CMA Webinar - Countdown to the 2012 Elections and How Manufacturers Can Make an Impact

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With candidates from coast to coast discussing manufacturing, how can we increase our influence?

He will address trends for the coming fall elections and review micro and macro political issues which will impact candidates from the courthouse to the White House. From NAM’s Election Center website, to our Manufacturing Works site, to issue advocacy programs, to the NAM Award and Dialogue programs, there are many powerful opportunities to partner.

Ned loves talking politics; is our political pundit and knows how manufacturing fits into the picture. He has saved time for Q&A.

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CMA Webinar - Countdown to the 2012 Elections and How Manufacturers Can Make an Impact

  1. 1. Ned MonroeNational Association of Manufacturers
  2. 2. The Big Picture Pollster.com, October 2, 2012
  3. 3. The Big PictureMonthly Unemployment Rate, 2009-present Bureau of Labor Statistics, bls.gov, October 2, 2012
  4. 4. The Big Picture Tradingeconomics.com, October 2, 2012
  5. 5. The Big Picture Tradingeconomics.com, October 2, 2012
  6. 6. The Big PictureFrom “Obama’s Re-election Prospects Under ‘Bread and Peace’ Voting in the 2012 US Presidential Election,” Douglas A. Hibbs. PS: Political Science and Politics, October 2012
  7. 7. The Big Picture Pollster.com, October 2, 2012
  8. 8. The Big PictureObama-Romney Polling Average
  9. 9. The Big Picture Pollster.com, September 11, 2012
  10. 10. Obama vs. Romney
  11. 11. The New Scorecard2008: Obama 365; McCain 173 – Obama +1922012: Obama 359; Romney 179 – Obama +180
  12. 12. Polling for 3-2-1 States Obama Romney 51 46.3 46.7 47.9 47.3 46.6 47 45.5 4535Indiana Virginia North Carolina Florida Ohio
  13. 13. Indiana – 11 Electoral Votes
  14. 14. Virginia – 13 EV’s
  15. 15. North Carolina – 15 EVs
  16. 16. Florida – 29 EV’s
  17. 17. Ohio – 18 Electoral Votes
  18. 18. The 3-2-1 StrategyRomney Must Win:Indiana – Virginia – North CarolinaRomney Must Also Win:Ohio – FloridaRomney Must Win 1 of the Following:New Hampshire – Nevada – New Mexico – Iowa –Minnesota – Colorado – Wisconsin –Pennsylvania
  19. 19. New Hampshire IowaPennsylvania ColoradoMichigan New MexicoMinnesota WisconsinNevada
  20. 20. * 33 Seats “In-Cycle” 23 Democrats; 10 Republicans*11 Open Seats 6 Democratic; 4 Republicans; 1 I-D*Rs Gain NE: 5 Highly Competitive Rs 9 Highly Competitive Ds
  21. 21. MaineMassachusetts Nevada Indiana Arizona
  22. 22. North Dakota WisconsinNebraska OhioMissouri FloridaMontana ConnecticutVirginia
  23. 23. *GOP Majority remains constant – 242 seats*Redistricting Related Changes – about even*Already 60 Open Seats

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