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Exploratory Analysis of Indian Election Data

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Exploratory Analysis of Indian Election Data at Open Data Camp-2014, ISB

Exploratory Analysis of Indian Election Data

  1. 1. EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS OF INDIAN ELECTION DATA PRATAP VARDHAN OPEN DATA CAMP 2014 INDIAN SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
  2. 2. OVERVIEW Scraping the ECI’s site on Counting Day Wealth and Crimes Bellwethers and Bastions Politics of non-reserved territories A B C D And, one more thing.. E
  3. 3. SCRAPING THE ECI’S SITE ON COUNTING DAY
  4. 4. HTTP://ECIRESULTS.NIC.IN/STATEWISES01.HTM?ST=S01 Python Snippet
  5. 5. PAGE SOURCE STRUCTURE Python Function
  6. 6. HTTP://ECIRESULTS.NIC.IN/CONSTITUENCYWISES018.HTM?AC=8 Python Snippet
  7. 7. IN 2014 ELECTIONS, WHICH STATE ‘PRODUCED’ MOST NUMBER OF CROREPATI CANDIDATES? AND WHICH STATE HAS HIGHEST % OF CROREPATI CANDIDATES?
  8. 8. GEOGRAPHY OF CANDIDATE WEALTH Uttar Pradesh, with over 400 crorepati candidates, tops the list. The North-eastern states have the largest percentage of crorepati candidates. Number of Candidates Percentage of Crorepati Candidates
  9. 9. AMONG THE MAINSTREAM PARTIES, WHICH PARTY HAS HIGHEST % OF CRIMINAL CANDIDATES?
  10. 10. CRIMINAL CASES MNS seems like a winner here. Closely followed by RJD, MDMK Size: Number of candidates Color: % of criminal candidates
  11. 11. RELATIONSHIP: WEALTH AND CRIME The percentage of criminal cases increases as wealth level increases.
  12. 12. BELLWETHERS AND BASTIONS
  13. 13. BELLWETHERS
  14. 14. BREAKING THE BASTIONS
  15. 15. DO PARTIES GIVE GENERAL SEATS TO SC & ST CANDIDATES?
  16. 16. POLITICS OF NON-RESERVED TERRITORIES *Assembly seats from 2004-2013 Regional heavy-weights SAD, DMK, PMK, TRS, and INLD have not given a single non-reserved seat to any SC/ST candidates. SDF, AGP and JKPDP, which topped in ST candidates list, didn’t give a seat to SC candidates in non-reserved seats. Though, SC candidates’ participation is higher, ST candidates’ winnability is much higher.
  17. 17. WINNABILITY IN NON-RESERVED SEATS *Assembly seats from 2004-2013 SP lost all the general seats where it fielded a SC candidate and won only one general seat where it fielded ST candidate. CPM, CPI, JD(U) lost all the general seats where it fielded a ST candidate.
  18. 18. AND, ONE MORE THING.. NAMESAKES OF 2014 ELECTIONS
  19. 19. CHANDU LALS OF MAHASAMUND Winner’s Margin: 1,217 votes Namesakes' polled: 60,000+ votes
  20. 20. THAT WAS IT! REACH OUT @: https://github.com/pratapvardhan https://twitter.com/pratapvardhan DATA & STORIES @: https://github.com/pratapvardhan/Elections-India-2014 https://github.com/datameet/india-election-data http://blog.gramener.com

Editor's Notes

  • ARUNACHAL EAST, MIZORAM all crorepati
  • In every single election since India’s independence, the CHHINDWARA has voted for the Indian National Congress. That’s a record that no other constituency holds, though Nandurbar and Sangli in Maharashtra have also voted only for Congress since their inception in 1962 and 1967 respectively.
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