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IEA fossil fuel emissions & WEO 2013

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Nov 2013 International Energy Agency reports Fossil Fuel Emissions and World Energy Outlook

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IEA fossil fuel emissions & WEO 2013

  1. 1. International Energy Agency reports November 2013 The world economy has the world on a fixed fast track to planetary catastrophe Peter D Carter
  2. 2. 6C trajectory We are still on the 6°C by 2100 literal end of the world scenario 6°C of warming by 2100
  3. 3. Looking at the end of the world 2035 2013 -2935 1990-2012 1960-1989 1900 1900-1929 1930-1959
  4. 4. International Energy Agency 2013 November 3013 November 2013
  5. 5. No reduction in fossil fuel share of world energy mix ‘ Fossil fuels still account for most – over 80% – of the world energy supply. Since 1870, CO2 emissions from fuel combustion have risen exponentially. The 2012 concentration of CO2 (394 ppmv) was about 40% higher than in the mid1800s, with an average growth of 2 ppmv/year in the last ten years. Significant increases have also occurred in levels of methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O). Despite the growth of non-fossil energy (such as nuclear and hydropower), considered as non-emitting, the share of fossil fuels within the world energy supply is relatively unchanged over the past 40 years. In 2011, fossil sources accounted for 82% of the global energy supply.’ International Energy Agency Nov 2013
  6. 6. CO2 emissions from fuel combustion continue to rise exponentially. To total planetary catastrophe Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge, United States. International Energy Agency Nov 2013
  7. 7. Fossil fuels still account for over 80% of the world energy supply. CO2 emissions CO2 emissions from fuel combustion continue to rise exponentially. International Energy Agency Nov 2013
  8. 8. Little change in sectoral emissions since 1971 CO2 emissions 1971 International Energy Agency Nov 2013
  9. 9. No decrease in fossil fuel or coal emissions mix since 1971 International Energy Agency Nov 2013 CO2 emissions Other 1971 2011
  10. 10. International Energy Agency World Energy Outlook 2013
  11. 11. Fossil-fuel subsidies increased to $544 billion in 2012 Estimates of ultimately recoverable resources of oil continue to increase as technologies unlock types of resources, such as light tight oil, that were not considered recoverable only a few years ago. Our latest estimates for remaining recoverable resources show 2 670 billion barrels of conventional oil (including NGLs), 345 billion of light tight oil, 1 880 billion of extra-heavy oil and bitumen, and 1 070 billion of kerogen oil. Fossil fuels continue to dominate the power sector, although their share of generation declines from 68% in 2011 to 57% in 2035. Coal remains the largest source of generation Coal-fired generation rebounds in the short term in the United States Biofuels use triples
  12. 12. Fossil-fuel subsidies increased to $544 billion in 2012 !!!
  13. 13. Very modest increase in clean energy
  14. 14. CO2 emissions from the power sector rise from 13.0 gigatonnes (Gt) in 2011 to 15.2 Gt in 2035, retaining a share of around 40% of global emissions over the period.
  15. 15. Peter D Carter

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