Future of Logistics and supply chain management - Manufacturing, Wholesale & distribution - Conference keynote speaker

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"http://www.globalchange.com Future of logistics and supply chain management for Deutsche Post and DHL. Risk of institutional blindness -- blind to opportunities and risks. Danger of missing innovation, new ideas, creative change because part of organisation too long. Provoke out of the box, fresh thinking. Managing uncertainty, unlikely events happen often because so many potential wild cards. Multinational corporations managing risk. Logistics and distribution risks critical with just in time systems, low stock, controlled inventory, warehousing, manufacturing, supply chain. Sub-prime crisis was a wild card risk. Hundreds of other risks in financial instruments, hedge funds. Contagion in globalised world. Strategy development, multiple strategies, and multiple scenarios planning for change. New mergers and acquisitions. Disruptive events such as Sars or Bird flu. Business management video by keynote conference speaker Dr Patrick Dixon, Futurist and author of 12 books on global trends including Futurewise and Building a Better Business. Future of logistics and supply chain management. Future of national post offices and postal service monopolies. DHL, FedEx and UPS global competition for just-in-time courier services. Growth of air freight, alternative delivery services. Deregulation of delivery services. Distribution and supplies of components, raw materials and finished products. Package and parcel RFID tracking technologies and RFID controversy. Road, rail, air and shipping comparative costs. Inflation and outsourcing. Overnight delivery and same day delivery services -- growing demand. Pharmacies and garages lead way. Integration of EPOS data. Planning security of supplies and risk management. Online tracking and tracing of products. Integration into global supply chain, suppliers, manufacturers, wholesalers, warehouses, retail. How technology reduce costs in distribution. Last mile. Home delivery, office and factory delivery. Video by keynote conference speaker Dr Patrick Dixon, Futurist and author of 12 books on global trends including Futurewise and Building a Better Business.
Logistics, supply chain, management, wholesale, retail, transportation, distribution, supplies, freight, courier, tracking, DHL, deutsche post, FedEx, ups, manufacturing, post offices, monopoly, integration, software, data. logistics supply chain management wholesale retail transportation distribution supplies freight courier tracking DHL"

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Future of Logistics and supply chain management - Manufacturing, Wholesale & distribution - Conference keynote speaker

  1. 1. Future of logistics and supply chain management Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
  2. 2. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of Logistics and supply chain management -Manufacturing, Wholesale & distribution for Red Prairie (2011) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.
  3. 3. Wild Cards: Risk ManagementLow probability, high impact events
  4. 4. Every wild card is opportunity and challenge
  5. 5. Chance of 2 in 24 people sharing same birthday
  6. 6. Chance of 2 in 24 people sharing same birthday
  7. 7. Chance of 2 in 30 people sharing same birthday
  8. 8. Chance of 2 in 50 people sharing same birthday
  9. 9. Chance of 2 in 57 people sharing same birthday
  10. 10. Invisible complexity
  11. 11. Global Warming - facts
  12. 12. A6 – 85 door components50,000 product combinations
  13. 13. Companies need to act faster• Web makes us impatient• Web very slow delivery
  14. 14. 300,000 apps7 bn downloads
  15. 15. Gold standard online : 6pm  10am
  16. 16. ECONOMY OF SCALE
  17. 17. Gold standard: 10am orders for 3pm Delivery Anywhere in same country10am orders for 3pm Delivery
  18. 18. 30 minutes to pick, pack and send30 minutes to pick, pack and send
  19. 19. OnlineAs fast as a home deliver pizza sales need to delivery almost as fast as getting into the carGet intothe car
  20. 20. Instant delivery system: minicabsPickup twice as fast as couriers for Twice as Fast as Couriers small packages
  21. 21. A logistical challenge• Find product online – US manufacturer• Get delivered to my home in London in 2.5 hours• 6 phone calls – UK distributor  retailer• 3 e-mails• 1 online (paypal) payment• Arrived by courier 5 minutes too late
  22. 22. Home Office• Dealing with last mile• Problem of pick- up and signed-for delivery when no one is home
  23. 23. Challenge to reduce return costs• 5% returns can wipe out 50% of margin• Restocking cost• Invoice adjustment• Depreciation / damage• Multiple size orders
  24. 24. Instant information  peace of mind online tracking, accurate, detailed• Stress from untraceable shipment of books – Unknown shipment reference number
  25. 25. Airline Baggage Handling - RFID
  26. 26. Shipping Inspections and Control
  27. 27. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total power use
  28. 28. Why Biofuels Are No Answer
  29. 29. Road – Rail – Sea - Air hubs e-customs integration
  30. 30. Universal Low Cost World of Shipping • 150 km container journey in UK by road costs more than ship from UK to Shanghai
  31. 31. Every ton of freight that moves one mile by rail instead of by truck reduces greenhouse gas emissions by two-thirdsA train moves a ton of freight more than 436 miles on a single gallon of fuel
  32. 32. US Railways help US industry• >40% of all freight in tons• More miles than trucks, boats, barges, planes• 70% of all autos produced in US move by rail• 30% of all US grain• 65% of the coal
  33. 33. >30% energy savings
  34. 34. Truck Fuel Savings• Tyres – 4.3%• Streamlining – 12%• 1.5 metres longer – 5%• Hybrid engine – 30%• Heat power air con ec – 5%• Shocks  power – 4%• 65  55mph - 20%• Driver training – 5-10%
  35. 35. “We waste 25 million miles padriving empty trucks” US major retailer
  36. 36. Cabotage Scandal• Road Haulage Package allows only 3 further deliveries in 7 days in member state• Complex issues eg harmonisation lorry fuel tax• Maritime cabotage also
  37. 37. EU Petrochemicals Challenge• 1,500 m tonnes of movements a year• 8% of all tonne- kilometres• EU 60bn on transport• Congestion increasing
  38. 38. Petrochemical Product Exchange in EU• Save $35m a year• 100 million km less truck driving• 10 million litres of fuel saved a year
  39. 39. Central Infrastructure• Urgent need for hubs and spokes• Transparent pricing• Shared transport• Return journey loading where possible• Product exchange
  40. 40. Problems with EU Road Freight• Largest haulier 2% of market• Fragmented• Identical loads in opposite directions
  41. 41. Over 4000 road hauliers in EUOver 4000 EU road hauliers
  42. 42. Global Warming - facts
  43. 43. • For you• Family• Community• Whole earth
  44. 44. Patrick Dixon is Chairman of Global Change Ltd, Author of 15 books and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today (Thinkers 50) Future of Logistics and supply chain management -Manufacturing, Wholesale & distribution for Red Prairie (2011) 500 videos of keynotes www.youtube.com/user/pjvdixon Over 4 million views Dixon’s Futurist Website www.globalchange.com/ 14 million unique visitors.

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