3. We can’t
Predict the Future
We can think about
Alternative Future(s)
We have our
Assumptions
about the Future
Time
Scenario 2
Scenario 4
Scenario 3
Scenario 1
12. Strategic Focus
and Time Horizon
Scanning to the Core:
From the Global to the
Transactional Environment
From Megatrends, Wild
Cards, Weak Signals,
and Uncertainties to a
“Scanning Dashboard”
Strategic Vision
Strategy Development
Strategic Design
New Business
Development
Strategic Innovation
Organisational Learning
Exploring Critical
Uncertainties and
Building Scenarios for
the Future
13. Anticipate Trends, face
Uncertainties, build future
Scenarios and use this to
improve your approach to
Strategy and Innovation
Paulo Soeiro Carvalho
(Founder & CEO, IF Insight & Foresight)