Facebook and Myspace App Platforms: A Brief Update

O'Reilly Media
O'Reilly MediaSr. Publicist / Online Event & Webcast Producer at O'Reilly Media
Facebook and Myspace App Platforms:
                     A Brief Update
                       May 10,2009
                                           Ben Lorica
                                   O’Reilly Research
                                  twitter.com/dliman
                          radar.oreilly.com/research
                               radar.oreilly.com/ben
Overview
 Facebook App platform 2nd year anniversary
 - Launch in May-07

 Lately, iTunes has grabbed most press
  coverage
 - iTunes app store launched Jul-08


 Popular Facebook and Myspace apps
  reportedly earning substantial revenue

 Time for a brief update on the Facebook and
  Myspace app platforms
Data Description - from O’Reilly Research

 Facebook App Platform: Data from September 2007
 Facebook Demographics: Data from May 2008

 Myspace App Platform: Data from May 2008


    U.S.
          iTunes App Store: Data from July 2008
Facebook App Platform - Total Active Usage
There is an upward trend in the Number of Active
Users.

                                             662M

    Total Number of Active Users:
     All Facebook Apps




     Source: O’Reilly Research
Facebook App Platform - Active Usage Per App
As the number of available apps has increased, the
number of active users per app has decreased.


      Facebook: Active Users Per App
      [ (Total Users of All Apps) / (# of Apps ) ]


     ~ 10.1K



                                                     ~ 7.4K

      Source: O’Reilly Research
Facebook App Platform - Active Usage Per Member
As the number of (active) members increased from
86M (in Aug-08) to 200M (past week), app usage per
member decreased. However, usage per member has
remained stable since the start of 2009.
      Facebook: Usage Per Member
      [ (Total Users of All Apps) / (Total Members) ]


    ~ 4.4



                                                                ~ 3.4
                                                        ~ 3.1


      Source: O’Reilly Research
Myspace App Platform - Total Installs
There is an upward trend in Number of Users.

                                        ~ 182M

   Total Installs:
     All Myspace Apps




    Source: O’Reilly Research
Myspace App Platform - Installs Per App
The upward trend in Number of Users Per app, is
less impressive.


      Myspace: Installs Per App
      [ (Total Installs of All Apps) / (# of Apps ) ]
                                                        ~ 33.3K




       Source: O’Reilly Research
Outline
 Comparing three app platforms
 - # of “Active” Apps: Facebook, Myspace, iTunes

 Distribution of users and apps
 - Percentage of apps with at least 100K users


 Major App Categories

 Revenue and the Top App Suppliers
 - Revenue: Some recent estimates
 - How apps generate revenue
 - Top Suppliers: Overall and in the Games category
Number of Apps
Unique Apps - Apps that Appear Each Week
   Number of Unique Apps Each Week
   First 19 Weeks of 2009
                                     iTunes is adding applications
      Platform Launch Dates          at a much faster rate
       Facebook: May-07
       Myspace : Feb-08
       iTunes : Jul-08
       Source: O’Reilly Research
                                                              (through 5/10/2009)




[Normalized to a starting
 value of 100 on 1/4/2009]
Unique Apps - Comparing “Size” of Platforms

 In comparing the size of the different platforms, we
  tried to exclude inactive applications.

 Unfortunately, the three platforms expose different
  metrics.

 After examining data for all the platforms, we
  settled on the sets of apps described in the next
  slide.
Unique Apps - “Active” Apps Defined
 Facebook Apps with at least 50 active users




 Myspace Apps with at least 500 installs




 iPhone Apps with at least 1 rating
Active Apps - Facebook Has Largest # of Active Apps
 Share of “Active” Apps (Active is defined in previous slide)

   Facebook ~ 55% , Mypace ~ 61%, iTunes ~ 51%


                49K
                      Number of Active Apps                  (through 5/10/2009)
                      Last Three Weeks


                      Source: O’Reilly Research




          !quot;#$%&&'(           )*+,$-(             ./01quot;#$(
Distribution of Users & Apps
Facebook Apps - Distribution By Active Users
 Number of Active Users has decreased slightly:

    On average, an app has 300 active users.
    PERCENTILE   This Week    12 Weeks   24 Weeks
                                 Ago        Ago
                 (5/3/2009)


    MEDIAN       300          400        400

                                                    Limited to apps
    75%          1,400        1,600      1,700      with at least
                                                    one active user.

    90%          5,500        7,400      7,900

    95%          19,000       20,400     22,200

    99%          146,554      202,150    203,953
Facebook Apps - Apps With Many Active Users
 Close to 700 apps had at least 100K ACTIVE users:

   0.8% of all apps had at least 100K active users
   (limited to apps with at least one active user)

    Minimum             This Week          12 Weeks       24 Weeks
                                              Ago            Ago
                        (5/10/2009)
    ACTIVE Users
    1                   87,401             58,558         45,140

    10,000              3,695 (4.2%)       2,803 (4.8%)   2,180 (4.8%)

    25,000              1,987 (2.3%)       1,465 (2.5%)   1,180 (2.6%)

    50,000              1,207 (1.4%)       877 (1.5%)     748 (1.7%)

    100,000             696 (0.8%)         531 (0.9%)     451 (1%)
Myspace Apps - Distribution By Installs
Number of Installs has been increasing:

  On average, an app has been installed 2,274 times.
    PERCENTILE   This Week    12 Weeks   24 Weeks
                                 Ago        Ago
                 (5/3/2009)


    MEDIAN       2,274        1,932      1,416

                                                    Limited to apps
    75%          5,377        5,124      4,393      with at least
                                                    one install.

    90%          13,978       12,495     11,733

    95%          34,081       33,932     30,313

    99%          824,145      719,047    611,115
Myspace Apps - Apps With Many Installs
 114 apps had at least 100K installs:

   2.6% of all apps had at least 100K installs
   (limited to apps with at least one install)


    Minimum              This Week          12 Weeks      24 Weeks
                                               Ago           Ago
                         (5/10/2009)
    Installs
    1                    4,437              3,982         3,520

    10,000               620 (14%)          522 (13.1%)   408 (11.6%)

    25,000               274 (6.2%)         231 (5.8%)    196 (5.6%)

    50,000               183 (4.1%)         162 (4.1%)    134 (3.8%)

    100,000              114 (2.6%)         98 (2.5%)     86 (2.4%)
Major Categories
Facebook App Categories - Share of Active Usage


               THIS WEEK                                12 WEEKS AGO




                            Share of Active Usage


                            Source: O’Reilly Research




               (5/3/2009)
Facebook App Categories - Users Per Application

  Games, Dating, Video, and Alerts attract most ACTIVE users per app.

                  THIS WEEK                                12 WEEKS AGO




                                                                          ACTIVE Users (in 000’s)
                                                                          per Unique App




                               Source: O’Reilly Research




                  (5/3/2009)
Myspace App Categories - Share of Installs

                 THIS WEEK                           12 WEEKS AGO




                         Source: O’Reilly Research




                 (5/3/2009)
Myspace App Categories - Installs Per Application
Pets, Fun Stuff, Communicating, and Games attract most installs per app.
                 THIS WEEK                               12 WEEKS AGO




                             Source: O’Reilly Research



                               INSTALLS (in 000’s)
                               per Unique App




                (5/3/2009)
Revenue
     and
Top App Suppliers
Revenue from Facebook & Myspace Apps
 Inside Facebook: Significant revenue from
  Game (& other Top) Apps
 - Survey of Facebook payment providers indicate 35% YOY
   growth in Q1-09 (both in transaction volume and revenue)

 VentureBeat
 - Top Developers will generate (a combined) $150M in 2009
 - Estimated Total 2009 revenue for Games range from $300M to
   $500M


 TechCrunch (via SocialMedia ad platform)
 - One SocialMedia client generating $700K monthly
 - Other top app developers rumored to be generating $1M
   monthly
Revenue from Facebook & Myspace Apps
 Game Apps
 - In-game points system that can be used to purchase virtual
   goods that enhance users “powers”
 - Virtual Goods are important enough that Facebook &
   Myspace are considering introducing virtual currencies
 - Points system becomes a major source of revenue: Points
   can be bought


 All Apps
 - Top Facebook Apps sell ads to other Facebook apps
 - Offer-based ads: coupons, contests, surveys, software
   downloads
 - Game apps can be popular for a few months: placing ads on
   other top apps allow developers to attract new users
Facebook App Developers - Number of Active Users
There were more than 29,000 developers during the
past week:
2.1% of all developers had apps with at least 100,000 combined active
users

    Minimum Total                 12 Weeks Ago   24 Weeks Ago
                    This Week
                    (5/10/2009)
    ACTIVE Users
    1,000           22.5%         23.1%          23%

    10,000          8.1%          8.3%           7.9%

    25,000          5%            5%             4.8%

    50,000          3.4%          3%             3.1%

    100,000         2.1%          1.9%           2%

    Unique          29,023        22,158         18,430
    Developers
Top 25 Facebook Developers - ALL Apps
  THIS WEEK                  Active Users in Millions
                      Total (All Apps)              Per App
  (5/10/2009)


  Source:
                                                              4 of the Top 10 were
  O’Reilly Research

                                                              Game Developers,
                                                              including 3 of the
                                                              Top 5
Top 25 Facebook Developers - ALL Apps
  12 Weeks Ago                Active Users in Millions
  (2/15/2009)         Total (All Apps)              Per App

  Source:
  O’Reilly Research
                                                              4 of the Top 10 were
                                                              Game Developers,
                                                              including 2 of the
                                                              Top 5
Top 25 Facebook Developers - Games
THIS WEEK                                                                    12 WEEKS AGO
              Source: O’Reilly Research
(5/10/2009)                                                                  (2/15/2009)
                                     Active Users in Millions                                             Active Users in Millions
                        Total (All Game Apps)                 Per Game App                  Total (All Game Apps)          Per Game App
Top 25 Myspace Developers - All Apps
THIS WEEK                                           12 WEEKS AGO       Installs in Millions
             Installs in Millions
(5/3/2009)                                          (2/8/2009)
             Total (All Apps)             Per App                      Total (All Apps)       Per App




                      Source:
                      O’Reilly Research




                 Zynga and Flixster are also top app sellers on Facebook
Interested in creating Facebook & Myspace Apps?




                   O’Reilly Radar Report
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Questions?



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Facebook and Myspace App Platforms: A Brief Update

  • 1. Facebook and Myspace App Platforms: A Brief Update May 10,2009 Ben Lorica O’Reilly Research twitter.com/dliman radar.oreilly.com/research radar.oreilly.com/ben
  • 2. Overview  Facebook App platform 2nd year anniversary - Launch in May-07  Lately, iTunes has grabbed most press coverage - iTunes app store launched Jul-08  Popular Facebook and Myspace apps reportedly earning substantial revenue  Time for a brief update on the Facebook and Myspace app platforms
  • 3. Data Description - from O’Reilly Research  Facebook App Platform: Data from September 2007  Facebook Demographics: Data from May 2008  Myspace App Platform: Data from May 2008 U.S.  iTunes App Store: Data from July 2008
  • 4. Facebook App Platform - Total Active Usage There is an upward trend in the Number of Active Users. 662M Total Number of Active Users: All Facebook Apps Source: O’Reilly Research
  • 5. Facebook App Platform - Active Usage Per App As the number of available apps has increased, the number of active users per app has decreased. Facebook: Active Users Per App [ (Total Users of All Apps) / (# of Apps ) ] ~ 10.1K ~ 7.4K Source: O’Reilly Research
  • 6. Facebook App Platform - Active Usage Per Member As the number of (active) members increased from 86M (in Aug-08) to 200M (past week), app usage per member decreased. However, usage per member has remained stable since the start of 2009. Facebook: Usage Per Member [ (Total Users of All Apps) / (Total Members) ] ~ 4.4 ~ 3.4 ~ 3.1 Source: O’Reilly Research
  • 7. Myspace App Platform - Total Installs There is an upward trend in Number of Users. ~ 182M Total Installs: All Myspace Apps Source: O’Reilly Research
  • 8. Myspace App Platform - Installs Per App The upward trend in Number of Users Per app, is less impressive. Myspace: Installs Per App [ (Total Installs of All Apps) / (# of Apps ) ] ~ 33.3K Source: O’Reilly Research
  • 9. Outline  Comparing three app platforms - # of “Active” Apps: Facebook, Myspace, iTunes  Distribution of users and apps - Percentage of apps with at least 100K users  Major App Categories  Revenue and the Top App Suppliers - Revenue: Some recent estimates - How apps generate revenue - Top Suppliers: Overall and in the Games category
  • 11. Unique Apps - Apps that Appear Each Week Number of Unique Apps Each Week First 19 Weeks of 2009 iTunes is adding applications Platform Launch Dates at a much faster rate Facebook: May-07 Myspace : Feb-08 iTunes : Jul-08 Source: O’Reilly Research (through 5/10/2009) [Normalized to a starting value of 100 on 1/4/2009]
  • 12. Unique Apps - Comparing “Size” of Platforms  In comparing the size of the different platforms, we tried to exclude inactive applications.  Unfortunately, the three platforms expose different metrics.  After examining data for all the platforms, we settled on the sets of apps described in the next slide.
  • 13. Unique Apps - “Active” Apps Defined  Facebook Apps with at least 50 active users  Myspace Apps with at least 500 installs  iPhone Apps with at least 1 rating
  • 14. Active Apps - Facebook Has Largest # of Active Apps Share of “Active” Apps (Active is defined in previous slide) Facebook ~ 55% , Mypace ~ 61%, iTunes ~ 51% 49K Number of Active Apps (through 5/10/2009) Last Three Weeks Source: O’Reilly Research !quot;#$%&&'( )*+,$-( ./01quot;#$(
  • 16. Facebook Apps - Distribution By Active Users Number of Active Users has decreased slightly: On average, an app has 300 active users. PERCENTILE This Week 12 Weeks 24 Weeks Ago Ago (5/3/2009) MEDIAN 300 400 400 Limited to apps 75% 1,400 1,600 1,700 with at least one active user. 90% 5,500 7,400 7,900 95% 19,000 20,400 22,200 99% 146,554 202,150 203,953
  • 17. Facebook Apps - Apps With Many Active Users Close to 700 apps had at least 100K ACTIVE users: 0.8% of all apps had at least 100K active users (limited to apps with at least one active user) Minimum This Week 12 Weeks 24 Weeks Ago Ago (5/10/2009) ACTIVE Users 1 87,401 58,558 45,140 10,000 3,695 (4.2%) 2,803 (4.8%) 2,180 (4.8%) 25,000 1,987 (2.3%) 1,465 (2.5%) 1,180 (2.6%) 50,000 1,207 (1.4%) 877 (1.5%) 748 (1.7%) 100,000 696 (0.8%) 531 (0.9%) 451 (1%)
  • 18. Myspace Apps - Distribution By Installs Number of Installs has been increasing: On average, an app has been installed 2,274 times. PERCENTILE This Week 12 Weeks 24 Weeks Ago Ago (5/3/2009) MEDIAN 2,274 1,932 1,416 Limited to apps 75% 5,377 5,124 4,393 with at least one install. 90% 13,978 12,495 11,733 95% 34,081 33,932 30,313 99% 824,145 719,047 611,115
  • 19. Myspace Apps - Apps With Many Installs 114 apps had at least 100K installs: 2.6% of all apps had at least 100K installs (limited to apps with at least one install) Minimum This Week 12 Weeks 24 Weeks Ago Ago (5/10/2009) Installs 1 4,437 3,982 3,520 10,000 620 (14%) 522 (13.1%) 408 (11.6%) 25,000 274 (6.2%) 231 (5.8%) 196 (5.6%) 50,000 183 (4.1%) 162 (4.1%) 134 (3.8%) 100,000 114 (2.6%) 98 (2.5%) 86 (2.4%)
  • 21. Facebook App Categories - Share of Active Usage THIS WEEK 12 WEEKS AGO Share of Active Usage Source: O’Reilly Research (5/3/2009)
  • 22. Facebook App Categories - Users Per Application Games, Dating, Video, and Alerts attract most ACTIVE users per app. THIS WEEK 12 WEEKS AGO ACTIVE Users (in 000’s) per Unique App Source: O’Reilly Research (5/3/2009)
  • 23. Myspace App Categories - Share of Installs THIS WEEK 12 WEEKS AGO Source: O’Reilly Research (5/3/2009)
  • 24. Myspace App Categories - Installs Per Application Pets, Fun Stuff, Communicating, and Games attract most installs per app. THIS WEEK 12 WEEKS AGO Source: O’Reilly Research INSTALLS (in 000’s) per Unique App (5/3/2009)
  • 25. Revenue and Top App Suppliers
  • 26. Revenue from Facebook & Myspace Apps  Inside Facebook: Significant revenue from Game (& other Top) Apps - Survey of Facebook payment providers indicate 35% YOY growth in Q1-09 (both in transaction volume and revenue)  VentureBeat - Top Developers will generate (a combined) $150M in 2009 - Estimated Total 2009 revenue for Games range from $300M to $500M  TechCrunch (via SocialMedia ad platform) - One SocialMedia client generating $700K monthly - Other top app developers rumored to be generating $1M monthly
  • 27. Revenue from Facebook & Myspace Apps  Game Apps - In-game points system that can be used to purchase virtual goods that enhance users “powers” - Virtual Goods are important enough that Facebook & Myspace are considering introducing virtual currencies - Points system becomes a major source of revenue: Points can be bought  All Apps - Top Facebook Apps sell ads to other Facebook apps - Offer-based ads: coupons, contests, surveys, software downloads - Game apps can be popular for a few months: placing ads on other top apps allow developers to attract new users
  • 28. Facebook App Developers - Number of Active Users There were more than 29,000 developers during the past week: 2.1% of all developers had apps with at least 100,000 combined active users Minimum Total 12 Weeks Ago 24 Weeks Ago This Week (5/10/2009) ACTIVE Users 1,000 22.5% 23.1% 23% 10,000 8.1% 8.3% 7.9% 25,000 5% 5% 4.8% 50,000 3.4% 3% 3.1% 100,000 2.1% 1.9% 2% Unique 29,023 22,158 18,430 Developers
  • 29. Top 25 Facebook Developers - ALL Apps THIS WEEK Active Users in Millions Total (All Apps) Per App (5/10/2009) Source: 4 of the Top 10 were O’Reilly Research Game Developers, including 3 of the Top 5
  • 30. Top 25 Facebook Developers - ALL Apps 12 Weeks Ago Active Users in Millions (2/15/2009) Total (All Apps) Per App Source: O’Reilly Research 4 of the Top 10 were Game Developers, including 2 of the Top 5
  • 31. Top 25 Facebook Developers - Games THIS WEEK 12 WEEKS AGO Source: O’Reilly Research (5/10/2009) (2/15/2009) Active Users in Millions Active Users in Millions Total (All Game Apps) Per Game App Total (All Game Apps) Per Game App
  • 32. Top 25 Myspace Developers - All Apps THIS WEEK 12 WEEKS AGO Installs in Millions Installs in Millions (5/3/2009) (2/8/2009) Total (All Apps) Per App Total (All Apps) Per App Source: O’Reilly Research Zynga and Flixster are also top app sellers on Facebook
  • 33. Interested in creating Facebook & Myspace Apps? O’Reilly Radar Report http://bit.ly/1ad1gb SF 2010
  • 34. Questions? twitter.com/dliman radar.oreilly.com/research/ radar.oreilly.com/ben