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(1) Twelve people, including you, are member of a choir. The 
choir director is going to choose three members to attend a 
workshop. The probability you and two other members will be 
chosen is:

                                                        d.) 1
                                       c.) 1
   a.)  1             b.) 3
                                                             10
                                           12
        4                 10

                  1
 How we get           ?
                 4
                           probability that two other
probability that you are
                           member will be chosen
included in the workshop



         1 C 1    11 C 2                 55              1
                                  =                =
                    C 3                  220             4
              12 

      probability that 3 members
      will be choose from 12 members
(2) Rex is playing a guessing game. The probability he will guess 
each question correct is 0.3.What is the probability he will guess 
exactly 5 out 10 questions correctly?


 a.) 0.15          b.) 0.10           c.) 0.29           d.) 0.80

How we get 0.10?

               R R R R R W W W W W
              (0.3)(0.3)(0.3)(0.3)(0.3) (0.7)5



probability of getting 
                                                 probability of 
                        probability of
5 correct out 
                                                 wrong answers
                        right answers
of 10 questions
                                                    (0.7)5
                                 (0.3)5
            C 5
        10 

                                0.00243            0.16807
          252
                           0.1029   or   0.10
(3) You choose four digits from the numbers 0­9 ( ten digits in 
total ), with no repeated digits. To win a prize, only two of your 
numbers need to match the four selected by a computer. The 
probability, correct to the nearest hundredth, that you will win a 
prize is:
                                               choosing 2 numbers from 4 
                choosing 3 numbers from 
                                               numbers multiply by 
                4 numbers multiply by 
choosing 4 
                                               chooosing 2 numbers 
                choosing 1 number from
digit number
                                               from 6 remaining numbers
                6 remaining numbers

                   4 C 3   6 C 1                   4 C 2    6 C 2
  4 C 4
                                           +
            +
                                                       10 C 4
 10 C 4               10 C 4
 probability of choosing 4 digit number from 10 digit number


               +
   0.0048                                  +
                         0.1143                       0.4286
                         0.5476
                         54.76%
(4) The serial number of a $10 bill contains 8 digits. If your 
$10bill contains the digit 7 at least once, you win a prize. What 
is the probability that your $10 bill will win?



    P ( no. 7's) = (0.9)8

    P (at least one 7) = 1 ­ (0.9)8
                          = 0.5695
                          = 56.95%
(5) John takes a lunch to school on two days, and on the other 
three days he buys it. If he takes lunch he is late for his period 4 
class 15% of the time, but if he buys it he is late 35% of the time.

    first we can make a tree diagram and then make a sample space:
legend:
TL ­ Take Lunch
                                    L 0.15       P (TL L) = 0.21
B ­ Buy lunch
L ­ Late
                       TL
N ­ Not late                         N0.85
                      2                          P ( TL N) = 0.39
                      5
                                     L 0.35
                                                 P ( B L ) = 0.06
                          B
                                     N0.65
                      3
                                                 P ( B N ) = 0.34
                      5
a.) What is the probability that John arrives on time?

we have to add the probability that John take a lunch and 
not late and the probability that John buy his lunch and not 
late

             P ( TL N) + P ( B N)

                              +      0.34
                   0.39

    P ( arrive on time ) = 0.73
                                  = 73%
(b) If John was late, what is the probability that he took his 
lunch to school?

                             P ( TL  L)
                   =
      P ( TL  L)
                       P ( TL  L) + P (B L)

                             0.06
                   =      0.06 + 0.21

                              0.06
                   =          0.27

                    = 0.2222
                    =     22.2%

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