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Blockchain: 12 predictions for a new world

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We shortly go through bitcoin/blockchain history before trying to guess how our economy/society will be impacted by this technology in the near future.

Published in: Economy & Finance
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Blockchain: 12 predictions for a new world

  1. 1. Blockchain: 12 predictions for a new world Philippe Camacho Dreamlab Technologies A.G. October 12th 2017
  2. 2. Who I am • PhD Cryptography University of Chile (2013) • Co-founder comprabitcoin.com (2013) • Research and Development Engineer Dreamlab Technologies A.G. (2015-Now)
  3. 3. • 20years+ experience in Cybersecurity • Creators of Backtrack (now Kali) • Train/plane ethical hacking • Cyber Observatory (Cyobs.ch) • Top security conference in South America (8.8) • OSSTMM, W3C, ISECOM members
  4. 4. A short bitcoin/blockchain history 2008: Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System. Satoshi Nakamoto 2014: MtGox collapses Now: Cryptmarketcap 150 Billions of USD 2015: Ethereum launches June 2016: The DAO is hacked 2010: Laszlo Hanyecz paid 10,000 bitcoins to get two pizzas delivered from Papa John’s Feb 2011: Silk road (drug market) launches 2015: Ross Ulbricht sent to jail 2012: Wordpress accepts bitcoin 2016: Enterprise Ethereum Alliance 90+ members
  5. 5. Disclaimer about “predictions” “It’s hard to make predictions, especially about the future.” Niels Bohr. https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Niels_Bohr
  6. 6. Block Mining in 1 slide Genesis (Coinbase) Blockchain
  7. 7. #1 Marketcap > 1 Trillion USD in 2020 We are not that far: 150B x 7 > 1T 18 B
  8. 8. #2 Bitcoin stops being the first cryptocurrency (2019)
  9. 9. #2 Bitcoin stops being the first cryptocurrency (2019)
  10. 10. #3 A blockchain handles 2000 TPS (2020) Platform # Transactions per second (TPS) Visa 2000 Paypal 115 Bitcoin 7 https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Scalability
  11. 11. #4 1st smart contract handling >100M USD with correctness proof (2018) Applications of smart contracts: • Decentralized Name Service • Decentralized Insurance • Decentralized Market • Decentralized Crowdfunding • Decentralized (PUT SOMETHING HERE)
  12. 12. #4 1st smart contract handling >100M USD with correctness proof (2018)
  13. 13. #4 1st smart contract handling >100M USD with correctness proof (2018)
  14. 14. #5 Company running on a blockchain worth 10 B USD (2022) BAT: raised 35 M in 30 seconds. Current valuation: 233 M
  15. 15. #6 Unregulated decentralized market place handles > 10 B USD (2022) ? Centralized Decentralized
  16. 16. #7 Evil smart contract causes 1B in damages to a Forbes 500 company (2022) Blockchain Evil smart contract Victim “Customer” Botnet 12 2 2 3 3 3
  17. 17. #8 90% of Venture Capital through ICO(*) (2030) https://www.coindesk.com/ 1.8 B 1.6 B Venture Capital ICO (*) Initial Coin Offering
  18. 18. #9 Estonia runs 100% on blockchain (2035) https://cointelegraph.com/news/how-estonia-brought-blockchain-closer-to-citizens-govtech-case-studies
  19. 19. #10 100% AI driven company (2035) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U1XOPIqyP7A
  20. 20. #11 All industries are impacted by Blockchain (2035) https://ww2.frost.com/news/press-releases/frost-sullivan-identifies-2017-global-blockchain-startup-map/
  21. 21. #12 Central banks exist no more (2050) https://cointelegraph.com/news/european-central-bank-president-no-power-to-regulate-bitcoin
  22. 22. Invest in cryptos = shorting on the traditional financial system? https://www.cnbc.com/id/100597242 2013 2008 >2018 ? THANK YOU!

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