Personal robot industry

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Personal robot industry prediction

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Personal robot industry

  1. 1. Personal Robot Industry? Rev. 3.0 Monday, April 05, 2010
  2. 2. About the author <ul><li>Author: LCC </li></ul><ul><li>Blog </li></ul><ul><ul><li>www.techcrunchchina.com </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>www.techfans.net (mainly in Chinese) </li></ul></ul><ul><li>MSN: [email_address] </li></ul><ul><li>Email: pekinlcc @gmail.com </li></ul>
  3. 3. Where the idea came from
  4. 4. <ul><li>When I first saw ‘ PR2 robot folding towels ’, I was so interested in it. </li></ul><ul><li>Then I read ‘ CNET Crave: Towel-folding robot won't do the dishes ’, it says: ‘ Still, the experiment shows that general-purpose humanoid robots, with all-purpose manipulators, can be successfully programmed for practical tasks around the home.’ </li></ul><ul><li>So I wander: how can we have PR2 do different things without changing its program each time? Then the idea appears and I want it to be shared to you. </li></ul>
  5. 5. About PR2 <ul><li>The PR2 is an open and robust robot platform designed from the ground up for software developers and researchers. By eliminating the need to first build a hardware system and then re-implement code, the PR2 allows software experts to immediately create new functionality on the robot. </li></ul><ul><li>The PR2 robot is fully integrated with ROS , providing the power of all the ROS developer tools and out-of-the-box functionality for everything from full system calibration to manipulation. </li></ul><ul><li>Please join the pr2-announce mailing list for updates. </li></ul><ul><li>Quote:http://www.willowgarage.com/pages/robots/pr2-overview </li></ul>
  6. 6. From PC to PR
  7. 7. <ul><li>To some extent, the flourish of the PC industry is a result of clear division of labor. Software companies like Microsoft and hardware companies like HP cooperate together and carry the industry and technologies forward. </li></ul>
  8. 8. Analogy <ul><li>PC </li></ul><ul><li>Hardware platform: Computer </li></ul><ul><li>Software platform: Windows </li></ul><ul><li>Software: Firefox can surfing the internet, MSN can keep friends connected </li></ul><ul><li>PR </li></ul><ul><li>Hardware platform: PR2 etc. </li></ul><ul><li>Software platform: ?????????? </li></ul><ul><li>Software: Designed by researchers for a special mission </li></ul>
  9. 9. Put all the algorithms for different tasks in the cloud server <ul><li>If PR2 become the industry standard hardware platform for PR, how can we have a PR2 do different things without change the programs inside it? </li></ul><ul><li>We can put all the algorithms for different tasks in a cloud server. Then each time a PR2 want to do a new task, it just connect to the server and get the right algorithm it want. See the flow chart. </li></ul>
  10. 10. Cloud server Fold towers Wash dishes Close windows PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 ……
  11. 11. Why not setup a company just run the cloud server? <ul><li>Now, the cloud server’s role in PR industry just like the Windows in the PC industry. </li></ul><ul><li>Company A holds a cloud server, and most algorithm in this server are for housework. These algorithms are provided by programmers all around the world. </li></ul><ul><li>There can be many companies providing all kinds of algorithms that can help the PR2 execute all kinds tasks. </li></ul>
  12. 12. Company A Cloud server A Housework $200/Year Company B Cloud server B Assembly line work $3000/Year Company ……… PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2 PR2
  13. 13. A consumer’s shopping process
  14. 15. Change the brain of your robot whenever you want <ul><li>The cloud server are paid by days or years, the consumers can change the brain of their robot (cloud server) anytime they want. </li></ul>
  15. 16. Benefits of the idea
  16. 17. 1: the PR2 can be more cheaper <ul><li>In this idea, the tasks are computed on the cloud in fact. So the PR2 don't have to be equipped a very strong CPU. The local CPU only have to collect the information on a task scene and control the PR2 to execute the commands sent from the server. </li></ul><ul><li>Thus, the PR2 can be made smaller and cheaper. </li></ul>
  17. 18. 2: Faster computing <ul><li>Absolutely, the cloud server’s performance on computing must be far better than a local computing system. </li></ul><ul><li>A question which the local CPU needs to compute for days can be handled in seconds. </li></ul>
  18. 19. 3: Clear division of labor <ul><li>Clear division of labor may cause a series of revolutions in the PR industry. </li></ul><ul><li>The hardware manufacturers produce PR2 just as the industry hardware. And the cloud brain companies can focus on developing new and better algorithms. </li></ul>
  19. 20. 4: Unified Control <ul><li>If one day, the robots really rebel, we just need to damage the cloud servers…. </li></ul><ul><li>And the robot network can be controlled just as a broadcasting system. </li></ul>
  20. 21. 5: Many other advantages just like Cloud Computing <ul><li>Computing resources can be made well use of. </li></ul><ul><li>The computing resources can be paid by need. </li></ul><ul><li>…………………… .. </li></ul>
  21. 22. Some obstacles
  22. 23. Safety <ul><li>Yes, safety is absolutely the most significant issue about this idea. How to keep the PR2’s connection to the server safety? </li></ul><ul><li>However, we cannot give up internet because of viruses. </li></ul>
  23. 24. Bandwidth <ul><li>Bandwidth will be a scarce resource in the near future. </li></ul>
  24. 25. In summary
  25. 26. PR2 PR2 PR3 PR4 Wireless connection Cloud system Local robot Server A Server B
  26. 27. Industrial chain <ul><li>PR industry </li></ul><ul><li>Algorithm operators </li></ul><ul><li>Hardware manufacturers </li></ul><ul><li>Customers </li></ul><ul><li>Wireless industry </li></ul><ul><li>Operators: Android Market </li></ul><ul><li>Hardware: Droid or HTC G1 </li></ul><ul><li>Customers </li></ul>
  27. 28. <ul><li>Local robot </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Basic control module </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Information collection module: eyes etc. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Etc. </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Cloud system </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Super brain shared by thousands of robots </li></ul></ul>
  28. 29. To be completed <ul><li>Rev. 2.0 </li></ul>

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