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NMDS, November 7th, 2013 

APP STORES
- ANALYTICS AND TRENDS

@anders_lykke / @prioridata
WWW.PRIORIDATA.COM
AGENDA
ABOUT APP STORE ANALYTICS
  Who am I?
  Who is Priori Data?
  What is App Store Analytics?
  App Economy – Size, Growth and Characteristics
  The Challenge
  App Architecture – breaking the app store down to relevant markets
  Case-Study: Sudoku Games
  Invitation to participate in BETA
APPENDIX
  Fastest Growing Consumer Trends in the App Stores
  Globally 
  For Sweden
  Size of the Scandinavian App Markets
2	
  
WHO AM I?
Anders, Sales

and a lot of other stuff…
4	
  
APPS MAKE MY LIFE EASIER

6	
  
7	
  
  Consumers download apps to solve
problems and/or to enrich their lives

  We are monitoring consumer trends in
the app economy

8	
  
WHAT IS PRIORI DATA?
ABOUT PRIORI
  Priori is a Berlin based app store analytics provider
  Formally launched in June 2013 by acquiring the rights
to a historical database and on-going data feed
  Access to ~80% of all global apps, as well as 2.5 years
of historical data
  We leverage this data in two ways:
  We publish a series of Market Intelligence Reports
(pdf – most are free) 
  Do consulting work on Custom Data Projects
10	
  
SOME BIG PLAYERS IN THE INUSTRY
WHAT IS APP STORE ANALYTICS?
OUR PROCESS
We retrieve and store publicly available
Collection

Structuring &
Processing

information

We estimate download and revenue for
every app (regression model + data

Enrichment

Delivery

exchange with developers)

We convert this data into information
and insights on consumer trends
13	
  
OUR DATABASE
Maintaining app information for:

2,000,000+ apps
every app, every price change, every
version

30 countries
local content, local monetization, local
leaders

MEASURING
100,000 new apps per month
6bn downloads per month
15mm user comments per month

250,000 publishers
from hobby developers to public
companies

3 platforms
Google Play, iOS (iPhone, iPad),
Windows Phone

MONITORING
50 categories
550 app sub-categories
120 game sub-categories

14	
  
APP ECONOMY SIZE AND GROWTH
PUBLISHER LEVEL INFORMATION (as of Oct. 8th)
The App Store:

  258.081 publishers (about 7k new each month)
  3.8 apps per publisher on avg.
  7.171 downloads/month per publisher on avg.
Google Play:

  269.803 publishers (about 11k new each month)
  3.7 apps per publisher on avg. 
  13.574 downloads/month per publisher on avg. 
16	
  
NUMBER OF APPS AND MONETIZATION
  Ca.

1 million apps (on both GP and iOS)

  iOS: 600k free / 400k paid ($332.5m revenue/month)
  Android: 800k free / 200k paid ($32m revenue/month)

  In-app purchase is a growing trend on both platforms:
  On iOS 11% of apps have in-app purchase (IAP present in 60%
of downloaded apps in September)
  On GP: 5.2% of apps have in-app purchase (IAP present in 28%
of downloaded apps in September)

  …4bn

vs 2bn downloads per month
17	
  
$80 BN APP STORE REVENUE BY 2017
80	
  
70	
  
60	
  
50	
  
40	
  

$bn	
  total	
  rev.	
  

30	
  

$bn	
  rev	
  IAP	
  

20	
  
10	
  
0	
  
2012	
  

2013	
  

2014	
  

2015	
  

2016	
  

2017	
  
Source:	
  Gartner,	
  2013	
  
KEY OBSERVATIONS ON THE APP ECONOMY
  It is young
  It is growing at unprecedented speed
  2 very dominant distribution platforms (Gartner says
90% of downloads this year)
  Difficult to obtain information on the market
  Everybody wants in
19	
  
THE CHALLENGE
  There is an app for everything but only around 40 native
app store categories for developers to place their app
in and for consumers to browse
  Each native app store category is crowded with highly
differentiated apps
  We think there is a real opportunity to make smarter
decisions if you can identify the actual market of an
individual app.

21	
  
APP ARCHITECTURE & 
SUB-CATEGORIES
WHAT IT IS
  AppArchitecture is Priori’s proprietary app taxonomy, or classification system
  We mine app titles and descriptions to identify “clusters” of apps using
natural language processing algorithms 

  This process is done dynamically each month across our database, and
supplemented by manual review
  The end result: a “sub-category” designation for ~90% of the apps in our
database
23	
  
35-40
750

Categories

Sub-Categories

  Thus a Sudoku Game is no longer just an
app belonging to the the Puzzle Games
Category (iOS). It can now be analyzed
against all other apps in the ”Sudoku &
Crosswords” Sub-Category .
Full	
  list	
  of	
  Sub-­‐Categories:	
  
www.prioridata.com/technology/apparchitecture/	
  	
  

24	
  
FALL 2013 – 
Article by Priori
A Tool: Sub-Category Tracker
Priori Sub-Category Tracker
Sudoku	
  &	
  Crossword	
  Puzzle	
  Sub-­‐Category
Apple iTunes Store / August 2013
(Data Collection 09	
  Aug. – 09 Sep. 2013)

27	
  
  Sudoku & Crossword Puzzle apps are logic-based
puzzle games, largely belonging to the iTunes store
native category “Puzzle Games”. 
  Sudoku & Crossword Puzzle is the 56th largest Priori
sub-category in terms of global August 2013
downloads, the 151th largest in terms of apps, 73rd in
terms of active users and 178th in terms of publishers. It
is comprised of:
1,676	
  apps	
  
964	
  publishers	
  
7.8M	
  monthly	
  downloads	
  
39M	
  acNve	
  users	
  
28	
  
  We want to know more about the performance,
opportunities, and competitive landscape in
this sub-category. For instance:
  Trend: How has this sub-category performed in the
near-term?

  Size: How big is it across geographies?
  Growth: How fast is it growing across geographies? 
  Structure: What does the market structure look like
across geographies?

  Top 3: Who are the top players in each geography?
29	
  
MONTH OVER MONTH GROWTH COMPARISON:
Sudoku & Crosswords VS Puzzle Games VS iOS
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

GLOBAL MONTH-OVER-MONTH GROWTH COMPARISON 
50%
46.6%

25.9%
25%
12.1%

3.3%
0%

6.0%

7.8%

0.1%

-25.4%

-25%

-25.5%
June

July
Global Performance

August

31	
  
SHARE OF DOWNLOADS BY COUNTRY
Is the Market large enough to Enter?
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

Share of Downloads by Country

Current Month Downloads in Country /
Global Current Month Downloads

Size and Growth By Country

33	
  
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

Share of Sub-Category by Country

Current Month Downloads in Country /
Global Current Month Downloads

Size and Growth By Country

34	
  
MONTH OVER MONTH GROWTH BY COUNTRY
- Are the Market Dynamics in my Favor?
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

Growth by Country

(Current Month Downloads – Prior Month Downloads) /
Prior Month Downloads

Size and Growth By Country

36	
  
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

Growth by Country

(Current Month Downloads – Prior Month Downloads) /
Prior Month Downloads

Size and Growth By Country

37	
  
DOWNLOAD DISTRUBUTION – TIERS 1-3
How many Installs can I expect?
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

Download Distribution

Market Structure By Country

39	
  
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

Download Distribution

Market Structure By Country

40	
  
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

Download Distribution
Tier

Apps #1 - #3

Apps #4 - #10

Apps #11 - #25

% of Downloads

Switzerland

United Arab
Emirates

Avg. Downloads
Per App

116,326

5,900

1,628

91%

6%

2%

Avg. Downloads
Per App

64,539

2,243

297

79%

11%

7%

Avg. Downloads
Per App

83,237

5,616

1,580

56%

22%

17%

Avg. Downloads
Per App

13,030

2,544

783

% of Downloads

Sweden

6%

% of Downloads

Spain

8%

% of Downloads

South Korea

81%

% of Downloads

Russia

52%

25%

19%

Avg. Downloads
Per App

14,139

3,417

1,039

% of Downloads

60%

22%

15%

824

221

Avg. Downloads Market Structure By Country
4,580
Per App

41	
  
TOP 3 PLAYERS BY COUNTRY
Trend

Size

Growth	
  

Structure

Top 3

TOP APPS
Rank

Finger Arts

Big Bad Sudoku Book

Bad Weasel, LLC

101 미니게임즈 베스트 컬렉션

Nordcurrent

2

로직 스퀘어(Logic Square)

Dev Square

▻Sudoku

Finger Arts

101-in-1 Games Anthology

Nordcurrent

2

▻Sudoku

Finger Arts

3

Numberama 2

Okroshka Lab

1
2
3

▻Sudoku
101-in-1 Games Anthology

Sudoku :)

Finger Arts
Nordcurrent
TicBits Ltd

1

▻Sudoku

Finger Arts

2

101-in-1 Games Anthology

Nordcurrent

3

Sudoku :)

TicBits Ltd

1
United Arab Emirates

▻Sudoku

1

Switzerland

2

3

Sweden

Nordcurrent

1

Spain

101-in-1 Games Anthology

3
South Korea

Publisher

1
Russia

Title

▻Sudoku

Finger Arts

2

Cross Match Sticks

S.H. InfoTech

3

Sudoku Free

Optime Software LLC

Top 3 By Country

43	
  
FINAL THOUGHTS
  Managing the success of an app is no easy task and this
is no definitive source
  Defining your market based on the nature of your
product (your app) and understanding consumer trends
around it could be key
  Who do you benchmark against?
  Investors want to know about the market you are
targeting
  Are there any emerging consumer trends you should
tap into? (please see Appendix for suggestions)

44	
  
BETA INTEREST LIST SIGN-UP
  Interested in participating in the BETA around the SubCategories? (expected launch around 1st of December
2013).
  Please use this link to sign up:
https://docs.google.com/a/prioridata.com/forms/d/1xCBG8Hfz2ijax4hnwGlblxD-6Nc5XfZmO-BIRAVros/
viewform
”This	
  is	
  an	
  awesome	
  tool	
  for	
  developers	
  to	
  decide	
  on	
  which	
  market	
  to	
  target	
  their	
  promo7ons	
  to	
  and	
  
also	
  to	
  maybe	
  iden7fy	
  markets	
  for	
  which	
  they	
  should	
  be	
  localizing	
  their	
  apps.”	
  –	
  Gurinder,	
  Hashcube	
  

.

45	
  
Thank you!
PRIORI DATA GMBH
Markgrafenstrasse 36 
10117 Berlin, Germany
PHONE: +1-650-614-1681
EMAIL: ANDERS@PRIORIDATA.COM / INFO@PRIORIDATA.COM
WWW.PRIORIDATA.COM
Appendix: 
Fastest Growing (m/o/m) Consumer trends in the
App Stores (Sub-Categories). Global + Sweden
iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Global – all Sub-Categories
iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Global – Gaming SubCategories
iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – All

Note:	
  For	
  Sweden	
  we	
  discarded	
  any	
  Sub-­‐Categories	
  with	
  less	
  than	
  2k	
  in-­‐month	
  
downloads	
  
iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – Gaming SubCategories

Note:	
  For	
  Sweden	
  we	
  discarded	
  any	
  Sub-­‐Categories	
  with	
  less	
  than	
  2k	
  in-­‐month	
  
downloads	
  
Android Top 10 Fast Growing Global – all SubCategories
Android Top 10 Fast Growing Global – Gaming SubCategories
Android Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – All

Note:	
  For	
  Sweden	
  we	
  discarded	
  any	
  Sub-­‐Categories	
  with	
  less	
  than	
  2k	
  in-­‐month	
  
downloads	
  
Android Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – Gaming
Sub-Categories

Note:	
  For	
  Sweden	
  we	
  discarded	
  any	
  Sub-­‐Categories	
  with	
  less	
  than	
  2k	
  in-­‐month	
  
downloads	
  
In Month Downloads in Scandinavia (September)
Country	
  

Android	
  

Growth	
  
(m/o/m)	
  

iOS	
  

Growth	
  
(m/o/m)	
  

Sweden	
  

21,262m	
  
(0.6%)	
  

-­‐10.8%	
  

18.28m	
  
(1.0%)	
  

15.6%	
  

Denmark	
  

11,13m	
  
(0.3%)	
  

-­‐8.1%	
  

13.63m	
  
(0.7%)	
  

13.3%	
  

Norway	
  

7,31m	
  
(0.2%)	
  

-­‐9.2%	
  

10.62m	
  
(0.6%)	
  

26.8%	
  

56	
  

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App Store Analytics and Trends

  • 1. NMDS, November 7th, 2013 APP STORES - ANALYTICS AND TRENDS @anders_lykke / @prioridata WWW.PRIORIDATA.COM
  • 2. AGENDA ABOUT APP STORE ANALYTICS   Who am I?   Who is Priori Data?   What is App Store Analytics?   App Economy – Size, Growth and Characteristics   The Challenge   App Architecture – breaking the app store down to relevant markets   Case-Study: Sudoku Games   Invitation to participate in BETA APPENDIX   Fastest Growing Consumer Trends in the App Stores   Globally   For Sweden   Size of the Scandinavian App Markets 2  
  • 3. WHO AM I? Anders, Sales and a lot of other stuff…
  • 5.
  • 6. APPS MAKE MY LIFE EASIER 6  
  • 8.   Consumers download apps to solve problems and/or to enrich their lives   We are monitoring consumer trends in the app economy 8  
  • 10. ABOUT PRIORI   Priori is a Berlin based app store analytics provider   Formally launched in June 2013 by acquiring the rights to a historical database and on-going data feed   Access to ~80% of all global apps, as well as 2.5 years of historical data   We leverage this data in two ways:   We publish a series of Market Intelligence Reports (pdf – most are free)   Do consulting work on Custom Data Projects 10  
  • 11. SOME BIG PLAYERS IN THE INUSTRY
  • 12. WHAT IS APP STORE ANALYTICS?
  • 13. OUR PROCESS We retrieve and store publicly available Collection Structuring & Processing information We estimate download and revenue for every app (regression model + data Enrichment Delivery exchange with developers) We convert this data into information and insights on consumer trends 13  
  • 14. OUR DATABASE Maintaining app information for: 2,000,000+ apps every app, every price change, every version 30 countries local content, local monetization, local leaders MEASURING 100,000 new apps per month 6bn downloads per month 15mm user comments per month 250,000 publishers from hobby developers to public companies 3 platforms Google Play, iOS (iPhone, iPad), Windows Phone MONITORING 50 categories 550 app sub-categories 120 game sub-categories 14  
  • 15. APP ECONOMY SIZE AND GROWTH
  • 16. PUBLISHER LEVEL INFORMATION (as of Oct. 8th) The App Store:   258.081 publishers (about 7k new each month)   3.8 apps per publisher on avg.   7.171 downloads/month per publisher on avg. Google Play:   269.803 publishers (about 11k new each month)   3.7 apps per publisher on avg.   13.574 downloads/month per publisher on avg. 16  
  • 17. NUMBER OF APPS AND MONETIZATION   Ca. 1 million apps (on both GP and iOS)   iOS: 600k free / 400k paid ($332.5m revenue/month)   Android: 800k free / 200k paid ($32m revenue/month)   In-app purchase is a growing trend on both platforms:   On iOS 11% of apps have in-app purchase (IAP present in 60% of downloaded apps in September)   On GP: 5.2% of apps have in-app purchase (IAP present in 28% of downloaded apps in September)   …4bn vs 2bn downloads per month 17  
  • 18. $80 BN APP STORE REVENUE BY 2017 80   70   60   50   40   $bn  total  rev.   30   $bn  rev  IAP   20   10   0   2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   Source:  Gartner,  2013  
  • 19. KEY OBSERVATIONS ON THE APP ECONOMY   It is young   It is growing at unprecedented speed   2 very dominant distribution platforms (Gartner says 90% of downloads this year)   Difficult to obtain information on the market   Everybody wants in 19  
  • 21.   There is an app for everything but only around 40 native app store categories for developers to place their app in and for consumers to browse   Each native app store category is crowded with highly differentiated apps   We think there is a real opportunity to make smarter decisions if you can identify the actual market of an individual app. 21  
  • 22. APP ARCHITECTURE & SUB-CATEGORIES
  • 23. WHAT IT IS   AppArchitecture is Priori’s proprietary app taxonomy, or classification system   We mine app titles and descriptions to identify “clusters” of apps using natural language processing algorithms   This process is done dynamically each month across our database, and supplemented by manual review   The end result: a “sub-category” designation for ~90% of the apps in our database 23  
  • 24. 35-40 750 Categories Sub-Categories   Thus a Sudoku Game is no longer just an app belonging to the the Puzzle Games Category (iOS). It can now be analyzed against all other apps in the ”Sudoku & Crosswords” Sub-Category . Full  list  of  Sub-­‐Categories:   www.prioridata.com/technology/apparchitecture/     24  
  • 25. FALL 2013 – Article by Priori
  • 27. Priori Sub-Category Tracker Sudoku  &  Crossword  Puzzle  Sub-­‐Category Apple iTunes Store / August 2013 (Data Collection 09  Aug. – 09 Sep. 2013) 27  
  • 28.   Sudoku & Crossword Puzzle apps are logic-based puzzle games, largely belonging to the iTunes store native category “Puzzle Games”.   Sudoku & Crossword Puzzle is the 56th largest Priori sub-category in terms of global August 2013 downloads, the 151th largest in terms of apps, 73rd in terms of active users and 178th in terms of publishers. It is comprised of: 1,676  apps   964  publishers   7.8M  monthly  downloads   39M  acNve  users   28  
  • 29.   We want to know more about the performance, opportunities, and competitive landscape in this sub-category. For instance:   Trend: How has this sub-category performed in the near-term?   Size: How big is it across geographies?   Growth: How fast is it growing across geographies?   Structure: What does the market structure look like across geographies?   Top 3: Who are the top players in each geography? 29  
  • 30. MONTH OVER MONTH GROWTH COMPARISON: Sudoku & Crosswords VS Puzzle Games VS iOS
  • 31. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 GLOBAL MONTH-OVER-MONTH GROWTH COMPARISON 50% 46.6% 25.9% 25% 12.1% 3.3% 0% 6.0% 7.8% 0.1% -25.4% -25% -25.5% June July Global Performance August 31  
  • 32. SHARE OF DOWNLOADS BY COUNTRY Is the Market large enough to Enter?
  • 33. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 Share of Downloads by Country Current Month Downloads in Country / Global Current Month Downloads Size and Growth By Country 33  
  • 34. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 Share of Sub-Category by Country Current Month Downloads in Country / Global Current Month Downloads Size and Growth By Country 34  
  • 35. MONTH OVER MONTH GROWTH BY COUNTRY - Are the Market Dynamics in my Favor?
  • 36. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 Growth by Country (Current Month Downloads – Prior Month Downloads) / Prior Month Downloads Size and Growth By Country 36  
  • 37. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 Growth by Country (Current Month Downloads – Prior Month Downloads) / Prior Month Downloads Size and Growth By Country 37  
  • 38. DOWNLOAD DISTRUBUTION – TIERS 1-3 How many Installs can I expect?
  • 39. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 Download Distribution Market Structure By Country 39  
  • 40. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 Download Distribution Market Structure By Country 40  
  • 41. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 Download Distribution Tier Apps #1 - #3 Apps #4 - #10 Apps #11 - #25 % of Downloads Switzerland United Arab Emirates Avg. Downloads Per App 116,326 5,900 1,628 91% 6% 2% Avg. Downloads Per App 64,539 2,243 297 79% 11% 7% Avg. Downloads Per App 83,237 5,616 1,580 56% 22% 17% Avg. Downloads Per App 13,030 2,544 783 % of Downloads Sweden 6% % of Downloads Spain 8% % of Downloads South Korea 81% % of Downloads Russia 52% 25% 19% Avg. Downloads Per App 14,139 3,417 1,039 % of Downloads 60% 22% 15% 824 221 Avg. Downloads Market Structure By Country 4,580 Per App 41  
  • 42. TOP 3 PLAYERS BY COUNTRY
  • 43. Trend Size Growth   Structure Top 3 TOP APPS Rank Finger Arts Big Bad Sudoku Book Bad Weasel, LLC 101 미니게임즈 베스트 컬렉션 Nordcurrent 2 로직 스퀘어(Logic Square) Dev Square ▻Sudoku Finger Arts 101-in-1 Games Anthology Nordcurrent 2 ▻Sudoku Finger Arts 3 Numberama 2 Okroshka Lab 1 2 3 ▻Sudoku 101-in-1 Games Anthology Sudoku :) Finger Arts Nordcurrent TicBits Ltd 1 ▻Sudoku Finger Arts 2 101-in-1 Games Anthology Nordcurrent 3 Sudoku :) TicBits Ltd 1 United Arab Emirates ▻Sudoku 1 Switzerland 2 3 Sweden Nordcurrent 1 Spain 101-in-1 Games Anthology 3 South Korea Publisher 1 Russia Title ▻Sudoku Finger Arts 2 Cross Match Sticks S.H. InfoTech 3 Sudoku Free Optime Software LLC Top 3 By Country 43  
  • 44. FINAL THOUGHTS   Managing the success of an app is no easy task and this is no definitive source   Defining your market based on the nature of your product (your app) and understanding consumer trends around it could be key   Who do you benchmark against?   Investors want to know about the market you are targeting   Are there any emerging consumer trends you should tap into? (please see Appendix for suggestions) 44  
  • 45. BETA INTEREST LIST SIGN-UP   Interested in participating in the BETA around the SubCategories? (expected launch around 1st of December 2013).   Please use this link to sign up: https://docs.google.com/a/prioridata.com/forms/d/1xCBG8Hfz2ijax4hnwGlblxD-6Nc5XfZmO-BIRAVros/ viewform ”This  is  an  awesome  tool  for  developers  to  decide  on  which  market  to  target  their  promo7ons  to  and   also  to  maybe  iden7fy  markets  for  which  they  should  be  localizing  their  apps.”  –  Gurinder,  Hashcube   . 45  
  • 46. Thank you! PRIORI DATA GMBH Markgrafenstrasse 36 10117 Berlin, Germany PHONE: +1-650-614-1681 EMAIL: ANDERS@PRIORIDATA.COM / INFO@PRIORIDATA.COM WWW.PRIORIDATA.COM
  • 47. Appendix: Fastest Growing (m/o/m) Consumer trends in the App Stores (Sub-Categories). Global + Sweden
  • 48. iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Global – all Sub-Categories
  • 49. iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Global – Gaming SubCategories
  • 50. iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – All Note:  For  Sweden  we  discarded  any  Sub-­‐Categories  with  less  than  2k  in-­‐month   downloads  
  • 51. iOS Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – Gaming SubCategories Note:  For  Sweden  we  discarded  any  Sub-­‐Categories  with  less  than  2k  in-­‐month   downloads  
  • 52. Android Top 10 Fast Growing Global – all SubCategories
  • 53. Android Top 10 Fast Growing Global – Gaming SubCategories
  • 54. Android Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – All Note:  For  Sweden  we  discarded  any  Sub-­‐Categories  with  less  than  2k  in-­‐month   downloads  
  • 55. Android Top 10 Fast Growing Sweden – Gaming Sub-Categories Note:  For  Sweden  we  discarded  any  Sub-­‐Categories  with  less  than  2k  in-­‐month   downloads  
  • 56. In Month Downloads in Scandinavia (September) Country   Android   Growth   (m/o/m)   iOS   Growth   (m/o/m)   Sweden   21,262m   (0.6%)   -­‐10.8%   18.28m   (1.0%)   15.6%   Denmark   11,13m   (0.3%)   -­‐8.1%   13.63m   (0.7%)   13.3%   Norway   7,31m   (0.2%)   -­‐9.2%   10.62m   (0.6%)   26.8%   56