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DELIVERING THE NEXT ECONOMY                                    IN METRO ATLANTA                                           ...
Arts & Culture           Logistics Hub              Fortune 500 FirmsLivable Centers   Talented & Diverse Workforce   Worl...
1 2 3     A vision for the next 1   American economy                             @bruce_katz
Global GDP                                                                                                21.0%           ...
Global GDP                                                                                                26.5%           ...
Global Metro Population                   50%         2009
Global Metro Population                                                                                                   ...
Economic Performance    2010-2011         Highest Performing Metros         Lowest Performing MetrosSource: Brookings, Glo...
Exports Share of GDP                                         2010                                                         ...
Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
Can we get back into the    export game?
$944 billionUS manufactured exports2010
Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries                                                          2010, Billions             ...
US Service Trade                                  Billions, 2010                                                $518      ...
Can the U.S. play in thelow carbon revolution?
2.7 million                                                            clean economy jobsSources: Brookings-Battelle Clean...
2.7 million                                                                              clean economy jobs               ...
35%         manufacturing                                                          68%                                    ...
Can the U.S. be anInnovation Nation?
d of Cheap    The En The coming US    China             bh es Chinsa dah                         o e e w ge e n           ...
11%                                                         wage premium                                                  ...
Educational Attainment                                                              Associate’s Degree or Higher          ...
Educational Attainment                                                            Associate’s Degree or Higher            ...
1 2 3     The next economy will be 2   largely metropolitan                                @bruce_katz
GeorgiaAtlanta, Augusta, Chattanooga                                         61%         66%                              ...
Georgia              Atlanta, Augusta, ChattanoogaAlbany, Athens, Brunswick, Columbus, Dalton, Gainesville, Hinesville,   ...
Top 100 Metro Exports                                                Share of U.S. Totals                                 ...
Top 100 Metro Exports                                           Share of U.S. Totals                                      ...
Top 100 Metro Trade Logistics                                                 Share of U.S. Totals                        ...
Top 100 Metro Clean Economy Employment                                                Share of U.S. Totals                ...
Top 100 Metro Innovative Assets                                                                              Share of U.S....
Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA
Atlanta, GA Metro Export Dashboard                                                                    Goods & Services Exp...
Atlanta, GA Metro Clean Economy Dashboard                             Clean Jobs                                          ...
Atlanta, GA Metro Manufacturing Dashboard                                                                                 ...
Atlanta, GA Metro Opportunity Dashboard                        Educational Attainment                                     ...
Atlanta, GA Metro Opportunity Dashboard                                                                     Transit Access...
1 2 3     Metropolitan areas         METRO 3   are driving innovation   INNOVATION                                        ...
Innovate Locally
Market Assessment     Metropolitan Business Planning       Economic Profile              Target Sectors                   ...
Key manufacturing growth sectors:Metropolitan Business Planning      fuel cells, electric vehicles, organic               ...
Metropolitan Business Planning                                    Atlanta                                            Metro...
Innovation         A 21st Century economy shaping/place-                   making strategy that connects and clustersDistr...
19th Century Industrial Districts   20th Century Science Parks
Innovation Districts
Savannah                                                          Emory                             College of            ...
Innovate Locally   Network Globally
Toronto        London      Frankfurt New York               Paris                                            Tokyo        ...
Detroit   CologneMonterrey                          Chongqing     Bogota                                    Hanoi         ...
Rotterdam                                     HamburgLosAngeles                                                       Tian...
Atlanta’s Top Export Destinations                                                                       Atlanta’s Top Air ...
Target industries: aerospace,    Metropolitan Business Planning   computer and electronic products,                       ...
Innovate Locally   Network Globally   Advocate Nationally
EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT                                                 Council of Economic Advisors            ...
EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT                                                 Council of Economic Advisors            ...
Office of the US Trade Representative             Export-Import Bank of                                                    ...
$4 trillion                      in proposed deficit reduction                             through 2020                    ...
DELIVERING THE NEXT ECONOMY                                    IN METRO ATLANTA                                           ...
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation
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Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation

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Presentation by Bruce Katz, Vice President of the Brookings Institution and Director of the Metropolitan Policy Program, at the Atlanta Regional Commission's 2012 State of the Region Breakfast

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Brookings Metropolitan Policy Program: 2012 Atlanta State of the Region Presentation

  1. 1. DELIVERING THE NEXT ECONOMY IN METRO ATLANTA @bruce_katzMetropolitan Policy Program Atlanta Regional Commission - Atlanta, Georgia / October 12, 2012at BROOKINGS
  2. 2. Arts & Culture Logistics Hub Fortune 500 FirmsLivable Centers Talented & Diverse Workforce World Class Universities
  3. 3. 1 2 3 A vision for the next 1 American economy @bruce_katz
  4. 4. Global GDP 21.0% BIC Countries 19.9% US 2009Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010
  5. 5. Global GDP 26.5% BIC Countries 17.9% US 2015Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, April 2010
  6. 6. Global Metro Population 50% 2009
  7. 7. Global Metro Population 60% 2030Source: UN Department of Economic-Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects, 2009
  8. 8. Economic Performance 2010-2011 Highest Performing Metros Lowest Performing MetrosSource: Brookings, Global MetroMonitor, January 2012
  9. 9. Exports Share of GDP 2010 30% 29% 22% 13% China Canada India 15% 15% United States Japan European UnionSource: Brookings analysis of WTO and EIU data, 2011
  10. 10. Transport Networks are Clogged and Congested
  11. 11. Can we get back into the export game?
  12. 12. $944 billionUS manufactured exports2010
  13. 13. Top Manufacturing Exporting Countries 2010, Billions $1477 $1091 $944 $680 $409 France Japan United States Germany ChinaSource: World Trade Organization, 2011
  14. 14. US Service Trade Billions, 2010 $518 $160 billion $358 trade surplus Service Service Imports ExportsSource: World Trade Organization, 2011 (Data reflect Commercial Services)
  15. 15. Can the U.S. play in thelow carbon revolution?
  16. 16. 2.7 million clean economy jobsSources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011)
  17. 17. 2.7 million clean economy jobs 1.4 million biosciences jobs 2.4 million fossil fuel jobs 4.8 million IT jobsSources: Brookings-Battelle Clean Economy Database (2011), Brookings Analysis of Battelle, BLS, Moody’s Analytics data
  18. 18. 35% manufacturing 68% manufacturing 90% manufacturing share of engineers share of R&D share of patentsSource: EOP “A Framework for Revitalizing AmericanManufacturing” (2009)Brookings “Accelerating Advanced Manufacturing with NewResearch Centers” (2011)
  19. 19. Can the U.S. be anInnovation Nation?
  20. 20. d of Cheap The En The coming US China bh es Chinsa dah o e e w ge e n USaNaminosmaanmOn ow What do s o ring C nushale gas 38% facturing? Quake Dis for Inte wil u global mallectual-Property l fuel it r pts Key S April uppl Ma y 10Watchlist23, 2012 y Chains , 2012 ing manufactur ld’s largest is the worTe Apriisio0, , 01 China l fro f elev 3 n m r2t ay s s power. Aprilutput on tyears nd o2htodhin,gthe CEA and Its o 30, 2012 es a t e s, s Fe l pip teederal Reservsschairman will smartphone The o rtrpae ed yourratetasuhquake ts for a again manufacturing share of fo e you can dr op on leb ce a cade nof at st cted Chinas 010. JapannFdeaccionofrunexpeck nostrong t ou th China ow 2insufficient protectfacto ies ru rthe America’s in growthturinisitime orcecredit will go to as rIs g. dtay f the d fac . Thrights remains shutdown manu b f globaltual unroady e eply t mt they a top s across economic growth propert h c fifth ointellec couchtrywispagaruhafro m in, so c de t ins given the very low oam e count f ding th the a priorityo en tion in manpolicy,t s have made for ergyustries, bf its tr d trade U.S. pr y o ut ices p Chnd onaigbe r imUS. rys curb ed infla c h m ly in fou ina e b y ge the have "troubling" directioniof recent government pact for partn drawin oa p chea the ermofa n er co will o ers. But Low-cost enes gy uld chave in awned an d supporting domestsp me measureslosaheaat rgethe allssortsio gothe weeks e. g to a c aimedsu as in di rupt export ic 2009 Q3 - 2011 Q4 way t ods,of ns mak from innovation, the U.S.to gh the globentatives e their chemicahroTrade Repres al s ls u tyres. upply chain. office said The 8.9- Monday. m agnitude ear the largest o th quake, on n record, ha e of activity for n s crippled ow in a coun try that is aSource: Brookings analysis of Moody’s Economy.com data
  21. 21. 11% wage premium in exporting firms Greater likelihood of health and retirement benefits in export-intense industriesSource: Istrate, Rothwell & Katz, Export Nation (2010)
  22. 22. Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher 56% 36% 39% 25% 19% United Asians Non-Hispanic African Hispanics States Whites AmericansSource: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey
  23. 23. Educational Attainment Associate’s Degree or Higher 25% 19% African Hispanics AmericansSource: US Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey
  24. 24. 1 2 3 The next economy will be 2 largely metropolitan @bruce_katz
  25. 25. GeorgiaAtlanta, Augusta, Chattanooga 61% 66% Population GDP
  26. 26. Georgia Atlanta, Augusta, ChattanoogaAlbany, Athens, Brunswick, Columbus, Dalton, Gainesville, Hinesville, Macon, Rome, Savannah, Valdosta, Warner Robins 82% 87% Population GDP
  27. 27. Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals 75% 66% 63% Population Service Manufacturing Exports ExportsSource: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  28. 28. Top 100 Metro Exports Share of U.S. Totals 76% 78% 66% 68% Population Chemical Business/ Computer/ Products Professional Electronic Services ProductsSource: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  29. 29. Top 100 Metro Trade Logistics Share of U.S. Totals 88% 92% 66% 82% Population U.S. Air Foreign Airline Cargo Waterborne Boardings Weight Cargo WeightSource: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, FAA, and PIERS data (2009)
  30. 30. Top 100 Metro Clean Economy Employment Share of U.S. Totals 90% 78% 80% 83% 66% Population Solar PV Wind Renewable Green Energy Energy Energy Architecture & Construction Services ServicesSource: Brookings, “Sizing the Clean Economy” (2011)
  31. 31. Top 100 Metro Innovative Assets Share of U.S. Totals 94% 78% 82% 74% 75% 66% Population College Graduate Patents NIH/NSF Venture Degrees Degrees Funding Capital FundingSource: Brookings analysis of US Census Bureau, BLS, BEA, NIH and NSF data
  32. 32. Aerial imagery: © DigitalGlobe, GeoEye, Sanborn, USGS, USDA FSA
  33. 33. Atlanta, GA Metro Export Dashboard Goods & Services Exports Export Volume $20.0 B 52.8% 47.2% services share goods share of Export Jobs of exports exports 151,700 Top Services Sectors Top Manufacturing Sectors Export Intensity 9.8% Travel & Tourism 18.9% Chemicals 7.9% 8.0% Transportation Business Services 12.1% Equipment 6.3% Top 100 Atlanta Royalties 6.8% Food 6.2% Metros MetroSource: Brookings, ExportNation 2012
  34. 34. Atlanta, GA Metro Clean Economy Dashboard Clean Jobs Clean Employment 43,060 Intensity Top Sectors By Industry 2.0% 2.1% LQ 1.9% 1.9% Specialization Smart Grid 9.3 Water Efficient Products 4.2 Appliances 4.0 Top 100 U.S. Georgia Atlanta Metro MetrosSource: Brookings, Sizing the Clean Economy 2011
  35. 35. Atlanta, GA Metro Manufacturing Dashboard Top Manufacturing Sectors Manufacturing Jobs 142,416 Manufacturing Manufacturing Intensity Growth 2010 Q1 - 2011 Q4 8.5% 4.3% 6.2% 2.7% Food 16.5% Plastics & Rubber 8.1% Computers & Electronics 7.5% Atlanta Atlanta US Metro US Fabricated Metal Products 6.8% Metro Printing & Support Activities 6.4%Source: Brookings, Locating American Manufacturing 2012
  36. 36. Atlanta, GA Metro Opportunity Dashboard Educational Attainment Immigrant Composition Associate’s Degree or Higher By Skill Level (Age 25+) 56.7% 46.3% 41.6% 41.1% 34.6% 31.8% 26.6% 20.5% Atlanta Asian Non-Hispanic African Hispanic Low Middle High Text MetroTotal White American Skilled Skilled SkilledSource: Brookings, State of Metropolitan America (2011) and The Geography of Immigrant Skills (2011)
  37. 37. Atlanta, GA Metro Opportunity Dashboard Transit Accessibility Share of Working-Age Residents Share of all Jobs Reachable via with Transit Coverage public transit in 90 minutes 38% 69%Atlanta Top 100 Metro 22% 30% Atlanta Top 100 Metro Metro Average Metro AverageSource: Brookings, Missed Opportunity: Transit and Jobs in Metropolitan America (2011)
  38. 38. 1 2 3 Metropolitan areas METRO 3 are driving innovation INNOVATION @bruce_katz
  39. 39. Innovate Locally
  40. 40. Market Assessment Metropolitan Business Planning Economic Profile Target Sectors 15% 12% 8% 9% 12% 13% 9%Seattle Establish Goals & Strategies SyracusePortland Double exports Support key sectors Minneapols- Increase global fluency Boost SME exports Saint Paul Northeast OhioLos Angeles Collaborate to Compete Firms Universities Governments Philanthropy
  41. 41. Key manufacturing growth sectors:Metropolitan Business Planning fuel cells, electric vehicles, organic electronics Retool manufacturing and retrain industrial workers Northeast Ohio Case Western The University John Glenn Reserve of Akron Research Center
  42. 42. Metropolitan Business Planning Atlanta Metrop Busine olitan ss Pla n Atlanta Buildin g on Lo gistics Base
  43. 43. Innovation A 21st Century economy shaping/place- making strategy that connects and clustersDistrict innovation-generating anchor institutions andIn• no• va• tion companies with entrepreneurial firms,Dis•trict infrastructure, housing, retail, and amenities.
  44. 44. 19th Century Industrial Districts 20th Century Science Parks
  45. 45. Innovation Districts
  46. 46. Savannah Emory College of University Art & Design High Atlanta MuseumMuseum Symphony of Art of Design Orchestra Atlanta Woodruff Atlanta Georgia Arts Federal Tech Center Reserve Fox Theatre Centennial Olympic Park Coca- Cola Company CNN Georgia Center Dome Georgia Clark Phillips Atlanta State Arena Georgia University City CapitolMorehouse Hall College Turner Field
  47. 47. Innovate Locally Network Globally
  48. 48. Toronto London Frankfurt New York Paris Tokyo Shanghai Lagos Sao Paulo Sydney
  49. 49. Detroit CologneMonterrey Chongqing Bogota Hanoi Chennai Johannesburg
  50. 50. Rotterdam HamburgLosAngeles Tianjin Dubai Seoul Singapore Durbin Buenos Aires
  51. 51. Atlanta’s Top Export Destinations Atlanta’s Top Air Travel Destinations 2010 Volume 2011 Total Passengers Canada $3.07 B Seoul 188,207 Mexico $1.68 B London 185,587 Japan $1.43 B Toronto 177,215 United $1.36 B Cancun 165,260 Kingdom Montego China $1.03 B 97,117 BaySource: Brookings, Export Nation II (2012)Brookings analysis of all international passenger traffic between Atlanta and other global metros (2012)
  52. 52. Target industries: aerospace, Metropolitan Business Planning computer and electronic products, pharmaceuticals, professional services, film and television Grow Los Angeles metropolitan exports Los Angeles Regional Export Council City of Los AngelesLos Angeles University of University of Southern California Los California Angeles
  53. 53. Innovate Locally Network Globally Advocate Nationally
  54. 54. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT Council of Economic Advisors Council on Environmental Quality National Security Council Office of Administration Office of Management & Budget Office of Nat’l Drug Control Policy Office of Policy Development Office of Science & Technology Policy Office of the US Trade Representative CABINET AGENCIES Department of Agriculture Department of Commerce Department of Defense Department of Education Department of Energy Department of Health & Human Department of Homeland Security Department of Housing & Urban Department of the Interior Department of Justice Services Development Department of Labor Department of State Department of Transportation Department of Treasury Department of Veterans Affairs INDEPENDENT ESTABLISHMENTS AND GOVERNMENT CORPORATIONS Corporation for Equal EmploymentAfrican Development Central Intelligence Commodity Futures Consumer Product Defense Nuclear Environmental Export-Import Bank of National and Opportunity Foundation Agency Trading Commission Safety Commission Facilities Safety Board Protection Agency the United States Community Service Commission Federal Federal Mine Safety & Farm Credit Federal Deposit Federal Election Federal Housing Federal Labor Federal Maritime Federal Mediation and Communications Health Review Administration Insurance Corporation Commission Finance Board Relations Authority Commission Conciliation Service Commission Commission Federal Retirement National Aeronautics National Archives and Federal Reserve Federal Trade General Services Inter-American Merit Systems National Capital Thrift Investment and Space Records System Commission Administration Foundation Protection Board Planning Commission Board Administration Administration National Foundation National Railroad National Occupational Safety &National Credit Union National Labor National Mediation National Science Nuclear Regulatory on the Arts and Passenger Corporation Transportation Safety Health Review Administration Relations Board Board Foundation Commission Humanities (AMTRAK) Board Commission Overseas PrivateOffice of Government Office of Personnel Office of Special Pension Benefit Postal Rate Railroad Retirement Securities and Investment Peace Corps Ethics Management Council Guaranty Corporation Commission Board Exchange Commission Corporation US Agency for Selective Service Small Business Social Security Tennessee Valley Trade & Development US Commission on US International Trade International US Postal Service System Administration Administration Authority Agency Civil Rights Commission Development
  55. 55. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT Council of Economic Advisors Council on Environmental Quality National Security Council Office of Administration Office of Management & Budget Office of Nat’l Drug Control Policy Office of Policy Development Office of Science & Technology Policy Office of the US Trade Representative CABINET AGENCIES Department of Agriculture Department of Commerce Department of Defense Department of Education Department of Energy Department of Health & Human Department of Homeland Security Department of Housing & Urban Department of the Interior Department of Justice Services Development Department of Labor Department of State Department of Transportation Department of Treasury Department of Veterans Affairs INDEPENDENT ESTABLISHMENTS AND GOVERNMENT CORPORATIONS Corporation for Equal EmploymentAfrican Development Central Intelligence Commodity Futures Consumer Product Defense Nuclear Environmental Export-Import Bank of National and Opportunity Foundation Agency Trading Commission Safety Commission Facilities Safety Board Protection Agency the United States Community Service Commission Federal Federal Mine Safety & Farm Credit Federal Deposit Federal Election Federal Housing Federal Labor Federal Maritime Federal Mediation and Communications Health Review Administration Insurance Corporation Commission Finance Board Relations Authority Commission Conciliation Service Commission Commission Federal Retirement National Aeronautics National Archives and Federal Reserve Federal Trade General Services Inter-American Merit Systems National Capital Thrift Investment and Space Records System Commission Administration Foundation Protection Board Planning Commission Board Administration Administration National Foundation National Railroad National Occupational Safety &National Credit Union National Labor National Mediation National Science Nuclear Regulatory on the Arts and Passenger Corporation Transportation Safety Health Review Administration Relations Board Board Foundation Commission Humanities (AMTRAK) Board Commission Overseas PrivateOffice of Government Office of Personnel Office of Special Pension Benefit Postal Rate Railroad Retirement Securities and Investment Peace Corps Ethics Management Council Guaranty Corporation Commission Board Exchange Commission Corporation US Agency for Selective Service Small Business Social Security Tennessee Valley Trade & Development US Commission on US International Trade International US Postal Service System Administration Administration Authority Agency Civil Rights Commission Development
  56. 56. Office of the US Trade Representative Export-Import Bank of the United States Department of Commerce Overseas Private International Trade Administration US Census Investment National Technical Information Service Corporation Select USA Bureau of Industry & Security Small Business National Institute of Standards & Technology Minority Business Development Agency Administration Federal Government State GovernmentINTEGRATED METROPOLITAN Universities Firms EXPORT PROMOTION Philanthropy Local Governments
  57. 57. $4 trillion in proposed deficit reduction through 2020 Reduce national debt to 40% of U.S. GDP by 2035Simpson-Bowles Plan 2010
  58. 58. DELIVERING THE NEXT ECONOMY IN METRO ATLANTA @bruce_katzMetropolitan Policy Program Atlanta Regional Commission - Atlanta, Georgia / October 12, 2012at BROOKINGS

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