Number that Matters
  Future of the European Union in 2030




                            Arthur Danzi
                  ...
Our Initial Scenarios
Super State    Empire




Islam State   Breakup
Click Next to see the
Muslim Demographics Video
Fertility Rates
                                         Claim                Reality
           France                   ...
Claim


2.11 Required



1.9 Never Reversed
France Population
                65,000,000


                60,000,000


                55,000,000


                5...
“France: 1.8 per family, Muslims: 8.1”
       Not legal in France to collect data on religion

       Mostly immigration f...
“In the Netherlands,
              50% of all newborns are Muslim.”
    Nearly 1 million Muslims in the Netherlands
      ...
“Muslim population will double in 20 years”



  "That is not true. The German government does not
  believe that the Musl...
The battle between religions

     Claim: 30x increase in Muslims in England
           – No source
     Jedi Knight grew ...
THANK YOU
Appendix
Other numbers

• France
   – France does not collect religious data
   – Can only show a high concentration of Muslims in ...
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Numbers that Matter - Muslim Demographics the Truth

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Numbers that Matter - Muslim Demographics the Truth

  1. 1. Number that Matters Future of the European Union in 2030 Arthur Danzi Gudmundur Kr Mauricio Suzuki Sameer Agarwal Sri Hari Krishnan
  2. 2. Our Initial Scenarios Super State Empire Islam State Breakup
  3. 3. Click Next to see the Muslim Demographics Video
  4. 4. Fertility Rates Claim Reality France 1.8 1.98 (07) – 2.02 (08) 3 England 1.6 1.63(01) – 1.92 (07)2 Greece 1.3 1.32(95) – 1.41(06) 3 Germany 1.3 1.37 (07) – 1.38 (08) 3 Italy 1.2 1.19 (95) – 1.35 (06) 1 Spain 1.1 1.16 (95) – 1.40 (07) 1 EU 1.38 1.5 (09) 3 Sources: (1) Eurostat (2) UK Office of National Statistics (3) AFP News
  5. 5. Claim 2.11 Required 1.9 Never Reversed
  6. 6. France Population 65,000,000 60,000,000 55,000,000 50,000,000 45,000,000 40,000,000 WW I WW II 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 Source: Compilation de données INSEE, INED, et Jacques Dupaquier, Histoire de la population française, Paris, PUF, 1988. Les données datant d'avant les premiers recensements napoléoniens sont des estimations qui prêtent à débats.
  7. 7. “France: 1.8 per family, Muslims: 8.1” Not legal in France to collect data on religion Mostly immigration from Algeria and Morocco – 2.38 children per family Niger – Highest fertility rate in the World – 7.15 Muslim nations have high fertility rates – Yemen 6.41, Gaza Strip 5.19, Saudi Arabia 3.89 * Source: UN World Population Prospect 2008
  8. 8. “In the Netherlands, 50% of all newborns are Muslim.” Nearly 1 million Muslims in the Netherlands – 5.8% of the population – 50% growth of muslins from 1990 to 2004 from 500k Total population of the Netherlands – 16,5 million Will 50% of the population be Muslim in 2015? – Every Muslim, including men, needs to give birth to 1.3 children per year Source: Statistics Netherlands, 2009
  9. 9. “Muslim population will double in 20 years” "That is not true. The German government does not believe that the Muslim population will double in the next 40 or 50 years. There are no reliable sources that give a proof for that assumption” Mr. Walter Radermacher – Chief Statistician of the European Union, former vice-president of the German Federal Statistics Office
  10. 10. The battle between religions Claim: 30x increase in Muslims in England – No source Jedi Knight grew from 0 to 390,127 in 1 year – UK National Statistics office, 2001 Jedi Knight will be the main religion in England before 2015 Source: The Royal Regression Analysis Club at Rotterdam School of Management
  11. 11. THANK YOU
  12. 12. Appendix
  13. 13. Other numbers • France – France does not collect religious data – Can only show a high concentration of Muslims in one particular area of France • Netherlands – Muslims are only 5% of the population (Statistics Netherlands) – 50% of babies = 14 times the rate of births • UK – 1.6 million (01) but no information about growth rate because before 2001 no religion data was collected on census • Belgium – 6% of population (University of Ghent – 2008), instead of 25%

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