. ,[object Object]
Portfolio of securities should be analyzed as per their accounting classification and proportion of total investments
Operating income should be separately analyzed from total earnings after tax deductions
Provisioning expenses should be analyzed in relation to total loans, assets and expenses , with higher ratios to be assigned lower risk scores and vice versa,[object Object]
Well qualified staff at banks always add values to the latter’s brand equity, service quality and market reputation
Group strength and sponsor reputation matters!,[object Object]
Group Support Ratings are a sign of Sponsor strength and group management quality; hence brand equity and management quality of the group to which the bank may belong, should also be assigned scores
External and Internal Auditor reports should be analyzed to pick up traces of adverse opinion about the management team (if any),[object Object]
Bank earnings are derived from asset side of the balance sheet in terms of revenues and from liability side of the balance sheet in terms of cost reductions and controls,[object Object]
ROE - is the Return on Equity and also the opportunity costs of providing funds to different arms of the bank .Higher ROE should be assigned a higher score
ROSF – Return on Shareholder Funds is the ratio of net income after tax to capital employed ,[object Object]
Fee Income to Net Income ratio should be analyzed separately
Income from investments and that from financing should be analyzed separately ,[object Object]
ROE – Return on Equity should be analyzed in light of WACC – Weighted Average Cost of Capital.

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Camels Modeling

  • 1. CAMELS Modeling and Scoring :Financial Institutional Risk Analysis Risk Training Session#1- Apr/2010 Dept. of Local Investments Department of Quantitative Risk Analytics
  • 2.
  • 3. A for Asset Quality
  • 4. M for Management Capacity
  • 5. E for Earnings Base
  • 6. L for Liquidity Availability
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. As per Basel II Capital Accord , the minimum CAR of a commercial bank should be at least 8.00%
  • 12.
  • 13. Calculate capital growth rate of the bank
  • 14. Calculate and compare CAR % ratios with local regulatory requirements
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Bad Loan Coverage Ratio should strictly not be less than 1.00 and ideally at least upto 1.5x.
  • 18.
  • 19. Portfolio of securities should be analyzed as per their accounting classification and proportion of total investments
  • 20. Operating income should be separately analyzed from total earnings after tax deductions
  • 21.
  • 22. Well qualified staff at banks always add values to the latter’s brand equity, service quality and market reputation
  • 23.
  • 24. Group Support Ratings are a sign of Sponsor strength and group management quality; hence brand equity and management quality of the group to which the bank may belong, should also be assigned scores
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. ROE - is the Return on Equity and also the opportunity costs of providing funds to different arms of the bank .Higher ROE should be assigned a higher score
  • 28.
  • 29. Fee Income to Net Income ratio should be analyzed separately
  • 30.
  • 31. ROE – Return on Equity should be analyzed in light of WACC – Weighted Average Cost of Capital.
  • 32.
  • 33. All return ratios should be assigned scores PIT –(Point in Time) and credit risk view should not ignore TTC – (Through the Cycle) performances
  • 34. Return ratios and indicators should be assigned scores in light of other balance sheet ratio trends to check linearity and correlation with other risk drivers .
  • 35.
  • 36. Majority of the failed banks in our times, had defaulted on fixed rate commitments due to liquidity mismanagement
  • 37.
  • 38. Banks with higher CAR have higher liquidity resources and vice versa
  • 39.
  • 40. Liquid assets proportion to liquid liabilities ascertains short term funding position
  • 41.
  • 42. Higher availability of liquid assets in relation to total assets should be assigned a higher score
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. Banks have witnessed an increase in loan defaults due to interest rate hikes
  • 46. Overall increase in market risks may reduce CAR – Capital Adequacy Ratio and default probability
  • 47.
  • 48. If Weighted Duration of Assets exceeds Weighted Duration of Liabilities , than the bank has a Duration surplus and vice versa
  • 49.
  • 50. A higher score should be assigned to duration surpluses (WDA>WDL) in a falling↓ interest rate environment
  • 51.
  • 52. Country Risk can be quantified using External Ratings
  • 53.
  • 54. Social issues should be analyzed with its impact on banking industry
  • 55.
  • 56. All factors that contribute to FX price changes and impact translation losses should also be studied
  • 57. Historical Macroeconomic trends should be regressed
  • 58.
  • 59. External Debt to GDP ratio should be on the lower side. The lower the ratio the higher the score to be assigned and vice versa
  • 60.